Boston College at Pittsburgh - 2025 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA  (ACC)

 
Eagles (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 42 - 27 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -5.5   (SP+ PITT -7)

Projected Score: BC: 30 - PITT: 36 (66)
PITT Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
BC Travel: 477 miles
Panthers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 43 - 19 (53 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#78)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-1.5
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+5.5
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+6
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn-6.5
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+11.5
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+8.5
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+1.5
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse+1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 7, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-39.558.5W 61 - 9OY
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21.548.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+3.5
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-5.5
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+11.5
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-2
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-4.5
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+5.5
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+4.5
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+13

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#63 (.22)48% (41)4240% (100)2.33 (122)7452% (26)3943.9 (71)#38 (.04)33% (27)27.336% (40)30% (20)3.6 (70)34.71.30.7
PITT#39 (.31)46% (48)43.348% (47)2.54 (106)11246% (51)3153.83 (78)#59 (.11)30% (13)1929% (12)31% (23)4.46 (105)7211
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense3423047.7%3.91.323467743942.635%64%40%52%12%.22
PITT Defense3191330.2%4.461 - - - - - 53%47%29%31%21%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense327.33633.1%3.60.7 - - - - - 55%44%36%30%17%.04
PITT Offense343.35346.5%3.831194271123153.943%57%48%46%18%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College330:5123.352%50%4.734.71.30.76.32.7130.2
Pittsburgh325:3719.338%50%7.772119.73.7137.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense335% (135)40% (100)28.773.72.65 (62)-.17 (133)2.33 (122)100% (1)8% (51)0.46 (135)
PITT Defense353% (99)29% (12) - - - - -.04 (35)2.05 (13)77% (98)16% (8)1.07 (93)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense355% (108)36% (40) - - - - .01 (50)2.43 (36)56% (26)12% (46)0.91 (63)
PITT Offense343% (112)48% (47)28.7112.33.95 (62).15 (62)2.54 (106)77% (45)10% (83)1 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense364% (3)52% (26)31.742.7393.79.212.410 (7)1 (23).42 (42)1.3 (118)30% (65)31% (70).33 (72)5% (54)1.9 (90)
PITT Defense347% (40)31% (23) - - - - - - 2 (56).28 (94)1.7 (109)39% (13)16% (15).13 (38)5% (91)2.2 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense344% (28)30% (20) - - - - - - 1 (87).09 (35)1.7 (110)31% (85)24% (40).04 (25)6% (70)2 (70)
PITT Offense357% (28)46% (51)2335.33158.913.710 (7)3 (92).48 (29)1.7 (29)28% (45)36% (37).55 (30)8% (122)2.1 (53)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 12.05 #47
Boston College's Offense Rating: 14.25 #58
Boston College's Defense Rating: 2.21 #35
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #64
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #54
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 12.05   Pittsburgh: 13.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.9   Pittsburgh: 10.0




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 13.115 #51
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 36
Boston College 30


Total Points: 66

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 43.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 53
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Boston College34Pittsburgh23Boston CollegeBoston College -3.5Boston College50.5Over
202311/16Pittsburgh24Boston College16PittsburghPittsburgh -1Pittsburgh47.0Under
202010/10Boston College31Pittsburgh30Boston CollegePittsburgh -6.0Boston College42.5Over
201911/30Pittsburgh19Boston College26Boston CollegePittsburgh -9Boston College52.0Under
201409/05Boston College20Pittsburgh30PittsburghBoston College -1Pittsburgh0
200410/16Pittsburgh20Boston College17Pittsburgh
200311/01Boston College13Pittsburgh24Pittsburgh
200210/26Pittsburgh19Boston College16Pittsburgh
200110/20Boston College45Pittsburgh7Boston College
200010/20Pittsburgh42Boston College26Pittsburgh
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh622 Overs
Boston College432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 33 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams3 - 72 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#47) Boston College Info
Power Rating: 12.05 #47
Offense Rating: 14.25 #58
Defense Rating: 2.21 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67
Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Boston College has lost 3 straight
Boston College has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Boston College Notes
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, bad LY, needs to improve
(3/21) Def below avg LY. Need to find a pass rush

Boston College Highlights
Boston College offense is good on 3rd downs
Boston College has a really good defense (#27)
Boston College has a good pass defense (#20)
Boston College Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#25)

Boston College Deficiencies
Boston College Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Boston College Can Not Run the Ball (#130)
Boston College offense is not Explosive (#120)
Boston College run game is really bad (#100)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatPITTBC
OverallOver#11#32
OffenseOff#56#39
DefenseDef#3#44
Special TeamsST#16#54
PassingPass#87#13
RushingRush#36#98
Run BlockRBLK#40#82
Pass BlockPBLK#37#27
Route RunningWR Rt#51#22
TacklingTkl#9#97
Run DefenseR Def#4#40
Pass Rush DefPRush#3#33
Coverage DefCov#28#61

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Pittsburgh last year (34-23)
Pittsburgh beat Boston College in 2023 (24-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | PITT
Depth Chart: BC | PITT
Rosters: BC | PITT
(#51) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: 13.115 #51
Offense Rating: 15.01 #53
Defense Rating: 3.78 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Pittsburgh has lost 2 straight
Pittsburgh has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Pittsburgh Notes
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth
(6/14) OC Bell an upgrade LY, DC Bates improved D.
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era

Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh is Undefeated at Home
Pittsburgh is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh has a good pass defense (#23)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)

Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh has a bad red zone defense (#105)


  
Boston College's OC Will Lawing
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)9012373%991918.1
Grayson James55100%1901038.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard4315823.713
Jordan Mcdonald154613.18
Anthony Ferrucci41403.55
Bo MacCormack III4912.35
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond2927509.532
Reed Harris11196217.846
Jeremiah Franklin1917519.221
Turbo Richard12149212.449

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Tim Lewis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Thornton205101
KP Price201000
Owen McGowan183100
Carter Davis131101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Thornton205101
Owen McGowan183100
Carter Davis131101
Daveon Crouch112111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Syair Torrence40003
Max Tucker90001
Amari Jackson30001

Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eli Holstein588866%822939.3
Cole Gonzales (Tr)81650%87105.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid2414215.953
Juelz Goff218424.017
Eli Holstein255012.031
Ja'Kyrian Turner103513.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Raphael Williams13285321.967
Bryce Yates4143135.868
Kenny Johnson886110.820
Cataurus Hicks (Tr)784212.022

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles293032
Cruce Brookins230002
Kyle Louis194200
Braylan Lovelace181011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis194200
Joseph Zelinsky42210
Zach Crothers153210
Blaine Spires (Tr)103220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles293032
Cruce Brookins230002
Braylan Lovelace181011