Southern Miss at Louisiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLouisiana logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (5:00 PM EDT)
Southern Miss -4.5 (54.5) (-198)  Open: -2.5
Southern Miss 22 - Louisiana: 10  (Sun Belt)

 
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 16.3 MPH
USM 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Southern Miss -3  (SP+ USM -3)

Projected Score: USM: 31 - ULL: 28 (60)
USM Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 178 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Southern Miss vs Mississippi State+11.559.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Southern Miss vs Jackson State-13.553.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Southern Miss vs App State+3.055.5W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/20 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+3.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 9/27 Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State-4.555.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Southern Miss at Georgia Southern-3.059.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/18 Southern Miss at Louisiana-4.554.5W 22 - 10UY
Sat 10/25 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-14.048.5W 49 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-6.554.5W 27 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Southern Miss vs Texas State-3.065.5L 14 - 41UN
Sat 11/22 Southern Miss at South Alabama-2.553.0L 35 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Southern Miss vs Troy-6.550.5L 18 - 28UN
Tue 12/23 Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky-3.059.0L 16 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana vs Rice-14.549.5L 12 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Louisiana vs McNeese-19.050.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana at Missouri+27.547.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/20 Louisiana at Eastern Michigan-2.551.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/27 Louisiana vs Marshall+2.547.5W 54 - 51OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Louisiana at James Madison+18.544.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Louisiana vs Southern Miss+4.554.5L 10 - 22UN
Sat 10/25 Louisiana at Troy+7.047.5L 23 - 35ON
Sat 11/1 Louisiana at South Alabama+3.552.5W 31 - 22OY
Sat 11/8 Louisiana vs Texas State+3.562.5W 42 - 39OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Louisiana at Arkansas State+2.554.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 11/29 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-10.547.5W 30 - 27ON
Wed 12/17 Louisiana vs Delaware-1.560.5L 13 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#68 (.18)39% (104)28.839% (109)2.95 (67)12740% (91)2463.6 (80)#43 (.11)42% (64)27.443% (73)41% (64)3.94 (98)52.51.12
ULL#101 (.12)39% (109)2642% (84)2.9 (76)18335% (128)1613.45 (93)#90 (.19)46% (124)29.248% (126)45% (109)3.33 (39)46.51.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1328.828.439.3%3.61.1203731272463.848%51%39%40%16%.18
ULL Defense1329.227.246.1%3.331.4 - - - - - 53%45%48%45%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1327.427.641.5%3.942 - - - - - 52%45%43%41%18%.11
ULL Offense132630.338.7%3.451.5193441831614.657%41%42%35%16%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1325:312040%50%6.552.51.125.22.1329.5
Louisiana1329:5818.941%55%5.946.51.51.44.51.7227.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1348% (79)39% (109)33.3126.63.818 (78).09 (77)2.95 (67)67% (99)9% (49)0.94 (79)
ULL Defense1353% (109)48% (126) - - - - .18 (115)3.29 (126)73% (80)9% (103)0.99 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1352% (102)43% (73) - - - - .14 (93)2.98 (87)78% (112)9% (89)1.02 (99)
ULL Offense1357% (22)42% (84)39.6182.94.626 (40).13 (62)2.9 (76)71% (75)11% (110)0.99 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1351% (53)40% (91)20.431.2246.27.912.125 (33)10 (34).28 (57)1.7 (15)34% (119)30% (74).33 (57)8% (121)2.1 (45)
ULL Defense1345% (29)45% (109) - - - - - - 9 (55).27 (81)1.5 (32)26% (133)28% (44).31 (75)5% (104)2.3 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1345% (33)41% (64) - - - - - - 21 (3).14 (22)1.5 (40)32% (67)30% (75).27 (63)8% (10)2.2 (120)
ULL Offense1341% (120)35% (128)14.426.2161.26.111.212 (121)14 (119).15 (115)1.6 (45)33% (108)26% (110).21 (102)5% (44)1.9 (108)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -3.72  #85
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.79  #75
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 11.51  #88
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.6  #90
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.72   Louisiana: -7.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -5.6   Louisiana: -8.7




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -7.85  #120
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 2.57  #110
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.57  #109
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #100
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #75
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 31
Louisiana 28


Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 39
Louisiana 35

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 28
Louisiana 28

Total Points: 56
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Louisiana10Southern Miss22Southern Miss -4.5Southern Miss54.5Under
202410/05Southern Miss13Louisiana23Louisiana -17.5Southern Miss57.5Under
202311/09Louisiana31Southern Miss34Louisiana -8.5Southern Miss51.5Over
202210/27Southern Miss39Louisiana24Louisiana -2.5Southern Miss42.5Over
201612/17Louisiana21Southern Miss28Southern Mississippi -2Southern Miss57.0Under
200808/30Southern Miss51Louisiana21
200311/01Southern Miss48Louisiana3
200109/22Louisiana10Southern Miss35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana102 Overs
Southern Miss753 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 52 - 30 - 12 - 2
Road Teams5 - 33 - 22 - 21 - 0

(#85) USM at (#120) ULL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMULL
Power RatePwr #85 #120
SP+SP+ #90 #100
Perf GradeGrade #36 #121
OffenseOff #76 #120
DefenseDef #10 #113
Spec TeamsST #40 #116
TalentTal #52 #102
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #88
Southern Miss Notes
(12/11) HC Huff left for Memphis after only one season
(12/11) Hired OC Blake Anderson at HC. Decent hire?
(10/19) Run Def suspect vs ULL, allowed 220+. Forced 3 TOs
(10/10) Beat GASO by 3 but needed 3 TOs, 12 flags. Unclear
(10/9) Punter Murley is awful. Will not change the field
(10/9) Nearly blew GASO game, outscored 28-10 but held
(9/21) OG'd La Tech 514-340 & found a way to lose?
(8/30) Outclassed by MSU, Braxton OK, we'll see
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
Southern Miss Injury Report
Louisiana Notes
(11/21) Was 2-6, won 3 straight to stay in bowl fight
(11/20) QB Lunch Winfield a find. Program changer?
(10/19) 1-4 run, can't Pass and teams know it. Killing Off
(9/20) Def allowed 400 yds to EMU? WTF the deal here?
(9/20) Pass Off bottom 10 in CFB, Def is awful.
(9/4) QB Daniel Beale (rFr) now starter this year
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
Louisiana Injury Report
Southern Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffULL Def
Perf GradePerf #76 #113
SuccessSuc #104 #124
ExplosiveExp #22 #37
PPAPPA #68 #90
PowerPwr #75 #109
SP+SP+ #67 #116
Pts POPPO #80 #39
HavocHav #91 #111
Southern Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffULL Def
Run GameRun #116 #111
Run SuccessRSuc #109 #126
Run ExplRExp #79 #89
PPAExp #77 #115
Run BlockR Blk #118 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #126
Stuff RateStuff #71 #106
TackleTak -  #90
Southern Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #35 #85
Pass SuccessPSuc #91 #109
Pass ExplPExl #15 #32
PPAExp #57 #81
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #45 #112
F7 HavocF7 #49 #103
DB HavocDB #121 #104
Louisiana on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatULL OffUSM Def
Perf GradePerf #120 #10
SuccessSuc #109 #64
ExplosiveExp #93 #53
PPAPPA #101 #43
PowerPwr #110 #88
SP+SP+ #75 #102
Pts POPPO #93 #98
HavocHav #79 #32
Louisiana Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #70 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #84 #73
Run ExplRExp #58 #99
PPAExp #62 #93
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLY #76 #87
Stuff RateStuff #108 #74
TackleTak -  #31
Louisiana Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatULL OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #126 #13
Pass SuccessPSuc #128 #64
Pass ExplPExl #45 #40
PPAExp #115 #22
Pass Block/RushP Blk #92 #33
F7 HavocF7 #110 #89
DB HavocDB #44 #10
Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 82° - Wind: 16 mph
Rain: 0.02
Rematch from Week 8
Southern Miss 4.5 (54.5)
Southern Miss won at Louisiana this year (22-10)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Southern Miss last year (23-13)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2023 (34-31)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2022 (39-24)

  
USM's OC Blake Anderson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)25440064%30532487.6
Landy Lyddy345265%406237.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeffery Pittman (Tr)15669584.525
Matt Jones (Tr)8232544.017
Robert Briggs (Tr)6230414.924
Braylon Braxton (Tr)9821512.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)54683212.676
Carl Chester (Tr)30550618.352
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)24444318.550
Micah Davis (Tr)31429513.898

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones13210402
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Corey Myrick (Tr)915014
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Garrick Ponder3712540
Chris Jones13210402
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Moten (Tr)6110010
Anthony Richard271008
Ian Foster (Tr)764127

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D'Wayne' Winfield12721559%15551177.2
Daniel Beale428450%385144.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis15876364.876
Zylan Perry13868985.084
D'Wayne' Winfield15266794.442
Steven Blanco3015625.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)32537616.845
Robert Williams25309012.444
Charles Robertson15250116.745
Caden Jensen2923118.040

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger12413413
Terrence Williams953100
Brent Gordon Jr.6210111
Tyree Skipper551102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Lawson5215591
Jaden Dugger12413413
Jaelen Crider254311
Cameron Whitfield302130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Gordon Jr.6210111
Courtline Flowers483104
Jaden Dugger12413413