Texas Southern at California - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas Southern logo Texas Southern Tigers at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
California -44.5 (54.5) (0)  Open: -45.0 | 54.0
California 35 - Texas Southern: 3

 
Tigers (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 35 (3 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: California -11   (SP+ CAL -7)
CAL Win prob: 100% | Cover: 53%
Golden Bears (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Texas Southern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 Texas Southern at California+44.554.5L 3 - 35UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Southern's Schedule
California's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 California at Oregon State+3.051.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/6 California vs Texas Southern-44.554.5W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 California vs Minnesota+3.041.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 9/20 California at San Diego State-12.548.5
Sat 9/27 California at Boston College+1.5
Sat 10/4 California vs Duke-5.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 California vs North Carolina-9
Fri 10/24 California at Virginia Tech-11
Sat 11/1 California vs Virginia-2.5
Sat 11/8 California at Louisville+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 California at Stanford-7.5
Sat 11/29 California vs SMU+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXSO0%30%000%000%350%0%0000
CAL#85 (.16)42% (80)3240% (93)3.05 (63)12244% (68)2663.58 (90)#22 (-.02)35% (32)10.737% (54)34% (38)2.71 (41)59.70.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXSO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXSO Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CAL Defense310.78.534.8%2.711.7 - - - - - 42%57%37%34%19%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXSO Defense135350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CAL Offense3323142.2%3.580.7193881222664.142%57%40%44%13%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Southern10:000NAN%0%0000000100
California329:0918.737%50%759.70.71.75.31.7033.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXSO Offense10%0%000000%0%0
CAL Defense342% (18)37% (54) - - - - -.08 (25)2.56 (48)67% (53)10% (61)0.76 (27)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXSO Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CAL Offense342% (117)40% (93)29.71224.14 (79).13 (73)3.05 (63)58% (109)8% (58)1.14 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXSO Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
CAL Defense357% (117)34% (38) - - - - - - 3 (28).04 (25)1.3 (27)37% (31)16% (15)-.09 (12)9% (17)2 (67)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXSO Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CAL Offense357% (22)44% (68)2436266.37.411.17 (23)1 (23).18 (96)1.4 (97)28% (41)27% (99).24 (91)5% (71)2.2 (39)

Texas Southern's Power Ratings
Texas Southern's Power Rating: #NR
Texas Southern's Offense Rating: #NR
Texas Southern's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Texas Southern's 2025 Expected Record: -
Texas Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Texas Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Texas Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Southern:    California: 11.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Southern:    California: 6.8




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Texas Southern Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Texas Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 29
Texas Southern 18


Total Points: 47

California Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06California35Texas Southern3CaliforniaCalifornia -44.5Texas Southern54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California100 Overs
Texas Southern011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Texas Southern Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Southern Highlights
Texas Southern is Undefeated vs Spread


Texas Southern Deficiencies
Texas Southern has a really bad Offense
Texas Southern Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCALTXSO
OverallOver#33
OffenseOff#51
DefenseDef#22
Special TeamsST#36
PassingPass#11
RushingRush#84
Run BlockRBLK#55
Pass BlockPBLK#39
Route RunningWR Rt#72
TacklingTkl#88
Run DefenseR Def#82
Pass Rush DefPRush#39
Coverage DefCov#4

Rematch from Week 2
California -44.5 (54.5)
California won vs Texas Southern this year (35-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TXSO | CAL
Depth Chart: TXSO | CAL
Rosters: TXSO | CAL
(#53) California Info
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

California has won 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess

California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home

California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)


  
Texas Southern's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Cooper437458%322124.4
Jordan Davis11100%3003.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Athean Renfro2915725.431
KJ Cooper2310404.523
Daveon Ford215812.810
Jordan Davis3602.05
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roriyon Richardson694115.736
Kerien Charlo95606.219
Trenton Leary94104.614
Xavier Phipps (Tr)332010.724

View Texas Southern's Full Roster
Texas Southern's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Bogerty100000
Charles George Jr.90000
Jaheim Miller (Tr)80001
Edric Whitley40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Bogerty100000
Charles George Jr.90000
Jaheim Miller (Tr)80001
Edric Whitley40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Miller (Tr)80001
DaMarcus Thompson10001
Isaiah Bogerty100000

California's OC Bryan Harsin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)7010567%772617.4
Devin Brown (Tr)22100%271013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)4021015.333
Brandon High188014.422
LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr)113813.512
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)122211.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trond Grizzell11175115.935
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)1614118.827
Mark Hamper (Tr)9139015.435
Mason Mini (Tr)139927.619

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Ferrelli272000
Cade Uluave243020
Isaiah Crosby210003
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)140005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush (Tr)133220
Ryan McCulloch93241
Aaron Hampton51100
Jayden Wayne (Tr)31120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)140005
Brent Austin (Tr)60003
Isaiah Crosby210003