New Mexico at Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Michigan Wolverines(#19)Michigan logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -36.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: -36.5 | 52.5
Michigan 34 - New Mexico: 17

 
Lobos (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Michigan -21  (SP+ MICH -12)
Projected Score: UNM: 15 - MICH: 36 (52)
MICH Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
UNM Travel: 1326 miles, 2 hrs behind
Wolverines (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Biff Pogi (Int) ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico at Michigan+36.552.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-17.560.0W 32 - 22UN
Fri 9/12 New Mexico at UCLA+15.552.5W 35 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-16.553.5W 38 - 20OY
Fri 10/3 New Mexico at San José State+1.558.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+14.558.5L 25 - 41ON
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-14.049.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-3.061.5W 33 - 14UY
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+3.561.5W 40 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State-15.553.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force-3.553.5W 20 - 3UY
Fri 11/28 New Mexico vs San Diego State+1.541.5W 23 - 17UY
Fri 12/26 New Mexico vs Minnesota+1.544.5L 17 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-36.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+3.047.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-27.542.5W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-1.547.5W 30 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-17.542.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC+3.058.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-4.550.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-13.547.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-21.048.5W 21 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.041.5W 24 - 22ON
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-14.046.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+9.543.5L 9 - 27UN
Wed 12/31 Michigan vs Texas+7.050.0L 27 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#65 (.18)42% (76)27.143% (78)3.15 (33)14342% (71)1983.96 (44)#48 (.11)40% (51)22.340% (49)40% (59)3.12 (25)44.61.71.2
MICH#45 (.2)45% (36)27.548% (17)3.25 (20)19843% (59)1713.67 (75)#39 (.1)42% (70)20.441% (51)44% (102)3.67 (69)31.81.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1327.127.541.8%3.961.7183411431984.453%45%43%42%14%.18
MICH Defense1320.413.341.9%3.671.3 - - - - - 46%53%41%44%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1322.326.340%3.121.2 - - - - - 47%52%40%40%17%.11
MICH Offense1327.529.245.3%3.671.1193691981715.655%43%48%43%12%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1327:4318.139%67%5.344.61.71.25.62.5228.4
Michigan1327:1418.746%17%3.731.81.11.35.52.2030.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1353% (42)43% (78)32.8143.54.422 (49).14 (54)3.15 (33)75% (47)9% (69)0.99 (59)
MICH Defense1346% (20)41% (51) - - - - .04 (30)2.67 (24)61% (10)10% (53)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1347% (36)40% (49) - - - - .04 (36)2.63 (21)83% (128)11% (33)0.97 (73)
MICH Offense1355% (31)48% (17)35.3197.85.632 (23).22 (20)3.25 (20)75% (49)7% (23)0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1345% (97)42% (71)16.324.8198812.117 (61)9 (119).27 (62)1.6 (53)30% (51)30% (72).33 (61)5% (22)1.9 (110)
MICH Defense1353% (117)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (4).2 (52)1.3 (3)30% (103)32% (96).37 (107)7% (34)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1352% (106)40% (59) - - - - - - 9 (100).24 (63)1.5 (41)34% (33)28% (45).27 (60)6% (54)1.9 (39)
MICH Offense1343% (107)43% (59)13.822.8171.57.512.59 (106)7 (20).25 (68)1.5 (107)30% (39)32% (44).31 (67)4% (16)1.7 (132)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.08  #88
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 4.25  #98
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 9.33  #76
2025 Talent Rating: 394.00  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #66
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #69
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #66

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.08   Michigan: 19.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: 1.2   Michigan: 13.6




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 19.24  #17
Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.47  #39
Michigan's Defense Rating: -4.41  #18
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50  #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #50
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 36
New Mexico 15


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 30
New Mexico 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 26
New Mexico 22

Total Points: 48
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Michigan34New Mexico17Michigan -36.5New Mexico52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan100 Overs
New Mexico011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#88) UNM at (#17) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMMICH
Power RatePwr #88 #17
SP+SP+ #66 #26
Perf GradeGrade #49 #21
OffenseOff #77 #47
DefenseDef #29 #17
Spec TeamsST #58 #7
TalentTal #127 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #16
New Mexico Notes
(9/23) DE Keyshawn James-Newby great add (Idaho)
(9/13) Run Off mauled UCLA, impressive. Tough team
(9/13) HC Jason Eck incredible job, P4 bound soon
(8/1) Slow paced, run heavy 2/1 run ratio Offense
(8/1) Off will struggle bad, won't mask an awful Def
(8/1) Year 0, this roster is awful & FCS heavy
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
New Mexico Injury Report
Michigan Notes
(12/10) Sherrone Moore fired for cause. Messy situation
(11/18) RB Justice Haynes out regular season (foot inj)
(11/16) Keep eking by B1G bottom feeders. Overrated
(10/18) Dominated UW up front both sides, Def was great
(10/12) Off is terrible, will not score vs Def w/ a pulse
(9/21) Skill positions on outside both Off & Def are bad
(9/20) Huge win at Neb, Run Off great, Run Def better
(9/14) Underwood unleashed, Run Off awful so far
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
Michigan Injury Report
New Mexico on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffMICH Def
Perf GradePerf #77 #17
SuccessSuc #76 #70
ExplosiveExp #56 #7
PPAPPA #65 #39
PowerPwr #98 #18
SP+SP+ #69 #12
Pts POPPO #44 #69
HavocHav #44 #45
New Mexico Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #107 #5
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #51
Run ExplRExp #59 #7
PPAExp #54 #30
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLY #33 #24
Stuff RateStuff #12 #94
TackleTak -  #13
New Mexico Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #24 #52
Pass SuccessPSuc #71 #102
Pass ExplPExl #53 #3
PPAExp #62 #52
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #114 #30
F7 HavocF7 #69 #53
DB HavocDB #22 #34
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffUNM Def
Perf GradePerf #47 #29
SuccessSuc #36 #51
ExplosiveExp #116 #58
PPAPPA #45 #48
PowerPwr #39 #76
SP+SP+ #50 #66
Pts POPPO #75 #25
HavocHav #9 #40
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffUNM Def
Run GameRun #24 #25
Run SuccessRSuc #17 #49
Run ExplRExp #63 #73
PPAExp #20 #36
Run BlockR Blk #38 -
OL YdsOLY #20 #21
Stuff RateStuff #8 #17
TackleTak -  #41
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffUNM Def
Pass GamePass #80 #60
Pass SuccessPSuc #59 #59
Pass ExplPExl #107 #41
PPAExp #68 #63
Pass Block/RushP Blk #49 #11
F7 HavocF7 #23 #33
DB HavocDB #16 #54
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Michigan -36.5 (52.5)
Michigan won vs New Mexico this year (34-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)19930266%23981397.9
James Laubstein101471%96206.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damon Bankston (Tr)10457855.654
DJ McKinney (Tr)10945474.254
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)7734954.561
James Laubstein4430617.058
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keagan Johnson (Tr)55712312.980
Dorian Thomas (Tr)53545410.334
Damon Bankston (Tr)26374314.484
Cade Keith (Tr)20253312.745

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxton Eck (Tr)1267232
Tavian Combs681103
Jon Johnson500005
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)4813855
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)4813855
Brett Karhu2611751
Darren Agu (Tr)294221
Gabriel Lopez146211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Speech90007
Jon Johnson500005
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)4813855

MICH's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood17929361%2229967.6
Jadyn Davis020%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Marshall150932106.265
Justice Haynes (Tr)121857107.175
Bryce Underwood7432354.437
Bryson Kuzdzal5624444.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Marsh42641315.369
Donaven McCulley (Tr)35534315.344
Semaj Morgan19214111.332
Marlin Klein20209110.527

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Rolder697221
Ernest Hausmann686141
TJ Metcalf (Tr)513003
Brandyn Hillman483003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrick Moore29101033
Jaishawn Barham3210454
Jimmy Rolder697221
TJ Guy173220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry2800010
Jyaire Hill332105
Jaishawn Barham3210454