Southern Miss at Georgia Southern Game Matchup

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Georgia Southern Eagles

Thursday, October 9th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Paulson Stadium - Statesboro, GA (Sun Belt)

Golden Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#67)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)

USM coming off BYE
GASO coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia Southern -7.5 (SP+ GASO -14)
Projected Score: USM: 24 - GASO: 31 (55)
GASO Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 449 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#33)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Southern Miss vs Mississippi State	+14.0	0.0
Sat 9/6	Southern Miss vs Jackson State	-15
Sat 9/13	Southern Miss vs App State	-8
Sat 9/20	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	-5
Sat 9/27	Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State	-13
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Southern Miss at Georgia Southern	+7.5
Sat 10/18	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+4.5
Sat 10/25	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	+0
Sat 11/15	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+1.5
Sat 11/22	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+8.5
Sat 11/29	Southern Miss vs Troy	+2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Georgia Southern at Fresno State	+1.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Georgia Southern at USC	+17
Sat 9/13	Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State	-18
Sat 9/20	Georgia Southern vs Maine	-20
Sat 9/27	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+8
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss	-7.5
Sat 10/18	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	-15.5
Sat 10/25	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	Georgia Southern at App State	-8
Sat 11/15	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-10
Sat 11/22	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-9
Sat 11/29	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)	15.3	40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)	37.8	45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)	28	46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)	27.6	47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	12	15.3	11	34.7%	2.75	2.4	16	284	109	175	3.2	49%	51%	40%	30%	26%
GASO Defense	13	27.6	25.8	45.5%	3.81	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	12	37.8	42.5	44.1%	4.17	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	43%	14%	.3
GASO Offense	13	28	31.3	42.9%	4.57	1.7	22	366	128	238	3.8	46%	53%	46%	40%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	12	27:22	15.5	25%	44%	6	48.3	2.4	0.8	5.4	1.7	2	26.5
Georgia Southern	13	30:09	21.8	45%	75%	5.6	48.3	1.7	1.5	4.6	1.6	1	27.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	12	49% (79)	40% (108)	34.2	109	3.2	13 (105)	.06 (103)	2.59 (126)	61% (124)	18% (133)	1 (53)
GASO Defense	13	47% (27)	47% (109)	-	-	-	-	.18 (99)	3.1 (87)	72% (60)	8% (106)	1 (79)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	12	55% (116)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.27 (129)	3.22 (101)	71% (54)	10% (80)	1.21 (131)
GASO Offense	13	46% (95)	46% (44)	33.8	128.2	3.8	24 (45)	.15 (57)	2.84 (101)	78% (36)	11% (94)	0.99 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	12	51% (55)	30% (133)	13.8	26.5	174.9	6.6	12.6	7 (130)	17 (127)	-.05 (134)	1.7 (30)	38% (130)	24% (125)	.15 (129)	8% (122)	2.1 (45)
GASO Defense	13	53% (108)	44% (102)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.28 (97)	1.5 (52)	31% (89)	32% (94)	.35 (89)	5% (100)	2 (54)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	12	45% (20)	43% (93)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.35 (114)	1.7 (114)	31% (77)	35% (114)	.51 (124)	5% (113)	2.2 (116)
GASO Offense	13	53% (39)	40% (85)	22.2	34.2	237.8	7	10.7	21 (51)	11 (72)	.23 (86)	1.5 (84)	31% (60)	33% (48)	.39 (43)	6% (65)	2 (90)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0.40 #66
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: 0.40 Georgia Southern: -1.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -17.7 Georgia Southern: -4.0

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -1.09 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 15.20 #60
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 18.38 #92
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #78
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 31
Southern Miss 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	0	0	0 Overs
Southern Miss	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#66) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.40 #66
Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126
Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Southern Miss Notes
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) RB rebuild. 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 4/5 back, 7 portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, complete rebuild. 17 portals, 11 DBs
(3/24) New HC Huff a good one, a steal for S. Miss
(3/24) 1/2 roster is new. CB Moten (Marsh) great add
(3/24) New OC Anderson former Utah St HC.

Southern Miss Ratings Matchup Georgia Southern

Power #66

#76

Off #85

#60

Def #44

#92

Talent #63

#86

SP+ #128

#78

SP+ Off #114

#63

SP+ Def #126

#95

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USM | GASO
Depth Chart: USM | GASO
Rosters: USM | GASO

(#76) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.09 #76
Offense Rating: 15.20 #60
Defense Rating: 18.38 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #95
Talent Rating: 586.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.57 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Georgia Southern Notes
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
(3/24) WR Cobb/Dallas back (2/3 LY). Have depth
(3/24) OL 4/5 back, T Williams also exp'd. Looks good
(3/24) Def not good LY, 6 portal adds. Could improve?
(3/24) Helton has bowled every year. Good job

Southern Miss's OC Blake Anderson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
John White	17	31	55%	240	0	3	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Matt Jones (Tr)	43	211	3	4.9	46
JQ Gray	32	106	0	3.3	19
Robert Briggs (Tr)	9	88	0	9.8	55

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Grant Page (Tr)	33	281	2	8.5	35
Kyirin Heath	15	210	2	14.0	34

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Jason Semore

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ian Foster (Tr)	48	5	0	4
Chris Jones	46	3	1	1
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0
Josh Moten (Tr)	38	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0	0
Jabari Ishmael (Tr)	22	3	2	5	1
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3
Ahmere Foster (Tr)	37	2	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Moten (Tr)	38	0	0	0	5
Ian Foster (Tr)	48	5	0	0	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3

Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	269	410	66%	2831	17	11	6.9
Dalen Cobb	0	3	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
OJ Arnold	62	315	3	5.1	32
JC French	118	238	2	2.0	19
David Mbadinga	58	229	3	3.9	29
Josh Dallas	4	37	1	9.3	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Dallas	46	614	6	13.3	59
Dalen Cobb	52	599	4	11.5	55
River Helms (Tr)	19	228	2	12.0	33
Marcus Sanders Jr.	9	158	1	17.6	43

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jusfin Meyers	61	3	1	1	1
Brendan Harrington (Tr)	55	1	0	1	1
Chance Gamble	48	2	0	0	7
Davon Hicks	43	1	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davion Rhodes	22	6	3	1	0
Isaac Walker	23	4	2	3	3
Jusfin Meyers	61	3	1	1	1
Jacob Ferguson	19	4	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chance Gamble	48	2	0	0	7
Tracy Hill Jr.	36	0	0	1	3
Isaac Walker	23	4	2	3	3