Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
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Pittsburgh Panthers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

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Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (7:00 PM EST)
Georgia Tech -2.5 (61.5) (-135)  Open: -3.0
Pittsburgh 42 - Georgia Tech: 28  (ACC)

 
Panthers (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Georgia Tech -4  (SP+ GT -1)
Projected Score: PITT: 28 - GT: 32 (60)
GT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 520 miles
Yellow Jackets (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (18 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-39.558.5W 61 - 9OY
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21.548.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+3.053.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-6.554.5W 48 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+10.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-9.554.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-5.552.5W 53 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-13.551.5W 35 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+12.555.5L 15 - 37UN
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+2.561.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+6.549.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 12/27 Pittsburgh vs East Carolina-13.551.5L 17 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia Tech at Colorado-4.055.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/6 Georgia Tech vs Gardner-Webb-37.560.5W 59 - 12OY
Sat 9/13 Georgia Tech vs Clemson+2.549.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 9/20 Georgia Tech vs Temple-24.552.5W 45 - 24ON
Sat 9/27 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest-13.553.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech-14.055.5W 35 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia Tech at Duke+3.560.5W 27 - 18UY
Sat 10/25 Georgia Tech vs Syracuse-17.552.5W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/1 Georgia Tech at NC State-4.558.5L 36 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Georgia Tech at Boston College-16.561.5W 36 - 34ON
Sat 11/22 Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh-2.561.5L 28 - 42ON
Fri 11/28 Georgia Tech vs Georgia+15.559.5L 9 - 16UY
Sat 12/27 Georgia Tech vs BYU+3.555.0L 21 - 25UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)33.745% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)24.838% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)32.245% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)2541% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1333.73341.6%4.111.3213751192564.342%58%45%39%21%.15
GT Defense132522.542.3%3.970.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1324.824.638.1%3.681.2 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.12
GT Offense1332.238.745.9%4.250.6203941722224.954%46%45%46%12%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1324:0120.738%52%6.458.21.31.27.63627.3
Georgia Tech1328:4419.841%56%4.635.60.60.85.21.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1342% (116)45% (56)27.3118.64.314 (98).18 (42)3.1 (53)77% (40)12% (119)1.05 (41)
GT Defense1347% (30)41% (50) - - - - .05 (31)2.56 (12)59% (9)10% (73)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1345% (13)38% (20) - - - - - (13)2.36 (2)48% (1)12% (25)0.98 (67)
GT Offense1354% (44)45% (47)35172.44.929 (18).14 (62)2.85 (100)75% (56)7% (21)1.03 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1358% (18)39% (97)21.835.9256.27.111.727 (20)13 (103).13 (112)1.6 (55)32% (85)35% (30).36 (60)8% (126)2.1 (40)
GT Defense1353% (107)44% (99) - - - - - - 5 (117).27 (85)1.5 (42)32% (75)27% (26).21 (33)5% (88)2 (50)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1355% (122)38% (38) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (70)1.8 (123)37% (3)31% (82).33 (82)6% (50)2.2 (113)
GT Offense1346% (90)46% (25)18.829221.87.711.814 (108)6 (10).36 (26)1.5 (110)29% (22)38% (10).44 (24)5% (34)1.9 (105)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 12.45  #31
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 20.31  #25
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.86  #34
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4  #36
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 12.45   Georgia Tech: 14.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 8.4   Georgia Tech: 9.3




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 14.49  #23
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 24.65  #12
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.97  #47
2025 Talent Rating: 766.00  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
Georgia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Georgia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #35
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #34
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 32
Pittsburgh 28


Projected Total Points: 60
Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Georgia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Georgia Tech28Pittsburgh42Georgia Tech -2.5Pittsburgh61.5Over
202210/01Pittsburgh21Georgia Tech26Pittsburgh -21.5Georgia Tech47.0Push
202110/02Georgia Tech21Pittsburgh52Pittsburgh -3Pittsburgh57.5Over
202012/10Georgia Tech20Pittsburgh34Pittsburgh -7.5Pittsburgh55.5Under
201911/02Georgia Tech10Pittsburgh20Pittsburgh -9.5Pittsburgh44.0Under
201809/15Pittsburgh24Georgia Tech19Georgia Tech -3Pittsburgh54.0Under
201709/23Georgia Tech35Pittsburgh17Georgia Tech -7.5Georgia Tech55.0Under
201610/08Pittsburgh37Georgia Tech34Pittsburgh -8Georgia Tech53.0Over
201510/17Georgia Tech28Pittsburgh31Georgia Tech -3Pittsburgh48.5Over
201410/25Pittsburgh28Georgia Tech56Pittsburgh -4Georgia Tech0
201311/02Georgia Tech21Pittsburgh10Georgia Tech -8Georgia Tech0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech454 Overs
Pittsburgh764 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 73 - 82 - 51 - 3
Road Teams7 - 48 - 33 - 15 - 2

(#31) PITT at (#23) GT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTGT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #31 #23
SP+SP+ #36 #35
Perf GradeGrade #72 #51
OffenseOff #102 #33
DefenseDef #26 #107
Spec TeamsST #73 #19
TalentTal #58 #63
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #39
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/16) No show vs ND, non competitive. Pitt isn't good
(10/25) Four W's in a row, killed NC St, Heintschel 400+
(10/12) QB Heintschel saved season. Chance 7-2 hosting ND
(10/9) Ton of injuries, and a lot of DL. See injury report
(10/4) QB Holstein benched, Fr Mason Heintschel starting
(10/4) RB D Reid missed L'ville, out for BC game
(10/4) QB Heintschel much better, raises Offense, new #1
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
Pittsburgh Injury Report
Georgia Tech Notes
(12/3) HC Brent Key extended w/ new 5 year deal
(11/23) Def torched by Pitt, King 2 Int ultimately cost em
(11/16) Def torched by BC. Off/King bailed in 2H.
(11/1) Def torched @ NC St for nearly 600 yds, 48 pts
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/18) Outplayed by Duke, but Good Rush Off & found a way
(10/18) H King had 235 of 376 total yards. Pass Def torched
(8/29) H King is a dawg of a runner, pass inconsistent
(5/29) 8 of 26 portals on OL (3) & DL (5). 6 DB adds
(5/29) RB Haynes great, Alexander back w/ depth.
(5/29) WR lost #1 (Aub). 5 portal adds (FIU #1/2)
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. Schemed around LY, OTs huge ?
Georgia Tech Injury Report
Pittsburgh on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffGT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #102 #107
SuccessSuc #85 #77
ExplosiveExp #19 #72
PPAPPA #91 #65
PowerPwr #25 #47
SP+SP+ #39 #57
Pts POPPO #49 #85
HavocHav #128 #78
Pittsburgh Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffGT Def
Run GameRun #84 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #56 #50
Run ExplRExp #41 #74
PPAExp #42 #31
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLY #53 #12
Stuff RateStuff #71 #4
TackleTak -  #114
Pittsburgh Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffGT Def
Pass GamePass #119 #96
Pass SuccessPSuc #97 #99
Pass ExplPExl #55 #42
PPAExp #112 #85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #68 #114
F7 HavocF7 #119 #73
DB HavocDB #126 #88
Georgia Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatGT OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #26
SuccessSuc #29 #25
ExplosiveExp #88 #122
PPAPPA #36 #35
PowerPwr #12 #34
SP+SP+ #34 #47
Pts POPPO #35 #57
HavocHav #22 #31
Georgia Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
GT OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #59 #5
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #20
Run ExplRExp #46 #67
PPAExp #62 #13
Run BlockR Blk #40 -
OL YdsOLY #100 #2
Stuff RateStuff #95 #5
TackleTak -  #25
Georgia Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatGT OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #23 #60
Pass SuccessPSuc #25 #38
Pass ExplPExl #110 #123
PPAExp #26 #70
Pass Block/RushP Blk #64 #62
F7 HavocF7 #21 #25
DB HavocDB #34 #50
Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Georgia Tech -2.5 (61.5)
Pittsburgh won at Georgia Tech this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Georgia Tech last year (42-28)

  
PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mason Heintschel20131664%23571687.5
Eli Holstein7712562%10811268.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Kyrian Turner14074775.356
Desmond Reid6027824.653
Juelz Goff6927053.917
Mason Heintschel868821.036
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Raphael Williams52741714.367
Kenny Johnson47658514.042
Cataurus Hicks (Tr)24422417.684
Desmond Reid23317213.850

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles10017544
Kyle Louis798333
Braylan Lovelace796162
Kavir Bains (Tr)581004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles10017544
Jimmy Scott178481
Isaiah Neal367441
Kyle Louis798333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashad Battle422105
Rasheem Biles10017544
Kavir Bains (Tr)581004

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King25236170%29511468.2
Aaron Philo212875%3731113.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Haynes King185953155.245
Malachi Hosley (Tr)9869777.155
Jamal Haynes12453154.347
Jordan Allen685114.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers (Tr)47671214.368
Malik Rutherford46523311.471
Isiah Canion32467414.642
Jordan Allen22304013.878

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Blake Gideon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford772212
E.J. Lightsey761011
Clayton Powell-Lee650012
Omar Daniels604101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akelo Stone (Tr)195401
Jordan van den Berg4211440
Brayden Manley (Tr)173351
Cayman Spaulding (Tr)413301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmari Harvey263107
Rodney Shelley382003
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)353113