California at Oregon State Game Matchup
California logo California Golden Bears at Oregon State BeaversOregon State logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -1.5 (0.0) (0)  Open: -1.5
Reser Stadium - Corvallis, OR

 
Golden Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (19 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Oregon State -1.5   (SP+ CAL -2)
Projected Score: CAL: 25 - ORST: 26 (51)
ORST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
CAL Travel: 465 miles
Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
California's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 California at Oregon State+1.50.0
Sat 9/6 California vs Texas Southern-21.5
Sat 9/13 California vs Minnesota+9.5
Sat 9/20 California at San Diego State-7.5
Sat 9/27 California at Boston College+7
Sat 10/4 California vs Duke+5.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 California vs North Carolina+1.5
Fri 10/24 California at Virginia Tech+10.5
Sat 11/1 California vs Virginia-0.5
Sat 11/8 California at Louisville+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 California at Stanford-1
Sat 11/29 California vs SMU+13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Oregon State vs California-1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-5.5
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+18
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+32.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon State vs Houston+1
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State-8.5
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest-6.5
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State-9.5
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-16.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa-12
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State-4.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)25.140% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)22.341% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)24.347% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)29.950% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.119.441.5%3.070.8213811222593.641%58%40%43%18%.17
ORST Defense1229.930.148%4.351 - - - - - 56%44%50%45%13%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1322.323.840.4%3.231.7 - - - - - 47%53%41%40%18%.14
ORST Offense1224.329.743.6%3.871.3223911892014.755%45%47%39%15%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1330:3620.737%44%7.459.70.81.75.42.5229.6
Oregon State1233:0922.344%52%5.145.71.313.80.6124.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1341% (121)40% (104)33.7122.23.617 (84).07 (99)2.68 (120)69% (98)13% (126)1.1 (22)
ORST Defense1256% (125)50% (126) - - - - .23 (120)3.39 (123)81% (114)8% (122)0.96 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1347% (28)41% (53) - - - - .08 (44)2.99 (65)86% (129)10% (72)0.91 (37)
ORST Offense1255% (33)47% (25)40.3189.24.729 (18).22 (25)3.34 (20)76% (46)9% (50)0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1358% (14)43% (57)23.235.7258.67.311.116 (87)7 (26).25 (72)1.4 (126)36% (128)30% (85).36 (58)5% (23)2.2 (23)
ORST Defense1244% (13)45% (112) - - - - - - 5 (117).31 (104)1.5 (41)27% (126)33% (102).46 (121)6% (75)2.1 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1353% (103)40% (67) - - - - - - 17 (5).21 (52)1.7 (92)33% (44)30% (59).39 (102)8% (12)2.2 (111)
ORST Offense1245% (101)39% (100)1830201.46.711.27 (130)11 (72).09 (125)1.4 (123)28% (20)31% (78).16 (123)6% (84)1.8 (124)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -4.14 #79
California's Offense Rating: 9.97 #93
California's Defense Rating: 14.11 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
California's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -4.14   Oregon State: -0.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -0.3   Oregon State: -2.4




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -0.605 #78
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 14.15 #68
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 17.96 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 675
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

California's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 26
California 25

Projected Total Points: 51
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26California44Oregon State7CaliforniaCalifornia -13.0California51.0Push
202310/07California40Oregon State52Oregon StateOregon State -7.5Oregon State51.0Over
202211/12Oregon State38California10Oregon StateOregon State -11.5Oregon State47.0Over
202110/30California39Oregon State25CaliforniaOregon State -2.5California56.5Over
202011/21Oregon State31California27Oregon StateCalifornia -1.0Oregon State46.5Over
201910/19California17Oregon State21Oregon StateCalifornia -10Oregon State51.0Under
201810/20Oregon State7California49CaliforniaCalifornia -8.5California58.0Under
201711/04California37Oregon State23CaliforniaCalifornia -7California54.0Over
201610/08Oregon State47California44Oregon StateCalifornia -10Oregon State70.0Over
201511/14California54Oregon State24CaliforniaCalifornia -17.5California64.0Over
201411/01Oregon State31California45CaliforniaOregon State -4.5California0
201310/19California17Oregon State49Oregon StateOregon State -7.5Oregon State0
201211/17Oregon State62California14Oregon State
201111/12California23Oregon State6California
201010/30Oregon State35California7Oregon State
200911/07California14Oregon State31Oregon State
200811/15Oregon State34California21Oregon State
200710/13California28Oregon State31Oregon State
200609/30Oregon State13California41California
200510/15California20Oregon State23Oregon State
200410/02Oregon State7California49California
200310/04California21Oregon State35Oregon State
200210/26Oregon State24California13Oregon State
200110/27Oregon State19California10Oregon State
200011/03California32Oregon State38Oregon State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State1667 Overs
California962 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams12 - 135 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#79) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.14 #79
Offense Rating: 9.97 #93
Defense Rating: 14.11 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #51
Talent Rating: 754.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


California Notes
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
(4/4) Donors want Wilcox reporting to new GM Rivera
(3/21) QB Brown (OSU), Fr Sagapolutele huge add
(3/21) WR has pieces, talent. 5 portals past 2 yrs
(3/21) OL a huge issue LY. 2/5 back, 5 portal adds
(3/21) Def bad LY, replacing a lot. 6 portal adds
(3/21) DC Sirmon left for NFL.
California     Ratings Matchup     Oregon State
Power #79
#78
Off #93
#68
Def #64
#88
Talent #57
#54
SP+ #65
#73
SP+ Off #79
#56
SP+ Def #51
#85

Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)
Oregon State beat California in 2022 (38-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CAL | ORST
Depth Chart: CAL | ORST
Rosters: CAL | ORST
(#78) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.605 #78
Offense Rating: 14.15 #68
Defense Rating: 17.96 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85
Talent Rating: 770.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oregon State Notes
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(5/10) DC Heyward left for Cal DBs? Bray will DC TY
(5/10) Schedule really front loaded, rough start
(5/10) OC Gunderson 1st time calling plays
(3/22) RB Hankerson (1k LY) back, Allah has exp
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
(3/22) OL returns 1/5. Added 3 via portal
(3/22) Def bad LY, returns a lot. Needs DE/CB
(3/22) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Team looks better TY


  
California's OC Bryan Harsin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Harris193161%184015.9
Devin Brown (Tr)112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brandon High9349585.366
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)7842535.440
LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr)7430354.135
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)1810105.643
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)36512314.243
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Landon Morris (Tr)16251115.758
Dazmin James (Tr)3137145.794

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buom Jock (Tr)973023
Harrison Taggart (Tr)693143
Cade Uluave683152
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
Ryan McCulloch185381
Nathan Burrell295311
Serigne Tounkara52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4800010
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)381004

Oregon State's OC Ryan Gunderson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)25442160%293226127.0
Gabarri Johnson152952%174016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson2321082154.783
Salahadin Allah5525814.721
Marquis Crosby (Tr)5722413.931
Gabarri Johnson2610614.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker81901211.143
Jermaine Terry II23375116.343
Darrius Clemons25292211.744
Tastean Reddicks17222013.129

View Oregon State's Full Roster
Oregon State's DC Trent Bray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas810009
Nikko Taylor468373
Dexter Foster432120
Tyrice Ivy Jr.351001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikko Taylor468373
Oluwaseyi Omotosho141160
Dexter Foster432120
Semisi Saluni345132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas810009
Sailasa Vadrawale301004
Nikko Taylor468373