Pittsburgh at Stanford - 2025 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Stanford Stadium - Stanford, CA  (ACC)

 
Panthers (4 - 2) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 40 - 22 (29 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
STAN is playing their 4th straight game
PITT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -18.5  (SP+ PITT -21.5)

Projected Score: PITT: 37 - STAN: 19 (56)
PITT Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
PITT Travel: 2253 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (2 - 4) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne-39.558.5W 61 - 9OY
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan-21.548.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia-6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+3.053.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-6.554.5W 48 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State+10.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-10.555.5
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State-9
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+9.5
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech+5
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami+10

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i+1.553.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+20.544.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+14.044.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+16.548.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-3.049.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+19.555.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+17.552.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+36
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+18.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+5
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+30.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#27 (.3)44% (55)39.844% (72)2.87 (80)12345% (51)3094.13 (62)#43 (.11)34% (8)21.532% (9)36% (24)4 (80)63.21.71.3
STAN#109 (.11)38% (120)18.838% (114)2.6 (116)9538% (106)2412.96 (129)#108 (.23)46% (115)30.246% (112)45% (108)3.39 (42)62.51.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense639.82944.3%4.131.7214331233093.844%55%44%45%17%.3
STAN Defense630.224.545.8%3.390.8 - - - - - 39%61%46%45%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense621.53133.8%41.3 - - - - - 49%51%32%36%20%.11
STAN Offense618.83038.2%2.961.31833695241348%52%38%38%17%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh628:122137%63%763.21.71.38.52.8234.7
Stanford630:3718.233%69%762.51.30.842123.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense644% (107)44% (72)32.2123.23.89 (77).13 (70)2.87 (80)70% (87)10% (76)0.95 (72)
STAN Defense639% (2)46% (112) - - - - .04 (40)3.06 (102)80% (114)7% (126)0.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense649% (59)32% (9) - - - - -.05 (15)2.12 (4)71% (71)15% (6)1.05 (98)
STAN Offense648% (88)38% (114)31.794.735 (115).01 (118)2.6 (116)79% (31)11% (102)0.89 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense655% (30)45% (51)23.235.7309.38.713.418 (4)8 (125).47 (18)1.7 (16)29% (41)33% (54).53 (23)8% (121)2.2 (31)
STAN Defense661% (135)45% (108) - - - - - - 1 (128).35 (113)1.5 (74)33% (59)35% (118).32 (84)5% (106)1.7 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense651% (81)36% (24) - - - - - - 4 (62).27 (84)1.7 (109)39% (9)25% (29).22 (46)5% (93)2.2 (113)
STAN Offense652% (49)38% (106)19.332.8240.87.312.56 (110)4 (50).23 (87)1.6 (62)32% (78)25% (112).16 (113)6% (87)1.7 (129)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 17.11  #37
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 19.76  #36
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 2.65  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3  #33
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #31
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #46

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 17.11   Stanford: -4.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 11.3   Stanford: -10.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.26  #85
Stanford's Offense Rating: 5.99  #96
Stanford's Defense Rating: 9.31  #75
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #42
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #108
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #106
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 37
Stanford 19


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 30
Stanford 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 31
Stanford 25

Total Points: 56
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201812/31Pittsburgh13Stanford14Stanford -3.5Pittsburgh52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford100 Overs
Pittsburgh011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#37) PITT at (#85) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTSTAN
Power RatePwr #37 #85
SP+SP+ #33 #108
Perf GradeGrade #41 #116
OffenseOff #77 #87
DefenseDef #12 #130
Spec TeamsST #47 #26
TalentTal #58 #39
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #42

Pittsburgh Notes
(10/12) QB Heintschel saved season. Chance 7-2 hosting ND
(10/9) Ton of injuries, and a lot of DL. See injury report
(10/4) QB Holstein benched, Fr Mason Heintschel starting
(10/4) RB D Reid missed L'ville, out for BC game
(10/4) QB Heintschel much better, raises Offense, new #1
(9/13) Run Off awful vs WVU, Red Zone issues too
(7/13) Look better TY esp Off, sleeper ACC pick
(7/13) WR #2+3 back, 3 portals. Shorter, but deep
(7/13) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, top 3rd ACC line?
(7/13) Def decent LY, 8 portals, 3 DEs to find pass rush
(6/14) RB Reid one of ACC best. Must find depth

Stanford Notes
(9/21) Run Off 31 car, 35 yds vs Stan, QB much better
(8/24) Pass game was beyond awful vs Hawaii Wk 0
(8/12) QB1 Gulbranson will start at Hawaii in week 0
(6/30) RBs had zero rush TD's LY, no 500 yd RB in 5+
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues
Pittsburgh on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
PITT OffSTAN Def
Perf GradePerf #77 #130
SuccessSuc #55 #115
ExplosiveExp #12 #66
PPAPPA #27 #108
PowerPwr #36 #75
SP+SP+ #31 #99
Pts POPPO #62 #42
HavocHav #108 #124
Pittsburgh Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
PITT OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #94 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #112
Run ExplRExp #72 #15
PPAExp #70 #40
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #80 #102
Stuff RateStuff #98 #109
TackleTak -  #115
Pittsburgh Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
PITT OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #116 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #108
Pass ExplPExl #16 #74
PPAExp #18 #113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #71 #107
F7 HavocF7 #76 #126
DB HavocDB #121 #106
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatSTAN OffPITT Def
Perf GradePerf #87 #12
SuccessSuc #120 #8
ExplosiveExp #67 #120
PPAPPA #109 #43
PowerPwr #96 #39
SP+SP+ #106 #46
Pts POPPO #129 #80
HavocHav #100 #18
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #62 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #9
Run ExplRExp #102 #98
PPAExp #118 #15
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #4
Stuff RateStuff #83 #10
TackleTak -  #17
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatSTAN OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #101 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #24
Pass ExplPExl #62 #109
PPAExp #87 #84
Pass Block/RushP Blk #111 #11
F7 HavocF7 #102 #6
DB HavocDB #87 #93
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eli Holstein7411863%10581159.0
Mason Heintschel547473%680629.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid3618715.253
Ja'Kyrian Turner3818244.819
Juelz Goff4617933.917
Mason Heintschel269203.530
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Raphael Williams25438417.567
Kenny Johnson21294214.042
Desmond Reid14226216.150
Cataurus Hicks (Tr)11197317.956

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles529232
Kyle Louis415211
Braylan Lovelace404041
Cruce Brookins331002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blaine Spires (Tr)125320
Rasheem Biles529232
Kyle Louis415211
Jimmy Scott94251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles529232
Josh Guerrier60002
Shawn Lee Jr.143002

STAN's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Gulbranson (Tr)11619659%1445647.4
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford9140034.475
Cole Tabb3919415.017
Tuna Altahir (Tr)155503.79
Sedrick Irvin155213.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Williams36412111.436
Bryce Farrell19381120.168
Sam Roush18219212.269
Caden High (Tr)15190012.734

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Jaivion Green241003
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clay Patterson144331
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green241003
Matt Rose474112
Collin Wright220002