Notre Dame at Pittsburgh - 2025 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA

 
Fighting Irish (4 - 2) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 21 (40 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -9.5  (SP+ ND -10)

Projected Score: ND: 35 - PITT: 26 (61)
ND Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ND Travel: 335 miles
Panthers (4 - 2) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 40 - 22 (45 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-8.561.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-26.5
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-24.5
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-9.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-30.5
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-30.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-39.558.5W 61 - 9OY
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21.548.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+3.053.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-6.554.5W 48 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+10.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-10.554.5
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-9
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+9.5
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+5
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+10

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#13 (.35)50% (18)4049% (27)3.06 (56)17551% (16)2935.05 (14)#64 (.16)41% (69)20.843% (82)40% (62)3.36 (37)5012
PITT#27 (.3)44% (55)39.844% (72)2.87 (80)12345% (51)3094.13 (62)#43 (.11)34% (8)21.532% (9)36% (24)4 (80)63.21.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense6404049.9%5.05124468175293553%47%49%51%14%.35
PITT Defense621.516.833.8%41.3 - - - - - 49%51%32%36%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense620.82041.3%3.362 - - - - - 44%56%43%40%15%.16
PITT Offense639.845.344.3%4.131.7214331233093.844%55%44%45%17%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame629:5423.749%36%5.850123.52.3231.1
Pittsburgh628:122137%63%763.21.71.38.52.8234.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense653% (42)49% (27)34.8174.7517 (16).23 (31)3.06 (56)54% (134)9% (71)1.07 (34)
PITT Defense649% (59)32% (9) - - - - -.05 (15)2.12 (4)71% (71)15% (6)1.05 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense644% (16)43% (82) - - - - .14 (93)3.16 (117)68% (52)6% (134)0.9 (43)
PITT Offense644% (107)44% (72)32.2123.23.89 (77).13 (70)2.87 (80)70% (87)10% (76)0.95 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense647% (90)51% (16)1928292.810.515.413 (27)3 (26).5 (14)1.7 (18)29% (36)45% (3).62 (9)5% (52)1.8 (109)
PITT Defense651% (81)36% (24) - - - - - - 4 (62).27 (84)1.7 (109)39% (9)25% (29).22 (46)5% (93)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense656% (121)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (2).19 (52)1.5 (69)34% (38)26% (31).23 (51)8% (10)2 (82)
PITT Offense655% (30)45% (51)23.235.7309.38.713.418 (4)8 (125).47 (18)1.7 (16)29% (41)33% (54).53 (23)8% (121)2.2 (31)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 30.98  #10
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 29.14  #8
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.15  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 1072.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 58%  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.3  #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #23

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 833
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 30.98   Pittsburgh: 16.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 21.3   Pittsburgh: 11.3




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 16.705  #37
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 19.76  #36
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 2.65  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3  #33
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #31
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #46

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 40
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 35
Pittsburgh 26


Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 37
Pittsburgh 25

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 31
Notre Dame 30

Total Points: 61
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.3
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Notre Dame58Pittsburgh7Notre Dame -21Notre Dame45.5Over
202010/24Pittsburgh3Notre Dame45Notre Dame -10Notre Dame43.5Over
201810/13Notre Dame19Pittsburgh14Notre Dame -21Pittsburgh56.0Under
201511/07Pittsburgh30Notre Dame42Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame52.5Over
201311/09Pittsburgh28Notre Dame21Notre Dame -3.5Pittsburgh0
201211/03Notre Dame29Pittsburgh26
201109/24Pittsburgh12Notre Dame15
201010/09Notre Dame23Pittsburgh17
200911/14Pittsburgh27Notre Dame22
200811/01Notre Dame33Pittsburgh36
200509/03Pittsburgh21Notre Dame42
200411/13Notre Dame38Pittsburgh41
200310/11Pittsburgh14Notre Dame20
200210/12Notre Dame14Pittsburgh6
200110/06Notre Dame24Pittsburgh7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh423 Overs
Notre Dame1131 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 72 - 31 - 11 - 2
Road Teams7 - 83 - 22 - 11 - 1

(#10) ND at (#37) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDPITT
Power RatePwr #10 #37
SP+SP+ #9 #33
Perf GradeGrade #18 #41
OffenseOff #10 #77
DefenseDef #45 #12
Spec TeamsST #44 #47
TalentTal #6 #58
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #56

Notre Dame Notes
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
(9/15) Pass Def is awful. DB depth is huge issue
(9/15) DL a big issue, no pass rush w/ all these DEs?
(8/31) Carr is a baller, but OL is not good. Def leaked
(8/19) QB1 will be CJ Carr, beat Kenny Minchey

Pittsburgh Notes
(10/12) QB Heintschel saved season. Chance 7-2 hosting ND
(10/9) Ton of injuries, and a lot of DL. See injury report
(10/4) QB Holstein benched, Fr Mason Heintschel starting
(10/4) RB D Reid missed L'ville, out for BC game
(10/4) QB Heintschel much better, raises Offense, new #1
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffPITT Def
Perf GradePerf #10 #12
SuccessSuc #18 #8
ExplosiveExp #16 #120
PPAPPA #13 #43
PowerPwr #8 #39
SP+SP+ #4 #46
Pts POPPO #14 #80
HavocHav #58 #18
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #14 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #9
Run ExplRExp #34 #98
PPAExp #31 #15
Run BlockR Blk #73 -
OL YdsOLY #56 #4
Stuff RateStuff #100 #10
TackleTak -  #17
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #12 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #24
Pass ExplPExl #18 #109
PPAExp #14 #84
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #72 #11
F7 HavocF7 #71 #6
DB HavocDB #52 #93
Pittsburgh on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatPITT OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #77 #45
SuccessSuc #55 #69
ExplosiveExp #12 #60
PPAPPA #27 #64
PowerPwr #36 #27
SP+SP+ #31 #23
Pts POPPO #62 #37
HavocHav #108 #103
Pittsburgh Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
PITT OffND Def
Run GameRun #94 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #82
Run ExplRExp #72 #43
PPAExp #70 #93
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #80 #117
Stuff RateStuff #98 #123
TackleTak -  #28
Pittsburgh Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatPITT OffND Def
Pass GamePass #116 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #62
Pass ExplPExl #16 #69
PPAExp #18 #52
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #73
F7 HavocF7 #76 #134
DB HavocDB #121 #10
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (58-7)

  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr10515867%162213310.3
Kenny Minchey8989%950010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love10053085.346
Jadarian Price6342276.749
Nolan James Jr.83304.115
Aneyas Williams63015.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison29376213.048
Eli Raridon20342017.165
Malachi Fields (Tr)18339218.866
Will Pauling (Tr)13243318.742

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen311120
Adon Shuler290002
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa282111
Jaiden Ausberry261100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore246530
Jaylen Sneed143200
Drayk Bowen311120
Jordan Botelho111110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray110006
Mark Zackery IV71002
Adon Shuler290002

PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eli Holstein7411863%10581159.0
Mason Heintschel547473%680629.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid3618715.253
Ja'Kyrian Turner3818244.819
Juelz Goff4617933.917
Mason Heintschel269203.530
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Raphael Williams25438417.567
Kenny Johnson21294214.042
Desmond Reid14226216.150
Cataurus Hicks (Tr)11197317.956

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles529232
Kyle Louis415211
Braylan Lovelace404041
Cruce Brookins331002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blaine Spires (Tr)125320
Rasheem Biles529232
Kyle Louis415211
Jimmy Scott94251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles529232
Josh Guerrier60002
Shawn Lee Jr.143002