Texas Southern at California - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas Southern logo   Texas Southern Tigers at California Golden Bears  California logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
California -44.5 (54.5) (0)  Open: -45.0 | 54.0
California 35 - Texas Southern: 3

 
Tigers (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 35 (3 - 35 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: California -1.5  (SP+ CAL -3)
CAL Win prob: 100% | Cover: 53%
Golden Bears (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Texas Southern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 Texas Southern at California+44.554.5L 3 - 35UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Southern's Schedule
California's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 California at Oregon State+3.051.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/6 California vs Texas Southern-44.554.5W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 California vs Minnesota+3.041.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 9/20 California at San Diego State-14.047.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 9/27 California at Boston College+6.054.5W 28 - 24UY
Sat 10/4 California vs Duke+3.554.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 California vs North Carolina-7.545.5W 21 - 18UN
Fri 10/24 California at Virginia Tech+6.550.5L 34 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 California vs Virginia+6.552.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/8 California at Louisville+18.548.5W 29 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 California at Stanford-4.547.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/29 California vs SMU+13.553.5W 38 - 35OY
Wed 12/24 California at Hawai'i+1.550.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXSO0%30%000%000%350%0%0000
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)25.340% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)27.241% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXSO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXSO Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CAL Defense1327.224.340.4%3.231.7 - - - - - 47%53%41%40%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXSO Defense135350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CAL Offense1325.327.241.5%3.070.8213811222593.641%58%40%43%18%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Southern10:000NAN%0%0000000100
California1330:3620.737%44%7.459.70.81.75.42.5229.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXSO Offense10%0%000000%0%0
CAL Defense1347% (28)41% (53) - - - - .08 (44)2.99 (65)86% (129)10% (72)0.91 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXSO Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CAL Offense1341% (121)40% (104)33.7122.23.617 (84).07 (99)2.68 (120)69% (98)13% (126)1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXSO Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
CAL Defense1353% (103)40% (67) - - - - - - 17 (5).21 (52)1.7 (92)33% (44)30% (59).39 (102)8% (12)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXSO Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CAL Offense1358% (14)43% (57)23.235.7258.67.311.116 (87)7 (26).25 (72)1.4 (126)36% (128)30% (85).36 (58)5% (23)2.2 (23)

Texas Southern's Power Ratings
Texas Southern's Power Rating: NR
Texas Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas Southern's 2025 Expected Record: -
Texas Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Southern:    California: 1.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Southern:    California: -3.2




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 1.4  #63
California's Offense Rating: 14.12  #61
California's Defense Rating: 13.12  #64
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 5.4
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #80
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #77
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas Southern Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Texas Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 26
Texas Southern 24

Projected Total Points: 50
California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06California35Texas Southern3California -44.5Texas Southern54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California100 Overs
Texas Southern011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) TXSO at (#63) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXSOCAL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #63
SP+SP+NR #80
Perf GradeGradeNR #87
OffenseOffNR #84
DefenseDefNR #62
Spec TeamsSTNR #122
TalentTalNR #55
Blue ChipsBC%NR #88
California Notes
(11/23) Wilcox fired, Rolovich interim HC for SMU finale
(10/22) QB JKS hurt shoulder in N Car game, monitor vs VT
(9/21) Crash down to earth 34-0 beatdown by SDSU
(9/21) 3 TOs, 6-17 3rd down, Run Off awful. Shocking L
(9/14) Sagapolutele incredible and entire Off so far
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
California Injury Report
Texas Southern on Offense
CategoryCat
TXSO OffCAL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #62
SuccessSucNR #52
ExplosiveExpNR #88
PPAPPANR #48
PowerPwrNR #64
SP+SP+NR #72
Pts POPPONR #20
HavocHavNR #42
Texas Southern Run Game
CategoryCat
TXSO OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNR #128
Run SuccessRSucNR #53
Run ExplRExpNR #37
PPAExpNR #44
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #65
Stuff RateStuffNR #71
TackleTak -  #109
Texas Southern Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXSO OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNR #9
Pass SuccessPSucNR #67
Pass ExplPExlNR #92
PPAExpNR #52
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #77
F7 HavocF7NR #72
DB HavocDBNR #12
California on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatCAL OffTXSO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #84NR
SuccessSuc #88NR
ExplosiveExp #52NR
PPAPPA #79NR
PowerPwr #61NR
SP+SP+ #77NR
Pts POPPO #125NR
HavocHav #102NR
California Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
CAL OffTXSO Def
Run GameRun #124NR
Run SuccessRSuc #104NR
Run ExplRExp #22NR
PPAExp #99NR
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLY #120NR
Stuff RateStuff #114NR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatCAL OffTXSO Def
Pass GamePass #26NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #57NR
Pass ExplPExl #126NR
PPAExp #72NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #82NR
F7 HavocF7 #126NR
DB HavocDB #23NR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

TXSO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
California -44.5 (54.5)
California won vs Texas Southern this year (35-3)

Previous Matchups
California beat Texas Southern last year (35-3)

  
TXSO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Cooper15124462%14971156.1
Jordan Davis142458%168107.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Athean Renfro12573065.860
KJ Cooper7224333.423
Jacob Washington4221815.229
Daveon Ford4414513.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roriyon Richardson30444414.857
Trenton Leary31314210.148
Kerien Charlo3028419.543
Kordell Rodgers1917239.119

View Texas Southern's Full Roster

TXSO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Bogerty100000
Charles George Jr.90000
Jaheim Miller (Tr)80001
Edric Whitley40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Bogerty100000
Charles George Jr.90000
Jaheim Miller (Tr)80001
Edric Whitley40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DaMarcus Thompson10001
Jaheim Miller (Tr)80001
Isaiah Bogerty100000

CAL's OC Bryan Harsin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr)31549164%34461897.0
Devin Brown (Tr)4757%48116.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)233952134.133
LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr)3310823.312
Brandon High239814.322
Anthony League113813.58
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)107102269.641
Trond Grizzell55788114.335
Mason Mini (Tr)35387411.151
Quaron Adams (Tr)20273113.739

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Vacant (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cade Uluave9712344
Luke Ferrelli915111
Dru Polidore623003
Aidan Keanaaina563200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush (Tr)3911541
Cade Uluave9712344
Chris Victor (Tr)245340
Jayden Wayne (Tr)265350
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4210013
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)4710012
Derek Wilkins120018