Stanford at Hawai'i - 2025 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHawai
Saturday, August 23rd 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Stanford -2.5 (55.5) (-135)  Open: -2.5 | 55.5
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex - Honolulu, HI

 
Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Stanford -3.5   (SP+ STAN -5.5)
Projected Score: STAN: 29 - HAW: 25 (52)
STAN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
STAN Travel: 2400 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
 
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.555.5
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+14.5
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+5.5
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+7.5
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+21.5
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+10.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+28
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+7.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+1
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+29

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.555.5
Sat 8/30 Hawai'i at Arizona+13.053.5
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-9
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-12
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+2
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State-7
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+9
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Hawai'i at UNLV+8.5
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming-4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)22.841% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)33.745% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)22.346% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)2645% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense1222.821.240.1%3.671.8193251341913.750%50%41%39%22%.1
HAW Defense122619.642%4.150.9 - - - - - 50%50%45%40%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense1233.738.346.6%4.531.3 - - - - - 43%57%45%48%14%.27
HAW Offense1222.327.144.2%3.811.621367992683.636%64%46%44%19%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford1231:4118.535%56%5.4491.81.35.32.1228.5
Hawai'i1230:1920.837%55%870.31.60.95.72.3125.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense1250% (71)41% (95)36.3133.83.711 (116).08 (97)2.72 (116)66% (111)15% (131)1.01 (52)
HAW Defense1250% (57)45% (85) - - - - .16 (90)3.27 (108)79% (103)10% (74)0.97 (62)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense1243% (4)45% (92) - - - - .11 (62)2.92 (53)68% (39)10% (58)0.99 (70)
HAW Offense1236% (134)46% (45)27.8993.67 (131).13 (68)3.29 (26)80% (23)11% (88)0.83 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense1250% (64)39% (98)18.730.8191.36.210.318 (68)17 (127).13 (111)1.5 (120)32% (82)26% (116).22 (106)7% (102)2.1 (29)
HAW Defense1250% (79)40% (58) - - - - - - 6 (109).22 (58)1.4 (19)31% (82)30% (63).31 (72)6% (73)1.8 (13)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense1257% (131)48% (124) - - - - - - 9 (76).4 (125)1.6 (69)30% (96)34% (113).33 (85)4% (129)2 (51)
HAW Offense1264% (1)44% (50)23.840.1268.26.711.325 (31)15 (123).21 (92)1.4 (130)32% (80)33% (49).31 (81)8% (127)2 (94)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.81 #80
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.63 #94
Stanford's Defense Rating: 14.44 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.18
Average Power Five Talent: 856.78
Average FBS Talent: 681.16

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.81   Hawai'i: -8.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -6.2   Hawai'i: -11.5




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -8.885 #96
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 8.94 #100
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 20.21 #98
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #108
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 498.5
Average Power Five Talent: 856.78
Average FBS Talent: 681.16


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Stanford 29
Hawai'i 25

Projected Total Points: 52
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.1
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/01Hawai'i24Stanford37StanfordStanford -2Stanford54.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i001 Overs
Stanford110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#80) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.81 #80
Offense Rating: 9.63 #94
Defense Rating: 14.44 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #96
Talent Rating: 804.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Stanford Notes
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues
(3/21) RB awful LY, Daniels was lead rusher. Not ideal
(3/21) Def returns a ton, but a disaster LY.
(3/21) Former QB Luck now GM, oversees HC/staff
Stanford     Ratings Matchup     Hawai'i
Power #80
#96
Off #94
#100
Def #64
#98
Talent #45
#124
SP+ #88
#108
SP+ Off #82
#120
SP+ Def #96
#87

Previous Matchups
Stanford beat Hawai'i in 2023 (37-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: STAN | HAW
Depth Chart: STAN | HAW
Rosters: STAN | HAW
(#96) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.885 #96
Offense Rating: 8.94 #100
Defense Rating: 20.21 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87
Talent Rating: 398.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Hawai'i Notes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) New QB SO. Micah Alejado has good command
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) HC Chang slow build, needs a good year, bowl
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?


  
Stanford's OC TBD
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Rizk (Tr)7311862%915527.8
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Caden High (Tr)119308.523
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
David Pantelis (Tr)61901814.862
Caden High (Tr)60876614.670
Sam Roush4033428.428
CJ Williams16248215.550

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scotty Edwards802002
Mitch Leigber544011
Collin Wright453005
Tevarua Tafiti417430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Zach Buckey116301
Hunter Barth (Tr)384212
Ernest Cooper223120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Scotty Edwards802002

Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado497070%585608.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims7135114.929
Cam Barfield3315804.821
Christian Vaughn1710906.430
Micah Alejado195903.119
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nicholas Cenacle63721611.462
Pofele Ashlock61629610.330
Landon Sims13153011.852
Karsyn Pupunu680013.325

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis555220
Logan Taylor521000
Elijah Robinson5111510
Peter Manuma430003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III205550
Elijah Robinson5111510
Wynden Ho'Ohuli144231
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina133200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer325005
Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen331004
Jaheim Wilson-Jones161003