Jackson State at Southern Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview

Jackson State Tigers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (5:00 PM EDT)
Southern Miss -13.5 (53.0) (-600) Open: -14.0 | 52.5
Southern Miss 38 - Jackson State: 20

Tigers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (20 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ USM -11)
USM Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%

Golden Eagles (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)

Matchup
Schedules
JKST Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jackson State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	Jackson State at Southern Miss	+13.5	53.0	L 20 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jackson State's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Southern Miss vs Mississippi State	+11.5	59.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/6	Southern Miss vs Jackson State	-13.5	53.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Southern Miss vs App State	+3.0	55.5	W 38 - 22	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	51.5
Sat 9/27	Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State	-11
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Southern Miss at Georgia Southern	-10.5
Sat 10/18	Southern Miss at Louisiana	-3
Sat 10/25	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-18
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	-8
Sat 11/15	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+1
Sat 11/22	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+2
Sat 11/29	Southern Miss vs Troy	-5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 8, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 8, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JKST		0%	20	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM	#67 (.2)	42% (78)	31	40% (99)	2.91 (76)	117	45% (56)	234	3.76 (81)	#51 (.07)	40% (76)	25.3	47% (106)	34% (41)	3.39 (64)	59	0.7	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)		40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)		45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JKST Offense	1	20	20	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USM Defense	3	25.3	25.3	40.4%	3.39	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	47%	34%	21%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JKST Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USM Offense	3	31	31	42.4%	3.76	0.7	20	351	117	234	3.7	46%	54%	40%	45%	15%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jackson State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Southern Miss	3	27:16	20.3	46%	33%	7	59	0.7	2	5.7	3	2	33.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JKST Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
USM Defense	3	49% (64)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.29 (126)	2.99 (90)	69% (63)	8% (101)	1.16 (107)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JKST Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
USM Offense	3	46% (94)	40% (99)	32	117	3.7	3 (95)	.04 (99)	2.91 (76)	71% (67)	8% (53)	0.91 (81)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JKST Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USM Defense	3	50% (71)	34% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (2)	-.13 (11)	1.4 (37)	34% (54)	35% (108)	.37 (96)	13% (1)	2.1 (96)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JKST Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USM Offense	3	54% (43)	45% (56)	23.3	34	234	6.9	10	7 (23)	2 (60)	.36 (55)	1.6 (55)	34% (102)	35% (48)	.33 (70)	7% (115)	2 (70)

Jackson State's Power Ratings
Jackson State's Power Rating: #NR
Jackson State's Offense Rating: #NR
Jackson State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Jackson State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Jackson State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Jackson State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Jackson State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Jackson State: Southern Miss: -2.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jackson State: Southern Miss: -11.4

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Jackson State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Jackson State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 35
Jackson State 23

Total Points: 58

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Southern Miss	38	Jackson State	20	Southern Miss	Southern Miss -13.5	Southern Miss	53.0	Over
2018	09/01	Southern Miss	55	Jackson State	7	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -33	Southern Miss	51.0	Over
2002	08/31	Southern Miss	55	Jackson State	7	Southern Miss

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	3	2	2 Overs
Jackson State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#NR) Jackson State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Jackson State Highlights

Jackson State Deficiencies
Jackson State has a really bad Offense
Jackson State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	USM	JKST
OverallOver	#36	—
OffenseOff	#66	—
DefenseDef	#19	—
Special TeamsST	#23	—
PassingPass	#53	—
RushingRush	#64	—
Run BlockRBLK	#89	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#52	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#41	—
TacklingTkl	#21	—
Run DefenseR Def	#53	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#25	—
Coverage DefCov	#11	—

Rematch from Week 2
Southern Miss -13.5 (53.0)
Southern Miss won vs Jackson State this year (38-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JKST | USM
Depth Chart: JKST | USM
Rosters: JKST | USM

(#76) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.76 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Southern Miss has lost 1 straight
Southern Miss has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Southern Miss Notes
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(8/1) Def all new. 25 portals, 11 DL & 12 DBs
(8/1) Most of roster is new. Could be big turnaround
(8/1) New OC Anderson is a great OC, (Ut St HC)
(7/27) More return prod from Marshall than Marshall
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds

Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Southern Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Southern Miss Secondary is very good (#1)
Southern Miss has a great TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#105)

Jackson State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JaCobian Morgan	29	57	51%	274	0	1	4.8
Jared Lockhart	14	20	70%	257	1	1	12.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Miller	27	275	3	10.2	76
Travis Terrell Jr.	18	140	0	7.8	47
Donerio Davenport (Tr)	22	126	1	5.7	21
JaCobian Morgan	16	56	0	3.5	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Paul	7	136	0	19.4	51
Ja'Naylon Dupree	8	116	0	14.5	47
Nathan Rembert	9	97	0	10.8	22
Jameel Gardner Jr.	8	73	1	9.1	21

View Jackson State's Full Roster

Jackson State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quincy Ivory (Tr)	10	2	1	1	0
B.J. Washington	9	0	0	0	1
Shamar Hawkins	8	0	0	0	0
Kam Sallis (Tr)	7	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ashton Taylor	4	1	1	3	1
Quincy Ivory (Tr)	10	2	1	1	0
Tymon Wells	2	1	0	0	0
Josh Higgins	1	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KJ Chisholm	3	0	0	0	1
Ashton Taylor	4	1	1	3	1
B.J. Washington	9	0	0	0	1

Southern Miss's OC Blake Anderson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	68	99	69%	692	7	2	7.0
Landy Lyddy	1	2	50%	11	0	0	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeffery Pittman (Tr)	25	126	2	5.0	23
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	29	105	0	3.6	17
Robert Briggs (Tr)	18	69	1	3.8	15
Matt Jones (Tr)	15	40	0	2.7	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)	10	124	0	12.4	48
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)	5	116	0	23.2	41
Carl Chester (Tr)	8	92	0	11.5	23
Micah Davis (Tr)	8	74	3	9.3	21

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Jason Semore

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Chris Jones	30	1	2
Michael Montgomery (Tr)	27	0	1
Josh Moten (Tr)	24	0	3
Ian Foster (Tr)	23	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)	15	3	3	2
Jameer Lewis	8	2	1	0
Josh Battle (Tr)	20	2	1	0
Garrick Ponder	5	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Josh Moten (Tr)	24	0	3
Ian Foster (Tr)	23	1	3
Anthony Richard	5	1	3