California at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Friday, October 24th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Lane Stadium - Blacksburg, VA  (ACC)

 
Golden Bears (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (34 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
VT coming off BYE
Our Line: California -11   (SP+ CAL -11)

Projected Score: CAL: 33 - VT: 22 (54)
CAL Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 2273 miles, 3 hrs behind
Hokies (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (23 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
California's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 California at Oregon State+3.051.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/6 California vs Texas Southern-44.554.5W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 California vs Minnesota+3.041.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 9/20 California at San Diego State-12.548.5
Sat 9/27 California at Boston College+1.5
Sat 10/4 California vs Duke-5.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 California vs North Carolina-9
Fri 10/24 California at Virginia Tech-11
Sat 11/1 California vs Virginia-2.5
Sat 11/8 California at Louisville+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 California at Stanford-7.5
Sat 11/29 California vs SMU+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-18.5
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+16
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest+4.5
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+20
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California+11
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+27
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+28.5
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+16

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#85 (.16)42% (80)3240% (93)3.05 (63)12244% (68)2663.58 (90)#22 (-.02)35% (32)10.737% (54)34% (38)2.71 (41)59.70.71.7
VT#113 (.07)43% (72)1955% (21)2.97 (70)13232% (123)2073.86 (77)#134 (.45)52% (131)37.749% (115)58% (133)5.81 (134)6120.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense3323442.2%3.580.7193881222664.142%57%40%44%13%.16
VT Defense337.744.551.6%5.810.7 - - - - - 62%37%49%58%14%.45
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense310.71534.8%2.711.7 - - - - - 42%57%37%34%19%-.02
VT Offense3192343.2%3.862203391322073.950%50%55%32%19%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California329:0918.737%50%759.70.71.75.31.7033.2
Virginia Tech330:4219.744%25%6.36120.74.71.7025.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense342% (117)40% (93)29.71224.14 (79).13 (73)3.05 (63)58% (109)8% (58)1.14 (36)
VT Defense362% (128)49% (115) - - - - .26 (120)3.03 (95)89% (119)10% (61)1.11 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense342% (18)37% (54) - - - - -.08 (25)2.56 (48)67% (53)10% (61)0.76 (27)
VT Offense350% (73)55% (21)341323.92 (109).15 (64)2.97 (70)65% (95)11% (107)0.79 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense357% (22)44% (68)2436266.37.411.17 (23)1 (23).18 (96)1.4 (97)28% (41)27% (99).24 (91)5% (71)2.2 (39)
VT Defense337% (8)58% (133) - - - - - - 1 (87).86 (135)2 (125)32% (77)46% (132).82 (133)4% (115)2.3 (116)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense357% (117)34% (38) - - - - - - 3 (28).04 (25)1.3 (27)37% (31)16% (15)-.09 (12)9% (17)2 (67)
VT Offense350% (60)32% (123)19.334.3207610.74 (72)3 (92) (128)1.5 (85)29% (53)27% (102).11 (115)7% (115)1.5 (123)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 10.24 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
California: 10.24   Virginia Tech: -2.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 6.8   Virginia Tech: -4.4




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -2.335 #93
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


California Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 33
Virginia Tech 22


Total Points: 54

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.5

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200312/26California52Virginia Tech49California
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech000 Overs
California100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#53) California Info
Power Rating: 10.24 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

California has lost 4 straight
California has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess

California Highlights
California in Undefeated

California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVTCAL
OverallOver#90#33
OffenseOff#87#51
DefenseDef#96#22
Special TeamsST#106#36
PassingPass#78#11
RushingRush#35#84
Run BlockRBLK#104#55
Pass BlockPBLK#106#39
Route RunningWR Rt#75#72
TacklingTkl#76#88
Run DefenseR Def#71#82
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#39
Coverage DefCov#116#4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CAL | VT
Depth Chart: CAL | VT
Rosters: CAL | VT
(#93) Virginia Tech Info
Power Rating: -2.335 #93
Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 58%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Virginia Tech has lost 7 straight
Virginia Tech has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Tech Notes
(9/14) Team has quit. Drones is bad but has zero help
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
(7/5) WR lost top 3, 2 meh portal adds, some talent

Virginia Tech Highlights

Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech has a really bad Offense
Virginia Tech has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Virginia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Virginia Tech offense is not Explosive (#123)
Virginia Tech pass game is really bad (#123)
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Virginia Tech has a bad defense (#131)
Virginia Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#116)
Virginia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#103)
Virginia Tech has a bad red zone defense (#134)


  
California's OC Bryan Harsin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)7010567%772617.4
Devin Brown (Tr)22100%271013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)4021015.333
Brandon High188014.422
LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr)113813.512
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)122211.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trond Grizzell11175115.935
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)1614118.827
Mark Hamper (Tr)9139015.435
Mason Mini (Tr)139927.619

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Ferrelli272000
Cade Uluave243020
Isaiah Crosby210003
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)140005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush (Tr)133220
Ryan McCulloch93241
Aaron Hampton51100
Jayden Wayne (Tr)31120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)140005
Brent Austin (Tr)60003
Isaiah Crosby210003

Virginia Tech's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones5810356%621436.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyron Drones4312723.032
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)2710804.011
Terion Stewart (Tr)116505.931
Jeremiah Coney64106.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donavon Greene (Tr)9193221.437
Ayden Greene8148018.567
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)565013.028
Tucker Holloway348016.033

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Sam Siefkes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Woodson242010
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Quentin Reddish150000
Isaiah Cash (Tr)110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elhadj Fall (Tr)41100
Emmett Laws51100
Kelvin Gilliam81100
Kemari Copeland111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001
Krystian Williams20001