Louisville Cardinals at Pittsburgh Panthers
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA (ACC)
Cardinals (2 - 0) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisville -3.5 (SP+ LOU -3.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 32 - PITT: 28 (60)
LOU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 344 miles
Our Line: Louisville -3.5 (SP+ LOU -3.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 32 - PITT: 28 (60)
LOU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 344 miles
Panthers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 43 - 19 (53 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#78)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 43 - 19 (53 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#78)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
| Louisville's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Louisville vs James Madison | -15.0 | 57.0 | W 28 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Louisville vs Bowling Green | -26.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Louisville at Pittsburgh | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Louisville vs Virginia | -10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Louisville at Miami | +12 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Louisville vs Boston College | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Louisville at Virginia Tech | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Louisville vs California | -10.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/14 | Louisville vs Clemson | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Louisville at SMU | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Louisville vs Kentucky | -10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Pittsburgh vs Duquesne | -39.5 | 58.5 | W 61 - 9 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan | -21.5 | 48.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Pittsburgh at West Virginia | -6.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Pittsburgh vs Louisville | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Pittsburgh vs Boston College | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Pittsburgh at Florida State | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Pittsburgh at Syracuse | -2 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Pittsburgh vs NC State | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Pittsburgh at Stanford | -9.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Pittsburgh vs Miami | +13 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | #59 (.22) | 42% (77) | 39.5 | 44% (77) | 2.36 (119) | 171 | 41% (83) | 232 | 4.64 (41) | #6 (-.12) | 32% (17) | 15.5 | 33% (25) | 30% (17) | 3 (50) | 77.5 | 2 | 1 |
| PITT | #39 (.31) | 46% (48) | 43.3 | 48% (47) | 2.54 (106) | 112 | 46% (51) | 315 | 3.83 (78) | #59 (.11) | 30% (13) | 19 | 29% (12) | 31% (23) | 4.46 (105) | 72 | 1 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | ||
| PITT | #91 (.15) | 42% (85) | 45% (56) | 3.1 (53) | 119 | 39% (97) | 256 | 4.11 (49) | #35 (.12) | 38% (25) | 38% (20) | 38% (38) | 3.68 (57) | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 2 | 39.5 | 39.5 | 42.4% | 4.64 | 2 | 20 | 403 | 171 | 232 | 5.7 | 45% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 17% | .22 |
| PITT Defense | 3 | 19 | 13 | 30.2% | 4.46 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 29% | 31% | 21% | .11 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 2 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 32% | 3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 16% | -.12 |
| PITT Offense | 3 | 43.3 | 53 | 46.5% | 3.83 | 1 | 19 | 427 | 112 | 315 | 3.9 | 43% | 57% | 48% | 46% | 18% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 2 | 26:36 | 20 | 48% | 50% | 8.5 | 77.5 | 2 | 1 | 6.5 | 5 | 1 | 30.7 |
| Pittsburgh | 3 | 25:37 | 19.3 | 38% | 50% | 7.7 | 72 | 1 | 1 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 1 | 37.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 2 | 45% (99) | 44% (77) | 30 | 171 | 5.7 | 5 (62) | .36 (21) | 2.36 (119) | 50% (124) | 8% (66) | 1.6 (4) |
| PITT Defense | 3 | 53% (99) | 29% (12) | - | - | - | - | -.04 (35) | 2.05 (13) | 77% (98) | 16% (8) | 1.07 (93) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 2 | 56% (109) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .04 (60) | 2.79 (70) | 75% (80) | 12% (46) | 0.91 (66) |
| PITT Offense | 3 | 43% (112) | 48% (47) | 28.7 | 112.3 | 3.9 | 5 (62) | .15 (62) | 2.54 (106) | 77% (45) | 10% (83) | 1 (57) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 2 | 55% (34) | 41% (83) | 19 | 30 | 232 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 3 (90) | 3 (92) | .12 (110) | 1.6 (60) | 25% (24) | 26% (103) | .34 (69) | 8% (129) | 2.2 (35) |
| PITT Defense | 3 | 47% (40) | 31% (23) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .28 (94) | 1.7 (109) | 39% (13) | 16% (15) | .13 (38) | 5% (91) | 2.2 (98) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 2 | 44% (33) | 30% (17) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | -.33 (2) | 1.1 (7) | 36% (37) | 26% (43) | -.02 (17) | 5% (94) | 1.4 (6) |
| PITT Offense | 3 | 57% (28) | 46% (51) | 23 | 35.3 | 315 | 8.9 | 13.7 | 10 (7) | 3 (92) | .48 (29) | 1.7 (29) | 28% (45) | 36% (37) | .55 (30) | 8% (122) | 2.1 (53) |
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.39 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.39 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 19.39 Pittsburgh: 13.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.7 Pittsburgh: 10.0
Louisville: 19.39 Pittsburgh: 13.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.7 Pittsburgh: 10.0
Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 13.115 #51
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 13.115 #51
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 32
Pittsburgh 28
Total Points: 60
Louisville 32
Pittsburgh 28
Total Points: 60
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 43.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 53
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 13
Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 43.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 53
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 13
Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Louisville | 37 | Pittsburgh | 9 | Louisville | Louisville -7 | Louisville | 57.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Pittsburgh | 38 | Louisville | 21 | Pittsburgh | Louisville -7.5 | Pittsburgh | 44.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Louisville | 24 | Pittsburgh | 10 | Louisville | Louisville -1.5 | Louisville | 55.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/26 | Pittsburgh | 23 | Louisville | 20 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -3 | Push | 53.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Pittsburgh | 45 | Louisville | 34 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -1.5 | Pittsburgh | 48.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Pittsburgh | 35 | Louisville | 45 | Louisville | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Louisville | 14 | Pittsburgh | 21 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | Pittsburgh | 20 | Louisville | 3 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2009 | 10/02 | Louisville | 10 | Pittsburgh | 35 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | Pittsburgh | 41 | Louisville | 7 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Louisville | 24 | Pittsburgh | 17 | Louisville | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Pittsburgh | 24 | Louisville | 48 | Louisville | ||||
| 2005 | 11/03 | Louisville | 42 | Pittsburgh | 20 | Louisville |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 7 | 2 | 2 Overs |
| Louisville | 6 | 2 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 4 | 4 - 0 | 3 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 9 | 0 - 4 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 3 |
(#31) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 19.39 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
Power Rating: 19.39 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | PITT | LOU |
| OverallOver | #11 | #30 |
| OffenseOff | #56 | #41 |
| DefenseDef | #3 | #19 |
| Special TeamsST | #16 | #114 |
| PassingPass | #87 | #16 |
| RushingRush | #36 | #19 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #40 | #98 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #37 | #20 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #51 | #55 |
| TacklingTkl | #9 | #28 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #4 | #39 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #3 | #1 |
| Coverage DefCov | #28 | #74 |
(#51) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: 13.115 #51
Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Pittsburgh has lost 1 straight
Pittsburgh has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Pittsburgh Notes
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
(6/14) OC Bell an upgrade LY, DC Bates improved D.
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh is Undefeated at Home
Pittsburgh is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh has a good pass defense (#23)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh has a bad red zone defense (#105)
Power Rating: 13.115 #51
Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Pittsburgh has lost 1 straight
Pittsburgh has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Pittsburgh Notes
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
(6/14) OC Bell an upgrade LY, DC Bates improved D.
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh is Undefeated at Home
Pittsburgh is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh has a good pass defense (#23)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh has a bad red zone defense (#105)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Moss (Tr) | 30 | 48 | 63% | 374 | 2 | 2 | 7.8 |
| Brady Allen | 6 | 9 | 67% | 69 | 1 | 1 | 7.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 18 | 230 | 3 | 12.8 | 78 |
| Shaun Boykins | 5 | 40 | 0 | 8.0 | 16 |
| Braxton Jennings | 6 | 27 | 0 | 4.5 | 10 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2.6 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell | 9 | 146 | 1 | 16.2 | 64 |
| Caullin Lacy | 6 | 74 | 0 | 12.3 | 32 |
| Kris Hughes | 3 | 50 | 1 | 16.7 | 31 |
| Jaleel Skinner | 3 | 35 | 0 | 11.7 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Bailey (Tr) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Adonijah Green | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Carter | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Konga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Rodney Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antonio Watts | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Holstein | 58 | 88 | 66% | 822 | 9 | 3 | 9.3 |
| Cole Gonzales (Tr) | 8 | 16 | 50% | 87 | 1 | 0 | 5.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Reid | 24 | 142 | 1 | 5.9 | 53 |
| Juelz Goff | 21 | 84 | 2 | 4.0 | 17 |
| Eli Holstein | 25 | 50 | 1 | 2.0 | 31 |
| Ja'Kyrian Turner | 10 | 35 | 1 | 3.5 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Williams | 13 | 285 | 3 | 21.9 | 67 |
| Bryce Yates | 4 | 143 | 1 | 35.8 | 68 |
| Kenny Johnson | 8 | 86 | 1 | 10.8 | 20 |
| Cataurus Hicks (Tr) | 7 | 84 | 2 | 12.0 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheem Biles | 29 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Cruce Brookins | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kyle Louis | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Braylan Lovelace | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Louis | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Zelinsky | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Zach Crothers | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Blaine Spires (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheem Biles | 29 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Cruce Brookins | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Braylan Lovelace | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |