Boston College at Stanford - 2025 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (10:30 PM EDT)
Boston College -14.0 (44.5) (-450)  Open: -10.5 | 44.5
Stanford 30 - Boston College: 20  (ACC)

 
Eagles (1 - 5) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 33 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#131)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
BC 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Boston College -1.5  (SP+ BC -2.5)

Projected Score: BC: 25 - STAN: 24 (49)
BC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BC Travel: 2684 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (2 - 4) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-6.054.5L 24 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+6.554.5L 7 - 48ON
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+14.054.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn-1.559.5
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+24.5
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+26.5
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+16.5
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse+3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i+1.553.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+20.544.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+14.044.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+16.548.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-3.049.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+19.555.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+17.552.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+36
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+18.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+5
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+30.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#74 (.18)43% (74)27.838% (113)2.41 (128)8545% (47)2843.52 (106)#90 (.2)41% (65)33.241% (58)42% (76)4.61 (123)51.71.81
STAN#109 (.11)38% (120)18.838% (114)2.6 (116)9538% (106)2412.96 (129)#108 (.23)46% (115)30.246% (112)45% (108)3.39 (42)62.51.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense627.822.342.9%3.521.819369852843.136%63%38%45%15%.18
STAN Defense630.224.545.8%3.390.8 - - - - - 39%61%46%45%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense633.24041.2%4.611 - - - - - 52%47%41%42%14%.2
STAN Offense618.83038.2%2.961.31833695241348%52%38%38%17%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College626:4819.343%44%6.251.71.814.81.8128.3
Stanford630:3718.233%69%762.51.30.842123.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense636% (135)38% (113)27.285.23.19 (77) (122)2.41 (128)100% (1)9% (53)0.89 (104)
STAN Defense639% (2)46% (112) - - - - .04 (40)3.06 (102)80% (114)7% (126)0.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense652% (93)41% (58) - - - - .08 (62)2.55 (27)63% (31)8% (113)0.99 (83)
STAN Offense648% (88)38% (114)31.794.735 (115).01 (118)2.6 (116)79% (31)11% (102)0.89 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense663% (2)45% (47)24.237.3283.87.611.711 (49)5 (77).28 (70)1.3 (131)33% (106)32% (62).32 (73)7% (101)1.9 (97)
STAN Defense661% (135)45% (108) - - - - - - 1 (128).35 (113)1.5 (74)33% (59)35% (118).32 (84)5% (106)1.7 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense647% (42)42% (76) - - - - - - 4 (62).33 (106)1.6 (87)27% (128)36% (125).37 (97)6% (63)1.8 (34)
STAN Offense652% (49)38% (106)19.332.8240.87.312.56 (110)4 (50).23 (87)1.6 (62)32% (78)25% (112).16 (113)6% (87)1.7 (129)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.44  #69
Boston College's Offense Rating: 11.98  #64
Boston College's Defense Rating: 9.54  #76
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #91
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.44   Stanford: -4.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -7.8   Stanford: -10.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.26  #85
Stanford's Offense Rating: 5.99  #96
Stanford's Defense Rating: 9.31  #75
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #42
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #108
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #106
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.3
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 40

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 25
Stanford 24


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 28
Stanford 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Stanford 31
Boston College 26

Total Points: 57
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Stanford30Boston College20Boston College -14.0Stanford44.5Over
200209/07Boston College34Stanford27
200109/08Stanford38Boston College22
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford211 Overs
Boston College100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#69) BC at (#85) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBCSTAN
Power RatePwr #69 #85
SP+SP+ #97 #108
Perf GradeGrade #77 #116
OffenseOff #64 #87
DefenseDef #99 #130
Spec TeamsST #49 #26
TalentTal #56 #39
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #42

Boston College Notes
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp

Stanford Notes
(9/21) Run Off 31 car, 35 yds vs Stan, QB much better
(8/24) Pass game was beyond awful vs Hawaii Wk 0
(8/12) QB1 Gulbranson will start at Hawaii in week 0
(6/30) RBs had zero rush TD's LY, no 500 yd RB in 5+
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues
Boston College on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
BC OffSTAN Def
Perf GradePerf #64 #130
SuccessSuc #74 #115
ExplosiveExp #111 #66
PPAPPA #74 #108
PowerPwr #64 #75
SP+SP+ #91 #99
Pts POPPO #106 #42
HavocHav #74 #124
Boston College Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
BC OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #123 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #112
Run ExplRExp #104 #15
PPAExp #122 #40
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #128 #102
Stuff RateStuff #74 #109
TackleTak -  #115
Boston College Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
BC OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #71 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #47 #108
Pass ExplPExl #131 #74
PPAExp #70 #113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #16 #107
F7 HavocF7 #53 #126
DB HavocDB #101 #106
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatSTAN OffBC Def
Perf GradePerf #87 #99
SuccessSuc #120 #65
ExplosiveExp #67 #83
PPAPPA #109 #90
PowerPwr #96 #76
SP+SP+ #106 #98
Pts POPPO #129 #123
HavocHav #100 #112
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffBC Def
Run GameRun #62 #86
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #58
Run ExplRExp #102 #83
PPAExp #118 #62
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #27
Stuff RateStuff #83 #17
TackleTak -  #40
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatSTAN OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #101 #93
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #76
Pass ExplPExl #62 #87
PPAExp #87 #106
Pass Block/RushP Blk #111 #76
F7 HavocF7 #102 #113
DB HavocDB #87 #63
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 69° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Boston College 14.0 (44.5)
Stanford won vs Boston College this year (30-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)13219767%1394937.1
Grayson James71450%2201115.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard8240655.071
Jordan Mcdonald269813.810
Bo MacCormack III132612.07
Anthony Ferrucci41403.55
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond4543609.732
Reed Harris17285216.846
Jeremiah Franklin24240110.032
Turbo Richard1817129.549

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price503010
Omar Thornton356111
Carter Davis341101
Owen McGowan334111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quintayvious Hutchins163241
Sedarius McConnell146200
Daveon Crouch112111
Carter Davis341101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Cunningham120003
Syair Torrence40003
Favor Bate (Tr)81122

STAN's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Gulbranson (Tr)11619659%1445647.4
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford9140034.475
Cole Tabb3919415.017
Tuna Altahir (Tr)155503.79
Sedrick Irvin155213.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Williams36412111.436
Bryce Farrell19381120.168
Sam Roush18219212.269
Caden High (Tr)15190012.734

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Jaivion Green241003
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clay Patterson144331
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green241003
Matt Rose474112
Collin Wright220002