Eastern Kentucky at Louisville - 2025 Matchup Preview
Eastern Kentucky logo Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -37.5 (57.5) (-7500)  Open: -38.0 | 56.5
Louisville 51 - Eastern Kentucky: 17

 
Colonels (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 12 - 45 (12 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Louisville -15  (SP+ LOU -12)
LOU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 35%
Cardinals (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
 
Eastern Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Eastern Kentucky at Louisville+37.557.5L 17 - 51OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Eastern Kentucky at Marshall+14.549.5L 7 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Kentucky's Schedule
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-37.557.5W 51 - 17ON
Fri 9/5 Louisville vs James Madison-15.057.0W 28 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green-26.550.5W 40 - 17ON
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh-3.053.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia-6.559.5L 27 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami+10.549.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College-25.554.5W 38 - 24ON
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech-10.552.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California-18.548.5L 26 - 29ON
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson-1.550.5L 19 - 20UN
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU+4.049.5L 6 - 38UN
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky-1.045.5W 41 - 0UY
Tue 12/23 Louisville vs Toledo-12.544.5W 27 - 22ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EKY0%120%000%000%44.50%0%0000
LOU#82 (.16)45% (45)29.950% (13)2.84 (85)15041% (75)2093.54 (84)#15 (.05)37% (16)21.238% (18)37% (20)3.38 (45)59.51.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EKY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EKY Offense212120%00000000%0%0%0%0%
LOU Defense1321.218.936.7%3.381.5 - - - - - 46%53%38%37%17%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EKY Defense244.544.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
LOU Offense1329.933.844.6%3.541.2183591502095.144%53%50%41%17%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Kentucky20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Louisville1328:0117.837%55%6.559.51.21.55.22.1232.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EKY Offense20%0%000000%0%0
LOU Defense1346% (17)38% (18) - - - - .07 (52)2.74 (42)75% (99)11% (39)0.95 (66)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EKY Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
LOU Offense1344% (112)50% (13)29.5150.25.123 (70).23 (17)2.84 (85)65% (111)10% (98)1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EKY Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
LOU Defense1353% (120)37% (20) - - - - - - 14 (6).06 (6)1.4 (8)34% (25)24% (10).11 (9)7% (37)1.9 (23)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EKY Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
LOU Offense1353% (34)41% (75)19.430.3208.86.910.816 (75)9 (60).13 (119)1.4 (130)28% (21)27% (104).14 (123)6% (89)1.9 (106)

Eastern Kentucky's Power Ratings
Eastern Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Eastern Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: -
Eastern Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Kentucky:    Louisville: 15.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Kentucky:    Louisville: 11.7




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.075  #35
Louisville's Offense Rating: 11.32  #57
Louisville's Defense Rating: -2.13  #25
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7  #30
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #43
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Eastern Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 44.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.5

Eastern Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 35
Eastern Kentucky 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 41
Eastern Kentucky 12

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 38
Eastern Kentucky 16

Total Points: 54
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Louisville51Eastern Kentucky17Louisville -37.5Eastern Kentucky57.5Over
202109/11Louisville30Eastern Kentucky3Louisville -30Eastern Kentucky62.5Under
201909/07Louisville42Eastern Kentucky0Louisville -21Louisville60.0Under
201309/07Louisville44Eastern Kentucky7Louisville -40Eastern Kentucky0
201009/11Louisville23Eastern Kentucky13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville511 Overs
Eastern Kentucky032 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 01 - 31 - 30 - 0
Road Teams0 - 53 - 10 - 03 - 1

(#NR) EKY at (#35) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatEKYLOU
Power RatePwrNR #35
SP+SP+NR #30
Perf GradeGradeNR #26
OffenseOffNR #55
DefenseDefNR #12
Spec TeamsSTNR #102
TalentTalNR #57
Blue ChipsBC%NR #46
Louisville Notes
(11/21) QB Moss is ? for SMU game.
(11/16) Bad L vs Clemson, QB Moss culture comments??
(11/15) 3 losses as home favs in last 6 games
(11/4) RB1 I Brown out weeks, maybe SMU/UK (leg)
(11/1) Sluggish vs VT, Run Off 235 big w/ Moss off night
(10/17) Special teams all around one of the best in CFB
(10/17) Brohm special vs Miami, Run Off enough, Def great
(9/27) 17-0 comeback win at Pitt. Moss good, RBs/OL bad
(9/17) Starting LB S Clark likely out for season (leg)
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
Louisville Injury Report
Eastern Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
EKY OffLOU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #12
SuccessSucNR #16
ExplosiveExpNR #24
PPAPPANR #15
PowerPwrNR #25
SP+SP+NR #28
Pts POPPONR #45
HavocHavNR #35
Eastern Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
EKY OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNR #59
Run SuccessRSucNR #18
Run ExplRExpNR #66
PPAExpNR #52
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #42
Stuff RateStuffNR #52
TackleTak -  #60
Eastern Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
EKY OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNR #22
Pass SuccessPSucNR #20
Pass ExplPExlNR #8
PPAExpNR #6
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #3
F7 HavocF7NR #39
DB HavocDBNR #37
Louisville on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLOU OffEKY Def
Perf GradePerf #55NR
SuccessSuc #45NR
ExplosiveExp #87NR
PPAPPA #82NR
PowerPwr #57NR
SP+SP+ #43NR
Pts POPPO #84NR
HavocHav #94NR
Louisville Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffEKY Def
Run GameRun #8NR
Run SuccessRSuc #13NR
Run ExplRExp #27NR
PPAExp #17NR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLY #85NR
Stuff RateStuff #123NR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLOU OffEKY Def
Pass GamePass #98NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #75NR
Pass ExplPExl #130NR
PPAExp #119NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #99NR
F7 HavocF7 #98NR
DB HavocDB #89NR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

EKY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Louisville -37.5 (57.5)
Louisville won vs Eastern Kentucky this year (51-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
EKY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Myles Burkett13925555%1473895.8
Jordyn Potts102540%107104.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brayden Latham15466734.345
Brady Hensley9356256.072
Myles Burkett11931742.722
Jalen Montgomery133903.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Calwise Jr.32417513.050
Dequan Stanley20221111.136
Jayden West19208210.926
Brayden Latham1912906.819

View Eastern Kentucky's Full Roster

EKY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Ward201000
Kaden Smith151000
Cameron Junior122220
Braden Sullivan120000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Junior122220
Brad Gurley71100
Jaheim Ward201000
Andrew Hines30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derek Taylor110002
Vito Tisdale30002
Rishad Hence70001

LOU's OC Brian Brohm (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss (Tr)24438064%26791677.1
Deuce Adams152171%112005.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown10188478.878
Keyjuan Brown9670467.367
Braxton Jennings3720015.422
Shaun Boykins3719015.126
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell72917612.764
Caullin Lacy60635210.648
Dacari Collins (Tr)13219116.836
Jaleel Skinner2120429.733

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn958314
D'Angelo Hutchinson843025
JoJo Evans (Tr)643134
Clev Lubin (Tr)5913873
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin (Tr)5913873
Wesley Bailey (Tr)397650
Adonijah Green316440
TJ Quinn958314
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rene Konga295225
D'Angelo Hutchinson843025
TJ Quinn958314