Southern Miss at Louisiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLouisiana logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (5:00 PM EDT)
Southern Miss -4.5 (54.5) (-198)  Open: -2.5
Southern Miss 22 - Louisiana: 10  (Sun Belt)

 
Golden Eagles (6 - 2) (5 - 2 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 25 (27 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
USM 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Southern Miss -8  (SP+ USM -9)

Projected Score: USM: 34 - ULL: 26 (59)
USM Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 178 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (3 - 6) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 24 - 29 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Southern Miss vs Mississippi State+11.559.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Southern Miss vs Jackson State-13.553.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Southern Miss vs App State+3.055.5W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/20 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+3.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 9/27 Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State-4.555.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Southern Miss at Georgia Southern-3.059.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/18 Southern Miss at Louisiana-4.554.5W 22 - 10UY
Sat 10/25 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-14.048.5W 49 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-4.556.5
Sat 11/15 Southern Miss vs Texas State-5
Sat 11/22 Southern Miss at South Alabama-9.5
Sat 11/29 Southern Miss vs Troy-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana vs Rice-14.549.5L 12 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Louisiana vs McNeese-19.050.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana at Missouri+27.547.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/20 Louisiana at Eastern Michigan-2.551.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/27 Louisiana vs Marshall+2.547.5W 54 - 51OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Louisiana at James Madison+18.544.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Louisiana vs Southern Miss+4.554.5L 10 - 22UN
Sat 10/25 Louisiana at Troy+7.047.5L 23 - 35ON
Sat 11/1 Louisiana at South Alabama+3.552.5W 31 - 22OY
Sat 11/8 Louisiana vs Texas State+3.064.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Louisiana at Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 11/29 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#75 (.17)40% (100)3339% (111)2.92 (54)15242% (71)2464.2 (41)#18 (.04)39% (32)24.643% (73)35% (15)3.76 (75)56.10.92.4
ULL#98 (.12)40% (106)24.345% (59)2.87 (62)18534% (131)1553.08 (120)#90 (.18)46% (120)29.348% (126)44% (99)3.5 (53)48.21.41.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense83326.740%4.20.922398152246454%45%39%42%15%.17
ULL Defense929.324.345.8%3.51.3 - - - - - 57%41%48%44%12%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense824.62538.7%3.762.4 - - - - - 54%45%43%35%20%.04
ULL Offense924.327.539.7%3.081.4183411851554.957%42%45%34%16%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss827:5921.839%55%6.856.10.92.46.12.8330.9
Louisiana928:2318.439%42%648.21.41.34.11.4125.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense854% (37)39% (111)38.4151.8413 (78).08 (81)2.92 (54)66% (112)8% (43)0.98 (61)
ULL Defense957% (130)48% (126) - - - - .15 (109)3.24 (126)75% (93)8% (117)0.92 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense854% (108)43% (73) - - - - .13 (95)2.54 (45)84% (129)10% (64)1.01 (91)
ULL Offense957% (21)45% (59)37.8185.34.917 (40).19 (33)2.87 (62)70% (76)11% (104)1.01 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense845% (96)42% (71)20.1302468.212.218 (33)4 (34).28 (62)1.6 (29)33% (100)29% (86).33 (65)6% (81)2.2 (18)
ULL Defense941% (6)44% (99) - - - - - - 7 (55).28 (93)1.5 (53)26% (134)27% (43).35 (101)4% (131)2.2 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense845% (24)35% (15) - - - - - - 15 (3)-.01 (6)1.5 (70)33% (53)28% (47).23 (47)10% (2)2.2 (122)
ULL Offense942% (117)34% (131)12.824.7155.46.312.28 (121)11 (119).08 (124)1.6 (42)32% (90)25% (118).14 (120)6% (63)2 (59)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 1.42  #70
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.93  #75
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 6.51  #66
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1  #70
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #66
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #76

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: 1.42   Louisiana: -8.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -1.1   Louisiana: -10.2




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -8.04  #115
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 2.33  #112
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.21  #103
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #107
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #100
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 34
Louisiana 26


Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 39
Louisiana 35

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 28
Louisiana 26

Total Points: 54
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 29.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Louisiana10Southern Miss22Southern Miss -4.5Southern Miss54.5Under
202410/05Southern Miss13Louisiana23Louisiana -17.5Southern Miss57.5Under
202311/09Louisiana31Southern Miss34Louisiana -8.5Southern Miss51.5Over
202210/27Southern Miss39Louisiana24Louisiana -2.5Southern Miss42.5Over
201612/17Louisiana21Southern Miss28Southern Mississippi -2Southern Miss57.0Under
200808/30Southern Miss51Louisiana21
200311/01Southern Miss48Louisiana3
200109/22Louisiana10Southern Miss35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana102 Overs
Southern Miss753 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 52 - 30 - 12 - 2
Road Teams5 - 33 - 22 - 21 - 0

(#70) USM at (#115) ULL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMULL
Power RatePwr #70 #115
SP+SP+ #70 #107
Perf GradeGrade #37 #122
OffenseOff #60 #120
DefenseDef #21 #113
Spec TeamsST #44 #112
TalentTal #52 #102
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #88
Southern Miss Notes
(10/19) Run Def suspect vs ULL, allowed 220+. Forced 3 TOs
(10/10) Beat GASO by 3 but needed 3 TOs, 12 flags. Unclear
(10/9) Punter Murley is awful. Will not change the field
(10/9) Nearly blew GASO game, outscored 28-10 but held
(9/21) OG'd La Tech 514-340 & found a way to lose?
(8/30) Outclassed by MSU, Braxton OK, we'll see
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(8/1) Def all new. 25 portals, 11 DL & 12 DBs
(8/1) Most of roster is new. Could be big turnaround
Southern Miss Injury Report
Louisiana Notes
(10/19) 1-4 run, can't Pass and teams know it. Killing Off
(9/20) Def allowed 400 yds to EMU? WTF the deal here?
(9/20) Pass Off bottom 10 in CFB, Def is awful.
(9/4) QB Daniel Beale (rFr) now starter this year
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
(8/1) Pot. co favs in SB West, but Def must improve
(8/1) QB W Howard (Miss) huge pickup, 5* croot.
Louisiana Injury Report
Southern Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
USM OffULL Def
Perf GradePerf #60 #113
SuccessSuc #100 #120
ExplosiveExp #39 #17
PPAPPA #75 #90
PowerPwr #75 #103
SP+SP+ #66 #110
Pts POPPO #41 #53
HavocHav #58 #130
Southern Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
USM OffULL Def
Run GameRun #101 #106
Run SuccessRSuc #111 #126
Run ExplRExp #61 #53
PPAExp #81 #109
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #126
Stuff RateStuff #57 #107
TackleTak -  #84
Southern Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
USM OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #49 #88
Pass SuccessPSuc #71 #99
Pass ExplPExl #29 #53
PPAExp #62 #93
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #20 #103
F7 HavocF7 #43 #117
DB HavocDB #81 #131
Louisiana on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatULL OffUSM Def
Perf GradePerf #120 #21
SuccessSuc #106 #32
ExplosiveExp #83 #62
PPAPPA #98 #18
PowerPwr #112 #66
SP+SP+ #100 #76
Pts POPPO #120 #75
HavocHav #83 #10
Louisiana Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #47 #53
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #73
Run ExplRExp #48 #91
PPAExp #33 #95
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLY #62 #45
Stuff RateStuff #61 #111
TackleTak -  #63
Louisiana Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatULL OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #128 #19
Pass SuccessPSuc #131 #15
Pass ExplPExl #42 #70
PPAExp #124 #6
Pass Block/RushP Blk #89 #9
F7 HavocF7 #104 #64
DB HavocDB #63 #2
Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Southern Miss 4.5 (54.5)
Southern Miss won at Louisiana this year (22-10)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Southern Miss last year (23-13)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2023 (34-31)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2022 (39-24)

  
USM's OC Blake Anderson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)15923767%19581848.3
Landy Lyddy1250%11005.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeffery Pittman (Tr)9541964.425
Matt Jones (Tr)6022943.817
Braylon Braxton (Tr)7521512.919
Robert Briggs (Tr)3718815.124
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)14302221.650
Micah Davis (Tr)19286415.198
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)25282011.348
Carl Chester (Tr)18282315.742

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones776402
Michael Montgomery (Tr)744201
Ian Foster (Tr)452125
Corey Myrick (Tr)432014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)427461
Chris Jones776402
JJ Hawkins186360
Garrick Ponder218340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Richard171007
Josh Moten (Tr)380006
Jonathan Pennix (Tr)80005

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D'Wayne' Winfield6110757%903748.4
Daniel Beale428450%385144.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zylan Perry9654375.784
Bill Davis10446934.545
D'Wayne' Winfield9145355.039
Steven Blanco2413715.734
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)19362319.145
Robert Williams17269015.844
Charles Robertson9169118.845
Dale Martin6134222.369

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger837112
Terrence Williams622100
Tyree Skipper511101
Jake St. Andre462110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Lawson357261
Jaelen Crider152210
Jaden Dugger837112
Trae Tomlinson (Tr)261120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Gordon Jr.370014
Jaden Dugger837112
Courtline Flowers423102