Pittsburgh at Syracuse - 2025 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY  (ACC)

 
Panthers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 43 - 19 (24 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#78)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
SYR coming off BYE
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -2   (SP+ PITT -5.5)

Projected Score: PITT: 33 - SYR: 31 (64)
PITT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
PITT Travel: 268 miles
Orange (2 - 1) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Fran Brown (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 40 - 30 (47 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-39.558.5W 61 - 9OY
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21.548.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+3.5
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-5.5
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+11.5
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-2
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-4.5
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+5.5
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+4.5
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+13

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Syracuse's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Syracuse vs Tennessee+13.553.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/6 Syracuse vs UConn-7.057.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 9/12 Syracuse vs Colgate-37.564.5W 66 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 Syracuse at Clemson+17.555.5
Sat 9/27 Syracuse vs Duke-3.5
Sat 10/4 Syracuse at SMU+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh+2
Sat 10/25 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+8.5
Fri 10/31 Syracuse vs North Carolina-7
Sat 11/8 Syracuse at Miami+22
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Syracuse at Notre Dame+15
Sat 11/29 Syracuse vs Boston College-1.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#39 (.31)46% (48)43.348% (47)2.54 (106)11246% (51)3153.83 (78)#59 (.11)30% (13)1929% (12)31% (23)4.46 (105)7211
SYR#54 (.24)49% (35)39.754% (28)2.43 (114)10746% (54)3794.76 (39)#111 (.25)45% (110)29.749% (112)43% (90)3.81 (82)41.721
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)45% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)42% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense343.32446.5%3.831194271123153.943%57%48%46%18%.31
SYR Defense329.72245.4%3.811 - - - - - 45%55%49%43%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense3193130.2%4.461 - - - - - 53%47%29%31%21%.11
SYR Offense339.746.549%4.76227486107379342%58%54%46%17%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh325:3719.338%50%7.772119.73.7137.7
Syracuse329:1226.744%57%4.741.72141028.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense343% (112)48% (47)28.7112.33.95 (62).15 (62)2.54 (106)77% (45)10% (83)1 (57)
SYR Defense345% (38)49% (112) - - - - .21 (112)2.73 (64)64% (50)6% (127)1.05 (90)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense353% (99)29% (12) - - - - -.04 (35)2.05 (13)77% (98)16% (8)1.07 (93)
SYR Offense342% (119)54% (28)36106.737 (38).04 (100)2.43 (114)74% (62)8% (51)0.61 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense357% (28)46% (51)2335.33158.913.710 (7)3 (92).48 (29)1.7 (29)28% (45)36% (37).55 (30)8% (122)2.1 (53)
SYR Defense355% (102)43% (90) - - - - - - 2 (56).28 (90)1.5 (53)33% (69)30% (72).47 (111)9% (15)2.4 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense347% (40)31% (23) - - - - - - 2 (56).28 (94)1.7 (109)39% (13)16% (15).13 (38)5% (91)2.2 (98)
SYR Offense358% (17)46% (54)27.743.3379.38.813.79 (13)3 (92).39 (50)1.6 (63)25% (20)31% (73).55 (32)9% (133)2.5 (11)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 11.23 #51
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 11.23   Syracuse: 8.825

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 10.0   Syracuse: 4.6




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 8.825 #60
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 20.16 #32
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 12.11 #91
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Syracuse's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Syracuse's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #34
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #80

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 43.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 33
Syracuse 31


Total Points: 64

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.5
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Syracuse's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/24Pittsburgh41Syracuse13PittsburghPittsburgh -5.0Pittsburgh62.5Under
202311/11Syracuse28Pittsburgh13SyracusePittsburgh -4.5Syracuse37.5Over
202211/05Pittsburgh19Syracuse9PittsburghPittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh47.5Under
202111/27Syracuse14Pittsburgh31PittsburghPittsburgh -12Pittsburgh58.5Under
202009/19Pittsburgh21Syracuse10PittsburghPittsburgh -21.5Syracuse46.5Under
201910/18Syracuse20Pittsburgh27PittsburghPittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh52.5Under
201810/06Pittsburgh44Syracuse37PittsburghSyracuse -3.5Pittsburgh58.0Over
201710/07Syracuse27Pittsburgh24SyracuseSyracuse -3Push63.0Under
201611/26Pittsburgh76Syracuse61PittsburghPittsburgh -23.5Syracuse65.5Over
201510/24Syracuse20Pittsburgh23PittsburghPittsburgh -6.5Syracuse49.0Under
201411/22Pittsburgh30Syracuse7PittsburghPittsburgh -8Pittsburgh0
201311/23Syracuse16Pittsburgh17PittsburghPittsburgh -1.5Syracuse0
201210/05Syracuse14Pittsburgh13Syracuse
201112/03Pittsburgh33Syracuse20Pittsburgh
201010/16Syracuse14Pittsburgh45Pittsburgh
200911/07Pittsburgh37Syracuse10Pittsburgh
200809/27Syracuse24Pittsburgh34Pittsburgh
200711/03Pittsburgh20Syracuse17Pittsburgh
200610/07Syracuse11Pittsburgh21Pittsburgh
200510/22Pittsburgh34Syracuse17Pittsburgh
200411/06Syracuse38Pittsburgh31Syracuse
200310/25Pittsburgh34Syracuse14Pittsburgh
200210/05Syracuse24Pittsburgh48Pittsburgh
200110/13Pittsburgh10Syracuse42Syracuse
200010/06Syracuse24Pittsburgh17Syracuse
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse653 Overs
Pittsburgh1967 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 97 - 43 - 24 - 2
Road Teams9 - 164 - 72 - 42 - 3

(#51) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: 11.23 #51
Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Pittsburgh has lost 4 straight
Pittsburgh has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Pittsburgh Notes
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
(6/14) OC Bell an upgrade LY, DC Bates improved D.
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era

Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh has a good pass defense (#23)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)

Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh has a bad red zone defense (#105)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSYRPITT
OverallOver#35#11
OffenseOff#17#56
DefenseDef#80#3
Special TeamsST#60#16
PassingPass#22#87
RushingRush#71#36
Run BlockRBLK#27#40
Pass BlockPBLK#50#37
Route RunningWR Rt#16#51
TacklingTkl#13#9
Run DefenseR Def#95#4
Pass Rush DefPRush#57#3
Coverage DefCov#74#28

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse last year (41-13)
Syracuse beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (28-13)
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse in 2022 (19-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PITT | SYR
Depth Chart: PITT | SYR
Rosters: PITT | SYR
(#60) Syracuse Info
Power Rating: 8.825 #60
Offense Rating: 20.16 #32
Defense Rating: 12.11 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #80
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.76 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Syracuse has lost 3 straight
Syracuse has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 0 - 1 vs Spread)

Syracuse Notes
(8/18) QB1 Steve Angeli (ND) wins starting job
(5/23) Cuse were 7-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/7) OL 2/5 back, Avg LY. 2 more have exp, Petry inj
(4/17) Fr OL Washington is 6'7, 380 lbs and can move.
(4/17) Top WR Pena in portal, big loss. Some depth
(4/8) QB Rickie Collins (So, LSU) named starter
(3/21) RB rebuild. Any ballers? On paper, not obv
(3/21) Def bad LY, returns a lot. DE/CB big needs
(3/21) HC Brown/staff great job in year 1
(3/21) Yr 2 much harder sched, less proven options

Syracuse Highlights
Syracuse is Undefeated at Home
Syracuse is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Syracuse does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)

Syracuse Secondary is very good (#15)

Syracuse Deficiencies
Syracuse has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Syracuse Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Syracuse Can Not Run the Ball (#119)
Syracuse offense is not Explosive (#109)
Syracuse does not Sack the QB (#112)
Syracuse has a bad defense (#110)


  
Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eli Holstein588866%822939.3
Cole Gonzales (Tr)81650%87105.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid2414215.953
Juelz Goff218424.017
Eli Holstein255012.031
Ja'Kyrian Turner103513.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Raphael Williams13285321.967
Bryce Yates4143135.868
Kenny Johnson886110.820
Cataurus Hicks (Tr)784212.022

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles293032
Cruce Brookins230002
Kyle Louis194200
Braylan Lovelace181011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis194200
Joseph Zelinsky42210
Zach Crothers153210
Blaine Spires (Tr)103220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles293032
Cruce Brookins230002
Braylan Lovelace181011

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Steven Angeli7912464%1073828.7
Rickie Collins (Tr)4667%651110.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis3413944.118
Will Nixon3012914.328
Jaden Hart62804.79
Tylik Hill220010.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrell Gill Jr.12269222.443
Dan Villari16199012.426
Justus Ross-Simmons9159317.753
Johntay Cook II (Tr)12121110.129

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gary Bryant III (Tr)161000
Darian Chestnut150002
Demetres Samuel Jr.130004
Chris Peal (Tr)111001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Jobity Jr.52100
Braheem Long Jr.61101
Jamie Tremble11100
Gary Bryant III (Tr)161000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetres Samuel Jr.130004
Antoine Deslauriers80002
Darian Chestnut150002