Notre Dame at Pittsburgh - 2025 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA

 
Fighting Irish (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (46 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.8 - 1.2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -18.5   (SP+ ND -21.5)
Projected Score: ND: 39 - PITT: 20 (56)
ND Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
ND Travel: 335 miles
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.054.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-6
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-40.5
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-14
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-19
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-22.5
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-21
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-33
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-18.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-23
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-29

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-28
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+5
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-5
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+5.5
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse+3.5
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-1
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+18.5
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+5
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+13

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)36.147% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)15.543% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)32.945% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)28.438% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense1636.14647%4.80.8173411811606.353%47%47%47%11%.32
PITT Defense1328.421.638.1%3.681.2 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1615.518.336.4%2.751.8 - - - - - 51%48%43%29%19%-.02
PITT Offense1332.937.641.6%4.111.3213751192564.342%58%45%39%21%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1624:3416.839%76%4.842.40.81.842.1533.2
Pittsburgh1324:0120.738%52%6.458.21.31.27.63627.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1653% (46)47% (26)28.6181.36.342 (3).36 (2)3.31 (24)73% (71)8% (26)1.3 (1)
PITT Defense1345% (13)38% (20) - - - - - (13)2.36 (2)48% (1)12% (25)0.98 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1651% (78)43% (73) - - - - .1 (58)2.9 (49)67% (29)10% (57)0.85 (12)
PITT Offense1342% (116)45% (56)27.3118.64.314 (98).18 (42)3.1 (53)77% (40)12% (119)1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1647% (89)47% (21)14.922.4159.97.210.820 (58)6 (10).29 (50)1.3 (133)28% (19)32% (58).45 (22)3% (6)2.1 (50)
PITT Defense1355% (122)38% (38) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (70)1.8 (123)37% (3)31% (82).33 (82)6% (50)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1648% (59)29% (1) - - - - - - 18 (4)-.15 (1)1.6 (67)34% (29)27% (24).1 (2)8% (6)1.6 (2)
PITT Offense1358% (18)39% (97)21.835.9256.27.111.727 (20)13 (103).13 (112)1.6 (55)32% (85)35% (30).36 (60)8% (126)2.1 (40)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 26.60 #10
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 26.16 #10
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -0.44 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 1072.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.9 #6
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #9
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.4 #8

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 811
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 26.60   Pittsburgh: 7.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.9   Pittsburgh: 3.4




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 7.125 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 17.28 #47
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 11.43 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 752.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #47
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 823.53
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 46
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 39
Pittsburgh 20

Projected Total Points: 56
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Notre Dame58Pittsburgh7Notre DameNotre Dame -21Notre Dame45.5Over
202010/24Pittsburgh3Notre Dame45Notre DameNotre Dame -10Notre Dame43.5Over
201810/13Notre Dame19Pittsburgh14Notre DameNotre Dame -21Pittsburgh56.0Under
201511/07Pittsburgh30Notre Dame42Notre DameNotre Dame -7.5Notre Dame52.5Over
201311/09Pittsburgh28Notre Dame21PittsburghNotre Dame -3.5Pittsburgh0
201211/03Notre Dame29Pittsburgh26Notre Dame
201109/24Pittsburgh12Notre Dame15Notre Dame
201010/09Notre Dame23Pittsburgh17Notre Dame
200911/14Pittsburgh27Notre Dame22Pittsburgh
200811/01Notre Dame33Pittsburgh36Pittsburgh
200509/03Pittsburgh21Notre Dame42Notre Dame
200411/13Notre Dame38Pittsburgh41Pittsburgh
200310/11Pittsburgh14Notre Dame20Notre Dame
200210/12Notre Dame14Pittsburgh6Notre Dame
200110/06Notre Dame24Pittsburgh7Notre Dame
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh423 Overs
Notre Dame1131 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 72 - 31 - 11 - 2
Road Teams7 - 83 - 22 - 11 - 1

(#10) Notre Dame Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.60 #10
Offense Rating: 26.16 #10
Defense Rating: -0.44 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.9 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.4 #8
Talent Rating: 1072.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #8
Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 29%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Notre Dame Notes
(5/23) Secondary top 5 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(4/4) CB Moore (So)/LB Bowen (Jr) top 10 via PFF
(3/21) New DC Ash big shoes to fill (Golden-NFL)
(3/18) QB1? Angeli, Carr, Minchey
(3/18) RBs Love/Price/Williams best in CFB?
(3/18) WR, Greathouse CFP star, Faison shifty
(3/18) WR, can portals Fields/Pauling be weapons?
(3/18) OL loaded. Health, time to gel a concern.
(3/18) Def great, needs new leaders w/ new DC
(1/18) Freeman a rising star, ext'd to 2030
Notre Dame     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #10
#50
Off #10
#47
Def #6
#47
Talent #6
#58
SP+ #6
#47
SP+ Off #9
#45
SP+ Def #8
#55

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (58-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ND | PITT
Depth Chart: ND | PITT
Rosters: ND | PITT
(#50) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.125 #50
Offense Rating: 17.28 #47
Defense Rating: 11.43 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 752.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Pittsburgh Notes
(6/14) Look better TY esp Off, but harder schedule.
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
(6/14) OL 3/5 back, 3 portals, could be top 1/2 ACC
(6/14) Def decent LY, 7 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) OC Bell an upgrade LY, DC Bates improved D.
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) WR rebuild. Took 3 portals. Have some options
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era


  
Notre Dame's OC Mike Denbrock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malachi Fields (Tr)2367%510017.0
Tyler Buchner11100%230023.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1631124176.998
Jadarian Price12074676.270
Aneyas Williams3421926.458
Kedren Young2111615.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields (Tr)55808514.745
Jaden Greathouse42592414.154
Will Pauling (Tr)4240739.728
Jordan Faison30356111.944

View Notre Dame's Full Roster
Notre Dame's DC Chris Ash
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen784122
Adon Shuler593025
Jaiden Ausberry566121
Jaylen Sneed516320
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Dawson (Tr)197400
Donovan Hinish344441
Junior Tuihalamaka326331
Boubacar Traore126320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leonard Moore4820111
Christian Gray353009
DeVonta Smith (Tr)301015

Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Gonzales (Tr)19631263%24711257.9
Eli Holstein17929062%22251777.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid18496655.372
Eli Holstein8132834.049
Cole Gonzales (Tr)5919423.350
Che Nwabuko676112.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid52579411.172
Kenny Johnson46537311.746
Raphael Williams36419611.635
Censere Lee19254313.482

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Rasheem Biles8014439
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Javon Mcintyre514013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Jimmy Scott3013662
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Rasheem Biles8014439
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles8014439
Tamon Lynum372106
Kyle Louis10016793