Notre Dame at Stanford - 2025 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Stanford Stadium - Stanford, CA

 
Fighting Irish (4 - 2) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 21 (40 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
ND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -30.5  (SP+ ND -31.5)

Projected Score: ND: 44 - STAN: 14 (58)
ND Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
ND Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (2 - 4) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-9.561.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-26.5
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-24.5
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-9.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-30.5
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-30.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i+1.553.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+20.544.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+14.044.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+16.548.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-3.049.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+19.555.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+17.552.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+36
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+18.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+5
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+30.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#13 (.35)50% (18)4049% (27)3.06 (56)17551% (16)2935.05 (14)#64 (.16)41% (69)20.843% (82)40% (62)3.36 (37)5012
STAN#109 (.11)38% (120)18.838% (114)2.6 (116)9538% (106)2412.96 (129)#108 (.23)46% (115)30.246% (112)45% (108)3.39 (42)62.51.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense6404049.9%5.05124468175293553%47%49%51%14%.35
STAN Defense630.224.545.8%3.390.8 - - - - - 39%61%46%45%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense620.82041.3%3.362 - - - - - 44%56%43%40%15%.16
STAN Offense618.83038.2%2.961.31833695241348%52%38%38%17%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame629:5423.749%36%5.850123.52.3231.1
Stanford630:3718.233%69%762.51.30.842123.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense653% (42)49% (27)34.8174.7517 (16).23 (31)3.06 (56)54% (134)9% (71)1.07 (34)
STAN Defense639% (2)46% (112) - - - - .04 (40)3.06 (102)80% (114)7% (126)0.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense644% (16)43% (82) - - - - .14 (93)3.16 (117)68% (52)6% (134)0.9 (43)
STAN Offense648% (88)38% (114)31.794.735 (115).01 (118)2.6 (116)79% (31)11% (102)0.89 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense647% (90)51% (16)1928292.810.515.413 (27)3 (26).5 (14)1.7 (18)29% (36)45% (3).62 (9)5% (52)1.8 (109)
STAN Defense661% (135)45% (108) - - - - - - 1 (128).35 (113)1.5 (74)33% (59)35% (118).32 (84)5% (106)1.7 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense656% (121)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (2).19 (52)1.5 (69)34% (38)26% (31).23 (51)8% (10)2 (82)
STAN Offense652% (49)38% (106)19.332.8240.87.312.56 (110)4 (50).23 (87)1.6 (62)32% (78)25% (112).16 (113)6% (87)1.7 (129)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 30.98  #10
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 29.14  #8
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.15  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 1072.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 58%  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.3  #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #23

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 833
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 30.98   Stanford: -4.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 21.3   Stanford: -10.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.26  #85
Stanford's Offense Rating: 5.99  #96
Stanford's Defense Rating: 9.31  #75
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #42
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #108
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #106
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 40
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 44
Stanford 14


Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 39
Stanford 20

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 34
Stanford 23

Total Points: 57
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Notre Dame49Stanford7Notre Dame -22.5Notre Dame45.5Over
202311/25Stanford23Notre Dame56Notre Dame -26.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202210/15Notre Dame14Stanford16Notre Dame -16.5Stanford53.5Under
202111/27Stanford14Notre Dame45Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame53.0Over
201911/30Stanford24Notre Dame45Notre Dame -17.5Notre Dame45.5Over
201809/29Notre Dame38Stanford17Notre Dame -4.5Notre Dame52.5Over
201711/25Stanford38Notre Dame20Notre Dame -3Stanford57.0Over
201610/15Notre Dame10Stanford17Notre Dame -3.5Stanford53.0Under
201511/28Stanford38Notre Dame36Notre Dame -2Stanford57.0Over
201410/04Notre Dame17Stanford14Stanford -2.5Notre Dame46.0Under
201311/30Stanford27Notre Dame20Stanford -14Notre Dame0
201210/13Notre Dame20Stanford13
201111/26Stanford28Notre Dame14
201009/25Notre Dame14Stanford37
200911/28Stanford45Notre Dame38
200810/04Notre Dame28Stanford21
200711/24Stanford14Notre Dame21
200610/07Notre Dame31Stanford10
200511/26Stanford31Notre Dame38
200410/09Notre Dame23Stanford15
200311/29Stanford7Notre Dame57
200210/05Notre Dame31Stanford7
200111/24Stanford17Notre Dame13
200010/06Notre Dame20Stanford14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford947 Overs
Notre Dame1573 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 95 - 62 - 33 - 3
Road Teams9 - 156 - 53 - 33 - 2

(#10) ND at (#85) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDSTAN
Power RatePwr #10 #85
SP+SP+ #9 #108
Perf GradeGrade #18 #116
OffenseOff #10 #87
DefenseDef #45 #130
Spec TeamsST #44 #26
TalentTal #6 #39
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #42

Notre Dame Notes
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
(9/15) Pass Def is awful. DB depth is huge issue
(9/15) DL a big issue, no pass rush w/ all these DEs?
(8/31) Carr is a baller, but OL is not good. Def leaked
(8/19) QB1 will be CJ Carr, beat Kenny Minchey

Stanford Notes
(9/21) Run Off 31 car, 35 yds vs Stan, QB much better
(8/24) Pass game was beyond awful vs Hawaii Wk 0
(8/12) QB1 Gulbranson will start at Hawaii in week 0
(6/30) RBs had zero rush TD's LY, no 500 yd RB in 5+
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
Perf GradePerf #10 #130
SuccessSuc #18 #115
ExplosiveExp #16 #66
PPAPPA #13 #108
PowerPwr #8 #75
SP+SP+ #4 #99
Pts POPPO #14 #42
HavocHav #58 #124
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #14 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #112
Run ExplRExp #34 #15
PPAExp #31 #40
Run BlockR Blk #73 -
OL YdsOLY #56 #102
Stuff RateStuff #100 #109
TackleTak -  #115
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #12 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #108
Pass ExplPExl #18 #74
PPAExp #14 #113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #72 #107
F7 HavocF7 #71 #126
DB HavocDB #52 #106
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatSTAN OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #87 #45
SuccessSuc #120 #69
ExplosiveExp #67 #60
PPAPPA #109 #64
PowerPwr #96 #27
SP+SP+ #106 #23
Pts POPPO #129 #37
HavocHav #100 #103
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffND Def
Run GameRun #62 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #82
Run ExplRExp #102 #43
PPAExp #118 #93
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #117
Stuff RateStuff #83 #123
TackleTak -  #28
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatSTAN OffND Def
Pass GamePass #101 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #62
Pass ExplPExl #62 #69
PPAExp #87 #52
Pass Block/RushP Blk #111 #73
F7 HavocF7 #102 #134
DB HavocDB #87 #10
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Stanford last year (49-7)
Notre Dame beat Stanford in 2023 (56-23)
Stanford beat Notre Dame in 2022 (16-14)

  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr10515867%162213310.3
Kenny Minchey8989%950010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love10053085.346
Jadarian Price6342276.749
Nolan James Jr.83304.115
Aneyas Williams63015.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison29376213.048
Eli Raridon20342017.165
Malachi Fields (Tr)18339218.866
Will Pauling (Tr)13243318.742

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen311120
Adon Shuler290002
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa282111
Jaiden Ausberry261100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore246530
Jaylen Sneed143200
Drayk Bowen311120
Jordan Botelho111110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray110006
Mark Zackery IV71002
Adon Shuler290002

STAN's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Gulbranson (Tr)11619659%1445647.4
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford9140034.475
Cole Tabb3919415.017
Tuna Altahir (Tr)155503.79
Sedrick Irvin155213.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Williams36412111.436
Bryce Farrell19381120.168
Sam Roush18219212.269
Caden High (Tr)15190012.734

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Jaivion Green241003
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clay Patterson144331
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green241003
Matt Rose474112
Collin Wright220002