Boston College at Pittsburgh Game Matchup
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA  (ACC)

 
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -4.5   (SP+ PITT -3)
Projected Score: BC: 26 - PITT: 30 (56)
PITT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
BC Travel: 477 miles
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Boston College vs Fordham-26
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-7
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+4.5
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+20.5
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn-9
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+12
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+21
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+8.5
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse+5.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-28
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+5
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-4.5
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+5.5
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse+3.5
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-1
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+18.5
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+5
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+13

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)28.241% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)23.840% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)32.945% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)28.438% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1328.222.440.9%41.2183401641764.356%44%41%41%13%.16
PITT Defense1328.421.638.1%3.681.2 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1323.828.842.2%3.641.8 - - - - - 45%55%40%44%16%.15
PITT Offense1332.937.641.6%4.111.3213751192564.342%58%45%39%21%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1329:2517.843%50%4.2401.21.84.72330.3
Pittsburgh1324:0120.738%52%6.458.21.31.27.63627.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1356% (26)41% (96)38.2164.24.322 (55).01 (120)2.87 (99)72% (79)9% (53)0.86 (120)
PITT Defense1345% (13)38% (20) - - - - - (13)2.36 (2)48% (1)12% (25)0.98 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1345% (12)40% (40) - - - - .05 (33)2.84 (43)82% (120)9% (96)0.92 (40)
PITT Offense1342% (116)45% (56)27.3118.64.314 (98).18 (42)3.1 (53)77% (40)12% (119)1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1344% (108)41% (78)13.922.2176.27.912.724 (38)7 (26).34 (29)1.9 (7)30% (50)32% (68).34 (68)4% (12)2.3 (11)
PITT Defense1355% (122)38% (38) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (70)1.8 (123)37% (3)31% (82).33 (82)6% (50)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1355% (123)44% (104) - - - - - - 16 (10).23 (67)1.4 (12)32% (71)29% (43).2 (26)7% (36)1.8 (22)
PITT Offense1358% (18)39% (97)21.835.9256.27.111.727 (20)13 (103).13 (112)1.6 (55)32% (85)35% (30).36 (60)8% (126)2.1 (40)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.57 #54
Boston College's Offense Rating: 16.27 #52
Boston College's Defense Rating: 11.70 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #62
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 4.57   Pittsburgh: 7.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 0.3   Pittsburgh: 3.4




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 7.125 #51
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 17.28 #47
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 11.43 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 752.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #47
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 30
Boston College 26

Projected Total Points: 56
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Boston College34Pittsburgh23Boston CollegeBoston College -3.5Boston College50.5Over
202311/16Pittsburgh24Boston College16PittsburghPittsburgh -1Pittsburgh47.0Under
202010/10Boston College31Pittsburgh30Boston CollegePittsburgh -6.0Boston College42.5Over
201911/30Pittsburgh19Boston College26Boston CollegePittsburgh -9Boston College52.0Under
201409/05Boston College20Pittsburgh30PittsburghBoston College -1Pittsburgh0
200410/16Pittsburgh20Boston College17Pittsburgh
200311/01Boston College13Pittsburgh24Pittsburgh
200210/26Pittsburgh19Boston College16Pittsburgh
200110/20Boston College45Pittsburgh7Boston College
200010/20Pittsburgh42Boston College26Pittsburgh
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh622 Overs
Boston College432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 33 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams3 - 72 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#54) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #54
Offense Rating: 16.27 #52
Defense Rating: 11.70 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 786.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Boston College Notes
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, bad LY, needs to improve
(3/21) Def below avg LY. Need to find a pass rush
(3/21) Took 6 FCS portals on lines, 4 Def, 2 Off.
(3/21) Off could be much improved if OL/QB jump.
(3/21) O'Brien central casting BC HC. 2nd yr staff
Boston College     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #54
#51
Off #52
#47
Def #50
#47
Talent #51
#58
SP+ #62
#47
SP+ Off #68
#45
SP+ Def #55
#55

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Pittsburgh last year (34-23)
Pittsburgh beat Boston College in 2023 (24-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | PITT
Depth Chart: BC | PITT
Rosters: BC | PITT
(#51) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.125 #51
Offense Rating: 17.28 #47
Defense Rating: 11.43 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 752.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Pittsburgh Notes
(4/4) LB K. Louis/R. Biles both top 10 LBs via PFF
(3/21) QB Holstein back, was OK LY. Same OC
(3/21) RB Reid one of ACC best. Need more here
(3/21) WR rebuild. Took 3 portals. Have some options
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, not good LY. 2 portal adds
(3/21) Def avg LY, 5 portals, 4 on DL. Light on DBs
(3/21) OC Bell was an upgrade LY.
(3/21) Don't know what Pitt wants to be in NIL era


  
Boston College's OC Will Lawing
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson James10616664%1202627.2
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)5683%23003.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Mcdonald5336136.841
Turbo Richard5527825.130
Vaughn Pemberton (Tr)6127624.541
Vincent Wilkins (Tr)2110815.155
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond67689310.349
Vincent Wilkins (Tr)37504613.675
Reed Harris17486428.672
Jeremiah Franklin27311311.534

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Tim Lewis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Daveon Crouch747233
Carter Davis431003
Max Tucker301002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quintayvious Hutchins296480
Owen Stoudmire294320
Daveon Crouch747233
KP Price812115
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Amari Jackson180004
Ashton McShane201004

Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Gonzales (Tr)19631263%24711257.9
Eli Holstein17929062%22251777.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid18496655.372
Eli Holstein8132834.049
Cole Gonzales (Tr)5919423.350
Che Nwabuko676112.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid52579411.172
Kenny Johnson46537311.746
Raphael Williams36419611.635
Censere Lee19254313.482

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Rasheem Biles8014439
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Javon Mcintyre514013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Jimmy Scott3013662
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Rasheem Biles8014439
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles8014439
Tamon Lynum372106
Kyle Louis10016793