California at Stanford - 2025 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Stanford Stadium - Stanford, CA  (ACC)

 
Golden Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (19 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
CAL coming off BYE
STAN coming off BYE
Our Line: California -1   (SP+ CAL -6)
Projected Score: CAL: 26 - STAN: 25 (52)
CAL Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
CAL Travel: 31 miles
Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
 
California's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 California at Oregon State+2.552.5
Sat 9/6 California vs Texas Southern-21.5
Sat 9/13 California vs Minnesota+9.5
Sat 9/20 California at San Diego State-8
Sat 9/27 California at Boston College+7
Sat 10/4 California vs Duke+5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 California vs North Carolina+1.5
Fri 10/24 California at Virginia Tech+10
Sat 11/1 California vs Virginia-0.5
Sat 11/8 California at Louisville+16.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 California at Stanford-1
Sat 11/29 California vs SMU+13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.555.5
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+14.5
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+5.5
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+7.5
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+21.5
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+10.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+28
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+7.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+1
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+29

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)25.140% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)22.341% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)22.841% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)33.745% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.119.441.5%3.070.8213811222593.641%58%40%43%18%.17
STAN Defense1233.72946.6%4.531.3 - - - - - 43%57%45%48%14%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1322.323.840.4%3.231.7 - - - - - 47%53%41%40%18%.14
STAN Offense1222.824.540.1%3.671.8193251341913.750%50%41%39%22%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1330:3620.737%44%7.459.70.81.75.42.5229.6
Stanford1231:4118.535%56%5.4491.81.35.32.1228.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1341% (121)40% (104)33.7122.23.617 (84).07 (99)2.68 (120)69% (98)13% (126)1.1 (22)
STAN Defense1243% (4)45% (92) - - - - .11 (62)2.92 (53)68% (39)10% (58)0.99 (70)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1347% (28)41% (53) - - - - .08 (44)2.99 (65)86% (129)10% (72)0.91 (37)
STAN Offense1250% (71)41% (95)36.3133.83.711 (116).08 (97)2.72 (116)66% (111)15% (131)1.01 (52)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1358% (14)43% (57)23.235.7258.67.311.116 (87)7 (26).25 (72)1.4 (126)36% (128)30% (85).36 (58)5% (23)2.2 (23)
STAN Defense1257% (131)48% (124) - - - - - - 9 (76).4 (125)1.6 (69)30% (96)34% (113).33 (85)4% (129)2 (51)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1353% (103)40% (67) - - - - - - 17 (5).21 (52)1.7 (92)33% (44)30% (59).39 (102)8% (12)2.2 (111)
STAN Offense1250% (64)39% (98)18.730.8191.36.210.318 (68)17 (127).13 (111)1.5 (120)32% (82)26% (116).22 (106)7% (102)2.1 (29)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -3.99 #78
California's Offense Rating: 10.21 #92
California's Defense Rating: 14.20 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 758.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #83
California's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.18
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -3.99   Stanford: -3.005

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -0.3   Stanford: -6.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -3.005 #80
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.63 #94
Stanford's Defense Rating: 14.44 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #40
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.18
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

California's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 26
Stanford 25

Projected Total Points: 52
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23California24Stanford21CaliforniaCalifornia -15Stanford53.5Under
202311/18Stanford15California27CaliforniaCalifornia -6.5California52.5Under
202211/19California27Stanford20CaliforniaCalifornia -5California46.0Over
202111/20Stanford11California41CaliforniaCalifornia -2.5California46.0Over
202011/27California23Stanford24StanfordStanford -2California51.0Under
201911/23Stanford20California24CaliforniaCalifornia -1California41.5Over
201812/01California13Stanford23StanfordStanford -3Stanford46.5Under
201711/18Stanford17California14StanfordStanford -14California56.5Under
201611/19California31Stanford45StanfordStanford -11Stanford60.5Over
201511/21Stanford35California22StanfordStanford -12.5Stanford63.0Under
201411/22California17Stanford38StanfordStanford -6.5Stanford0
201311/23Stanford63California13StanfordStanford -28.5Stanford0
201210/20California3Stanford21Stanford
201111/19Stanford31California28Stanford
201011/20California14Stanford48Stanford
200911/21Stanford28California34California
200811/22California37Stanford16California
200712/01Stanford20California13Stanford
200612/02California26Stanford17California
200511/19Stanford3California27California
200411/20California41Stanford6California
200311/22Stanford16California28California
200111/17Stanford35California28Stanford
200011/17California30Stanford36Stanford
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford1364 Overs
California1166 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 21 - 6
Road Teams13 - 118 - 46 - 12 - 3

(#78) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.99 #78
Offense Rating: 10.21 #92
Defense Rating: 14.20 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #51
Talent Rating: 758.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #83
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


California Notes
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
(4/4) Donors want Wilcox reporting to new GM Rivera
(3/21) QB Brown (OSU), Fr Sagapolutele huge add
(3/21) WR has pieces, talent. 5 portals past 2 yrs
(3/21) Def bad LY, replacing a lot. 6 portal adds
California     Ratings Matchup     Stanford
Power #78
#80
Off #92
#94
Def #63
#64
Talent #56
#45
SP+ #65
#88
SP+ Off #79
#82
SP+ Def #51
#96

Previous Matchups
California beat Stanford last year (24-21)
California beat Stanford in 2023 (27-15)
California beat Stanford in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CAL | STAN
Depth Chart: CAL | STAN
Rosters: CAL | STAN
(#80) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.005 #80
Offense Rating: 9.63 #94
Defense Rating: 14.44 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #96
Talent Rating: 804.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #40
Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Stanford Notes
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues
(3/21) RB awful LY, Daniels was lead rusher. Not ideal
(3/21) Def returns a ton, but a disaster LY.
(3/21) Former QB Luck now GM, oversees HC/staff


  
California's OC Bryan Harsin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Harris193161%184015.9
Devin Brown (Tr)112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brandon High9349585.366
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)7842535.440
LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr)7430354.135
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)1810105.643
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Hamper (Tr)43869520.274
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)36512314.243
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Landon Morris (Tr)16251115.758

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buom Jock (Tr)973023
Harrison Taggart (Tr)693143
Cade Uluave683152
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
Ryan McCulloch185381
Nathan Burrell295311
Serigne Tounkara52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4800010
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)381004

Stanford's OC TBD
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Rizk (Tr)7311862%915527.8
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Caden High (Tr)119308.523
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
David Pantelis (Tr)61901814.862
Caden High (Tr)60876614.670
Sam Roush4033428.428
CJ Williams16248215.550

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scotty Edwards802002
Mitch Leigber544011
Collin Wright453005
Tevarua Tafiti417430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Zach Buckey116301
Hunter Barth (Tr)384212
Ernest Cooper223120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Scotty Edwards802002