Idaho State at New Mexico - 2025 Matchup Preview
Idaho State logo   Idaho State Bengals at New Mexico Lobos  New Mexico logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -17.5 (60.0) (-900)  Open: -15.5 | 63.5
New Mexico 32 - Idaho State: 22

 
Bengals (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (27 - 35 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
IDST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ UNM -1)
UNM Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
Lobos (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Idaho State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Idaho State at UNLV+30.567.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 9/6 Idaho State at New Mexico+17.560.0L 22 - 32UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Idaho State's Schedule
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico at Michigan+36.552.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-17.560.0W 32 - 22UN
Fri 9/12 New Mexico at UCLA+15.552.5W 35 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-16.553.5W 38 - 20OY
Fri 10/3 New Mexico at San José State+1.558.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+14.558.5L 25 - 41ON
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-14.049.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-3.061.5W 33 - 14UY
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+3.561.5W 40 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State-15.553.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force-3.553.5W 20 - 3UY
Fri 11/28 New Mexico vs San Diego State+1.541.5W 23 - 17UY
Fri 12/26 New Mexico vs Minnesota+1.544.5L 17 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IDST0%26.50%000%000%350%0%0000
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)27.153% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)22.350% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IDST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IDST Offense126.526.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNM Defense1222.318.750.4%4.640.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%51%14%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IDST Defense135350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNM Offense1227.128.348.9%3.831.6254852542316.752%48%53%44%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Idaho State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
New Mexico1228:5224.743%68%9.381.51.60.83.91.6126.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IDST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UNM Defense1254% (106)50% (125) - - - - .2 (110)3.26 (103)71% (52)8% (118)0.97 (64)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IDST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNM Offense1252% (55)53% (3)37.82546.737 (6).37 (1)3.81 (1)81% (20)5% (1)1.1 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IDST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNM Defense1246% (30)51% (131) - - - - - - 3 (132).51 (132)1.6 (81)26% (132)38% (129).54 (129)6% (79)2.2 (118)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IDST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNM Offense1248% (77)44% (40)18.832.5230.77.112.312 (118)12 (85).24 (77)1.4 (125)27% (8)37% (11).49 (13)6% (85)1.9 (110)

Idaho State's Power Ratings
Idaho State's Power Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Idaho State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Idaho State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Idaho State:    New Mexico: -4.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Idaho State:    New Mexico: 0.9




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -4.28  #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 5.15  #118
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.61  #106
2025 Talent Rating: 394.00  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9  #73
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #82
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #66

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Idaho State Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Idaho State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 31
Idaho State 23

Projected Total Points: 54
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06New Mexico32Idaho State22New Mexico -17.5Idaho State60.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico100 Overs
Idaho State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) IDST at (#118) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIDSTUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #118
SP+SP+NR #73
Perf GradeGradeNR #54
OffenseOffNR #90
DefenseDefNR #24
Spec TeamsSTNR #61
TalentTalNR #127
Blue ChipsBC%NR #79
New Mexico Notes
(9/23) DE Keyshawn James-Newby great add (Idaho)
(9/13) Run Off mauled UCLA, impressive. Tough team
(9/13) HC Jason Eck incredible job, P4 bound soon
(8/1) Slow paced, run heavy 2/1 run ratio Offense
(8/1) Off will struggle bad, won't mask an awful Def
(8/1) Year 0, this roster is awful & FCS heavy
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
New Mexico Injury Report
Idaho State on Offense
CategoryCat
IDST OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #24
SuccessSucNR #132
ExplosiveExpNR #68
PPAPPANR #132
PowerPwrNR #106
SP+SP+NR #66
Pts POPPONR #128
HavocHavNR #114
Idaho State Run Game
CategoryCat
IDST OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNR #19
Run SuccessRSucNR #125
Run ExplRExpNR #64
PPAExpNR #110
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #103
Stuff RateStuffNR #94
TackleTak -  #51
Idaho State Pass Game
CategoryCat
IDST OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNR #73
Pass SuccessPSucNR #131
Pass ExplPExlNR #81
PPAExpNR #132
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #7
F7 HavocF7NR #118
DB HavocDBNR #79
New Mexico on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatUNM OffIDST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #90NR
SuccessSuc #10NR
ExplosiveExp #86NR
PPAPPA #14NR
PowerPwr #118NR
SP+SP+ #82NR
Pts POPPO #79NR
HavocHav #12NR
New Mexico Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffIDST Def
Run GameRun #91NR
Run SuccessRSuc #3NR
Run ExplRExp #21NR
PPAExp #1NR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLY #1NR
Stuff RateStuff #3NR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatUNM OffIDST Def
Pass GamePass #40NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #40NR
Pass ExplPExl #125NR
PPAExp #77NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #107NR
F7 HavocF7 #1NR
DB HavocDB #85NR
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

IDST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
New Mexico -17.5 (60.0)
New Mexico won vs Idaho State this year (32-22)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Idaho State last year (32-22)

  
IDST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Logan Gonzalez1250%2001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dason Brooks1571007106.457
Robert Freeman IV (Tr)440010.030
Zack Homan (Tr)42005.010
Jonah Burton (Tr)31505.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tsion Nunnally63845613.469
Ian Duarte46521311.3N/A
Jonah Burton (Tr)21233011.140
Julian Mason12154112.830

View Idaho State's Full Roster

IDST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teilor Tuioti210000
Gabe Tahir (Tr)90001
Jayden Bell51000
Cam'ron Willis43100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'ron Willis43100
Teilor Tuioti210000
Gabe Tahir (Tr)90001
Jayden Bell51000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Tahir (Tr)90001
Teilor Tuioti210000
Jayden Bell51000

UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)21332765%248613107.6
James Laubstein111765%96205.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damon Bankston (Tr)11463555.654
DJ McKinney (Tr)11146474.254
James Laubstein5936316.258
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)7734954.561
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keagan Johnson (Tr)59754312.880
Dorian Thomas (Tr)56560410.034
Damon Bankston (Tr)31397312.884
Cade Keith (Tr)20253312.745

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxton Eck (Tr)1287232
Tavian Combs721103
Jon Johnson540006
Mercury Swaim527212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)5215955
Brett Karhu2911852
Gabriel Lopez146211
Mercury Swaim527212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Speech100008
Jon Johnson540006
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)5215955