California at Boston College - 2025 Matchup Preview
California logo   California Golden Bears at Boston College Eagles  Boston College logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Boston College -6 (54.5) (-230)  Open: -4.5
California 28 - Boston College: 24  (ACC)

 
Golden Bears (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
CAL 2nd straight Road Game
BC coming off BYE
CAL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -1  (SP+ CAL -5.5)

Projected Score: CAL: 27 - BC: 28 (55)
BC Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
CAL Travel: 2677 miles, 3 hrs behind
Eagles (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 California at Oregon State+3.051.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/6 California vs Texas Southern-44.554.5W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 California vs Minnesota+3.041.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 9/20 California at San Diego State-14.047.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 9/27 California at Boston College+6.054.5W 28 - 24UY
Sat 10/4 California vs Duke+3.554.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 California vs North Carolina-7.545.5W 21 - 18UN
Fri 10/24 California at Virginia Tech+6.550.5L 34 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 California vs Virginia+6.552.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/8 California at Louisville+18.548.5W 29 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 California at Stanford-4.547.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/29 California vs SMU+13.553.5W 38 - 35OY
Wed 12/24 California at Hawai'i+1.550.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-6.054.5L 24 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+6.554.5L 7 - 48ON
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+14.054.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn+2.558.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+25.554.5L 24 - 38OY
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+31.555.5L 10 - 25UY
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+10.554.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+16.561.5L 34 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse-2.554.5W 34 - 12UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)25.340% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)27.241% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)25.441% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)32.840% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.323.741.5%3.070.8213811222593.641%58%40%43%18%.17
BC Defense1332.831.942.2%3.641.8 - - - - - 45%55%40%44%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1327.229.640.4%3.231.7 - - - - - 47%53%41%40%18%.14
BC Offense1325.425.740.9%41.2183401641764.356%44%41%41%13%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1330:3620.737%44%7.459.70.81.75.42.5229.6
Boston College1329:2517.843%50%4.2401.21.84.72330.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1341% (121)40% (104)33.7122.23.617 (84).07 (99)2.68 (120)69% (98)13% (126)1.1 (22)
BC Defense1345% (12)40% (40) - - - - .05 (33)2.84 (43)82% (120)9% (96)0.92 (40)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1347% (28)41% (53) - - - - .08 (44)2.99 (65)86% (129)10% (72)0.91 (37)
BC Offense1356% (26)41% (96)38.2164.24.322 (55).01 (120)2.87 (99)72% (79)9% (53)0.86 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1358% (14)43% (57)23.235.7258.67.311.116 (87)7 (26).25 (72)1.4 (126)36% (128)30% (85).36 (58)5% (23)2.2 (23)
BC Defense1355% (123)44% (104) - - - - - - 16 (10).23 (67)1.4 (12)32% (71)29% (43).2 (26)7% (36)1.8 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1353% (103)40% (67) - - - - - - 17 (5).21 (52)1.7 (92)33% (44)30% (59).39 (102)8% (12)2.2 (111)
BC Offense1344% (108)41% (78)13.922.2176.27.912.724 (38)7 (26).34 (29)1.9 (7)30% (50)32% (68).34 (68)4% (12)2.3 (11)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 1.00  #63
California's Offense Rating: 14.12  #61
California's Defense Rating: 13.12  #64
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 5.4
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #80
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #77
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California: 1.00   Boston College: 0.11

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -3.2   Boston College: -8.5




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 0.11  #54
Boston College's Offense Rating: 15.50  #54
Boston College's Defense Rating: 11.78  #55
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5  #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #97
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #107

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 28
California 27


Projected Total Points: 55
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.9

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Boston College24California28Boston College -6California54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College000 Overs
California111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#63) CAL at (#54) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALBC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #63 #54
SP+SP+ #80 #97
Perf GradeGrade #87 #103
OffenseOff #84 #74
DefenseDef #62 #125
Spec TeamsST #122 #41
TalentTal #55 #56
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
California Notes
(11/23) Wilcox fired, Rolovich interim HC for SMU finale
(10/22) QB JKS hurt shoulder in N Car game, monitor vs VT
(9/21) Crash down to earth 34-0 beatdown by SDSU
(9/21) 3 TOs, 6-17 3rd down, Run Off awful. Shocking L
(9/14) Sagapolutele incredible and entire Off so far
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
California Injury Report
Boston College Notes
(11/16) 500+ yds in L vs GT. Rough, lost season for BC
(10/31) Sounds like Dylan Lonergan is QB1 vs ND
(10/22) Defense near worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) LT Bowry, LG Daugherty both out vs UConn
(10/18) L to UConn at home ugly, Pass Def torched, Off OK
(10/18) QB James in for Lonergan (benched). Run Off awful
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
Boston College Injury Report
California on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
CAL OffBC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #84 #125
SuccessSuc #88 #74
ExplosiveExp #52 #30
PPAPPA #79 #56
PowerPwr #61 #55
SP+SP+ #77 #107
Pts POPPO #125 #51
HavocHav #102 #72
California Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
CAL OffBC Def
Run GameRun #124 #124
Run SuccessRSuc #104 #40
Run ExplRExp #22 #40
PPAExp #99 #33
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLY #120 #43
Stuff RateStuff #114 #67
TackleTak -  #48
California Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
CAL OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #26 #102
Pass SuccessPSuc #57 #104
Pass ExplPExl #126 #12
PPAExp #72 #67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #82 #121
F7 HavocF7 #126 #96
DB HavocDB #23 #36
Boston College on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatBC OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #62
SuccessSuc #93 #52
ExplosiveExp #42 #88
PPAPPA #89 #48
PowerPwr #54 #64
SP+SP+ #97 #72
Pts POPPO #58 #20
HavocHav #24 #42
Boston College Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #120 #128
Run SuccessRSuc #96 #53
Run ExplRExp #120 #37
PPAExp #120 #44
Run BlockR Blk #33 -
OL YdsOLY #99 #65
Stuff RateStuff #64 #71
TackleTak -  #109
Boston College Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatBC OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #79 #9
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #67
Pass ExplPExl #7 #92
PPAExp #29 #52
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #77
F7 HavocF7 #53 #72
DB HavocDB #12 #12
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Boston College -6.0 (54.5)
California won at Boston College this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
California beat Boston College last year (28-24)

  
CAL's OC Bryan Harsin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)31549164%34461897.0
Devin Brown (Tr)4757%48116.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)233952134.133
LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr)3310823.312
Brandon High239814.322
Anthony League113813.58
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)107102269.641
Trond Grizzell55788114.335
Mason Mini (Tr)35387411.151
Quaron Adams (Tr)20273113.739

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Vacant (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cade Uluave9712344
Luke Ferrelli915111
Dru Polidore623003
Aidan Keanaaina563200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush (Tr)3911541
Cade Uluave9712344
Chris Victor (Tr)245340
Jayden Wayne (Tr)265350
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4210013
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)4710012
Derek Wilkins120018

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)19028467%20251257.1
Grayson James8715158%1196757.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard14574995.271
Jordan Mcdonald9439744.217
Grayson James546501.220
Bo MacCormack III154312.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond891010111.354
Reed Harris39673517.357
Jeremiah Franklin48489210.232
Kaelan Chudzinski24313413.045

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price933030
Omar Thornton828211
Carter Davis592102
Owen McGowan545113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sedarius McConnell318300
Omar Thornton828211
Quintayvious Hutchins364271
Favor Bate (Tr)141122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Farris280006
Amari Jackson70004
Syair Torrence50003