App State at Southern Miss Game Matchup

App State Mountaineers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
M. M. Roberts Stadium - Hattiesburg, MS (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

USM 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Southern Miss -8 (SP+ APP -9)
Projected Score: APP: 25 - USM: 33 (56)
USM Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
APP Travel: 553 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#67)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	App State vs Charlotte	-8.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	App State vs Lindenwood	-9
Sat 9/13	App State at Southern Miss	+8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	App State at Boise State	+26.5
Sat 10/4	App State vs Oregon State	+8.5
Sat 10/11	App State at Georgia State	+0
Sat 10/18	App State vs Coastal Carolina	+0.5
Sat 10/25	App State at Old Dominion	+6.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	App State vs Georgia Southern	+8
Sat 11/15	App State at James Madison	+18.5
Sat 11/22	App State vs Marshall	-5.5
Sat 11/29	App State vs Arkansas State	+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Southern Miss vs Mississippi State	+14.0	0.0
Sat 9/6	Southern Miss vs Jackson State	-15
Sat 9/13	Southern Miss vs App State	-8
Sat 9/20	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	-5
Sat 9/27	Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State	-13
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Southern Miss at Georgia Southern	+7.5
Sat 10/18	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+4.5
Sat 10/25	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	+0
Sat 11/15	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+1.5
Sat 11/22	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+8.5
Sat 11/29	Southern Miss vs Troy	+2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)	26.6	45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)	32.9	51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)	15.3	40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)	37.8	45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	11	26.6	24.3	43.6%	3.89	2	24	430	157	273	4.5	48%	51%	45%	43%	16%	.21
USM Defense	12	37.8	33	44.1%	4.17	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	43%	14%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	11	32.9	39.7	49%	4.78	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	51%	47%	12%	.3
USM Offense	12	15.3	19.5	34.7%	2.75	2.4	16	284	109	175	3.2	49%	51%	40%	30%	26%

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	11	30:06	23.9	43%	59%	6	57	2	1.2	4.3	2.1	1	27.6
Southern Miss	12	27:22	15.5	25%	44%	6	48.3	2.4	0.8	5.4	1.7	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	11	48% (81)	45% (58)	34.9	157.4	4.5	13 (105)	.1 (89)	3.01 (75)	80% (21)	7% (15)	0.89 (104)
USM Defense	12	55% (116)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.27 (129)	3.22 (101)	71% (54)	10% (80)	1.21 (131)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	11	56% (124)	51% (130)	-	-	-	-	.26 (128)	3.41 (125)	77% (94)	9% (89)	1.04 (94)
USM Offense	12	49% (79)	40% (108)	34.2	109	3.2	13 (105)	.06 (103)	2.59 (126)	61% (124)	18% (133)	1 (53)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	11	51% (53)	43% (62)	19.8	35.6	272.9	7.7	13.8	23 (41)	16 (124)	.32 (41)	1.8 (13)	35% (122)	37% (15)	.46 (19)	9% (130)	2.2 (18)
USM Defense	12	45% (20)	43% (93)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.35 (114)	1.7 (114)	31% (77)	35% (114)	.51 (124)	5% (113)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	11	44% (10)	47% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.37 (119)	1.5 (46)	26% (133)	35% (115)	.38 (100)	2% (134)	2 (62)
USM Offense	12	51% (55)	30% (133)	13.8	26.5	174.9	6.6	12.6	7 (130)	17 (127)	-.05 (134)	1.7 (30)	38% (130)	24% (125)	.15 (129)	8% (122)	2.1 (45)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -19.76 #123
App State's Offense Rating: 6.35 #114
App State's Defense Rating: 26.11 #124
2025 Talent Rating: 548.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -19.76 Southern Miss: -6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.8 Southern Miss: -17.7

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -6.15 #66
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 33
App State 25

Projected Total Points: 56

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	App State	48	Southern Miss	38	App State	Appalachian State -16	Southern Miss	55.5	Over
2014	09/20	Southern Miss	21	App State	20	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -4	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	1	1	1 Overs
App State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#123) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.76 #123
Offense Rating: 6.35 #114
Defense Rating: 26.11 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 548.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

App State Notes
(3/27) QB portals Swann (LSU) or Kohl (ISU)?
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/23) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 5 portal adds (3 FBS)
(3/23) Def bad LY, return some. DL weak. CB's good?
(3/23) Loggains was S Car OC, in for fired S. Clark
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu

App State Ratings Matchup Southern Miss

Power #123

#66

Off #114

#85

Def #124

#44

Talent #98

#63

SP+ #98

#128

SP+ Off #94

#114

SP+ Def #103

#126

Previous Matchups
App State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (48-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | USM
Depth Chart: APP | USM
Rosters: APP | USM

(#66) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.15 #66
Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126
Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Southern Miss Notes
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) RB rebuild. 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 4/5 back, 7 portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, complete rebuild. 17 portals, 11 DBs
(3/24) New HC Huff a good one, a steal for S. Miss
(3/24) 1/2 roster is new. CB Moten (Marsh) great add
(3/24) New OC Anderson former Utah St HC.

App State's OC Vacant

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Swann (Tr)	2	4	50%	10	0	0	2.5
Billy Wiles	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)	56	335	2	6.0	23
Khalifa Keith (Tr)	21	100	1	4.8	23
Jaylon Calhoun	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dalton Stroman	20	307	5	15.4	47
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)	16	122	0	7.6	23
Kanen Hamlett	4	35	2	8.8	19
Izayah Cummings (Tr)	3	33	0	11.0	19

View App State's Full Roster

App State's DC D. J. Smith

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Arnholt	54	2	0	2	0
DJ Burks	52	3	0	0	0
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1	0
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1	0
Shawn Collins	16	3	2	4	1
Rondarius Porter (Tr)	7	1	1	0	0
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne	9	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	4
Cristian Conyer (Tr)	9	0	0	3
Ethan Johnson	22	0	1	2

Southern Miss's OC Blake Anderson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
John White	17	31	55%	240	0	3	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Matt Jones (Tr)	43	211	3	4.9	46
JQ Gray	32	106	0	3.3	19
Robert Briggs (Tr)	9	88	0	9.8	55

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Grant Page (Tr)	33	281	2	8.5	35
Kyirin Heath	15	210	2	14.0	34

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Jason Semore

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ian Foster (Tr)	48	5	0	4
Chris Jones	46	3	1	1
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0
Josh Moten (Tr)	38	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0	0
Jabari Ishmael (Tr)	22	3	2	5	1
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3
Ahmere Foster (Tr)	37	2	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Moten (Tr)	38	0	0	0	5
Ian Foster (Tr)	48	5	0	0	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3