Louisville at Pittsburgh Game Matchup
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisville -5   (SP+ LOU -8.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 33 - PITT: 28 (62)
LOU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
LOU Travel: 344 miles
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-35.5
Sat 9/6 Louisville vs James Madison-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green-28
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh-5
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia-15
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami+10.5
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College-12
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech-4
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California-17
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson+11
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU+4
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky-9.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-28
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+5
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-4.5
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+5.5
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse+3.5
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-1
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+18.5
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+5
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+13

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)36.548% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)24.140% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)32.945% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)28.438% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1336.531.346.4%4.270.8204241732515.845%54%48%45%13%.31
PITT Defense1328.421.638.1%3.681.2 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1324.125.240.2%3.981.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%40%16%.18
PITT Offense1332.937.641.6%4.111.3213751192564.342%58%45%39%21%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1327:3920.140%40%5.946.10.81.25.82.2130.3
Pittsburgh1324:0120.738%52%6.458.21.31.27.63627.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1345% (103)48% (20)29.9172.75.827 (30).2 (35)3.09 (56)65% (116)8% (27)1.04 (43)
PITT Defense1345% (13)38% (20) - - - - - (13)2.36 (2)48% (1)12% (25)0.98 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1349% (50)40% (44) - - - - .08 (43)2.9 (51)65% (25)11% (43)0.99 (71)
PITT Offense1342% (116)45% (56)27.3118.64.314 (98).18 (42)3.1 (53)77% (40)12% (119)1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1354% (32)45% (30)19.630.9251.58.112.823 (41)6 (10).41 (9)1.7 (34)30% (40)38% (8).5 (9)5% (40)2.1 (42)
PITT Defense1355% (122)38% (38) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (70)1.8 (123)37% (3)31% (82).33 (82)6% (50)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1351% (88)40% (65) - - - - - - 9 (76).27 (87)1.7 (111)31% (78)33% (99).26 (48)5% (94)1.8 (14)
PITT Offense1358% (18)39% (97)21.835.9256.27.111.727 (20)13 (103).13 (112)1.6 (55)32% (85)35% (30).36 (60)8% (126)2.1 (40)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 11.98 #28
Louisville's Offense Rating: 23.53 #15
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.55 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #45

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 11.98   Pittsburgh: 7.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.1   Pittsburgh: 3.4




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 7.125 #51
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 17.28 #47
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 11.43 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 752.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #47
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 33
Pittsburgh 28

Projected Total Points: 62
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Louisville37Pittsburgh9LouisvilleLouisville -7Louisville57.0Under
202310/14Pittsburgh38Louisville21PittsburghLouisville -7.5Pittsburgh44.5Over
202210/22Louisville24Pittsburgh10LouisvilleLouisville -1.5Louisville55.0Under
202009/26Pittsburgh23Louisville20PittsburghPittsburgh -3Push53.0Under
201511/21Pittsburgh45Louisville34PittsburghPittsburgh -1.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201210/13Pittsburgh35Louisville45Louisville
201111/12Louisville14Pittsburgh21Pittsburgh
201010/30Pittsburgh20Louisville3Pittsburgh
200910/02Louisville10Pittsburgh35Pittsburgh
200811/08Pittsburgh41Louisville7Pittsburgh
200710/27Louisville24Pittsburgh17Louisville
200611/25Pittsburgh24Louisville48Louisville
200511/03Louisville42Pittsburgh20Louisville
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh722 Overs
Louisville623 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 44 - 03 - 01 - 0
Road Teams4 - 90 - 40 - 10 - 3

(#28) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.98 #28
Offense Rating: 23.53 #15
Defense Rating: 11.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #45
Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Louisville Notes
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/12) DB's all new. 2 portals will start. We'll see.
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Def meh LY, added 13 via portal. More the same?
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/19) WR Bell back, if Lacy is healthy great duo
(3/19) Talent #'s very low. Brohm a great coach
Louisville     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #28
#51
Off #15
#47
Def #49
#47
Talent #56
#58
SP+ #24
#47
SP+ Off #12
#45
SP+ Def #45
#55

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Pittsburgh last year (37-9)
Pittsburgh beat Louisville in 2023 (38-21)
Louisville beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (24-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LOU | PITT
Depth Chart: LOU | PITT
Rosters: LOU | PITT
(#51) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.125 #51
Offense Rating: 17.28 #47
Defense Rating: 11.43 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 752.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Pittsburgh Notes
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) RB Reid one of ACC best. Need more here
(3/21) WR rebuild. Took 3 portals. Have some options
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, not good LY. 2 portal adds
(3/21) Def avg LY, 5 portals, 4 on DL. Light on DBs
(3/21) OC Bell was an upgrade LY.
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era


  
Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss (Tr)23336264%25551897.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Keyjuan Brown4724335.224
Chris Bell243021.547
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell43737417.168
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Bobby Golden (Tr)31446114.456
Dacari Collins (Tr)24314213.143

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans (Tr)933017
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
D'Angelo Hutchinson522003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin (Tr)43111073
Jordan Guerad224321
Rene Konga203320
Denzel Lowry (Tr)513220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Mack (Tr)3220011
JoJo Evans (Tr)933017
Justin Agu (Tr)362004

Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Gonzales (Tr)19631263%24711257.9
Eli Holstein17929062%22251777.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid18496655.372
Eli Holstein8132834.049
Cole Gonzales (Tr)5919423.350
Che Nwabuko676112.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid52579411.172
Kenny Johnson46537311.746
Raphael Williams36419611.635
Censere Lee19254313.482

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Rasheem Biles8014439
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Javon Mcintyre514013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Jimmy Scott3013662
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Rasheem Biles8014439
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles8014439
Tamon Lynum372106
Kyle Louis10016793