San Diego State at New Mexico - 2025 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM  (Mountain West)

 
Aztecs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
SDSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -2   (SP+ SDSU -8.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 33 - UNM: 31 (62)
SDSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
SDSU Travel: 622 miles, 1 hrs behind
Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-11
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+8
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois+4
Sat 10/4 San Diego State vs Colorado State+0
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State+8
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-3.5
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i+3.5
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State+19.5
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State+5
Sat 11/29 San Diego State at New Mexico-2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico at Michigan+34.552.5
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-7
Sat 9/13 New Mexico at UCLA+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-4.5
Sat 10/4 New Mexico at San José State+14
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+28.5
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-3
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-1.5
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State+4.5
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force+6
Sat 11/29 New Mexico vs San Diego State+2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)21.337% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)29.649% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)33.553% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)3850% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1221.320.337.4%3.440.8193351292063.747%52%37%38%18%.12
UNM Defense123838.850.4%4.640.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%51%14%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1229.635.846.1%4.281 - - - - - 55%44%49%43%12%.23
UNM Offense1233.537.448.9%3.831.6254852542316.752%48%53%44%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1227:0818.536%53%9.181.80.815.42.6231
New Mexico1228:5224.743%68%9.381.51.60.83.91.6126.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1247% (87)37% (124)35.3128.93.713 (105).1 (84)3 (78)69% (97)12% (114)1.06 (37)
UNM Defense1254% (106)50% (125) - - - - .2 (110)3.26 (103)71% (52)8% (118)0.97 (64)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1255% (117)49% (117) - - - - .21 (113)3.49 (130)80% (109)9% (98)0.94 (47)
UNM Offense1252% (55)53% (3)37.82546.737 (6).37 (1)3.81 (1)81% (20)5% (1)1.1 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1252% (45)38% (109)19.531.3205.76.610.615 (98)8 (40).15 (107)1.5 (99)36% (125)26% (114).29 (87)6% (61)2 (77)
UNM Defense1246% (30)51% (131) - - - - - - 3 (132).51 (132)1.6 (81)26% (132)38% (129).54 (129)6% (79)2.2 (118)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1244% (17)43% (98) - - - - - - 7 (104).28 (96)1.6 (75)29% (112)38% (126).52 (126)3% (133)2.1 (79)
UNM Offense1248% (77)44% (40)18.832.5230.77.112.312 (118)12 (85).24 (77)1.4 (125)27% (8)37% (11).49 (13)6% (85)1.9 (110)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -14.77 #103
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 4.95 #123
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 19.72 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 580.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #125
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 499.83
Average Power Five Talent: 859.76
Average FBS Talent: 682.53

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -14.77   New Mexico: -14.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -10.1   New Mexico: -18.4




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -14.2 #106
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 14.53 #63
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 29.53 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 326.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 499.83
Average Power Five Talent: 859.76
Average FBS Talent: 682.53


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 33
New Mexico 31

Projected Total Points: 62
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/08San Diego State16New Mexico21New MexicoSan Diego State -1.5New Mexico65.5Under
202211/18New Mexico10San Diego State34San Diego StateSan Diego State -15San Diego State36.0Over
202110/09San Diego State31New Mexico7San Diego StateSan Diego State -19.5San Diego State42.5Under
201811/03New Mexico23San Diego State31San Diego StateSan Diego State -12New Mexico45.5Over
201711/24San Diego State35New Mexico10San Diego StateSan Diego State -20.5San Diego State48.5Under
201410/10New Mexico14San Diego State24San Diego StateSan Diego State -6San Diego State0
201311/02San Diego State35New Mexico30San Diego StateSan Diego State -17New Mexico0
201111/05San Diego State35New Mexico7San Diego State
201010/23New Mexico20San Diego State30San Diego State
200910/31San Diego State23New Mexico20San Diego State
200810/18New Mexico70San Diego State7New Mexico
200710/20San Diego State17New Mexico20New Mexico
200611/25New Mexico41San Diego State14New Mexico
200510/22San Diego State24New Mexico47New Mexico
200410/23New Mexico19San Diego State9New Mexico
200310/18San Diego State7New Mexico30New Mexico
200211/09New Mexico15San Diego State8New Mexico
200111/03San Diego State15New Mexico20New Mexico
200011/03New Mexico16San Diego State17San Diego State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico932 Overs
San Diego State1043 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 103 - 42 - 21 - 2
Road Teams10 - 94 - 32 - 12 - 2

(#103) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.77 #103
Offense Rating: 4.95 #123
Defense Rating: 19.72 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #65
Talent Rating: 580.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San Diego State Notes
(7/12) WR Kitt-Denton (FCS) avg'd 18.1 ypc at NW St
(6/16) OL 3/5 back, 3 portals, don't love OT on paper
(6/16) Lewis also the OC, offense was even worse LY?
(5/23) New DC Aurich (DC @ Idaho) an improvement
(5/23) Portals look decent, losses mostly went down
(5/2) RB light, Washington (CCU) decent add.
(5/2) WR Napier back, v good. Some depth
(5/2) Def bad LY, not much portal help, new DC Aurich
(3/29) QB Dengal (Mich) vs Emanuel Jr (CMU)
San Diego State     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico
Power #103
#106
Off #123
#63
Def #95
#134
Talent #85
#129
SP+ #102
#130
SP+ Off #125
#97
SP+ Def #65
#134

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat San Diego State last year (21-16)
San Diego State beat New Mexico in 2022 (34-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SDSU | UNM
Depth Chart: SDSU | UNM
Rosters: SDSU | UNM
(#106) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.2 #106
Offense Rating: 14.53 #63
Defense Rating: 29.53 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134
Talent Rating: 326.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


New Mexico Notes
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
(3/26) New HC Eck was 26-13 @ Idaho, good off
(3/26) New OC Schleusner w/ Eck @ Idaho
(3/18) QB Jack Layne (FCS Idaho) starter?


  
San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)4667%992016.5
Jordan Napier1250%271013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Washington (Tr)10253755.368
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)2812834.620
Lucky Sutton53507.017
Nathan Acevedo (Tr)21809.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Nathan Acevedo (Tr)96507.216
Christian Washington (Tr)43609.024
Jacob Bostick (Tr)114014.014

View San Diego State's Full Roster
San Diego State's DC Rob Aurich
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli674220
Chris Johnson590013
Trey White56191351
Dalesean Staley550000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Malachi Finau (Tr)194310
Ryan Henderson123320
Tano Letuli674220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Eric Butler443003
Jelani Whitmore100003

New Mexico's OC Luke Schleusner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)8313263%11591148.8
Cole Welliver (Tr)2450%10002.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)1881291156.979
Deshaun Buchanan (Tr)6050648.472
DJ McKinney (Tr)9547935.059
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters2212415.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keagan Johnson (Tr)29359112.435
Michael Buckley8103012.918
Aiden Valdez (Tr)109039.037
DJ McKinney (Tr)117907.216

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randolph Kpai805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Austin Brawley (Tr)382002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)106500
Dmitri Johnson775212
Randolph Kpai805153
Xavier Slayton (Tr)52100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Randolph Kpai805153
Austin Brawley (Tr)382002