Stanford at BYU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at BYU CougarsBYU logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (10:15 PM EDT)
BYU -20.5 (44.5) (-1000)  Open: -18.5 | 48.0
BYU 27 - Stanford: 3

 
Cardinal (2 - 4) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (13 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
STAN 2nd straight Road Game
BYU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: BYU -26  (SP+ BYU -27)

Projected Score: STAN: 11 - BYU: 37 (48)
BYU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
STAN Travel: 598 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cougars (6 - 0) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 38 - 15 (45 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i+1.553.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+20.544.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+14.044.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+16.548.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-3.049.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+19.555.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+17.552.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+36
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+18.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+5
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+30.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-43.561.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-20.544.5W 27 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-6.549.5W 34 - 13UY
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado-6.548.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-19.546.5W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-2.546.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+3.049.5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+14
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU-4
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati+1
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-15.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#109 (.11)38% (120)18.838% (114)2.6 (116)9538% (106)2412.96 (129)#108 (.23)46% (115)30.246% (112)45% (108)3.39 (42)62.51.30.8
BYU#24 (.32)48% (29)37.550% (20)3.25 (29)24046% (46)2104.09 (66)#12 (.01)38% (31)14.740% (45)36% (23)3.54 (54)55.711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense618.813.338.2%2.961.31833695241348%52%38%38%17%.11
BYU Defense614.7937.9%3.541.7 - - - - - 52%48%40%36%17%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense630.23345.8%3.390.8 - - - - - 39%61%46%45%12%.23
BYU Offense637.544.748.2%4.091234502402105.858%42%50%46%13%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford630:3718.233%69%762.51.30.842123.7
BYU633:1423.343%71%6.755.711.75.71.7129.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense648% (88)38% (114)31.794.735 (115).01 (118)2.6 (116)79% (31)11% (102)0.89 (102)
BYU Defense652% (95)40% (45) - - - - -.01 (22)2.59 (31)76% (95)11% (43)0.76 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense639% (2)46% (112) - - - - .04 (40)3.06 (102)80% (114)7% (126)0.8 (15)
BYU Offense658% (19)50% (20)41.5239.85.817 (16).31 (14)3.25 (29)90% (4)8% (43)1.03 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense652% (49)38% (106)19.332.8240.87.312.56 (110)4 (50).23 (87)1.6 (62)32% (78)25% (112).16 (113)6% (87)1.7 (129)
BYU Defense648% (43)36% (23) - - - - - - 8 (12).04 (15)1.5 (50)32% (65)24% (24).17 (32)6% (63)1.7 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense661% (135)45% (108) - - - - - - 1 (128).35 (113)1.5 (74)33% (59)35% (118).32 (84)5% (106)1.7 (15)
BYU Offense642% (117)46% (46)1625.7210.28.213.18 (86)3 (26).33 (43)1.6 (57)29% (44)29% (84).35 (60)5% (37)2.1 (58)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -3.32  #85
Stanford's Offense Rating: 5.99  #96
Stanford's Defense Rating: 9.31  #75
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 9%  #42
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #108
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #106
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -3.32   BYU: 19.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -10.2   BYU: 16.6




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 19.47  #36
BYU's Offense Rating: 19.17  #38
BYU's Defense Rating: 1.83  #36
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.6  #23
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #39
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4  #15

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.3
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 37
Stanford 11


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
BYU 32
Stanford 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
BYU 36
Stanford 14

Total Points: 50
BYU Scoring
Offense: 37.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 9

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06BYU27Stanford3BYU -20.5BYU44.5Under
202211/26Stanford26BYU35BYU -6BYU57.5Over
200409/11Stanford37BYU10
200309/20BYU14Stanford18
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU221 Overs
Stanford201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#85) STAN at (#36) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTANBYU
Power RatePwr #85 #36
SP+SP+ #108 #23
Perf GradeGrade #116 #13
OffenseOff #87 #33
DefenseDef #130 #31
Spec TeamsST #26 #3
TalentTal #39 #79
Blue ChipsBC% #42 #56

Stanford Notes
(9/21) Run Off 31 car, 35 yds vs Stan, QB much better
(8/24) Pass game was beyond awful vs Hawaii Wk 0
(8/12) QB1 Gulbranson will start at Hawaii in week 0
(6/30) RBs had zero rush TD's LY, no 500 yd RB in 5+
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues

BYU Notes
(8/16) QB1 - Fr Bear Bachmeier looks like starter
(7/30) Def good LY, but lost 8 starters, most of DL
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffBYU Def
Perf GradePerf #87 #31
SuccessSuc #120 #31
ExplosiveExp #67 #9
PPAPPA #109 #12
PowerPwr #96 #36
SP+SP+ #106 #15
Pts POPPO #129 #54
HavocHav #100 #49
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #62 #33
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #45
Run ExplRExp #102 #7
PPAExp #118 #22
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #31
Stuff RateStuff #83 #55
TackleTak -  #36
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
STAN OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #101 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #23
Pass ExplPExl #62 #50
PPAExp #87 #15
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #111 #77
F7 HavocF7 #102 #43
DB HavocDB #87 #63
BYU on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatBYU OffSTAN Def
Perf GradePerf #33 #130
SuccessSuc #29 #115
ExplosiveExp #68 #66
PPAPPA #24 #108
PowerPwr #38 #75
SP+SP+ #39 #99
Pts POPPO #66 #42
HavocHav #28 #124
BYU Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BYU OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #35 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #20 #112
Run ExplRExp #48 #15
PPAExp #14 #40
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLY #29 #102
Stuff RateStuff #23 #109
TackleTak -  #115
BYU Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatBYU OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #78 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #46 #108
Pass ExplPExl #57 #74
PPAExp #43 #113
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #107
F7 HavocF7 #43 #126
DB HavocDB #37 #106
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71°
Rematch from Week 2
BYU -20.5 (44.5)
BYU won vs Stanford this year (27-3)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Stanford in 2022 (35-26)

  
STAN's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Gulbranson (Tr)11619659%1445647.4
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford9140034.475
Cole Tabb3919415.017
Tuna Altahir (Tr)155503.79
Sedrick Irvin155213.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Williams36412111.436
Bryce Farrell19381120.168
Sam Roush18219212.269
Caden High (Tr)15190012.734

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Jaivion Green241003
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clay Patterson144331
Hunter Barth (Tr)223210
Matt Rose474112
Scotty Edwards331111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green241003
Matt Rose474112
Collin Wright220002

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)9114463%1220838.5
McCae Hillstead4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin10165246.549
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)7129574.216
Cody Hagen7101214.457
Sione I Moa179015.319
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts22420319.185
Parker Kingston23333214.575
Carsen Ryan (Tr)14211215.128
LJ Martin97708.619

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Faletau Satuala315101
Siale Esera311021
Isaiah Glasker267221
Logan Lutui263012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly217420
Isaiah Glasker267221
Faletau Satuala315101
Choe Bryant-Strother21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Therrian Alexander111022
Bodie Schoonover140022
Logan Lutui263012