California Golden Bears at Oregon State Beavers
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -3 (51.5) (-148) Open: -3.0 | 51.5
California 34 - Oregon State: 15
Golden Bears (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (34 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (34 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: California -9 (SP+ CAL -17.5)
Projected Score: CAL: 30 - ORST: 21 (51)
ORST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CAL Travel: 465 miles
Projected Score: CAL: 30 - ORST: 21 (51)
ORST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CAL Travel: 465 miles
Beavers (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (21 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (21 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| California's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | California at Oregon State | +3.0 | 51.5 | W 34 - 15 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | California vs Texas Southern | -44.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | California vs Minnesota | +3.0 | 41.5 | W 27 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | California at San Diego State | -12.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | California at Boston College | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | California vs Duke | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | California vs North Carolina | -9 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | California at Virginia Tech | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | California vs Virginia | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | California at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | California at Stanford | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | California vs SMU | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Oregon State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Oregon State vs California | -3.0 | 51.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Oregon State vs Fresno State | -1.0 | 45.5 | L 27 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Oregon State at Texas Tech | +24.5 | 61.5 | L 7 - 45 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Oregon State at Oregon | +35.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Oregon State vs Houston | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Oregon State at App State | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Oregon State vs Wake Forest | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Oregon State vs Lafayette | -20.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Oregon State vs Washington State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Oregon State vs Sam Houston | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Oregon State at Tulsa | -6 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Oregon State at Washington State | -2.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | #85 (.16) | 42% (80) | 32 | 40% (93) | 3.05 (63) | 122 | 44% (68) | 266 | 3.58 (90) | #22 (-.02) | 35% (32) | 10.7 | 37% (54) | 34% (38) | 2.71 (41) | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| ORST | #55 (.24) | 48% (40) | 16.3 | 44% (68) | 2.25 (123) | 76 | 50% (32) | 296 | 4.23 (55) | #89 (.18) | 37% (54) | 38.3 | 34% (34) | 41% (73) | 4 (89) | 37.7 | 2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | ||
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Offense | 3 | 32 | 34 | 42.2% | 3.58 | 0.7 | 19 | 388 | 122 | 266 | 4.1 | 42% | 57% | 40% | 44% | 13% | .16 |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 38.3 | 35 | 36.9% | 4 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 44% | 34% | 41% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Defense | 3 | 10.7 | 15 | 34.8% | 2.71 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 57% | 37% | 34% | 19% | -.02 |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 16.3 | 21 | 47.9% | 4.23 | 2 | 22 | 372 | 76 | 296 | 2.8 | 42% | 57% | 44% | 50% | 18% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | 3 | 29:09 | 18.7 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 33.2 |
| Oregon State | 3 | 32:58 | 21.7 | 45% | 60% | 5.7 | 37.7 | 2 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 0 | 29.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Offense | 3 | 42% (117) | 40% (93) | 29.7 | 122 | 4.1 | 4 (79) | .13 (73) | 3.05 (63) | 58% (109) | 8% (58) | 1.14 (36) |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 55% (104) | 34% (34) | - | - | - | - | .02 (54) | 2.17 (18) | 67% (53) | 9% (85) | 1.14 (102) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 37% (54) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (25) | 2.56 (48) | 67% (53) | 10% (61) | 0.76 (27) |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 42% (115) | 44% (68) | 27.3 | 76 | 2.8 | 2 (109) | -.02 (111) | 2.25 (123) | 90% (14) | 10% (86) | 0.68 (127) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Offense | 3 | 57% (22) | 44% (68) | 24 | 36 | 266.3 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .18 (96) | 1.4 (97) | 28% (41) | 27% (99) | .24 (91) | 5% (71) | 2.2 (39) |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 44% (31) | 41% (73) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .38 (114) | 1.9 (121) | 29% (111) | 28% (65) | .55 (119) | 7% (41) | 2.9 (134) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Defense | 3 | 57% (117) | 34% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .04 (25) | 1.3 (27) | 37% (31) | 16% (15) | -.09 (12) | 9% (17) | 2 (67) |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 57% (26) | 50% (32) | 25.7 | 42 | 295.7 | 7 | 11.5 | 5 (54) | 5 (129) | .39 (47) | 1.4 (102) | 31% (72) | 33% (54) | .23 (94) | 8% (121) | 1.7 (112) |
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 10.24 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
California's Power Rating: 10.24 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
California: 10.24 Oregon State: -0.275
SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 6.8 Oregon State: -10.5
California: 10.24 Oregon State: -0.275
SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 6.8 Oregon State: -10.5
Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Oregon State's Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
California Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 15
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 15
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 30
Oregon State 21
Total Points: 51
California 30
Oregon State 21
Total Points: 51
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/30 | Oregon State | 15 | California | 34 | California | Oregon State -3 | California | 51.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/26 | California | 44 | Oregon State | 7 | California | California -13.0 | California | 51.0 | Push |
| 2023 | 10/07 | California | 40 | Oregon State | 52 | Oregon State | Oregon State -7.5 | Oregon State | 51.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Oregon State | 38 | California | 10 | Oregon State | Oregon State -11.5 | Oregon State | 47.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | California | 39 | Oregon State | 25 | California | Oregon State -2.5 | California | 56.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/21 | Oregon State | 31 | California | 27 | Oregon State | California -1.0 | Oregon State | 46.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/19 | California | 17 | Oregon State | 21 | Oregon State | California -10 | Oregon State | 51.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/20 | Oregon State | 7 | California | 49 | California | California -8.5 | California | 58.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | California | 37 | Oregon State | 23 | California | California -7 | California | 54.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Oregon State | 47 | California | 44 | Oregon State | California -10 | Oregon State | 70.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/14 | California | 54 | Oregon State | 24 | California | California -17.5 | California | 64.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Oregon State | 31 | California | 45 | California | Oregon State -4.5 | California | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | California | 17 | Oregon State | 49 | Oregon State | Oregon State -7.5 | Oregon State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/17 | Oregon State | 62 | California | 14 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | California | 23 | Oregon State | 6 | California | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | Oregon State | 35 | California | 7 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | California | 14 | Oregon State | 31 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | Oregon State | 34 | California | 21 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/13 | California | 28 | Oregon State | 31 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2006 | 09/30 | Oregon State | 13 | California | 41 | California | ||||
| 2005 | 10/15 | California | 20 | Oregon State | 23 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2004 | 10/02 | Oregon State | 7 | California | 49 | California | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | California | 21 | Oregon State | 35 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Oregon State | 24 | California | 13 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | Oregon State | 19 | California | 10 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | California | 32 | Oregon State | 38 | Oregon State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 16 | 6 | 7 Overs |
| California | 10 | 7 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 13 | 7 - 6 | 4 - 3 | 3 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 13 | 6 - 7 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 4 |
(#53) California Info
Power Rating: 10.24 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
Power Rating: 10.24 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ORST | CAL |
| OverallOver | #79 | #33 |
| OffenseOff | #68 | #51 |
| DefenseDef | #86 | #22 |
| Special TeamsST | #113 | #36 |
| PassingPass | #51 | #11 |
| RushingRush | #94 | #84 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #68 | #55 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #70 | #39 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #72 |
| TacklingTkl | #108 | #88 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #79 | #82 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #103 | #39 |
| Coverage DefCov | #89 | #4 |
Rematch from Week 1
Oregon State -3.0 (51.5)
California won at Oregon State this year (34-15)
Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)
Oregon State beat California in 2022 (38-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: CAL | ORST
Depth Chart: CAL | ORST
Rosters: CAL | ORST
(#68) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 70 | 105 | 67% | 772 | 6 | 1 | 7.4 |
| Devin Brown (Tr) | 2 | 2 | 100% | 27 | 1 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Raphael (Tr) | 40 | 210 | 1 | 5.3 | 33 |
| Brandon High | 18 | 80 | 1 | 4.4 | 22 |
| LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr) | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 12 | 22 | 1 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trond Grizzell | 11 | 175 | 1 | 15.9 | 35 |
| Jacob De Jesus (Tr) | 16 | 141 | 1 | 8.8 | 27 |
| Mark Hamper (Tr) | 9 | 139 | 0 | 15.4 | 35 |
| Mason Mini (Tr) | 13 | 99 | 2 | 7.6 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ferrelli | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cade Uluave | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush (Tr) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Aaron Hampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Wayne (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 76 | 124 | 61% | 893 | 6 | 5 | 7.2 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 2 | 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hankerson | 51 | 190 | 1 | 3.7 | 26 |
| Salahadin Allah | 8 | 36 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 5 | 15 | 0 | 3.0 | 7 |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr. | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Walker | 23 | 302 | 0 | 13.1 | 31 |
| Tastean Reddicks | 15 | 213 | 0 | 14.2 | 37 |
| David Wells Jr. | 10 | 151 | 1 | 15.1 | 56 |
| Bryce Caufield | 12 | 67 | 1 | 5.6 | 10 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jaheim Patterson | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahjae Mullix (Tr) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Collins | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Shamar Meikle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jalil Tucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Trey Glasper | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |