California at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview

California Golden Bears at Virginia Tech Hokies

Friday, October 24th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -6.5 (50.5) (-230) Open: -2.5 | 49.5
Virginia Tech 42 - California: 34 (ACC)

Golden Bears (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

VT coming off BYE
Our Line: California -0.5 (SP+ CAL -7)
Projected Score: CAL: 25 - VT: 25 (50)
VT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CAL Travel: 2273 miles, 3 hrs behind

Hokies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
CAL Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

California's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	California at Oregon State	+3.0	51.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/6	California vs Texas Southern	-44.5	54.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/13	California vs Minnesota	+3.0	41.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/20	California at San Diego State	-14.0	47.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/27	California at Boston College	+6.0	54.5	W 28 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/4	California vs Duke	+3.5	54.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17	California vs North Carolina	-7.5	45.5	W 21 - 18	U	N
Fri 10/24	California at Virginia Tech	+6.5	50.5	L 34 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/1	California vs Virginia	+6.5	52.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/8	California at Louisville	+18.5	48.5	W 29 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	California at Stanford	-4.5	47.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/29	California vs SMU	+13.5	53.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Wed 12/24	California at Hawai'i	+1.5	50.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 8/31	Virginia Tech vs South Carolina	+8.5	48.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/6	Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-2.5	46.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/13	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-5.5	50.5	L 26 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/20	Virginia Tech vs Wofford	-35.5	51.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/27	Virginia Tech at NC State	+10.0	57.5	W 23 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-4.5	51.5	L 23 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/11	Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech	+14.0	55.5	L 20 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24	Virginia Tech vs California	-6.5	50.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Virginia Tech vs Louisville	+10.5	52.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+13.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/22	Virginia Tech vs Miami	+18.5	49.0	L 17 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Virginia Tech at Virginia	+9.5	53.5	L 7 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	#98 (.12)	41% (95)	25.3	38% (119)	2.64 (120)	83	43% (57)	275	3.7 (66)	#71 (.17)	42% (79)	27.2	47% (118)	38% (34)	3.69 (71)	64.6	1.2	1.1
VT	#70 (.17)	42% (84)	21.4	48% (24)	3.33 (12)	183	34% (131)	166	3.68 (70)	#131 (.28)	46% (123)	30.2	45% (101)	47% (123)	4.34 (126)	64.3	1.3	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	#79 (.17)	42% (88)		40% (104)	2.68 (120)	122	43% (57)	259	3.07 (125)	#48 (.14)	40% (52)		41% (53)	40% (67)	3.23 (20)	59.7	0.8	1.7
VT	#75 (.18)	42% (87)		44% (66)	3.01 (76)	173	39% (102)	178	4.22 (40)	#18 (.09)	39% (34)		42% (56)	36% (15)	2.97 (7)	46.3	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Offense	13	25.3	23.7	40.6%	3.7	1.2	20	358	83	275	2.8	39%	60%	38%	43%	16%	.12
VT Defense	12	30.2	31.6	45.6%	4.34	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	45%	47%	13%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Defense	13	27.2	29.6	42.3%	3.69	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	47%	38%	15%	.17
VT Offense	12	21.4	26	41.6%	3.68	1.3	19	350	183	166	5	55%	43%	48%	34%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
California	13	30:14	19.9	40%	52%	7.8	64.6	1.2	1.1	4.6	1.5	0	27.1
Virginia Tech	12	29:13	18.9	39%	48%	7.2	64.3	1.3	0.5	4.9	1.6	0	26.8

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Offense	13	39% (131)	38% (119)	29.6	82.5	2.8	21 (78)	-.04 (133)	2.64 (120)	70% (81)	10% (74)	0.89 (102)
VT Defense	12	52% (95)	45% (101)	-	-	-	-	.18 (110)	3.01 (95)	80% (122)	9% (103)	0.98 (78)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Defense	13	46% (27)	47% (118)	-	-	-	-	.21 (122)	3.32 (129)	85% (131)	8% (116)	0.98 (83)
VT Offense	12	55% (26)	48% (24)	36.9	183.2	5	13 (107)	.2 (28)	3.33 (12)	70% (81)	10% (95)	0.97 (64)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Offense	13	60% (6)	43% (57)	24.8	38.8	275.3	7.1	11.1	20 (61)	10 (119)	.23 (78)	1.5 (108)	32% (77)	33% (32)	.36 (49)	7% (105)	1.9 (113)
VT Defense	12	46% (41)	47% (123)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (100)	.42 (129)	1.5 (57)	28% (118)	34% (121)	.51 (135)	5% (118)	2.1 (99)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Defense	13	51% (101)	38% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.14 (23)	1.4 (10)	32% (64)	26% (23)	.16 (15)	7% (21)	1.7 (9)
VT Offense	12	43% (110)	34% (131)	15	26.6	166.3	6.3	11.1	17 (61)	9 (60)	.15 (113)	1.7 (21)	33% (95)	26% (110)	.33 (58)	7% (95)	2.1 (37)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 1.00 #63
California's Offense Rating: 14.12 #61
California's Defense Rating: 13.12 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 5.4
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #85
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #87
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California: 1.00 Virginia Tech: -1.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -3.4 Virginia Tech: -10.2

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -1.665 #58
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 15.55 #53
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 13.68 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #106
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #108
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #97

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
California 25
Virginia Tech 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia Tech 29
California 18

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
California 28
Virginia Tech 26

Total Points: 54

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/24	Virginia Tech	42	California	34	Virginia Tech -6.5	Virginia Tech	50.5	Over
2003	12/26	California	52	Virginia Tech	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	1	1	1 Overs
California	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#63) CAL at (#58) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CAL	VT
Net PPPPPP	#93	#116
Power RatePwr	#63	#58
SP+SP+	#85	#106
Perf GradeGrade	#87	#115
OffenseOff	#84	#119
DefenseDef	#62	#98
Spec TeamsST	#122	#127
TalentTal	#55	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#54

California Notes(11/23) Wilcox fired, Rolovich interim HC for SMU finale
(10/22) QB JKS hurt shoulder in N Car game, monitor vs VT
(9/21) Crash down to earth 34-0 beatdown by SDSU
(9/21) 3 TOs, 6-17 3rd down, Run Off awful. Shocking L
(9/14) Sagapolutele incredible and entire Off so far
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
California Injury Report

Virginia Tech Notes(11/1) Playing hard, but Run def mauled by Louisville
(9/30) Ran all over NC St, 229 yds vs 59 allowed, huge W
(9/26) LB Michael Short opting out after Pry fired, redshirt
(9/14) HC Pry fired, OC Philip Montgomery interim
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
Virginia Tech Injury Report

California on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	CAL Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	#101	#109
Perf GradePerf	#84	#98
SuccessSuc	#95	#123
ExplosiveExp	#65	#67
PPAPPA	#98	#131
PowerPwr	#61	#67
SP+SP+	#87	#97
Pts POPPO	#66	#126
HavocHav	#91	#116

California Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	CAL Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#124	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	#119	#101
Run ExplRExp	#102	#78
PPAExp	#133	#110
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	#120	#95
Stuff RateStuff	#58	#107
TackleTak	-	#95

California Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	CAL Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#26	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	#57	#123
Pass ExplPExl	#108	#57
PPAExp	#78	#129
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#51
F7 HavocF7	#74	#103
DB HavocDB	#105	#118

Virginia Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	VT Off	CAL Def
PPPDefPPP	#81	#111
Perf GradePerf	#119	#62
SuccessSuc	#84	#79
ExplosiveExp	#67	#31
PPAPPA	#70	#71
PowerPwr	#53	#63
SP+SP+	#108	#75
Pts POPPO	#70	#71
HavocHav	#94	#80

Virginia Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	VT Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	#43	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#118
Run ExplRExp	#64	#83
PPAExp	#28	#122
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	#12	#129
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#134
TackleTak	-	#109

Virginia Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	VT Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#131	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#21	#10
PPAExp	#113	#23
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	#77
F7 HavocF7	#95	#116
DB HavocDB	#95	#21

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59°

Rematch from Week 9
Virginia Tech -6.5 (50.5)
Virginia Tech won vs California this year (42-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CAL's OC Bryan Harsin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)	315	491	64%	3446	18	9	7.0
Devin Brown (Tr)	4	7	57%	48	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)	233	952	13	4.1	33
LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr)	33	108	2	3.3	12
Brandon High	23	98	1	4.3	22
Anthony League	11	38	1	3.5	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)	107	1022	6	9.6	41
Trond Grizzell	55	788	1	14.3	35
Mason Mini (Tr)	35	387	4	11.1	51
Quaron Adams (Tr)	20	273	1	13.7	39

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Vacant (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cade Uluave	97	12	3	4	4
Luke Ferrelli	91	5	1	1	1
Dru Polidore	62	3	0	0	3
Aidan Keanaaina	56	3	2	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Bush (Tr)	39	11	5	4	1
Cade Uluave	97	12	3	4	4
Chris Victor (Tr)	24	5	3	4	0
Jayden Wayne (Tr)	26	5	3	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brent Austin (Tr)	42	1	0	13
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)	47	1	0	12
Derek Wilkins	12	0	1	8

VT's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones	178	315	57%	1919	17	9	6.1
William Watson III	2	4	50%	77	0	0	19.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)	118	749	1	6.3	40
Kyron Drones	170	644	9	3.8	33
Terion Stewart (Tr)	82	469	0	5.7	85
Jeffrey Overton Jr.	25	146	1	5.8	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ayden Greene	31	516	3	16.6	67
Donavon Greene (Tr)	16	267	2	16.7	37
Takye Heath	22	200	3	9.1	44
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)	14	194	0	13.9	38

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Sam Siefkes (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kaleb Spencer	67	9	1	0	1
Caleb Woodson	57	3	0	1	1
Jaden Keller	50	3	1	0	1
Tyson Flowers (Tr)	48	0	0	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Kemari Copeland	48	8	5	1
Ben Bell (Tr)	40	6	3	6
Elhadj Fall (Tr)	25	4	3	2
Jason Abbey	17	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Thomas Williams	32	1	6
Isaiah Brown-Murray (Tr)	39	2	5
Christian Ellis (Tr)	7	1	3