Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -6.5 (54.5) (-280) Open: -2.5 | 57.5
West Virginia 31 - Pittsburgh: 24
Panthers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 43 - 19 (24 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#78)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 43 - 19 (24 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#78)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Pittsburgh -0.5 (SP+ PITT -4.5)
Projected Score: PITT: 27 - WVU: 27 (54)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
PITT Travel: 55 miles
Projected Score: PITT: 27 - WVU: 27 (54)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
PITT Travel: 55 miles
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 15 (38 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 15 (38 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
| Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Pittsburgh vs Duquesne | -39.5 | 58.5 | W 61 - 9 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan | -21.5 | 48.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Pittsburgh at West Virginia | -6.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Pittsburgh vs Louisville | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Pittsburgh vs Boston College | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Pittsburgh at Florida State | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Pittsburgh at Syracuse | -2 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Pittsburgh vs NC State | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Pittsburgh at Stanford | -9.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Pittsburgh vs Miami | +13 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| West Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | West Virginia vs Robert Morris | -40.0 | 56.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | West Virginia at Ohio | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 10 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | West Virginia vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 54.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | West Virginia at Kansas | +13.5 | 54.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | West Virginia vs Utah | +11 | |||||
| Fri 10/3 | West Virginia at BYU | +8.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | West Virginia at UCF | +2 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | West Virginia vs TCU | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | West Virginia at Houston | +0.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | West Virginia vs Colorado | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | West Virginia at Arizona State | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | West Virginia vs Texas Tech | +14 | |||||
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | #39 (.31) | 46% (48) | 43.3 | 48% (47) | 2.54 (106) | 112 | 46% (51) | 315 | 3.83 (78) | #59 (.11) | 30% (13) | 19 | 29% (12) | 31% (23) | 4.46 (105) | 72 | 1 | 1 |
| WVU | #82 (.16) | 42% (85) | 28.7 | 44% (78) | 2.84 (84) | 213 | 39% (96) | 223 | 4.33 (51) | #17 (-.04) | 32% (19) | 14.7 | 34% (30) | 32% (28) | 2.53 (36) | 71.3 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | #91 (.15) | 42% (85) | 45% (56) | 3.1 (53) | 119 | 39% (97) | 256 | 4.11 (49) | #35 (.12) | 38% (25) | 38% (20) | 38% (38) | 3.68 (57) | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | ||
| WVU | #63 (.2) | 43% (69) | 44% (75) | 3.05 (64) | 196 | 41% (73) | 210 | 4.6 (16) | #124 (.3) | 45% (103) | 41% (46) | 49% (128) | 4.74 (131) | 33.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 3 | 43.3 | 24 | 46.5% | 3.83 | 1 | 19 | 427 | 112 | 315 | 3.9 | 43% | 57% | 48% | 46% | 18% | .31 |
| WVU Defense | 3 | 14.7 | 13.5 | 32.5% | 2.53 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 34% | 32% | 20% | -.04 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 3 | 19 | 31 | 30.2% | 4.46 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 29% | 31% | 21% | .11 |
| WVU Offense | 3 | 28.7 | 38 | 41.7% | 4.33 | 2.3 | 22 | 436 | 213 | 223 | 4.6 | 56% | 44% | 44% | 39% | 15% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 3 | 25:37 | 19.3 | 38% | 50% | 7.7 | 72 | 1 | 1 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 1 | 37.7 |
| West Virginia | 3 | 25:03 | 22.3 | 29% | 50% | 7.7 | 71.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 0 | 29.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 3 | 43% (112) | 48% (47) | 28.7 | 112.3 | 3.9 | 5 (62) | .15 (62) | 2.54 (106) | 77% (45) | 10% (83) | 1 (57) |
| WVU Defense | 3 | 51% (85) | 34% (30) | - | - | - | - | -.1 (22) | 2.32 (30) | 71% (72) | 13% (30) | 0.9 (60) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 3 | 53% (99) | 29% (12) | - | - | - | - | -.04 (35) | 2.05 (13) | 77% (98) | 16% (8) | 1.07 (93) |
| WVU Offense | 3 | 56% (33) | 44% (78) | 46.3 | 213 | 4.6 | 9 (17) | .12 (77) | 2.84 (84) | 71% (67) | 11% (105) | 0.96 (66) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 3 | 57% (28) | 46% (51) | 23 | 35.3 | 315 | 8.9 | 13.7 | 10 (7) | 3 (92) | .48 (29) | 1.7 (29) | 28% (45) | 36% (37) | .55 (30) | 8% (122) | 2.1 (53) |
| WVU Defense | 3 | 48% (53) | 32% (28) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .03 (24) | 1.5 (64) | 35% (53) | 27% (56) | .15 (42) | 7% (45) | 1.6 (31) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 3 | 47% (40) | 31% (23) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .28 (94) | 1.7 (109) | 39% (13) | 16% (15) | .13 (38) | 5% (91) | 2.2 (98) |
| WVU Offense | 3 | 44% (97) | 39% (96) | 18.3 | 27.7 | 223.3 | 8.1 | 12.2 | 2 (102) | 3 (92) | .21 (88) | 1.4 (110) | 30% (61) | 25% (106) | .19 (101) | 4% (45) | 1.7 (104) |
Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 11.23 #51
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 11.23 #51
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 11.23 West Virginia: 9.88
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 10.0 West Virginia: 5.6
Pittsburgh: 11.23 West Virginia: 9.88
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 10.0 West Virginia: 5.6
West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.88 #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.88 #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 43.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 31
Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 43.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 31
Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 27
West Virginia 27
Total Points: 54
Pittsburgh 27
West Virginia 27
Total Points: 54
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5
West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5
West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/13 | West Virginia | 31 | Pittsburgh | 24 | West Virginia | Pittsburgh -6.5 | West Virginia | 54.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 09/14 | Pittsburgh | 38 | West Virginia | 34 | Pittsburgh | West Virginia -2.5 | Pittsburgh | 60.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/16 | West Virginia | 17 | Pittsburgh | 6 | West Virginia | West Virginia -2.5 | West Virginia | 48.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 09/01 | Pittsburgh | 38 | West Virginia | 31 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -7.5 | West Virginia | 50.0 | Over |
| 2011 | 11/25 | West Virginia | 21 | Pittsburgh | 20 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2010 | 11/26 | Pittsburgh | 10 | West Virginia | 35 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2009 | 11/27 | West Virginia | 19 | Pittsburgh | 16 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Pittsburgh | 19 | West Virginia | 15 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2007 | 12/01 | West Virginia | 9 | Pittsburgh | 13 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2006 | 11/16 | Pittsburgh | 27 | West Virginia | 45 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2005 | 11/24 | West Virginia | 45 | Pittsburgh | 13 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2004 | 11/25 | Pittsburgh | 16 | West Virginia | 13 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2003 | 11/15 | West Virginia | 52 | Pittsburgh | 31 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | West Virginia | 17 | Pittsburgh | 23 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2000 | 11/23 | Pittsburgh | 38 | West Virginia | 28 | Pittsburgh |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 8 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Pittsburgh | 7 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 4 | 3 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 11 | 1 - 3 | 0 - 2 | 1 - 1 |
(#51) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: 11.23 #51
Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Pittsburgh has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Pittsburgh Notes
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
(6/14) OC Bell an upgrade LY, DC Bates improved D.
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh has a good pass defense (#23)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh has a bad red zone defense (#105)
Power Rating: 11.23 #51
Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Pittsburgh has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Pittsburgh Notes
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
(6/14) OC Bell an upgrade LY, DC Bates improved D.
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh has a good pass defense (#23)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh has a bad red zone defense (#105)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WVU | PITT |
| OverallOver | #62 | #11 |
| OffenseOff | #92 | #56 |
| DefenseDef | #29 | #3 |
| Special TeamsST | #40 | #16 |
| PassingPass | #89 | #87 |
| RushingRush | #75 | #36 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #105 | #40 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #66 | #37 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #67 | #51 |
| TacklingTkl | #77 | #9 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #12 | #4 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #78 | #3 |
| Coverage DefCov | #45 | #28 |
Rematch from Week 3
Pittsburgh 6.5 (54.5)
West Virginia won vs Pittsburgh this year (31-24)
Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat West Virginia last year (38-34)
West Virginia beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (17-6)
Pittsburgh beat West Virginia in 2022 (38-31)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: PITT | WVU
Depth Chart: PITT | WVU
Rosters: PITT | WVU
(#56) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 9.88 #56
Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.53 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
West Virginia has lost 1 straight
West Virginia has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
West Virginia Notes
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
(5/29) OL has bottom 20 exp & 94% is from 10 portals
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia is Undefeated at Home
West Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
West Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Defense Sacks the QB a lot
West Virginia has a really good defense (#19)
West Virginia has a good run defense (#30)
West Virginia has a good pass defense (#28)
West Virginia Defensive Line is very good (#30)
West Virginia Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
West Virginia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad TO Margin (#125)
West Virginia Fumbles a Lot (#128)
West Virginia Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
West Virginia offense is not Explosive (#107)
West Virginia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#102)
West Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 9.88 #56
Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.53 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
West Virginia has lost 1 straight
West Virginia has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
West Virginia Notes
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
(5/29) OL has bottom 20 exp & 94% is from 10 portals
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia is Undefeated at Home
West Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
West Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Defense Sacks the QB a lot
West Virginia has a really good defense (#19)
West Virginia has a good run defense (#30)
West Virginia has a good pass defense (#28)
West Virginia Defensive Line is very good (#30)
West Virginia Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
West Virginia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad TO Margin (#125)
West Virginia Fumbles a Lot (#128)
West Virginia Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
West Virginia offense is not Explosive (#107)
West Virginia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#102)
West Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Holstein | 58 | 88 | 66% | 822 | 9 | 3 | 9.3 |
| Cole Gonzales (Tr) | 8 | 16 | 50% | 87 | 1 | 0 | 5.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Reid | 24 | 142 | 1 | 5.9 | 53 |
| Juelz Goff | 21 | 84 | 2 | 4.0 | 17 |
| Eli Holstein | 25 | 50 | 1 | 2.0 | 31 |
| Ja'Kyrian Turner | 10 | 35 | 1 | 3.5 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Williams | 13 | 285 | 3 | 21.9 | 67 |
| Bryce Yates | 4 | 143 | 1 | 35.8 | 68 |
| Kenny Johnson | 8 | 86 | 1 | 10.8 | 20 |
| Cataurus Hicks (Tr) | 7 | 84 | 2 | 12.0 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheem Biles | 29 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Cruce Brookins | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kyle Louis | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Braylan Lovelace | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Louis | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Zelinsky | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Zach Crothers | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Blaine Spires (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheem Biles | 29 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Cruce Brookins | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Braylan Lovelace | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicco Marchiol | 51 | 71 | 72% | 594 | 2 | 1 | 8.4 |
| Jaylen Henderson (Tr) | 2 | 7 | 29% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Edwards (Tr) | 25 | 141 | 3 | 5.6 | 27 |
| Jahiem White | 24 | 133 | 3 | 5.5 | 32 |
| Scotty Fox Jr. | 8 | 65 | 1 | 8.1 | 59 |
| Clay Ash | 21 | 62 | 0 | 3.0 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Vaughn (Tr) | 12 | 203 | 1 | 16.9 | 46 |
| Grayson Barnes (Tr) | 9 | 97 | 1 | 10.8 | 34 |
| Jaden Bray | 7 | 95 | 0 | 13.6 | 45 |
| Rodney Gallagher | 8 | 73 | 0 | 9.1 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Perry (Tr) | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Darrian Lewis (Tr) | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Cutter | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kekoura Tarnue | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Wilson (Tr) | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Fred Perry (Tr) | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Hammond Russell IV | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Edward Vesterinen | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Perry (Tr) | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Kekoura Tarnue | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Eddie Kelly | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |