Jackson State at Southern Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview
Jackson State logo Jackson State Tigers at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (5:00 PM EDT)
Southern Miss -13.5 (53.0) (-600)  Open: -14.0 | 52.5
Southern Miss 38 - Jackson State: 20

 
Tigers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (20 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ USM -6)
USM Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Jackson State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 Jackson State at Southern Miss+13.553.0L 20 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jackson State's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Southern Miss vs Mississippi State+11.559.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Southern Miss vs Jackson State-13.553.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Southern Miss vs App State+3.055.5W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/20 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+3.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 9/27 Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State-4.555.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Southern Miss at Georgia Southern-3.059.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/18 Southern Miss at Louisiana-4.554.5W 22 - 10UY
Sat 10/25 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-14.048.5W 49 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-6.554.5W 27 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Southern Miss vs Texas State-3.065.5L 14 - 41UN
Sat 11/22 Southern Miss at South Alabama-2.553.0L 35 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Southern Miss vs Troy-6.550.5L 18 - 28UN
Tue 12/23 Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky-3.059.0L 16 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 8, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 8, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JKST0%200%000%000%380%0%0000
USM#68 (.18)39% (104)28.839% (109)2.95 (67)12740% (91)2463.6 (80)#43 (.11)42% (64)27.443% (73)41% (64)3.94 (98)52.51.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JKST Offense120200%00000000%0%0%0%0%
USM Defense1327.427.341.5%3.942 - - - - - 52%45%43%41%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JKST Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
USM Offense1328.830.939.3%3.61.1203731272463.848%51%39%40%16%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jackson State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Southern Miss1325:312040%50%6.552.51.125.22.1329.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JKST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
USM Defense1352% (102)43% (73) - - - - .14 (93)2.98 (87)78% (112)9% (89)1.02 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JKST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
USM Offense1348% (79)39% (109)33.3126.63.818 (78).09 (77)2.95 (67)67% (99)9% (49)0.94 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JKST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
USM Defense1345% (33)41% (64) - - - - - - 21 (3).14 (22)1.5 (40)32% (67)30% (75).27 (63)8% (10)2.2 (120)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JKST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
USM Offense1351% (53)40% (91)20.431.2246.27.912.125 (33)10 (34).28 (57)1.7 (15)34% (119)30% (74).33 (57)8% (121)2.1 (45)

Jackson State's Power Ratings
Jackson State's Power Rating: NR
Jackson State's Offense Rating: NR
Jackson State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Jackson State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Jackson State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Jackson State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Jackson State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Jackson State:    Southern Miss: -2.16

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jackson State:    Southern Miss: -5.6




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -2.16  #85
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.79  #75
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 11.51  #88
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.6  #90
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Jackson State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Jackson State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 30
Jackson State 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Jackson State 28
Southern Miss 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 34
Jackson State 24

Total Points: 58
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Southern Miss38Jackson State20Southern Miss -13.5Southern Miss53.0Over
201809/01Southern Miss55Jackson State7Southern Mississippi -33Southern Miss51.0Over
200208/31Southern Miss55Jackson State7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss322 Overs
Jackson State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) JKST at (#85) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatJKSTUSM
Power RatePwrNR #85
SP+SP+NR #90
Perf GradeGradeNR #36
OffenseOffNR #76
DefenseDefNR #10
Spec TeamsSTNR #40
TalentTalNR #52
Blue ChipsBC%NR #56
Southern Miss Notes
(12/11) HC Huff left for Memphis after only one season
(12/11) Hired OC Blake Anderson at HC. Decent hire?
(10/19) Run Def suspect vs ULL, allowed 220+. Forced 3 TOs
(10/10) Beat GASO by 3 but needed 3 TOs, 12 flags. Unclear
(10/9) Punter Murley is awful. Will not change the field
(10/9) Nearly blew GASO game, outscored 28-10 but held
(9/21) OG'd La Tech 514-340 & found a way to lose?
(8/30) Outclassed by MSU, Braxton OK, we'll see
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
Southern Miss Injury Report
Jackson State on Offense
CategoryCat
JKST OffUSM Def
Perf GradePerfNR #10
SuccessSucNR #64
ExplosiveExpNR #53
PPAPPANR #43
PowerPwrNR #88
SP+SP+NR #102
Pts POPPONR #98
HavocHavNR #32
Jackson State Run Game
CategoryCat
JKST OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNR #22
Run SuccessRSucNR #73
Run ExplRExpNR #99
PPAExpNR #93
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #87
Stuff RateStuffNR #74
TackleTak -  #31
Jackson State Pass Game
CategoryCat
JKST OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNR #13
Pass SuccessPSucNR #64
Pass ExplPExlNR #40
PPAExpNR #22
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #33
F7 HavocF7NR #89
DB HavocDBNR #10
Southern Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUSM OffJKST Def
Perf GradePerf #76NR
SuccessSuc #104NR
ExplosiveExp #22NR
PPAPPA #68NR
PowerPwr #75NR
SP+SP+ #67NR
Pts POPPO #80NR
HavocHav #91NR
Southern Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffJKST Def
Run GameRun #116NR
Run SuccessRSuc #109NR
Run ExplRExp #79NR
PPAExp #77NR
Run BlockR Blk #118 -
OL YdsOLY #67NR
Stuff RateStuff #71NR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUSM OffJKST Def
Pass GamePass #35NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #91NR
Pass ExplPExl #15NR
PPAExp #57NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #45NR
F7 HavocF7 #49NR
DB HavocDB #121NR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

JKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 90°
Rematch from Week 2
Southern Miss -13.5 (53.0)
Southern Miss won vs Jackson State this year (38-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
JKST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JaCobian Morgan9215360%11791027.7
Jared Lockhart7611268%12088310.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Miller163103556.376
Donerio Davenport (Tr)10065676.636
Travis Terrell Jr.10260756.071
JaCobian Morgan4228236.735
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nathan Rembert45774717.282
Ja'Naylon Dupree31510616.551
Jameel Gardner Jr.32445213.983
Kobe Paul13208016.051

View Jackson State's Full Roster

JKST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Ivory (Tr)102110
B.J. Washington90001
Shamar Hawkins80000
Reid Pulliam70000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Taylor41131
Quincy Ivory (Tr)102110
Jaylan Ware (Tr)20000
Josh Higgins11000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Taylor41131
KJ Chisholm30001
B.J. Washington90001

USM's OC Blake Anderson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)25440064%30532487.6
Landy Lyddy345265%406237.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeffery Pittman (Tr)15669584.525
Matt Jones (Tr)8232544.017
Robert Briggs (Tr)6230414.924
Braylon Braxton (Tr)9821512.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)54683212.676
Carl Chester (Tr)30550618.352
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)24444318.550
Micah Davis (Tr)31429513.898

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones13210402
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Corey Myrick (Tr)915014
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Garrick Ponder3712540
Chris Jones13210402
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Moten (Tr)6110010
Anthony Richard271008
Ian Foster (Tr)764127