New Mexico at UCLA - 2025 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at UCLA BruinsUCLA logo
Friday, September 12th 2025 (10:00 PM EDT)
UCLA -15.5 (52.5) (-675)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 35 - UCLA: 10

 
Lobos (6 - 3) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (29 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: UCLA -8  (SP+ UCLA -0)
Projected Score: UNM: 22 - UCLA: 30 (53)
UCLA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UNM Travel: 659 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bruins (3 - 5) (3 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 31 (21 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico at Michigan+36.552.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-17.560.0W 32 - 22UN
Fri 9/12 New Mexico at UCLA+15.552.5W 35 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-16.553.5W 38 - 20OY
Fri 10/3 New Mexico at San José State+1.558.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+14.558.5L 25 - 41ON
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-14.049.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-3.061.5W 33 - 14UY
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+3.561.5W 40 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State-5
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force+1
Fri 11/28 New Mexico vs San Diego State+11

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
UCLA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCLA vs Utah+6.550.5L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/6 UCLA at UNLV-2.554.5L 23 - 30UN
Fri 9/12 UCLA vs New Mexico-15.552.5L 10 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 UCLA at Northwestern+6.045.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 10/4 UCLA vs Penn State+24.548.5W 42 - 37OY
Sat 10/11 UCLA at Michigan State+7.051.5W 38 - 13UY
Sat 10/18 UCLA vs Maryland-3.552.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/25 UCLA at Indiana+26.553.5L 6 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 UCLA vs Nebraska-1.545.5
Sat 11/15 UCLA at Ohio State+30.5
Sat 11/22 UCLA vs Washington+15.5
Sat 11/29 UCLA at USC+22

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#47 (.21)43% (68)30.242% (87)3.05 (41)15445% (45)2354.29 (38)#87 (.17)41% (69)25.941% (55)43% (87)3.51 (56)47.11.90.9
UCLA#85 (.15)44% (53)20.447% (38)3.03 (43)16243% (66)1843.2 (115)#101 (.2)48% (131)3151% (132)45% (111)4.71 (133)74.61.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)34% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)45% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense930.22942.7%4.291.9213901542354.552%46%42%45%13%.21
UCLA Defense8313348.4%4.711 - - - - - 56%44%51%45%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense925.93141.2%3.510.9 - - - - - 45%54%41%43%16%.17
UCLA Offense820.420.544.1%3.21.3193461621844.949%50%47%43%16%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico930:2320.740%67%5.947.11.90.95.62.3227.8
UCLA829:3118.637%62%8.474.61.313.30.8026.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense952% (51)42% (87)34.7154.44.516 (49).12 (61)3.05 (41)76% (40)8% (38)0.96 (68)
UCLA Defense856% (123)51% (132) - - - - .18 (118)3.3 (131)77% (107)7% (128)0.84 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense945% (17)41% (55) - - - - .06 (53)2.68 (61)88% (133)10% (60)0.94 (60)
UCLA Offense849% (73)47% (38)331624.97 (107).25 (12)3.03 (43)70% (76)9% (62)1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense946% (92)45% (45)19.428.6235.18.212.116 (61)9 (119).34 (44)1.5 (61)29% (32)32% (55).38 (49)5% (45)1.9 (100)
UCLA Defense844% (18)45% (111) - - - - - - 3 (132).24 (75)1.3 (9)26% (136)39% (134).39 (113)6% (59)1.7 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense954% (115)43% (87) - - - - - - 4 (100).33 (108)1.5 (68)33% (48)30% (71).4 (114)6% (77)2 (79)
UCLA Offense850% (64)43% (66)18.529.5183.56.29.910 (75)7 (60).12 (120)1.2 (135)30% (53)31% (63).18 (108)7% (111)1.8 (106)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -6.00  #96
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 6.73  #84
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 12.73  #98
2025 Talent Rating: 394.00  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #81
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #62
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -6.00   UCLA: 3.44

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -3.0   UCLA: -2.6




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 3.44  #57
UCLA's Offense Rating: 13.48  #47
UCLA's Defense Rating: 9.00  #82
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12  #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #79
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #74
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCLA 30
New Mexico 22


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico 26
UCLA 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico 31
UCLA 24

Total Points: 55
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.5
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/12UCLA10New Mexico35UCLA -15.5New Mexico52.5Under
200212/25New Mexico13UCLA27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA100 Overs
New Mexico111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#96) UNM at (#57) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMUCLA
Power RatePwr #96 #57
SP+SP+ #81 #79
Perf GradeGrade #52 #90
OffenseOff #69 #85
DefenseDef #32 #100
Spec TeamsST #63 #69
TalentTal #127 #54
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #37
New Mexico Notes
(9/23) DE Keyshawn James-Newby great add (Idaho)
(9/13) Run Off mauled UCLA, impressive. Tough team
(9/13) HC Jason Eck incredible job, P4 bound soon
(8/1) Slow paced, run heavy 2/1 run ratio Offense
(8/1) Off will struggle bad, won't mask an awful Def
(8/1) Year 0, this roster is awful & FCS heavy
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
New Mexico Injury Report
UCLA Notes
(10/15) No one left via portal after Foster firing, incredible
(10/12) Back 2 back wins, but Sparty is truly awful esp Def
(10/6) 1st time OC Jerry Neuheisel a revelation, great game
(10/4) Incredible effort, unreal W vs Penn St. Nico 5 TD's
(10/4) OG'd PSU by 100, held ball 40 mins, Run Def good
(9/30) Two score underdogs or more in every game forward
(9/30) OC Sunseri fired 4 games in, Jerry Neuheisel Int
(9/14) HC Foster fired, SA Tim Skipper interim HC
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
(9/13) 1st team on quit watch. 0-12 very much in play
(9/8) QB2 Clarkson arrested (9/8) serious charges
UCLA Injury Report
New Mexico on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffUCLA Def
Perf GradePerf #69 #100
SuccessSuc #68 #131
ExplosiveExp #61 #2
PPAPPA #47 #101
PowerPwr #84 #82
SP+SP+ #62 #81
Pts POPPO #38 #133
HavocHav #34 #115
New Mexico Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #84 #74
Run SuccessRSuc #87 #132
Run ExplRExp #68 #21
PPAExp #61 #118
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLY #41 #131
Stuff RateStuff #16 #131
TackleTak -  #39
New Mexico Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #10 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #45 #111
Pass ExplPExl #61 #9
PPAExp #44 #75
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #104 #136
F7 HavocF7 #38 #128
DB HavocDB #45 #59
UCLA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUCLA OffUNM Def
Perf GradePerf #85 #32
SuccessSuc #53 #69
ExplosiveExp #116 #78
PPAPPA #85 #87
PowerPwr #47 #98
SP+SP+ #74 #104
Pts POPPO #115 #56
HavocHav #85 #72
UCLA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUNM Def
Run GameRun #30 #25
Run SuccessRSuc #38 #55
Run ExplRExp #27 #60
PPAExp #12 #53
Run BlockR Blk #78 -
OL YdsOLY #43 #61
Stuff RateStuff #72 #33
TackleTak -  #44
UCLA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUCLA OffUNM Def
Pass GamePass #82 #66
Pass SuccessPSuc #66 #87
Pass ExplPExl #135 #68
PPAExp #120 #108
Pass Block/RushP Blk #89 #29
F7 HavocF7 #62 #60
DB HavocDB #111 #77
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72°
Rematch from Week 3
UCLA -15.5 (52.5)
New Mexico won at UCLA this year (35-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)16223768%19401298.2
James Laubstein101471%96206.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damon Bankston (Tr)7541845.654
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)7534754.661
DJ McKinney (Tr)7431354.224
James Laubstein2619207.458
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keagan Johnson (Tr)43555312.980
Dorian Thomas (Tr)43452410.534
Damon Bankston (Tr)20323316.284
Cade Keith (Tr)19228212.045

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxton Eck (Tr)954122
Tavian Combs450002
Jon Johnson370003
Frankie Edwards (Tr)361000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)348644
Brett Karhu208440
Gabriel Lopez125210
Xavier Slayton (Tr)193200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Speech80006
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)348644
Jon Johnson370003

UCLA's OC Jerry Neuheisel (Int) (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)14823463%14681076.3
Mikey Matthews (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)8138844.852
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)6125014.132
Jalen Berger5924914.224
Anthony Woods (Tr)4422105.033
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kwazi Gilmer31382212.343
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala18240313.334
Mikey Matthews (Tr)17223113.137
Rico Flores1716009.422

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Kevin Coyle (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JonJon Vaughns793001
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)652011
Cole Martin (Tr)473003
Key Lawrence (Tr)462011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Jones (Tr)173221
Kechaun Bennett (Tr)193110
Devin Aupiu141110
Jacob Busic123100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rodrick Pleasant (Tr)302007
Andre Jordan100006
Cole Martin (Tr)473003