California Golden Bears at Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY (ACC)
Golden Bears (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (34 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (34 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -10.5 (SP+ LOU -7)
Projected Score: CAL: 20 - LOU: 30 (50)
LOU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CAL Travel: 1973 miles, 3 hrs behind
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -10.5 (SP+ LOU -7)
Projected Score: CAL: 20 - LOU: 30 (50)
LOU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CAL Travel: 1973 miles, 3 hrs behind
Cardinals (2 - 0) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
| California's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | California at Oregon State | +3.0 | 51.5 | W 34 - 15 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | California vs Texas Southern | -44.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | California vs Minnesota | +3.0 | 41.5 | W 27 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | California at San Diego State | -12.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | California at Boston College | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | California vs Duke | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | California vs North Carolina | -9 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | California at Virginia Tech | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | California vs Virginia | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | California at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | California at Stanford | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | California vs SMU | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisville's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Louisville vs James Madison | -15.0 | 57.0 | W 28 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Louisville vs Bowling Green | -26.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Louisville at Pittsburgh | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Louisville vs Virginia | -10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Louisville at Miami | +12 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Louisville vs Boston College | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Louisville at Virginia Tech | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Louisville vs California | -10.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/14 | Louisville vs Clemson | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Louisville at SMU | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Louisville vs Kentucky | -10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | #85 (.16) | 42% (80) | 32 | 40% (93) | 3.05 (63) | 122 | 44% (68) | 266 | 3.58 (90) | #22 (-.02) | 35% (32) | 10.7 | 37% (54) | 34% (38) | 2.71 (41) | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| LOU | #59 (.22) | 42% (77) | 39.5 | 44% (77) | 2.36 (119) | 171 | 41% (83) | 232 | 4.64 (41) | #6 (-.12) | 32% (17) | 15.5 | 33% (25) | 30% (17) | 3 (50) | 77.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | ||
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Offense | 3 | 32 | 34 | 42.2% | 3.58 | 0.7 | 19 | 388 | 122 | 266 | 4.1 | 42% | 57% | 40% | 44% | 13% | .16 |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 32% | 3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 16% | -.12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Defense | 3 | 10.7 | 15 | 34.8% | 2.71 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 57% | 37% | 34% | 19% | -.02 |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 39.5 | 39.5 | 42.4% | 4.64 | 2 | 20 | 403 | 171 | 232 | 5.7 | 45% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 17% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | 3 | 29:09 | 18.7 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 33.2 |
| Louisville | 2 | 26:36 | 20 | 48% | 50% | 8.5 | 77.5 | 2 | 1 | 6.5 | 5 | 1 | 30.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Offense | 3 | 42% (117) | 40% (93) | 29.7 | 122 | 4.1 | 4 (79) | .13 (73) | 3.05 (63) | 58% (109) | 8% (58) | 1.14 (36) |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 56% (109) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .04 (60) | 2.79 (70) | 75% (80) | 12% (46) | 0.91 (66) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 37% (54) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (25) | 2.56 (48) | 67% (53) | 10% (61) | 0.76 (27) |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 45% (99) | 44% (77) | 30 | 171 | 5.7 | 5 (62) | .36 (21) | 2.36 (119) | 50% (124) | 8% (66) | 1.6 (4) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Offense | 3 | 57% (22) | 44% (68) | 24 | 36 | 266.3 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .18 (96) | 1.4 (97) | 28% (41) | 27% (99) | .24 (91) | 5% (71) | 2.2 (39) |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 44% (33) | 30% (17) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | -.33 (2) | 1.1 (7) | 36% (37) | 26% (43) | -.02 (17) | 5% (94) | 1.4 (6) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL Defense | 3 | 57% (117) | 34% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .04 (25) | 1.3 (27) | 37% (31) | 16% (15) | -.09 (12) | 9% (17) | 2 (67) |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 55% (34) | 41% (83) | 19 | 30 | 232 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 3 (90) | 3 (92) | .12 (110) | 1.6 (60) | 25% (24) | 26% (103) | .34 (69) | 8% (129) | 2.2 (35) |
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 10.24 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
California's Power Rating: 10.24 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
California: 10.24 Louisville: 19.045
SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 6.8 Louisville: 13.7
California: 10.24 Louisville: 19.045
SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 6.8 Louisville: 13.7
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
California Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 15
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 15
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 30
California 20
Total Points: 50
Louisville 30
California 20
Total Points: 50
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| California | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#53) California Info
Power Rating: 10.24 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has lost 6 straight
California has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
Power Rating: 10.24 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has lost 6 straight
California has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU | CAL |
| OverallOver | #30 | #33 |
| OffenseOff | #41 | #51 |
| DefenseDef | #19 | #22 |
| Special TeamsST | #114 | #36 |
| PassingPass | #16 | #11 |
| RushingRush | #19 | #84 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #98 | #55 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #20 | #39 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #55 | #72 |
| TacklingTkl | #28 | #88 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #39 | #82 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #1 | #39 |
| Coverage DefCov | #74 | #4 |
(#31) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has lost 6 straight
Louisville has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has lost 6 straight
Louisville has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 70 | 105 | 67% | 772 | 6 | 1 | 7.4 |
| Devin Brown (Tr) | 2 | 2 | 100% | 27 | 1 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Raphael (Tr) | 40 | 210 | 1 | 5.3 | 33 |
| Brandon High | 18 | 80 | 1 | 4.4 | 22 |
| LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr) | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 12 | 22 | 1 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trond Grizzell | 11 | 175 | 1 | 15.9 | 35 |
| Jacob De Jesus (Tr) | 16 | 141 | 1 | 8.8 | 27 |
| Mark Hamper (Tr) | 9 | 139 | 0 | 15.4 | 35 |
| Mason Mini (Tr) | 13 | 99 | 2 | 7.6 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ferrelli | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cade Uluave | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush (Tr) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Aaron Hampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Wayne (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Moss (Tr) | 30 | 48 | 63% | 374 | 2 | 2 | 7.8 |
| Brady Allen | 6 | 9 | 67% | 69 | 1 | 1 | 7.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 18 | 230 | 3 | 12.8 | 78 |
| Shaun Boykins | 5 | 40 | 0 | 8.0 | 16 |
| Braxton Jennings | 6 | 27 | 0 | 4.5 | 10 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2.6 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell | 9 | 146 | 1 | 16.2 | 64 |
| Caullin Lacy | 6 | 74 | 0 | 12.3 | 32 |
| Kris Hughes | 3 | 50 | 1 | 16.7 | 31 |
| Jaleel Skinner | 3 | 35 | 0 | 11.7 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Bailey (Tr) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Adonijah Green | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Carter | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Konga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Rodney Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antonio Watts | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |