New Mexico at UCLA - 2025 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at UCLA BruinsUCLA logo
Friday, September 12th 2025 (10:00 PM EDT)
UCLA -15.5 (52.5) (-675)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 35 - UCLA: 10

 
Lobos (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: New Mexico -0  (SP+ UNM -10.5)
Projected Score: UNM: 26 - UCLA: 26 (51)
UCLA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UNM Travel: 659 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bruins (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico at Michigan+36.552.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-17.560.0W 32 - 22UN
Fri 9/12 New Mexico at UCLA+15.552.5W 35 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-16.553.5W 38 - 20OY
Fri 10/3 New Mexico at San José State+1.558.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+14.558.5L 25 - 41ON
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-14.049.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-3.061.5W 33 - 14UY
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+3.561.5W 40 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State-15.553.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force-3.553.5W 20 - 3UY
Fri 11/28 New Mexico vs San Diego State+1.541.5W 23 - 17UY
Fri 12/26 New Mexico vs Minnesota+1.544.5L 17 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
UCLA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCLA vs Utah+6.550.5L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/6 UCLA at UNLV-2.554.5L 23 - 30UN
Fri 9/12 UCLA vs New Mexico-15.552.5L 10 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 UCLA at Northwestern+6.045.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 10/4 UCLA vs Penn State+24.548.5W 42 - 37OY
Sat 10/11 UCLA at Michigan State+7.051.5W 38 - 13UY
Sat 10/18 UCLA vs Maryland-3.552.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/25 UCLA at Indiana+26.553.5L 6 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 UCLA vs Nebraska-1.545.5L 21 - 28ON
Sat 11/15 UCLA at Ohio State+33.546.5L 10 - 48ON
Sat 11/22 UCLA vs Washington+10.551.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 11/29 UCLA at USC+21.059.0L 10 - 29UY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#65 (.18)42% (76)27.143% (78)3.15 (33)14342% (71)1983.96 (44)#48 (.11)40% (51)22.340% (49)40% (59)3.12 (25)44.61.71.2
UCLA#97 (.12)42% (75)18.245% (55)3.06 (45)14040% (95)1802.98 (124)#122 (.25)50% (135)33.453% (135)48% (127)4.61 (133)65.51.10.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)34% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)45% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1327.127.541.8%3.961.7183411431984.453%45%43%42%14%.18
UCLA Defense1233.434.750.3%4.610.8 - - - - - 54%45%53%48%12%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1322.326.340%3.121.2 - - - - - 47%52%40%40%17%.11
UCLA Offense1218.219.541.9%2.981.1173201401804.547%51%45%40%16%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1327:4318.139%67%5.344.61.71.25.62.5228.4
UCLA1229:1117.337%48%7.565.51.10.83.30.8026.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1353% (42)43% (78)32.8143.54.422 (49).14 (54)3.15 (33)75% (47)9% (69)0.99 (59)
UCLA Defense1254% (116)53% (135) - - - - .23 (131)3.32 (128)79% (118)7% (132)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1347% (36)40% (49) - - - - .04 (36)2.63 (21)83% (128)11% (33)0.97 (73)
UCLA Offense1247% (89)45% (55)31.3139.64.58 (107).21 (22)3.06 (45)65% (112)9% (64)1.05 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1345% (97)42% (71)16.324.8198812.117 (61)9 (119).27 (62)1.6 (53)30% (51)30% (72).33 (61)5% (22)1.9 (110)
UCLA Defense1245% (23)48% (127) - - - - - - 4 (132).33 (106)1.4 (15)26% (135)40% (135).45 (129)5% (95)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1352% (106)40% (59) - - - - - - 9 (100).24 (63)1.5 (41)34% (33)28% (45).27 (60)6% (54)1.9 (39)
UCLA Offense1251% (48)40% (95)19.130.1180.369.515 (75)7 (60).09 (126)1.3 (136)32% (75)32% (49).28 (80)7% (94)1.9 (98)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.08  #88
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 4.25  #98
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 9.33  #76
2025 Talent Rating: 394.00  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #66
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #69
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #66

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.08   UCLA: -1.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: 1.2   UCLA: -9.5




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: -1.945  #68
UCLA's Offense Rating: 11.71  #54
UCLA's Defense Rating: 11.10  #84
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12  #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5  #104
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9  #106
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #96

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 26
UCLA 26


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico 25
UCLA 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico 31
UCLA 21

Total Points: 52
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/12UCLA10New Mexico35UCLA -15.5New Mexico52.5Under
200212/25New Mexico13UCLA27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA100 Overs
New Mexico111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#88) UNM at (#68) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMUCLA
Power RatePwr #88 #68
SP+SP+ #66 #104
Perf GradeGrade #49 #120
OffenseOff #77 #109
DefenseDef #29 #123
Spec TeamsST #58 #41
TalentTal #127 #54
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #37
New Mexico Notes
(9/23) DE Keyshawn James-Newby great add (Idaho)
(9/13) Run Off mauled UCLA, impressive. Tough team
(9/13) HC Jason Eck incredible job, P4 bound soon
(8/1) Slow paced, run heavy 2/1 run ratio Offense
(8/1) Off will struggle bad, won't mask an awful Def
(8/1) Year 0, this roster is awful & FCS heavy
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
New Mexico Injury Report
UCLA Notes
(12/1) Hired Bob Chesney (JMU), a great hire for UCLA
(11/15) QB1 Nico out vs Ohio St (Concussion)
(10/15) No one left via portal after Foster firing, incredible
(10/12) Back 2 back wins, but Sparty is truly awful esp Def
(10/6) 1st time OC Jerry Neuheisel a revelation, great game
(10/4) Incredible effort, unreal W vs Penn St. Nico 5 TD's
(10/4) OG'd PSU by 100, held ball 40 mins, Run Def good
(9/30) Two score underdogs or more in every game forward
(9/30) OC Sunseri fired 4 games in, Jerry Neuheisel Int
(9/14) HC Foster fired, SA Tim Skipper interim HC
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
UCLA Injury Report
New Mexico on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffUCLA Def
Perf GradePerf #77 #123
SuccessSuc #76 #135
ExplosiveExp #56 #9
PPAPPA #65 #122
PowerPwr #98 #84
SP+SP+ #69 #96
Pts POPPO #44 #133
HavocHav #44 #130
New Mexico Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #107 #107
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #135
Run ExplRExp #59 #30
PPAExp #54 #131
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLY #33 #128
Stuff RateStuff #12 #129
TackleTak -  #64
New Mexico Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #24 #111
Pass SuccessPSuc #71 #127
Pass ExplPExl #53 #15
PPAExp #62 #106
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #114 #136
F7 HavocF7 #69 #132
DB HavocDB #22 #95
UCLA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUCLA OffUNM Def
Perf GradePerf #109 #29
SuccessSuc #75 #51
ExplosiveExp #117 #58
PPAPPA #97 #48
PowerPwr #54 #76
SP+SP+ #106 #66
Pts POPPO #124 #25
HavocHav #76 #40
UCLA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUNM Def
Run GameRun #62 #25
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #49
Run ExplRExp #36 #73
PPAExp #22 #36
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLY #45 #21
Stuff RateStuff #76 #17
TackleTak -  #41
UCLA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUCLA OffUNM Def
Pass GamePass #84 #60
Pass SuccessPSuc #95 #59
Pass ExplPExl #136 #41
PPAExp #126 #63
Pass Block/RushP Blk #80 #11
F7 HavocF7 #64 #33
DB HavocDB #94 #54
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72°
Rematch from Week 3
UCLA -15.5 (52.5)
New Mexico won at UCLA this year (35-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)19930266%23981397.9
James Laubstein101471%96206.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damon Bankston (Tr)10457855.654
DJ McKinney (Tr)10945474.254
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)7734954.561
James Laubstein4430617.058
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keagan Johnson (Tr)55712312.980
Dorian Thomas (Tr)53545410.334
Damon Bankston (Tr)26374314.484
Cade Keith (Tr)20253312.745

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxton Eck (Tr)1267232
Tavian Combs681103
Jon Johnson500005
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)4813855
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)4813855
Brett Karhu2611751
Darren Agu (Tr)294221
Gabriel Lopez146211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Speech90007
Jon Johnson500005
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)4813855

UCLA's OC Jerry Neuheisel (Int) (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)20832364%19281376.0
Luke Duncan213462%235206.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)11250544.552
Jalen Berger8136424.524
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)8230613.732
Anthony Woods (Tr)6329404.733
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kwazi Gilmer50535410.743
Mikey Matthews (Tr)33348210.537
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala25322312.934
Rico Flores26274010.551

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Kevin Coyle (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JonJon Vaughns1076101
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)843011
Key Lawrence (Tr)704011
Cole Martin (Tr)654003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Woods475203
Anthony Jones (Tr)203241
JonJon Vaughns1076101
Kechaun Bennett (Tr)233110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Jordan1900010
Rodrick Pleasant (Tr)362007
Cole Martin (Tr)654003