Idaho State at New Mexico - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -17.5 (60.0) (-900) Open: -15.5 | 63.5
New Mexico 32 - Idaho State: 22

Bengals (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (27 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IDST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ UNM -13)
UNM Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%

Lobos (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
IDST Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Idaho State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Idaho State at UNLV	+30.5	67.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Idaho State at New Mexico	+17.5	60.0	L 22 - 32	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Idaho State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	New Mexico at Michigan	+36.5	52.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/6	New Mexico vs Idaho State	-17.5	60.0	W 32 - 22	U	N
Fri 9/12	New Mexico at UCLA	+15.5	52.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-2
Sat 10/4	New Mexico at San José State	+8
Sat 10/11	New Mexico at Boise State	+22
Sat 10/18	New Mexico vs Nevada	-4.5
Sat 10/25	New Mexico vs Utah State	-0.5
Sat 11/1	New Mexico at UNLV	+16
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+5
Sat 11/22	New Mexico at Air Force	+4.5
Sat 11/29	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IDST		0%	26.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	35	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM	#118 (.07)	38% (108)	28	36% (114)	2.89 (79)	189	41% (90)	175	3.73 (83)	#71 (.14)	43% (98)	22	48% (111)	41% (72)	2.77 (43)	15.7	2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IDST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IDST Offense	2	26.5	26.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UNM Defense	3	22	22	43.4%	2.77	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	48%	41%	9%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IDST Defense	2	35	35	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UNM Offense	3	28	32	37.8%	3.73	2	21	363	189	175	5.1	47%	51%	36%	41%	14%	.07

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Idaho State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
New Mexico	3	33:03	21	41%	50%	2.3	15.7	2	1	2.7	0.7	0	31.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IDST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
UNM Defense	3	47% (51)	48% (111)	-	-	-	-	.1 (84)	2.9 (82)	94% (126)	6% (121)	0.73 (20)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IDST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
UNM Offense	3	47% (87)	36% (114)	37.3	188.7	5.1	7 (38)	.14 (69)	2.89 (79)	70% (79)	9% (73)	0.99 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IDST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UNM Defense	3	51% (77)	41% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (56)	.35 (108)	1.5 (56)	32% (80)	27% (57)	.53 (116)	3% (131)	2.6 (127)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IDST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UNM Offense	3	51% (56)	41% (90)	19	28.7	174.7	6.1	9.2	4 (72)	3 (92)	.11 (114)	1.2 (124)	31% (70)	25% (107)	.19 (104)	5% (68)	1.8 (102)

Idaho State's Power Ratings
Idaho State's Power Rating: #NR
Idaho State's Offense Rating: #NR
Idaho State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Idaho State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Idaho State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Idaho State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Idaho State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Idaho State: New Mexico: -12.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Idaho State: New Mexico: -13.0

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -12.17 #121
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 3.17 #112
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.51 #117
2025 Talent Rating: 394.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Idaho State Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Idaho State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 33
Idaho State 24

Total Points: 57

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	New Mexico	32	Idaho State	22	New Mexico	New Mexico -17.5	Idaho State	60.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	1	0	0 Overs
Idaho State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) Idaho State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Idaho State has lost 1 straight
Idaho State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Idaho State Highlights
Idaho State is Undefeated vs Spread

Idaho State Deficiencies
Idaho State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	UNM	IDST
OverallOver	#50	—
OffenseOff	#75	—
DefenseDef	#34	—
Special TeamsST	#24	—
PassingPass	#41	—
RushingRush	#50	—
Run BlockRBLK	#60	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#94	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#93	—
TacklingTkl	#51	—
Run DefenseR Def	#33	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#23	—
Coverage DefCov	#60	—

Rematch from Week 2
New Mexico -17.5 (60.0)
New Mexico won vs Idaho State this year (32-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IDST | UNM
Depth Chart: IDST | UNM
Rosters: IDST | UNM

(#121) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -12.17 #121
Offense Rating: 3.17 #112
Defense Rating: 19.51 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #128
Talent Rating: 394.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 2.77 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

New Mexico has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

New Mexico Notes
(9/13) HC Jason Eck incredible job, P4 bound soon
(8/1) Slow paced, run heavy 2/1 run ratio Offense
(8/1) Off will struggle bad, won't mask an awful Def
(8/1) Year 0, this roster is awful & FCS heavy
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle

New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico is Undefeated at Home

New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)

New Mexico defense does not give up big plays (#30)
New Mexico commits very few Penalties (#1)

New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico has a bad TO Margin (#116)
New Mexico Fumbles a Lot (#113)
New Mexico offense is really bad (#108)
New Mexico offense is not Explosive (#111)
New Mexico run game is really bad (#114)
New Mexico does not Sack the QB (#122)
New Mexico Does Not Stuff Runs (#100)

Idaho State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dason Brooks	19	129	2	6.8	27
Robert Freeman IV (Tr)	4	40	0	10.0	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	YPC	LONG
Tsion Nunnally	8	126	15.8	33
Jonah Burton (Tr)	3	50	16.7	17
Julian Mason	4	48	12.0	24
Dason Brooks	6	38	6.3	16

View Idaho State's Full Roster

Idaho State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Teilor Tuioti	21	0	0
Gabe Tahir (Tr)	9	0	1
Jayden Bell	5	1	0
Davion Ross	4	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Cam'ron Willis	4	3	1	0
Teilor Tuioti	21	0	0	0
Gabe Tahir (Tr)	9	0	0	1
Jayden Bell	5	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Gabe Tahir (Tr)	9	0	1
Teilor Tuioti	21	0	0
Jayden Bell	5	1	0

New Mexico's OC Luke Schleusner

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Layne (Tr)	56	84	67%	515	3	3	6.1
DJ McKinney (Tr)	1	1	100%	9	1	0	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)	34	222	3	6.5	61
Damon Bankston (Tr)	25	200	2	8.0	54
DJ McKinney (Tr)	30	139	1	4.6	17
James Laubstein	5	5	0	1.0	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dorian Thomas (Tr)	18	168	2	9.3	25
Damon Bankston (Tr)	8	125	1	15.6	55
Michael Buckley	4	53	0	13.3	25
Keagan Johnson (Tr)	8	46	0	5.8	14

View New Mexico's Full Roster

New Mexico's DC Spence Nowinsky

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jaxton Eck (Tr)	34	0	1	1
Tavian Combs	16	0	0	0
Caleb Coleman (Tr)	15	0	0	0
David Scott-Murphy	12	2	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Brett Karhu	7	2	1	1
Xavier Slayton (Tr)	10	1	1	0
Gabriel Lopez	2	1	1	1
Landon Williams	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Drew Speech	4	0	2
Jaxton Eck (Tr)	34	1	1
Jon Johnson	7	0	1