Boston College at Louisville Game Matchup
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY  (ACC)

 
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
BC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -12   (SP+ LOU -12)
Projected Score: BC: 23 - LOU: 35 (56)
LOU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
BC Travel: 819 miles
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Boston College vs Fordham-26
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-7
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+4.5
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+20.5
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn-9
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+12
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+21
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+8.5
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse+5.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-35.5
Sat 9/6 Louisville vs James Madison-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green-28
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh-5
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia-15
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami+10.5
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College-12
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech-4
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California-17
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson+11
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU+4
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky-9.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)28.241% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)23.840% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)36.548% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)24.140% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1328.222.440.9%41.2183401641764.356%44%41%41%13%.16
LOU Defense1324.121.340.2%3.981.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%40%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1323.828.842.2%3.641.8 - - - - - 45%55%40%44%16%.15
LOU Offense1336.541.846.4%4.270.8204241732515.845%54%48%45%13%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1329:2517.843%50%4.2401.21.84.72330.3
Louisville1327:3920.140%40%5.946.10.81.25.82.2130.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1356% (26)41% (96)38.2164.24.322 (55).01 (120)2.87 (99)72% (79)9% (53)0.86 (120)
LOU Defense1349% (50)40% (44) - - - - .08 (43)2.9 (51)65% (25)11% (43)0.99 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1345% (12)40% (40) - - - - .05 (33)2.84 (43)82% (120)9% (96)0.92 (40)
LOU Offense1345% (103)48% (20)29.9172.75.827 (30).2 (35)3.09 (56)65% (116)8% (27)1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1344% (108)41% (78)13.922.2176.27.912.724 (38)7 (26).34 (29)1.9 (7)30% (50)32% (68).34 (68)4% (12)2.3 (11)
LOU Defense1351% (88)40% (65) - - - - - - 9 (76).27 (87)1.7 (111)31% (78)33% (99).26 (48)5% (94)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1355% (123)44% (104) - - - - - - 16 (10).23 (67)1.4 (12)32% (71)29% (43).2 (26)7% (36)1.8 (22)
LOU Offense1354% (32)45% (30)19.630.9251.58.112.823 (41)6 (10).41 (9)1.7 (34)30% (40)38% (8).5 (9)5% (40)2.1 (42)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.57 #54
Boston College's Offense Rating: 16.27 #52
Boston College's Defense Rating: 11.70 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #62
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 4.57   Louisville: 14.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 0.3   Louisville: 12.1




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 14.54 #28
Louisville's Offense Rating: 23.53 #15
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.55 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #45

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 35
Boston College 23

Projected Total Points: 56
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/25Boston College27Louisville31LouisvilleLouisville -7.0Boston College54.0Over
202309/23Louisville56Boston College28LouisvilleLouisville -14Louisville53.0Over
202210/01Boston College34Louisville33Boston CollegeLouisville -13.5Boston College48.5Over
202110/23Louisville28Boston College14LouisvilleLouisville -4Louisville57.5Under
202011/28Boston College34Louisville27Boston CollegeBoston College -1Boston College57.0Over
201910/05Louisville41Boston College39LouisvilleLouisville -3.5Boston College61.0Over
201810/13Boston College38Louisville20Boston CollegeBoston College -11Boston College56.5Over
201710/14Louisville42Boston College45Boston CollegeLouisville -20Boston College60.0Over
201611/05Boston College7Louisville52LouisvilleLouisville -24.5Louisville52.0Over
201510/24Louisville17Boston College14LouisvilleLouisville -8.5Boston College37.0Under
201411/08Boston College19Louisville38LouisvilleLouisville -2.5Louisville0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville748 Overs
Boston College472 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams4 - 75 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#54) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #54
Offense Rating: 16.27 #52
Defense Rating: 11.70 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 786.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Boston College Notes
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, bad LY, needs to improve
(3/21) Def below avg LY. Need to find a pass rush
(3/21) Took 6 FCS portals on lines, 4 Def, 2 Off.
(3/21) Off could be much improved if OL/QB jump.
(3/21) O'Brien central casting BC HC. 2nd yr staff
Boston College     Ratings Matchup     Louisville
Power #54
#28
Off #52
#15
Def #50
#49
Talent #51
#56
SP+ #62
#24
SP+ Off #68
#12
SP+ Def #55
#45

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | LOU
Depth Chart: BC | LOU
Rosters: BC | LOU
(#28) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.54 #28
Offense Rating: 23.53 #15
Defense Rating: 11.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #45
Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Louisville Notes
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/12) DB's all new. 2 portals will start. We'll see.
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Def meh LY, added 13 via portal. More the same?
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/19) WR Bell back, if Lacy is healthy great duo
(3/19) Talent #'s very low. Brohm a great coach


  
Boston College's OC Will Lawing
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson James10616664%1202627.2
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)5683%23003.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Mcdonald5336136.841
Turbo Richard5527825.130
Vaughn Pemberton (Tr)6127624.541
Vincent Wilkins (Tr)2110815.155
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond67689310.349
Vincent Wilkins (Tr)37504613.675
Reed Harris17486428.672
Jeremiah Franklin27311311.534

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Tim Lewis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Daveon Crouch747233
Carter Davis431003
Max Tucker301002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quintayvious Hutchins296480
Owen Stoudmire294320
Daveon Crouch747233
KP Price812115
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Amari Jackson180004
Ashton McShane201004

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss (Tr)23336264%25551897.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Keyjuan Brown4724335.224
Chris Bell243021.547
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell43737417.168
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Bobby Golden (Tr)31446114.456
Dacari Collins (Tr)24314213.143

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans (Tr)933017
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
D'Angelo Hutchinson522003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin (Tr)43111073
Jordan Guerad224321
Rene Konga203320
Denzel Lowry (Tr)513220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Mack (Tr)3220011
JoJo Evans (Tr)933017
Justin Agu (Tr)362004