Notre Dame at Stanford - 2025 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo (#9)Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (10:30 PM EST)
Notre Dame -32.5 (50.5) (0)  Open: -32.5 | 52.5
Notre Dame 49 - Stanford: 20

 
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
ND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -29.5  (SP+ ND -35.5)

Projected Score: ND: 40 - STAN: 11 (51)
ND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
ND Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-10.560.5W 34 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-31.555.5W 25 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-30.554.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-12.555.5W 37 - 15UY
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-36.551.5W 70 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-32.550.5W 49 - 20ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i+1.553.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+20.544.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+14.044.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+16.548.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-3.049.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+19.555.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+17.555.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+28.545.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+13.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+8.541.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+4.547.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+32.550.5L 20 - 49OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (25)3.05 (50)20451% (6)2554.79 (6)#12 (.04)36% (13)17.638% (20)36% (16)2.58 (6)53.10.81.9
STAN#120 (.06)36% (127)18.837% (126)2.63 (121)8637% (117)2223.02 (122)#73 (.17)42% (80)29.242% (70)43% (84)3.46 (51)54.11.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense124238.249%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36
STAN Defense1229.22642.5%3.461.1 - - - - - 42%57%42%43%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1217.61736.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
STAN Offense1218.825.236.3%3.021.417308862222.646%51%37%37%17%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Stanford1229:4917.438%58%654.11.41.14.91.9125.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (25)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (11)3.05 (50)62% (122)8% (36)1.16 (8)
STAN Defense1242% (3)42% (70) - - - - -.02 (11)2.88 (69)74% (89)9% (99)0.88 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1243% (6)38% (20) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (66)9% (77)0.89 (32)
STAN Offense1246% (99)37% (126)32.385.52.68 (119)-.03 (131)2.63 (121)82% (6)10% (84)0.75 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (10)1.7 (25)29% (37)44% (2).65 (3)5% (35)2 (65)
STAN Defense1257% (135)43% (84) - - - - - - 3 (132).34 (110)1.6 (84)33% (39)34% (117).35 (95)6% (73)2 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1256% (132)36% (16) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (93)36% (9)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
STAN Offense1251% (46)37% (117)18.732.62226.811.914 (106)12 (60).2 (98)1.5 (65)33% (92)25% (123).19 (113)7% (117)2 (82)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 28.73  #3
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 26.69  #6
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.21  #2
2025 Talent Rating: 1060.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 57%  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.1  #7
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 28.73   Stanford: -2.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.3   Stanford: -11.4




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -2.795  #65
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.61  #90
Stanford's Defense Rating: 8.80  #36
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #42
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #112
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #118
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #84

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 40
Stanford 11


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 31
Stanford 17

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 34
Stanford 20

Total Points: 54
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Stanford20Notre Dame49Notre Dame -32.5Stanford50.5Over
202410/12Notre Dame49Stanford7Notre Dame -22.5Notre Dame45.5Over
202311/25Stanford23Notre Dame56Notre Dame -26.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202210/15Notre Dame14Stanford16Notre Dame -16.5Stanford53.5Under
202111/27Stanford14Notre Dame45Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame53.0Over
201911/30Stanford24Notre Dame45Notre Dame -17.5Notre Dame45.5Over
201809/29Notre Dame38Stanford17Notre Dame -4.5Notre Dame52.5Over
201711/25Stanford38Notre Dame20Notre Dame -3Stanford57.0Over
201610/15Notre Dame10Stanford17Notre Dame -3.5Stanford53.0Under
201511/28Stanford38Notre Dame36Notre Dame -2Stanford57.0Over
201410/04Notre Dame17Stanford14Stanford -2.5Notre Dame46.0Under
201311/30Stanford27Notre Dame20Stanford -14Notre Dame0
201210/13Notre Dame20Stanford13
201111/26Stanford28Notre Dame14
201009/25Notre Dame14Stanford37
200911/28Stanford45Notre Dame38
200810/04Notre Dame28Stanford21
200711/24Stanford14Notre Dame21
200610/07Notre Dame31Stanford10
200511/26Stanford31Notre Dame38
200410/09Notre Dame23Stanford15
200311/29Stanford7Notre Dame57
200210/05Notre Dame31Stanford7
200111/24Stanford17Notre Dame13
200010/06Notre Dame20Stanford14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford958 Overs
Notre Dame1673 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 106 - 62 - 34 - 3
Road Teams10 - 156 - 63 - 43 - 2

(#3) ND at (#65) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDSTAN
Net PPPPPP #2 #112
Power RatePwr #3 #65
SP+SP+ #5 #112
Perf GradeGrade #5 #120
OffenseOff #5 #121
DefenseDef #5 #109
Spec TeamsST #23 #36
TalentTal #7 #39
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #42
Notre Dame Notes
(11/16) Killed Pitt, 10-2 finish likely. Get healthy for CFP?
(11/4) Huge issues at K, missed 2 XP, short FG vs BC
(10/20) OG Billy Schrauth out until at least Pitt/Cuse (3 OL)
(10/18) 300 yds rush vs USC, Pass Def torched, huge Win
(10/16) DL G Rubio out vs SC (best DT) & L Thomas (depth)
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
Notre Dame Injury Report
Stanford Notes
(11/28) Hired HC Tavita Pritchard, was QBC for Wash/NFL
(11/28) Great W over Cal, run defense great. Off was enough
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/22) QB Gulbranson inj vs FSU, ? for Miami game
(10/19) Huge W vs FSU, box score L but held on. 3-2 run now
(9/21) Run Off 31 car, 35 yds vs Stan, QB much better
(8/24) Pass game was beyond awful vs Hawaii Wk 0
(8/12) QB1 Gulbranson will start at Hawaii in week 0
(6/30) RBs had zero rush TD's LY, no 500 yd RB in 5+
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
Stanford Injury Report
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPP #1 #122
Perf GradePerf #5 #109
SuccessSuc #10 #80
ExplosiveExp #3 #94
PPAPPA #4 #73
PowerPwr #6 #36
SP+SP+ #7 #84
Pts POPPO #6 #51
HavocHav #36 #94
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #5 #66
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #70
Run ExplRExp #8 #25
PPAExp #11 #11
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLY #50 #69
Stuff RateStuff #101 #90
TackleTak -  #116
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #10 #107
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #84
Pass ExplPExl #25 #84
PPAExp #10 #110
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #119
F7 HavocF7 #36 #99
DB HavocDB #35 #73
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatSTAN OffND Def
PPPDefPPP #24 #91
Perf GradePerf #121 #5
SuccessSuc #127 #13
ExplosiveExp #103 #85
PPAPPA #120 #12
PowerPwr #90 #2
SP+SP+ #118 #11
Pts POPPO #122 #6
HavocHav #105 #19
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
STAN OffND Def
Run GameRun #73 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #126 #20
Run ExplRExp #134 #32
PPAExp #131 #37
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLY #121 #39
Stuff RateStuff #63 #74
TackleTak -  #9
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatSTAN OffND Def
Pass GamePass #125 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #16
Pass ExplPExl #65 #93
PPAExp #98 #8
Pass Block/RushP Blk #127 #25
F7 HavocF7 #84 #77
DB HavocDB #117 #3
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 48° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Notre Dame 32.5 (50.5)
Notre Dame won at Stanford this year (49-20)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Stanford last year (49-7)
Notre Dame beat Stanford in 2023 (56-23)
Stanford beat Notre Dame in 2022 (16-14)

  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Kenny Minchey202677%196007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1991372186.994
Jadarian Price113674116.058
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Kenny Minchey784112.034
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Malachi Fields (Tr)36630517.566
Eli Raridon32482015.165
Will Pauling (Tr)26381614.744

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
Jaylen Sneed355330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Gulbranson (Tr)14826057%18139107.0
Elijah Brown7412758%829426.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford14564344.475
Cole Tabb11444533.928
Sedrick Irvin4111812.915
Tuna Altahir (Tr)155503.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Williams60757612.636
Sam Roush49545211.169
Bryce Farrell28447216.068
Caden High (Tr)37414111.234

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose1068333
Scotty Edwards544311
Jahsiah Galvan502012
Jaivion Green383016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clay Patterson336461
Matt Rose1068333
Ernest Cooper235301
Scotty Edwards544311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green383016
Brandon Nicholson271106
Collin Wright331004