Boston College at Stanford - 2025 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (10:30 PM EDT)
Boston College -14.0 (44.5) (-450)  Open: -10.5 | 44.5
Stanford 30 - Boston College: 20  (ACC)

 
Eagles (1 - 9) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
BC 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Boston College -3.5  (SP+ BC -3)

Projected Score: BC: 26 - STAN: 22 (48)
BC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BC Travel: 2684 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (3 - 6) (2 - 7 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 30 (25 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#119)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-6.054.5L 24 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+6.554.5L 7 - 48ON
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+14.054.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn+2.558.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+25.554.5L 24 - 38OY
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+31.555.5L 10 - 25UY
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+10.554.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse-3.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i+1.553.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+20.544.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+14.044.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+16.548.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-3.049.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+19.555.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+17.555.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+28.545.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+13.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+8.541.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+6.5
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+30.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#87 (.14)41% (89)23.740% (101)2.67 (91)8342% (67)2423.46 (102)#92 (.18)40% (55)34.539% (39)42% (84)4.08 (99)501.71
STAN#127 (.04)36% (128)17.836% (127)2.13 (126)8337% (119)2262.95 (127)#102 (.2)45% (117)30.146% (117)45% (107)3.22 (25)57.31.61
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1023.722.841.1%3.461.71832583242339%59%40%42%17%.14
STAN Defense930.124.345.3%3.221 - - - - - 42%57%46%45%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1034.539.540.4%4.081 - - - - - 50%48%39%42%13%.18
STAN Offense917.82535.6%2.951.617308832262.646%52%36%37%18%.04

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1026:2418.140%48%5.9501.713.61.3127.1
Stanford929:5617.134%56%6.157.31.614.11.8124.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1039% (131)40% (101)28.18339 (88).01 (115)2.67 (91)82% (12)10% (90)0.84 (121)
STAN Defense942% (7)46% (117) - - - - .04 (35)3.11 (115)77% (109)7% (127)0.82 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1050% (70)39% (39) - - - - .02 (30)2.44 (35)64% (32)7% (122)1.02 (97)
STAN Offense946% (99)36% (127)31.882.82.66 (119)-.03 (126)2.13 (126)77% (34)10% (102)0.86 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1059% (7)42% (67)21.434.32427.111.317 (42)10 (60).21 (84)1.3 (126)34% (114)32% (58).3 (76)7% (111)1.9 (89)
STAN Defense957% (131)45% (107) - - - - - - 3 (132).34 (112)1.5 (71)32% (71)35% (123).34 (91)6% (73)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1048% (61)42% (84) - - - - - - 5 (75).34 (110)1.7 (115)29% (108)33% (112).3 (80)5% (92)1.9 (35)
STAN Offense952% (44)37% (119)18.632.4225.7712.210 (106)10 (60).18 (95)1.5 (68)33% (98)23% (127).14 (119)8% (123)1.8 (109)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 3.99  #59
Boston College's Offense Rating: 9.56  #65
Boston College's Defense Rating: 5.57  #56
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3  #103
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #98
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #109

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 3.99   Stanford: -6.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -9.3   Stanford: -12.1




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -6.38  #93
Stanford's Offense Rating: 1.14  #120
Stanford's Defense Rating: 6.80  #70
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #42
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1  #115
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #117
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #100

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 34.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.5

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 26
Stanford 22


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 28
Stanford 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Stanford 29
Boston College 25

Total Points: 54
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Stanford30Boston College20Boston College -14.0Stanford44.5Over
200209/07Boston College34Stanford27
200109/08Stanford38Boston College22
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford211 Overs
Boston College100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#59) BC at (#93) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBCSTAN
Power RatePwr #59 #93
SP+SP+ #103 #115
Perf GradeGrade #113 #125
OffenseOff #93 #117
DefenseDef #120 #128
Spec TeamsST #56 #44
TalentTal #56 #39
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #42
Boston College Notes
(10/31) Sounds like Dylan Lonergan is QB1 vs ND
(10/22) Defense near worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) LT Bowry, LG Daugherty both out vs UConn
(10/18) L to UConn at home ugly, Pass Def torched, Off OK
(10/18) QB James in for Lonergan (benched). Run Off awful
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
Boston College Injury Report
Stanford Notes
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/22) QB Gulbranson inj vs FSU, ? for Miami game
(10/19) Huge W vs FSU, box score L but held on. 3-2 run now
(9/21) Run Off 31 car, 35 yds vs Stan, QB much better
(8/24) Pass game was beyond awful vs Hawaii Wk 0
(8/12) QB1 Gulbranson will start at Hawaii in week 0
(6/30) RBs had zero rush TD's LY, no 500 yd RB in 5+
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
Stanford Injury Report
Boston College on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffSTAN Def
Perf GradePerf #93 #128
SuccessSuc #89 #117
ExplosiveExp #110 #67
PPAPPA #87 #102
PowerPwr #65 #70
SP+SP+ #98 #100
Pts POPPO #102 #25
HavocHav #97 #119
Boston College Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #124 #113
Run SuccessRSuc #101 #117
Run ExplRExp #121 #15
PPAExp #115 #35
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLY #91 #115
Stuff RateStuff #52 #123
TackleTak -  #119
Boston College Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #107 #108
Pass SuccessPSuc #67 #107
Pass ExplPExl #126 #71
PPAExp #84 #112
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #78 #121
F7 HavocF7 #90 #127
DB HavocDB #111 #73
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatSTAN OffBC Def
Perf GradePerf #117 #120
SuccessSuc #128 #55
ExplosiveExp #85 #119
PPAPPA #127 #92
PowerPwr #120 #56
SP+SP+ #117 #109
Pts POPPO #127 #99
HavocHav #118 #122
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
STAN OffBC Def
Run GameRun #65 #122
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #39
Run ExplRExp #115 #97
PPAExp #126 #30
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLY #126 #35
Stuff RateStuff #97 #10
TackleTak -  #52
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatSTAN OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #124 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #84
Pass ExplPExl #68 #115
PPAExp #95 #110
Pass Block/RushP Blk #127 #94
F7 HavocF7 #102 #122
DB HavocDB #123 #92
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 69° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Boston College 14.0 (44.5)
Stanford won vs Boston College this year (30-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)16224267%16551056.8
Grayson James7112756%908757.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard11950654.371
Jordan Mcdonald8033514.217
Grayson James515501.120
Bo MacCormack III154312.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond73733110.032
Reed Harris32504415.846
Jeremiah Franklin4138529.432
Kaelan Chudzinski19247313.045

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price733030
Omar Thornton697111
Carter Davis522102
Owen McGowan485113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sedarius McConnell237300
Quintayvious Hutchins304261
Micah Amedee51110
Ty Clemons61110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Farris220005
Amari Jackson60004
Owen McGowan485113

STAN's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Gulbranson (Tr)14826057%18139107.0
Elijah Brown193161%218107.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford9942534.375
Cole Tabb9537924.028
Sedrick Irvin278013.015
Tuna Altahir (Tr)155503.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Williams48606412.636
Bryce Farrell25413116.568
Sam Roush37409211.169
Caden High (Tr)22278112.634

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose755113
Scotty Edwards474311
Jahsiah Galvan350002
Charlie Eckhardt300012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clay Patterson235441
Scotty Edwards474311
Zach Johnson (Tr)283221
Hunter Barth (Tr)263221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green281005
Brandon Nicholson110004
Matt Rose755113