Colorado State at New Mexico - 2025 Matchup Preview
Colorado State logo Colorado State Rams at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM  (Mountain West)

 
Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#79)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
UNM coming off BYE
Our Line: Colorado State -4.5   (SP+ CSU -10)
Projected Score: CSU: 34 - UNM: 29 (61)
CSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
CSU Travel: 389 miles
Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Colorado State at Washington+18.552.5
Sat 9/6 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Colorado State vs UTSA+8
Sat 9/27 Colorado State vs Washington State-3
Sat 10/4 Colorado State at San Diego State-0
Sat 10/11 Colorado State vs Fresno State+0.5
Sat 10/18 Colorado State vs Hawai'i-4
Sat 10/25 Colorado State at Wyoming-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Colorado State vs UNLV+2
Sat 11/15 Colorado State at New Mexico-4.5
Sat 11/22 Colorado State at Boise State+21.5
Sat 11/29 Colorado State vs Air Force-6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico at Michigan+34.552.5
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-7
Sat 9/13 New Mexico at UCLA+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-4.5
Sat 10/4 New Mexico at San José State+14
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+28.5
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-3
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-1.5
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State+4.5
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force+6
Sat 11/29 New Mexico vs San Diego State+2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)24.443% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)25.842% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)33.553% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)3850% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1324.422.442.2%3.561.2163541621924.955%45%43%41%15%.16
UNM Defense123838.850.4%4.640.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%51%14%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1325.830.642.4%41.5 - - - - - 49%51%42%43%17%.16
UNM Offense1233.537.448.9%3.831.6254852542316.752%48%53%44%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1328:4416.535%64%5.847.31.21.54.21.1227.8
New Mexico1228:5224.743%68%9.381.51.60.83.91.6126.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1355% (30)43% (80)33.4161.84.919 (73).03 (115)2.88 (96)55% (133)9% (46)0.92 (87)
UNM Defense1254% (106)50% (125) - - - - .2 (110)3.26 (103)71% (52)8% (118)0.97 (64)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1349% (51)42% (59) - - - - .1 (55)3.01 (70)69% (45)9% (91)1.02 (88)
UNM Offense1252% (55)53% (3)37.82546.737 (6).37 (1)3.81 (1)81% (20)5% (1)1.1 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1345% (102)41% (81)16.226.4191.87.311.815 (98)8 (40).31 (43)1.7 (25)32% (75)34% (37).42 (33)7% (98)2 (92)
UNM Defense1246% (30)51% (131) - - - - - - 3 (132).51 (132)1.6 (81)26% (132)38% (129).54 (129)6% (79)2.2 (118)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1351% (85)43% (94) - - - - - - 10 (66).22 (59)1.4 (16)30% (105)30% (64).27 (49)8% (22)1.9 (35)
UNM Offense1248% (77)44% (40)18.832.5230.77.112.312 (118)12 (85).24 (77)1.4 (125)27% (8)37% (11).49 (13)6% (85)1.9 (110)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -11.10 #95
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 11.27 #85
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 534.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 499.83
Average Power Five Talent: 858.6
Average FBS Talent: 681.96

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -11.10   New Mexico: -14.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -8.3   New Mexico: -18.4




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -14.2 #106
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 14.53 #63
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 29.53 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 326.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 499.83
Average Power Five Talent: 858.6
Average FBS Talent: 681.96


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 34
New Mexico 29

Projected Total Points: 61
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Colorado State17New Mexico6Colorado StateColorado State -3.5Colorado State62.0Under
202211/25Colorado State17New Mexico0Colorado StateColorado State -7.5Colorado State36.0Under
202110/16New Mexico7Colorado State36Colorado StateColorado State -13Colorado State44.5Under
201910/11New Mexico21Colorado State35Colorado StateColorado State -4Colorado State66.5Under
201810/13Colorado State20New Mexico18Colorado StateNew Mexico -1.5Colorado State63.0Under
201710/20New Mexico24Colorado State27Colorado StateColorado State -10New Mexico61.0Under
201611/19Colorado State49New Mexico31Colorado StateColorado State -5Colorado State61.5Over
201511/21New Mexico21Colorado State28Colorado StateColorado State -2Colorado State56.5Under
201411/22Colorado State58New Mexico20Colorado StateColorado State -21Colorado State0
201311/16New Mexico42Colorado State66Colorado StateColorado State -4Colorado State0
201211/24Colorado State24New Mexico20Colorado State
201109/03New Mexico10Colorado State14Colorado State
201010/30Colorado State38New Mexico14Colorado State
200911/21New Mexico29Colorado State27New Mexico
200811/15Colorado State20New Mexico6Colorado State
200711/10New Mexico26Colorado State23New Mexico
200610/28Colorado State19New Mexico20New Mexico
200510/28New Mexico25Colorado State35Colorado State
200410/30Colorado State17New Mexico26New Mexico
200311/07New Mexico37Colorado State34New Mexico
200111/17New Mexico17Colorado State24Colorado State
200010/06Colorado State17New Mexico14Colorado State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico511 Overs
Colorado State1797 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 106 - 44 - 02 - 4
Road Teams10 - 124 - 64 - 20 - 4

(#95) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.10 #95
Offense Rating: 11.27 #85
Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98
Talent Rating: 534.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Colorado State Notes
(4/29) WR rebuild, so far not much here. TE decent
(3/24) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG+. Depth inexp'd
(3/24) RB Marshall good #2 LY. Depth looks v light
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 8 portal adds
(3/24) New DC Summers from WKU (DC), HC exp
Colorado State     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico
Power #95
#106
Off #85
#63
Def #106
#134
Talent #100
#129
SP+ #97
#130
SP+ Off #95
#97
SP+ Def #98
#134

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat New Mexico last year (17-6)
Colorado State beat New Mexico in 2022 (17-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CSU | UNM
Depth Chart: CSU | UNM
Rosters: CSU | UNM
(#106) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.2 #106
Offense Rating: 14.53 #63
Defense Rating: 29.53 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134
Talent Rating: 326.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


New Mexico Notes
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
(3/26) New HC Eck was 26-13 @ Idaho, good off
(3/26) New OC Schleusner w/ Eck @ Idaho
(3/18) QB Jack Layne (FCS Idaho) starter?


  
Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi22737461%27551487.4
Jackson Brousseau3650%15012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Marshall15676744.942
Lloyd Avant (Tr)7625913.416
Keegan Holles159716.518
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi438041.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Armani Winfield3834129.062
Petey Tucker (Tr)30324010.829
Jordan Ross15218114.536
Tommy Maher499124.853

View Colorado State's Full Roster
Colorado State's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long441002
Jacob Ellis (Tr)415120
Ayden Hector405206
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
Ayden Hector405206
Kennedy McDowell82220
Jacob Ellis (Tr)415120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Hector405206
Dylan Phelps240004
Jahari Rogers (Tr)30003

New Mexico's OC Luke Schleusner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)8313263%11591148.8
Cole Welliver (Tr)2450%10002.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)1881291156.979
Deshaun Buchanan (Tr)6050648.472
DJ McKinney (Tr)9547935.059
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters2212415.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keagan Johnson (Tr)29359112.435
Michael Buckley8103012.918
Aiden Valdez (Tr)109039.037
DJ McKinney (Tr)117907.216

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randolph Kpai805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Austin Brawley (Tr)382002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)106500
Dmitri Johnson775212
Randolph Kpai805153
Xavier Slayton (Tr)52100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Randolph Kpai805153
Austin Brawley (Tr)382002