Pittsburgh at Syracuse - 2025 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo   Pittsburgh Panthers at Syracuse Orange  Syracuse logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -9.5 (54.5) (-355)  Open: -10.5
Pittsburgh 30 - Syracuse: 13  (ACC)

 
Panthers (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
SYR coming off BYE
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -21  (SP+ PITT -21.5)

Projected Score: PITT: 38 - SYR: 17 (55)
PITT Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
PITT Travel: 268 miles
Orange (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Fran Brown (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-39.558.5W 61 - 9OY
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21.548.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+3.053.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-6.554.5W 48 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+10.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-9.554.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-5.552.5W 53 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-13.551.5W 35 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+12.555.5L 15 - 37UN
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+2.561.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+6.549.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 12/27 Pittsburgh vs East Carolina-13.551.5L 17 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Syracuse's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Syracuse vs Tennessee+13.553.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/6 Syracuse vs UConn-7.057.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 9/12 Syracuse vs Colgate-37.564.5W 66 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 Syracuse at Clemson+17.553.5W 34 - 21OY
Sat 9/27 Syracuse vs Duke+4.059.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 10/4 Syracuse at SMU+17.556.5L 18 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh+9.554.5L 13 - 30UN
Sat 10/25 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+17.552.5L 16 - 41ON
Fri 10/31 Syracuse vs North Carolina-1.545.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/8 Syracuse at Miami+28.547.5L 10 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Syracuse at Notre Dame+36.551.5L 7 - 70ON
Sat 11/29 Syracuse vs Boston College+2.554.5L 12 - 34UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)33.745% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)24.838% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)20.245% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)34.942% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1333.73341.6%4.111.3213751192564.342%58%45%39%21%.15
SYR Defense1334.928.843.5%4.291.1 - - - - - 46%53%42%45%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1324.824.638.1%3.681.2 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.12
SYR Offense1320.221.848.1%4.231.224422873353.137%62%45%50%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1324:0120.738%52%6.458.21.31.27.63627.3
Syracuse1331:0623.850%67%6.555.31.21.152129
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1342% (116)45% (56)27.3118.64.314 (98).18 (42)3.1 (53)77% (40)12% (119)1.05 (41)
SYR Defense1346% (23)42% (58) - - - - .12 (71)3.05 (77)82% (119)10% (54)1.1 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1345% (13)38% (20) - - - - - (13)2.36 (2)48% (1)12% (25)0.98 (67)
SYR Offense1337% (130)45% (57)28.387.13.120 (67).07 (98)2.88 (98)78% (30)8% (30)0.81 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1358% (18)39% (97)21.835.9256.27.111.727 (20)13 (103).13 (112)1.6 (55)32% (85)35% (30).36 (60)8% (126)2.1 (40)
SYR Defense1353% (111)45% (114) - - - - - - 9 (76).35 (113)1.5 (26)31% (87)33% (101).43 (113)7% (44)2.1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1355% (122)38% (38) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (70)1.8 (123)37% (3)31% (82).33 (82)6% (50)2.2 (113)
SYR Offense1362% (5)50% (5)28.443.4335.27.711.829 (12)12 (85).37 (18)1.5 (89)31% (58)38% (4).34 (70)8% (117)2 (83)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 12.45  #31
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 20.31  #25
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.86  #34
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4  #36
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 12.45   Syracuse: -10.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 8.4   Syracuse: -13.1




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -10.385  #113
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 1.25  #132
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 13.92  #70
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Syracuse's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1  #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 38
Syracuse 17


Projected Total Points: 55
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Syracuse's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Syracuse13Pittsburgh30Pittsburgh -9.5Pittsburgh54.5Under
202410/24Pittsburgh41Syracuse13Pittsburgh -5.0Pittsburgh62.5Under
202311/11Syracuse28Pittsburgh13Pittsburgh -4.5Syracuse37.5Over
202211/05Pittsburgh19Syracuse9Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh47.5Under
202111/27Syracuse14Pittsburgh31Pittsburgh -12Pittsburgh58.5Under
202009/19Pittsburgh21Syracuse10Pittsburgh -21.5Syracuse46.5Under
201910/18Syracuse20Pittsburgh27Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh52.5Under
201810/06Pittsburgh44Syracuse37Syracuse -3.5Pittsburgh58.0Over
201710/07Syracuse27Pittsburgh24Syracuse -3Push63.0Under
201611/26Pittsburgh76Syracuse61Pittsburgh -23.5Syracuse65.5Over
201510/24Syracuse20Pittsburgh23Pittsburgh -6.5Syracuse49.0Under
201411/22Pittsburgh30Syracuse7Pittsburgh -8Pittsburgh0
201311/23Syracuse16Pittsburgh17Pittsburgh -1.5Syracuse0
201210/05Syracuse14Pittsburgh13
201112/03Pittsburgh33Syracuse20
201010/16Syracuse14Pittsburgh45
200911/07Pittsburgh37Syracuse10
200809/27Syracuse24Pittsburgh34
200711/03Pittsburgh20Syracuse17
200610/07Syracuse11Pittsburgh21
200510/22Pittsburgh34Syracuse17
200411/06Syracuse38Pittsburgh31
200310/25Pittsburgh34Syracuse14
200210/05Syracuse24Pittsburgh48
200110/13Pittsburgh10Syracuse42
200010/06Syracuse24Pittsburgh17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse653 Overs
Pittsburgh2078 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 107 - 53 - 24 - 3
Road Teams10 - 165 - 73 - 42 - 3

(#31) PITT at (#113) SYR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTSYR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #31 #113
SP+SP+ #36 #115
Perf GradeGrade #72 #132
OffenseOff #102 #129
DefenseDef #26 #127
Spec TeamsST #73 #114
TalentTal #58 #43
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #49
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/16) No show vs ND, non competitive. Pitt isn't good
(10/25) Four W's in a row, killed NC St, Heintschel 400+
(10/12) QB Heintschel saved season. Chance 7-2 hosting ND
(10/9) Ton of injuries, and a lot of DL. See injury report
(10/4) QB Holstein benched, Fr Mason Heintschel starting
(10/4) RB D Reid missed L'ville, out for BC game
(10/4) QB Heintschel much better, raises Offense, new #1
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
Pittsburgh Injury Report
Syracuse Notes
(10/31) QB1 will be Joseph Filardi, a freshman w/ 1 snap
(10/31) QB Filardi cannot play at all. Cuse have 0 QBs
(10/24) Backup QB Collins bad, Fr Carney can't run offense
(9/21) QB1 Angeli out for season (Achilles)
(9/20) Off torched Clemson, Def played well. Huge Win
(9/20) Can't say enough about HC Brown, great job
(8/30) Def torched by Vols, Angeli Ok, run game bad
(8/18) QB1 Steve Angeli (ND) wins starting job
(5/23) Cuse were 7-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/7) OL 2/5 back, Avg LY. 2 more have exp, Petry inj
(4/17) Fr OL Washington is 6'7, 380 lbs and can move.
(4/17) Top WR Pena in portal, big loss. Some depth
Syracuse Injury Report
Pittsburgh on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffSYR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #102 #127
SuccessSuc #85 #91
ExplosiveExp #19 #90
PPAPPA #91 #107
PowerPwr #25 #70
SP+SP+ #39 #106
Pts POPPO #49 #112
HavocHav #128 #52
Pittsburgh Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffSYR Def
Run GameRun #84 #136
Run SuccessRSuc #56 #58
Run ExplRExp #41 #115
PPAExp #42 #71
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLY #53 #77
Stuff RateStuff #71 #74
TackleTak -  #60
Pittsburgh Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffSYR Def
Pass GamePass #119 #93
Pass SuccessPSuc #97 #114
Pass ExplPExl #55 #26
PPAExp #112 #113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #68 #99
F7 HavocF7 #119 #54
DB HavocDB #126 #44
Syracuse on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSYR OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #129 #26
SuccessSuc #14 #25
ExplosiveExp #68 #122
PPAPPA #28 #35
PowerPwr #132 #34
SP+SP+ #115 #47
Pts POPPO #38 #57
HavocHav #61 #31
Syracuse Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #115 #5
Run SuccessRSuc #57 #20
Run ExplRExp #128 #67
PPAExp #98 #13
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #98 #2
Stuff RateStuff #68 #5
TackleTak -  #25
Syracuse Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSYR OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #128 #60
Pass SuccessPSuc #5 #38
Pass ExplPExl #89 #123
PPAExp #18 #70
Pass Block/RushP Blk #119 #62
F7 HavocF7 #30 #25
DB HavocDB #117 #50
Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Pittsburgh 9.5 (54.5)
Pittsburgh won at Syracuse this year (30-13)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse last year (30-13)
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse in 2024 (41-13)
Syracuse beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (28-13)

  
PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mason Heintschel20131664%23571687.5
Eli Holstein7712562%10811268.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Kyrian Turner14074775.356
Desmond Reid6027824.653
Juelz Goff6927053.917
Mason Heintschel868821.036
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Raphael Williams52741714.367
Kenny Johnson47658514.042
Cataurus Hicks (Tr)24422417.684
Desmond Reid23317213.850

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles10017544
Kyle Louis798333
Braylan Lovelace796162
Kavir Bains (Tr)581004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles10017544
Jimmy Scott178481
Isaiah Neal367441
Kyle Louis798333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashad Battle422105
Rasheem Biles10017544
Kavir Bains (Tr)581004

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rickie Collins (Tr)9718154%10426105.8
Steven Angeli9715563%13171028.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis12955344.341
Will Nixon10743234.028
Tylik Hill2412905.415
Rickie Collins (Tr)5412612.324
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Johntay Cook II (Tr)47559211.959
Darrell Gill Jr.32506515.843
Dan Villari39412010.635
Justus Ross-Simmons20312515.653

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Elijah Robinson (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gary Bryant III (Tr)535110
Antoine Deslauriers483102
Braheem Long Jr.422202
Chris Peal (Tr)392007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Jobity Jr.206501
Jamie Tremble103320
Braheem Long Jr.422202
Denis Jaquez Jr.195220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Peal (Tr)392007
Demetres Samuel Jr.371007
Darian Chestnut350003