Boston College at Pittsburgh - 2025 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -6.5 (54.5) (-250)  Open: -4.5 | 54.5
Pittsburgh 48 - Boston College: 7  (ACC)

 
Eagles (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -15.5  (SP+ PITT -18)

Projected Score: BC: 21 - PITT: 36 (57)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BC Travel: 477 miles
Panthers (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-6.054.5L 24 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+6.554.5L 7 - 48ON
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+14.054.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn+2.558.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+25.554.5L 24 - 38OY
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+31.555.5L 10 - 25UY
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+10.554.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+16.561.5L 34 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse-2.554.5W 34 - 12UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-39.558.5W 61 - 9OY
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21.548.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+3.053.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-6.554.5W 48 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+10.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-9.554.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-5.552.5W 53 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-13.551.5W 35 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+12.555.5L 15 - 37UN
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+2.561.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+6.549.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 12/27 Pittsburgh vs East Carolina-13.551.5L 17 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#79 (.16)42% (65)25.442% (91)2.75 (107)10444% (50)2803.39 (98)#114 (.23)43% (83)32.844% (85)42% (72)3.82 (86)49.71.81
PITT#59 (.19)41% (95)33.741% (96)2.62 (123)10841% (76)2543.65 (76)#33 (.09)35% (11)24.834% (7)37% (27)3.81 (83)64.71.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1225.42542.4%3.391.8213841042803.340%58%42%44%17%.16
PITT Defense1324.825.135.2%3.811.5 - - - - - 46%52%34%37%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1232.83442.6%3.821 - - - - - 50%47%44%42%12%.23
PITT Offense1333.736.640.6%3.651.4193621082543.643%55%41%41%18%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1229:1620.839%52%5.949.71.813.81.3127.6
Pittsburgh1326:2318.933%61%7.164.71.41.56.82.2633.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1240% (128)42% (91)31.31043.316 (88).05 (104)2.75 (107)80% (15)10% (82)0.89 (103)
PITT Defense1346% (27)34% (7) - - - - -.03 (9)2.34 (5)69% (53)13% (9)0.98 (80)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1250% (73)44% (85) - - - - .12 (81)2.79 (54)70% (59)7% (127)1.04 (106)
PITT Offense1343% (115)41% (96)30108.53.618 (70).06 (96)2.62 (123)67% (96)11% (106)1.01 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1258% (9)44% (50)23.937.8280.27.411.720 (42)12 (60).25 (67)1.4 (124)31% (65)31% (55).32 (64)7% (99)1.9 (91)
PITT Defense1352% (107)37% (27) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (53)1.6 (110)37% (11)26% (18).17 (20)6% (49)2.1 (95)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1247% (56)42% (72) - - - - - - 6 (75).39 (120)1.7 (127)29% (117)33% (109).36 (99)5% (104)2 (76)
PITT Offense1355% (22)41% (76)20.332.6253.87.812.528 (8)14 (127).34 (39)1.7 (28)33% (104)31% (63).35 (53)8% (123)2 (69)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.24  #61
Boston College's Offense Rating: 10.55  #61
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.31  #70
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #102
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #94
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #111

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.24   Pittsburgh: 11.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -9.4   Pittsburgh: 9.0




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 11.98  #42
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 13.68  #47
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 3.72  #38
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0  #36
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #33
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 36
Boston College 21


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 32
Boston College 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 34
Boston College 25

Total Points: 59
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Pittsburgh48Boston College7Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh54.5Over
202411/30Boston College34Pittsburgh23Boston College -3.5Boston College50.5Over
202311/16Pittsburgh24Boston College16Pittsburgh -1Pittsburgh47.0Under
202010/10Boston College31Pittsburgh30Pittsburgh -6.0Boston College42.5Over
201911/30Pittsburgh19Boston College26Pittsburgh -9Boston College52.0Under
201409/05Boston College20Pittsburgh30Boston College -1Pittsburgh0
200410/16Pittsburgh20Boston College17
200311/01Boston College13Pittsburgh24
200210/26Pittsburgh19Boston College16
200110/20Boston College45Pittsburgh7
200010/20Pittsburgh42Boston College26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh733 Overs
Boston College432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 34 - 23 - 21 - 0
Road Teams3 - 82 - 40 - 12 - 3

(#61) BC at (#42) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBCPITT
Power RatePwr #61 #42
SP+SP+ #102 #36
Perf GradeGrade #107 #59
OffenseOff #74 #100
DefenseDef #126 #24
Spec TeamsST #45 #69
TalentTal #56 #58
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #56
Boston College Notes
(11/16) 500+ yds in L vs GT. Rough, lost season for BC
(10/31) Sounds like Dylan Lonergan is QB1 vs ND
(10/22) Defense near worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) LT Bowry, LG Daugherty both out vs UConn
(10/18) L to UConn at home ugly, Pass Def torched, Off OK
(10/18) QB James in for Lonergan (benched). Run Off awful
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
Boston College Injury Report
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/16) No show vs ND, non competitive. Pitt isn't good
(10/25) Four W's in a row, killed NC St, Heintschel 400+
(10/12) QB Heintschel saved season. Chance 7-2 hosting ND
(10/9) Ton of injuries, and a lot of DL. See injury report
(10/4) QB Holstein benched, Fr Mason Heintschel starting
(10/4) RB D Reid missed L'ville, out for BC game
(10/4) QB Heintschel much better, raises Offense, new #1
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
Pittsburgh Injury Report
Boston College on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffPITT Def
Perf GradePerf #74 #24
SuccessSuc #65 #11
ExplosiveExp #92 #120
PPAPPA #79 #33
PowerPwr #61 #38
SP+SP+ #94 #50
Pts POPPO #98 #83
HavocHav #92 #16
Boston College Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #118 #10
Run SuccessRSuc #91 #7
Run ExplRExp #103 #80
PPAExp #104 #9
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLY #107 #5
Stuff RateStuff #56 #6
TackleTak -  #11
Boston College Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #84 #33
Pass SuccessPSuc #50 #27
Pass ExplPExl #124 #110
PPAExp #67 #53
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #68 #54
F7 HavocF7 #82 #9
DB HavocDB #99 #49
Pittsburgh on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatPITT OffBC Def
Perf GradePerf #100 #126
SuccessSuc #95 #83
ExplosiveExp #9 #127
PPAPPA #59 #114
PowerPwr #47 #70
SP+SP+ #33 #111
Pts POPPO #76 #86
HavocHav #120 #127
Pittsburgh Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffBC Def
Run GameRun #85 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #96 #85
Run ExplRExp #54 #106
PPAExp #96 #81
Run BlockR Blk #73 -
OL YdsOLY #123 #54
Stuff RateStuff #129 #46
TackleTak -  #59
Pittsburgh Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatPITT OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #119 #108
Pass SuccessPSuc #76 #72
Pass ExplPExl #28 #127
PPAExp #39 #120
Pass Block/RushP Blk #85 #101
F7 HavocF7 #106 #127
DB HavocDB #123 #104
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

BC 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77°
Rematch from Week 6
Pittsburgh -6.5 (54.5)
Pittsburgh won vs Boston College this year (48-7)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Pittsburgh last year (34-23)
Pittsburgh beat Boston College in 2023 (24-16)

  
BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)19028467%20251257.1
Grayson James8715158%1196757.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard14574995.271
Jordan Mcdonald9439744.217
Grayson James546501.220
Bo MacCormack III154312.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond891010111.354
Reed Harris39673517.357
Jeremiah Franklin48489210.232
Kaelan Chudzinski24313413.045

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price933030
Omar Thornton828211
Carter Davis592102
Owen McGowan545113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sedarius McConnell318300
Omar Thornton828211
Quintayvious Hutchins364271
Favor Bate (Tr)141122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Farris280006
Amari Jackson70004
Ashton Cunningham130003

PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mason Heintschel20131664%23571687.5
Eli Holstein7712562%10811268.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Kyrian Turner14074775.356
Desmond Reid6027824.653
Juelz Goff6927053.917
Eli Holstein368812.431
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Raphael Williams52741714.367
Kenny Johnson47658514.042
Cataurus Hicks (Tr)24422417.684
Desmond Reid23317213.850

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles10017544
Kyle Louis798333
Braylan Lovelace796162
Kavir Bains (Tr)581004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles10017544
Jimmy Scott178481
Isaiah Neal367441
Kyle Louis798333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashad Battle422105
Rasheem Biles10017544
Kavir Bains (Tr)581004