Minnesota Golden Gophers at California Golden Bears
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (10:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -3 (41.5) (-162) Open: 0.0
California 27 - Minnesota: 14
Golden Gophers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (14 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (14 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
CAL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Minnesota -2 (SP+ MINN -1.5)
Projected Score: MINN: 22 - CAL: 20 (42)
MINN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 1572 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Our Line: Minnesota -2 (SP+ MINN -1.5)
Projected Score: MINN: 22 - CAL: 20 (42)
MINN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 1572 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
| Minnesota's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Minnesota vs Buffalo | -16.5 | 45.5 | W 23 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Minnesota vs Northwestern State | -43.0 | 50.5 | W 66 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Minnesota at California | -3.0 | 41.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Minnesota vs Rutgers | -6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Minnesota at Ohio State | +19 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Minnesota vs Purdue | -20 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Minnesota vs Nebraska | +2 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Minnesota at Iowa | +3 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Minnesota vs Michigan State | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Minnesota at Oregon | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Minnesota vs Northwestern | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Minnesota vs Wisconsin | -6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| California's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | California at Oregon State | +3.0 | 51.5 | W 34 - 15 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | California vs Texas Southern | -44.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | California vs Minnesota | +3.0 | 41.5 | W 27 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | California at San Diego State | -12.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | California at Boston College | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | California vs Duke | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | California vs North Carolina | -9 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | California at Virginia Tech | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | California vs Virginia | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | California at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | California at Stanford | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | California vs SMU | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | #57 (.23) | 46% (50) | 34.3 | 42% (84) | 3.24 (44) | 180 | 51% (31) | 240 | 3.57 (93) | #26 (-) | 33% (28) | 12.3 | 24% (6) | 39% (65) | 3.78 (77) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| CAL | #85 (.16) | 42% (80) | 32 | 40% (93) | 3.05 (63) | 122 | 44% (68) | 266 | 3.58 (90) | #22 (-.02) | 35% (32) | 10.7 | 37% (54) | 34% (38) | 2.71 (41) | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | #64 (.2) | 45% (39) | 44% (65) | 2.7 (119) | 103 | 46% (29) | 204 | 4.38 (27) | #16 (.08) | 39% (35) | 36% (8) | 42% (80) | 3.32 (23) | 35.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | ||
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Offense | 3 | 34.3 | 14 | 46.2% | 3.57 | 1.3 | 24 | 421 | 180 | 240 | 4.3 | 52% | 48% | 42% | 51% | 12% | .23 |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 34.8% | 2.71 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 57% | 37% | 34% | 19% | -.02 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Defense | 3 | 12.3 | 27 | 33.3% | 3.78 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 40% | 60% | 24% | 39% | 21% | 0 |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 32 | 31 | 42.2% | 3.58 | 0.7 | 19 | 388 | 122 | 266 | 4.1 | 42% | 57% | 40% | 44% | 13% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 3 | 35:12 | 23.7 | 49% | 33% | 4.7 | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 35.3 |
| California | 3 | 29:09 | 18.7 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 33.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Offense | 3 | 52% (60) | 42% (84) | 42.3 | 180.3 | 4.3 | 6 (49) | .06 (94) | 3.24 (44) | 80% (36) | 6% (16) | 0.78 (115) |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 37% (54) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (25) | 2.56 (48) | 67% (53) | 10% (61) | 0.76 (27) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Defense | 3 | 40% (11) | 24% (6) | - | - | - | - | -.17 (11) | 1.94 (9) | 80% (107) | 16% (10) | 0.81 (37) |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 42% (117) | 40% (93) | 29.7 | 122 | 4.1 | 4 (79) | .13 (73) | 3.05 (63) | 58% (109) | 8% (58) | 1.14 (36) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Offense | 3 | 48% (73) | 51% (31) | 17 | 28 | 240.3 | 8.6 | 14.1 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .42 (41) | 1.7 (35) | 31% (75) | 35% (44) | .34 (65) | 7% (104) | 1.8 (96) |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 57% (117) | 34% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .04 (25) | 1.3 (27) | 37% (31) | 16% (15) | -.09 (12) | 9% (17) | 2 (67) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Defense | 3 | 60% (130) | 39% (65) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .11 (38) | 1.5 (61) | 37% (25) | 24% (38) | .24 (61) | 6% (76) | 2.2 (97) |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 57% (22) | 44% (68) | 24 | 36 | 266.3 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .18 (96) | 1.4 (97) | 28% (41) | 27% (99) | .24 (91) | 5% (71) | 2.2 (39) |
Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Minnesota's Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 18.04 California: 11.02
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 8.4 California: 6.8
Minnesota: 18.04 California: 11.02
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 8.4 California: 6.8
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27
Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27
Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 22
California 20
Total Points: 42
Minnesota 22
California 20
Total Points: 42
California Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/13 | California | 27 | Minnesota | 14 | California | Minnesota -3 | California | 41.5 | Under |
| 2009 | 09/19 | Minnesota | 21 | California | 35 | California | ||||
| 2006 | 09/09 | California | 42 | Minnesota | 17 | California |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 3 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Minnesota | 0 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
(#35) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Minnesota has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs
Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)
Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)
Minnesota Deficiencies
Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Minnesota has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs
Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)
Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)
Minnesota Deficiencies
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CAL | MINN |
| OverallOver | #33 | #8 |
| OffenseOff | #51 | #8 |
| DefenseDef | #22 | #17 |
| Special TeamsST | #36 | #4 |
| PassingPass | #11 | #13 |
| RushingRush | #84 | #13 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #55 | #11 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #39 | #44 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #72 | #35 |
| TacklingTkl | #88 | #25 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #82 | #34 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #39 | #63 |
| Coverage DefCov | #4 | #10 |
(#53) California Info
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has won 2 straight
California has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has won 2 straight
California has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lindsey | 46 | 76 | 61% | 634 | 4 | 2 | 8.3 |
| Max Shikenjanski | 4 | 5 | 80% | 80 | 1 | 0 | 16.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Taylor | 33 | 161 | 0 | 4.9 | 18 |
| Fame Ijeboi | 23 | 136 | 0 | 5.9 | 27 |
| Grant Washington | 20 | 126 | 0 | 6.3 | 16 |
| Cameron Davis (Tr) | 21 | 69 | 2 | 3.3 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Tracy (Tr) | 6 | 150 | 1 | 25.0 | 45 |
| Lemeke Brockington | 10 | 136 | 0 | 13.6 | 23 |
| Jalen Smith | 2 | 76 | 1 | 38.0 | 60 |
| Kenric Lanier II | 2 | 59 | 0 | 29.5 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick Baranowski | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Williams | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Koi Perich | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Gousby | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Devon Williams | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Karmo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Logan-Redding | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Nestor (Tr) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Devon Williams | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Smith | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 70 | 105 | 67% | 772 | 6 | 1 | 7.4 |
| Devin Brown (Tr) | 2 | 2 | 100% | 27 | 1 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Raphael (Tr) | 40 | 210 | 1 | 5.3 | 33 |
| Brandon High | 18 | 80 | 1 | 4.4 | 22 |
| LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr) | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 12 | 22 | 1 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trond Grizzell | 11 | 175 | 1 | 15.9 | 35 |
| Jacob De Jesus (Tr) | 16 | 141 | 1 | 8.8 | 27 |
| Mark Hamper (Tr) | 9 | 139 | 0 | 15.4 | 35 |
| Mason Mini (Tr) | 13 | 99 | 2 | 7.6 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ferrelli | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cade Uluave | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush (Tr) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Aaron Hampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Wayne (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |