New Mexico at UCLA - 2025 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at UCLA BruinsUCLA logo
Friday, September 12th 2025 (10:00 PM EDT)
UCLA -15.5 (52.5) (-675)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 35 - UCLA: 10

 
Lobos (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (26 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: UCLA -10.5   (SP+ UCLA -8)
Projected Score: UNM: 20 - UCLA: 31 (51)
UCLA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UNM Travel: 659 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bruins (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (10 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0.8 - 11.2 (#136)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico at Michigan+36.552.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-17.560.0W 32 - 22UN
Fri 9/12 New Mexico at UCLA+15.552.5W 35 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2
Sat 10/4 New Mexico at San José State+8
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+22
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-4.5
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-0.5
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State+5
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force+4.5
Sat 11/29 New Mexico vs San Diego State+7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
UCLA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCLA vs Utah+6.550.5L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/6 UCLA at UNLV-2.554.5L 23 - 30UN
Fri 9/12 UCLA vs New Mexico-15.552.5L 10 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 UCLA vs Northwestern+8.5
Sat 10/4 UCLA vs Penn State+34.5
Sat 10/11 UCLA at Michigan State+17.5
Sat 10/18 UCLA vs Maryland+14.5
Sat 10/25 UCLA at Indiana+29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 UCLA vs Nebraska+21.5
Sat 11/15 UCLA at Ohio State+39
Sat 11/22 UCLA vs Washington+20.5
Sat 11/29 UCLA at USC+35

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#118 (.07)38% (108)2836% (114)2.89 (79)18941% (90)1753.73 (83)#71 (.14)43% (98)2248% (111)41% (72)2.77 (43)15.721
UCLA#69 (.2)43% (70)14.343% (81)3.27 (38)12244% (62)2033.67 (86)#129 (.4)57% (134)3655% (131)61% (136)5.62 (133)91.71.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)34% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)45% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense3282637.8%3.732213631891755.147%51%36%41%14%.07
UCLA Defense3363957.4%5.620.7 - - - - - 60%40%55%61%7%.4
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense3222243.4%2.771 - - - - - 47%51%48%41%9%.14
UCLA Offense314.31043.4%3.671.3193251222034.643%56%43%44%15%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico333:032141%50%2.315.7212.70.7031.7
UCLA325:4618.723%70%1091.71.30.71.70.7024.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense347% (87)36% (114)37.3188.75.17 (38).14 (69)2.89 (79)70% (79)9% (73)0.99 (59)
UCLA Defense360% (123)55% (131) - - - - .24 (116)3.51 (129)92% (124)5% (130)0.77 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense347% (51)48% (111) - - - - .1 (84)2.9 (82)94% (126)6% (121)0.73 (20)
UCLA Offense343% (106)43% (81)26.71224.61 (127).3 (30)3.27 (38)53% (123)9% (76)1.38 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense351% (56)41% (90)1928.7174.76.19.24 (72)3 (92).11 (114)1.2 (124)31% (70)25% (107).19 (104)5% (68)1.8 (102)
UCLA Defense340% (14)61% (136) - - - - - - 0.62 (131)1.4 (35)20% (135)44% (130).5 (114)2% (136)1.3 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense351% (77)41% (72) - - - - - - 2 (56).35 (108)1.5 (56)32% (80)27% (57).53 (116)3% (131)2.6 (127)
UCLA Offense356% (30)44% (62)20.732.3202.76.39.83 (90)3 (92).19 (94)1.2 (127)25% (22)32% (64).08 (119)6% (86)1.5 (124)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -16.34 #121
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 3.17 #112
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.51 #117
2025 Talent Rating: 394.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -16.34   UCLA: -3.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -13.0   UCLA: -4.6




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: -3.96 #102
UCLA's Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
UCLA's Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCLA 31
New Mexico 20


Total Points: 51

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 10
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense at Home: 39

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/12UCLA10New Mexico35New MexicoUCLA -15.5New Mexico52.5Under
200212/25New Mexico13UCLA27UCLA
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA100 Overs
New Mexico111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#121) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -16.34 #121
Offense Rating: 3.17 #112
Defense Rating: 19.51 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #128
Talent Rating: 394.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 2.77 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

New Mexico has won 1 straight
New Mexico has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

New Mexico Notes
(9/13) HC Jason Eck incredible job, P4 bound soon
(8/1) Slow paced, run heavy 2/1 run ratio Offense
(8/1) Off will struggle bad, won't mask an awful Def
(8/1) Year 0, this roster is awful & FCS heavy
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle

New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)

New Mexico defense does not give up big plays (#30)
New Mexico commits very few Penalties (#1)

New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico has a bad TO Margin (#116)
New Mexico Fumbles a Lot (#113)
New Mexico offense is really bad (#108)
New Mexico offense is not Explosive (#111)
New Mexico run game is really bad (#114)
New Mexico does not Sack the QB (#122)
New Mexico Does Not Stuff Runs (#100)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUCLAUNM
OverallOver#94#50
OffenseOff#93#75
DefenseDef#96#34
Special TeamsST#75#24
PassingPass#46#41
RushingRush#73#50
Run BlockRBLK#92#60
Pass BlockPBLK#114#94
Route RunningWR Rt#73#93
TacklingTkl#92#51
Run DefenseR Def#83#33
Pass Rush DefPRush#86#23
Coverage DefCov#108#60

Rematch from Week 3
UCLA -15.5 (52.5)
New Mexico won at UCLA this year (35-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | UCLA
Depth Chart: UNM | UCLA
Rosters: UNM | UCLA
(#102) UCLA Info
Power Rating: -3.96 #102
Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #37
Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 57%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Awful Pass Def Success 61%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UCLA has lost 2 straight
UCLA has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

UCLA Notes
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
(9/13) 1st team on quit watch. 0-12 very much in play
(9/8) QB2 Clarkson arrested (9/8) serious charges
(8/27) Def lost top 11 tacklers and every DB starter
(8/22) Off will score points, but Def looks really meh
(8/22) New OC Sunseri (IU) a massive upgrade
(8/21) WR Kaedin Robinson ruled ineligible, big blow?
(6/6) WR 3 portals + Gilmer & Atimalala. Stock up
(6/6) DB added 9 portals. Will find CBs with sheer #'s

UCLA Highlights
UCLA defense does not give up big plays (#15)
UCLA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

UCLA Deficiencies
UCLA has a really bad Offense
UCLA has a really bad Offense at Home
UCLA Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
UCLA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
UCLA offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UCLA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UCLA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UCLA does not Sack the QB (#122)
UCLA has a bad defense (#134)
UCLA Does Not Stuff Runs (#134)
UCLA has a bad defensive line (#129)
UCLA has a bad red zone defense (#133)


  
New Mexico's OC Luke Schleusner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)568467%515336.1
DJ McKinney (Tr)11100%9109.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)3422236.561
Damon Bankston (Tr)2520028.054
DJ McKinney (Tr)3013914.617
James Laubstein5501.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dorian Thomas (Tr)1816829.325
Damon Bankston (Tr)8125115.655
Michael Buckley453013.325
Keagan Johnson (Tr)84605.814

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxton Eck (Tr)340011
Tavian Combs160000
Caleb Coleman (Tr)150000
David Scott-Murphy122000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brett Karhu72110
Xavier Slayton (Tr)101100
Gabriel Lopez21110
Landon Williams10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Speech40002
Jaxton Eck (Tr)340011
Jon Johnson70001

UCLA's OC Tino Sunseri
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)629764%608336.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)3013914.630
Anthony Woods (Tr)2111705.633
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)167404.632
Jalen Berger133602.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kwazi Gilmer16174010.921
Mikey Matthews (Tr)10123012.332
Anthony Woods (Tr)109119.119
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala557111.415

View UCLA's Full Roster
UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)372010
JonJon Vaughns351000
Key Lawrence (Tr)190010
Cole Martin (Tr)170002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kechaun Bennett (Tr)91110
Anthony Jones (Tr)82100
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)372010
A.J. Fuimaono40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Martin (Tr)170002
Kanye Clark70001
Rodrick Pleasant (Tr)70001