Boston College at Louisville - 2025 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY  (ACC)

 
Eagles (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 42 - 27 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
BC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -11.5   (SP+ LOU -11)

Projected Score: BC: 25 - LOU: 36 (61)
LOU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
BC Travel: 819 miles
Cardinals (2 - 0) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-1.5
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+5.5
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+6
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn-6.5
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+11.5
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+8.5
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+1.5
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse+1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 7, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-37.557.5W 51 - 17ON
Fri 9/5 Louisville vs James Madison-15.057.0W 28 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green-26.551.5
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh-3.5
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia-10.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami+12
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College-11.5
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech-19
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California-10.5
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson-3
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU-3
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky-10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#63 (.22)48% (41)4240% (100)2.33 (122)7452% (26)3943.9 (71)#38 (.04)33% (27)27.336% (40)30% (20)3.6 (70)34.71.30.7
LOU#59 (.22)42% (77)39.544% (77)2.36 (119)17141% (83)2324.64 (41)#6 (-.12)32% (17)15.533% (25)30% (17)3 (50)77.521
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense3423047.7%3.91.323467743942.635%64%40%52%12%.22
LOU Defense215.515.532%31 - - - - - 56%44%33%30%16%-.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense327.33633.1%3.60.7 - - - - - 55%44%36%30%17%.04
LOU Offense239.539.542.4%4.642204031712325.745%55%44%41%17%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College330:5123.352%50%4.734.71.30.76.32.7130.2
Louisville226:362048%50%8.577.5216.55130.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense335% (135)40% (100)28.773.72.65 (62)-.17 (133)2.33 (122)100% (1)8% (51)0.46 (135)
LOU Defense256% (109)33% (25) - - - - .04 (60)2.79 (70)75% (80)12% (46)0.91 (66)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense355% (108)36% (40) - - - - .01 (50)2.43 (36)56% (26)12% (46)0.91 (63)
LOU Offense245% (99)44% (77)301715.75 (62).36 (21)2.36 (119)50% (124)8% (66)1.6 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense364% (3)52% (26)31.742.7393.79.212.410 (7)1 (23).42 (42)1.3 (118)30% (65)31% (70).33 (72)5% (54)1.9 (90)
LOU Defense244% (33)30% (17) - - - - - - 1 (87)-.33 (2)1.1 (7)36% (37)26% (43)-.02 (17)5% (94)1.4 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense344% (28)30% (20) - - - - - - 1 (87).09 (35)1.7 (110)31% (85)24% (40).04 (25)6% (70)2 (70)
LOU Offense255% (34)41% (83)19302327.712.23 (90)3 (92).12 (110)1.6 (60)25% (24)26% (103).34 (69)8% (129)2.2 (35)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 12.05 #47
Boston College's Offense Rating: 14.25 #58
Boston College's Defense Rating: 2.21 #35
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #64
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #54
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 12.05   Louisville: 19.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.9   Louisville: 13.7




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 36
Boston College 25


Total Points: 61

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/25Boston College27Louisville31LouisvilleLouisville -7.0Boston College54.0Over
202309/23Louisville56Boston College28LouisvilleLouisville -14Louisville53.0Over
202210/01Boston College34Louisville33Boston CollegeLouisville -13.5Boston College48.5Over
202110/23Louisville28Boston College14LouisvilleLouisville -4Louisville57.5Under
202011/28Boston College34Louisville27Boston CollegeBoston College -1Boston College57.0Over
201910/05Louisville41Boston College39LouisvilleLouisville -3.5Boston College61.0Over
201810/13Boston College38Louisville20Boston CollegeBoston College -11Boston College56.5Over
201710/14Louisville42Boston College45Boston CollegeLouisville -20Boston College60.0Over
201611/05Boston College7Louisville52LouisvilleLouisville -24.5Louisville52.0Over
201510/24Louisville17Boston College14LouisvilleLouisville -8.5Boston College37.0Under
201411/08Boston College19Louisville38LouisvilleLouisville -2.5Louisville0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville748 Overs
Boston College472 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams4 - 75 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#47) Boston College Info
Power Rating: 12.05 #47
Offense Rating: 14.25 #58
Defense Rating: 2.21 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67
Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Boston College has lost 6 straight
Boston College has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Boston College Notes
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, bad LY, needs to improve
(3/21) Def below avg LY. Need to find a pass rush

Boston College Highlights
Boston College offense is good on 3rd downs
Boston College has a really good defense (#27)
Boston College has a good pass defense (#20)
Boston College Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#25)

Boston College Deficiencies
Boston College Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Boston College Can Not Run the Ball (#130)
Boston College offense is not Explosive (#120)
Boston College run game is really bad (#100)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLOUBC
OverallOver#30#32
OffenseOff#41#39
DefenseDef#19#44
Special TeamsST#114#54
PassingPass#16#13
RushingRush#19#98
Run BlockRBLK#98#82
Pass BlockPBLK#20#27
Route RunningWR Rt#55#22
TacklingTkl#28#97
Run DefenseR Def#39#40
Pass Rush DefPRush#1#33
Coverage DefCov#74#61

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | LOU
Depth Chart: BC | LOU
Rosters: BC | LOU
(#31) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Louisville has lost 4 straight
Louisville has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)

Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home

Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)

Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)


  
Boston College's OC Will Lawing
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)9012373%991918.1
Grayson James55100%1901038.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard4315823.713
Jordan Mcdonald154613.18
Anthony Ferrucci41403.55
Bo MacCormack III4912.35
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond2927509.532
Reed Harris11196217.846
Jeremiah Franklin1917519.221
Turbo Richard12149212.449

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Tim Lewis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Thornton205101
KP Price201000
Owen McGowan183100
Carter Davis131101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Thornton205101
Owen McGowan183100
Carter Davis131101
Daveon Crouch112111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Syair Torrence40003
Max Tucker90001
Amari Jackson30001

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss (Tr)304863%374227.8
Brady Allen6967%69117.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown18230312.878
Shaun Boykins54008.016
Braxton Jennings62704.510
Keyjuan Brown102612.69
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell9146116.264
Caullin Lacy674012.332
Kris Hughes350116.731
Jaleel Skinner335011.719

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn141100
Clev Lubin (Tr)144400
Wesley Bailey (Tr)101110
D'Angelo Hutchinson90000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin (Tr)144400
Adonijah Green71100
Trent Carter11100
TJ Quinn141100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rene Konga82102
Rodney Johnson00001
Antonio Watts71111