Idaho State at New Mexico - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -17.5 (60.0) (-900) Open: -15.5 | 63.5
New Mexico 32 - Idaho State: 22

Bengals (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (27 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
IDST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: New Mexico -0.5 (SP+ UNM -1)
UNM Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%

Lobos (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
IDST Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Idaho State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Idaho State at UNLV	+30.5	67.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Idaho State at New Mexico	+17.5	60.0	L 22 - 32	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Idaho State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	New Mexico at Michigan	+36.5	52.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/6	New Mexico vs Idaho State	-17.5	60.0	W 32 - 22	U	N
Fri 9/12	New Mexico at UCLA	+15.5	52.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-16.5	53.5	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Fri 10/3	New Mexico at San José State	+1.5	58.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/11	New Mexico at Boise State	+14.5	58.5	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/18	New Mexico vs Nevada	-14.0	49.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/25	New Mexico vs Utah State	-3.0	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/1	New Mexico at UNLV	+3.5	61.5	W 40 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	New Mexico vs Colorado State	-15.5	53.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/22	New Mexico at Air Force	-3.5	53.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/28	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+1.5	41.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/26	New Mexico vs Minnesota	+1.5	44.5	L 17 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IDST		0%	26.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	35	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM	#65 (.18)	42% (76)	27.1	43% (78)	3.15 (33)	143	42% (71)	198	3.96 (44)	#48 (.11)	40% (51)	22.3	40% (49)	40% (59)	3.12 (25)	44.6	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IDST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IDST Offense	2	26.5	26.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UNM Defense	13	22.3	18.7	40%	3.12	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	40%	40%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IDST Defense	2	35	35	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UNM Offense	13	27.1	28.3	41.8%	3.96	1.7	18	341	143	198	4.4	53%	45%	43%	42%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Idaho State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
New Mexico	13	27:43	18.1	39%	67%	5.3	44.6	1.7	1.2	5.6	2.5	2	28.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IDST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
UNM Defense	13	47% (36)	40% (49)	-	-	-	-	.04 (36)	2.63 (21)	83% (128)	11% (33)	0.97 (73)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IDST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
UNM Offense	13	53% (42)	43% (78)	32.8	143.5	4.4	22 (49)	.14 (54)	3.15 (33)	75% (47)	9% (69)	0.99 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IDST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UNM Defense	13	52% (106)	40% (59)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (100)	.24 (63)	1.5 (41)	34% (33)	28% (45)	.27 (60)	6% (54)	1.9 (39)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IDST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UNM Offense	13	45% (97)	42% (71)	16.3	24.8	198	8	12.1	17 (61)	9 (119)	.27 (62)	1.6 (53)	30% (51)	30% (72)	.33 (61)	5% (22)	1.9 (110)

Idaho State's Power Ratings
Idaho State's Power Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Idaho State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Idaho State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Idaho State: New Mexico: 0.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Idaho State: New Mexico: 1.2

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: 0.56 #88
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 4.25 #98
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 9.33 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 394.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #69
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #66

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Idaho State Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Idaho State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 31
Idaho State 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico 40
Idaho State 29

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico 31
Idaho State 23

Total Points: 54

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	New Mexico	32	Idaho State	22	New Mexico -17.5	Idaho State	60.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	1	0	0 Overs
Idaho State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) IDST at (#88) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IDST	UNM
Power RatePwr	NR	#88
SP+SP+	NR	#66
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#49
OffenseOff	NR	#77
DefenseDef	NR	#29
Spec TeamsST	NR	#58
TalentTal	NR	#127
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#79

Idaho State Injury Report

New Mexico Notes(9/23) DE Keyshawn James-Newby great add (Idaho)
(9/13) Run Off mauled UCLA, impressive. Tough team
(9/13) HC Jason Eck incredible job, P4 bound soon
(8/1) Slow paced, run heavy 2/1 run ratio Offense
(8/1) Off will struggle bad, won't mask an awful Def
(8/1) Year 0, this roster is awful & FCS heavy
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
New Mexico Injury Report

Idaho State on Offense


CategoryCat	IDST Off	UNM Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	#51
ExplosiveExp	NR	#58
PPAPPA	NR	#48
PowerPwr	NR	#76
SP+SP+	NR	#66
Pts POPPO	NR	#25
HavocHav	NR	#40

Idaho State Run Game


CategoryCat	IDST Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	NR	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#49
Run ExplRExp	NR	#73
PPAExp	NR	#36
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#21
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#17
TackleTak	-	#41

Idaho State Pass Game


CategoryCat	IDST Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#60
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#59
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#41
PPAExp	NR	#63
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#11
F7 HavocF7	NR	#33
DB HavocDB	NR	#54

New Mexico on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	IDST Def
Perf GradePerf	#77	NR
SuccessSuc	#76	NR
ExplosiveExp	#56	NR
PPAPPA	#65	NR
PowerPwr	#98	NR
SP+SP+	#69	NR
Pts POPPO	#44	NR
HavocHav	#44	NR

New Mexico Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	IDST Def
Run GameRun	#107	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#78	NR
Run ExplRExp	#59	NR
PPAExp	#54	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	#33	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#12	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	UNM Off	IDST Def
Pass GamePass	#24	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#53	NR
PPAExp	#62	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#114	NR
F7 HavocF7	#69	NR
DB HavocDB	#22	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

IDST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 74° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 2
New Mexico -17.5 (60.0)
New Mexico won vs Idaho State this year (32-22)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

IDST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Gonzalez	1	2	50%	2	0	0	1.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dason Brooks	157	1007	10	6.4	57
Robert Freeman IV (Tr)	4	40	0	10.0	30
Zack Homan (Tr)	4	20	0	5.0	10
Jonah Burton (Tr)	3	15	0	5.0	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tsion Nunnally	63	845	6	13.4	69
Jonah Burton (Tr)	21	233	0	11.1	40
Julian Mason	12	154	1	12.8	30
Aidan Garcia	6	73	1	12.2	17

View Idaho State's Full Roster

IDST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Teilor Tuioti	21	0	0
Gabe Tahir (Tr)	9	0	1
Jayden Bell	5	1	0
Davion Ross	4	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Cam'ron Willis	4	3	1	0
Teilor Tuioti	21	0	0	0
Gabe Tahir (Tr)	9	0	0	1
Jayden Bell	5	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Gabe Tahir (Tr)	9	0	1
Teilor Tuioti	21	0	0
Jayden Bell	5	1	0

UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Layne (Tr)	199	302	66%	2398	13	9	7.9
James Laubstein	10	14	71%	96	2	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damon Bankston (Tr)	104	578	5	5.6	54
DJ McKinney (Tr)	109	454	7	4.2	54
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)	77	349	5	4.5	61
James Laubstein	44	306	1	7.0	58

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keagan Johnson (Tr)	55	712	3	12.9	80
Dorian Thomas (Tr)	53	545	4	10.3	34
Damon Bankston (Tr)	26	374	3	14.4	84
Cade Keith (Tr)	20	253	3	12.7	45

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaxton Eck (Tr)	126	7	2	3	2
Tavian Combs	68	1	1	0	3
Jon Johnson	50	0	0	0	5
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)	48	13	8	5	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)	48	13	8	5	5
Brett Karhu	26	11	7	5	1
Darren Agu (Tr)	29	4	2	2	1
Gabriel Lopez	14	6	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Drew Speech	9	0	0	0	7
Jon Johnson	50	0	0	0	5
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)	48	13	8	5	5