Kentucky Wildcats at Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY
Wildcats (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
UK 2nd straight Road Game
LOU is playing their 7th straight game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -10 (SP+ LOU -5)
Projected Score: UK: 23 - LOU: 33 (55)
LOU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UK Travel: 69 miles
LOU is playing their 7th straight game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -10 (SP+ LOU -5)
Projected Score: UK: 23 - LOU: 33 (55)
LOU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UK Travel: 69 miles
Cardinals (2 - 0) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
| Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Kentucky vs Toledo | -10.0 | 48.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Kentucky vs Ole Miss | +8.0 | 51.5 | L 23 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan | -26.5 | 49.5 | W 48 - 23 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Kentucky at South Carolina | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Kentucky at Georgia | +20 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Kentucky vs Texas | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Kentucky vs Tennessee | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Kentucky at Auburn | +18 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Kentucky vs Florida | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech | -32.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Kentucky at Vanderbilt | +12 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Kentucky at Louisville | +10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisville's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Louisville vs James Madison | -15.0 | 57.0 | W 28 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Louisville vs Bowling Green | -26.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Louisville at Pittsburgh | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Louisville vs Virginia | -10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Louisville at Miami | +12 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Louisville vs Boston College | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Louisville at Virginia Tech | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Louisville vs California | -10.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/14 | Louisville vs Clemson | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Louisville at SMU | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Louisville vs Kentucky | -10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK | #77 (.18) | 44% (65) | 31.7 | 54% (22) | 3.53 (24) | 215 | 29% (130) | 171 | 4.19 (60) | #82 (.16) | 40% (70) | 23 | 38% (65) | 41% (79) | 3.94 (88) | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| LOU | #59 (.22) | 42% (77) | 39.5 | 44% (77) | 2.36 (119) | 171 | 41% (83) | 232 | 4.64 (41) | #6 (-.12) | 32% (17) | 15.5 | 33% (25) | 30% (17) | 3 (50) | 77.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK | #118 (.09) | 41% (89) | 47% (31) | 3.02 (71) | 146 | 35% (123) | 185 | 3.49 (104) | #62 (.16) | 46% (111) | 49% (122) | 42% (75) | 3.44 (31) | 52.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | ||
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Offense | 3 | 31.7 | 31.7 | 43.9% | 4.19 | 0.7 | 20 | 385 | 215 | 171 | 5.1 | 59% | 40% | 54% | 29% | 14% | .18 |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 32% | 3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 16% | -.12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Defense | 3 | 23 | 23 | 39.6% | 3.94 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 38% | 41% | 12% | .16 |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 39.5 | 39.5 | 42.4% | 4.64 | 2 | 20 | 403 | 171 | 232 | 5.7 | 45% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 17% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 3 | 31:16 | 20 | 43% | 33% | 5.3 | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 35.7 |
| Louisville | 2 | 26:36 | 20 | 48% | 50% | 8.5 | 77.5 | 2 | 1 | 6.5 | 5 | 1 | 30.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Offense | 3 | 59% (20) | 54% (22) | 42 | 214.7 | 5.1 | 9 (17) | .3 (32) | 3.53 (24) | 57% (114) | 7% (38) | 0.92 (78) |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 56% (109) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .04 (60) | 2.79 (70) | 75% (80) | 12% (46) | 0.91 (66) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Defense | 3 | 51% (75) | 38% (65) | - | - | - | - | - (46) | 2.52 (45) | 69% (66) | 8% (102) | 0.94 (71) |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 45% (99) | 44% (77) | 30 | 171 | 5.7 | 5 (62) | .36 (21) | 2.36 (119) | 50% (124) | 8% (66) | 1.6 (4) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Offense | 3 | 40% (118) | 29% (130) | 12.7 | 25.7 | 170.7 | 6.7 | 13.5 | 2 (102) | 1 (23) | .07 (122) | 1.9 (12) | 29% (55) | 20% (124) | -.01 (124) | 7% (102) | 1.9 (76) |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 44% (33) | 30% (17) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | -.33 (2) | 1.1 (7) | 36% (37) | 26% (43) | -.02 (17) | 5% (94) | 1.4 (6) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Defense | 3 | 49% (65) | 41% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .32 (104) | 1.7 (103) | 33% (62) | 30% (76) | .43 (104) | 4% (102) | 2.1 (80) |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 55% (34) | 41% (83) | 19 | 30 | 232 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 3 (90) | 3 (92) | .12 (110) | 1.6 (60) | 25% (24) | 26% (103) | .34 (69) | 8% (129) | 2.2 (35) |
Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.13 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.13 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.13 Louisville: 19.045
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.1 Louisville: 13.7
Kentucky: 9.13 Louisville: 19.045
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.1 Louisville: 13.7
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 33
Kentucky 23
Total Points: 55
Louisville 33
Kentucky 23
Total Points: 55
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | Kentucky | 14 | Louisville | 41 | Louisville | Louisville -3.5 | Louisville | 48.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | Louisville | 31 | Kentucky | 38 | Kentucky | Louisville -7.5 | Kentucky | 47.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Kentucky | 26 | Louisville | 13 | Kentucky | Kentucky -3.5 | Kentucky | 42.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Louisville | 21 | Kentucky | 52 | Kentucky | Louisville -3 | Kentucky | 58.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Kentucky | 45 | Louisville | 13 | Kentucky | Kentucky -3.5 | Kentucky | 51.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Louisville | 10 | Kentucky | 56 | Kentucky | Kentucky -17 | Kentucky | 53.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Kentucky | 17 | Louisville | 44 | Louisville | Louisville -10 | Louisville | 68.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Louisville | 38 | Kentucky | 41 | Kentucky | Louisville -26 | Kentucky | 70.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Kentucky | 24 | Louisville | 38 | Louisville | Louisville -4 | Louisville | 51.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Louisville | 44 | Kentucky | 40 | Louisville | Louisville -14 | Kentucky | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/14 | Kentucky | 13 | Louisville | 27 | Louisville | Louisville -10.5 | Louisville | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/02 | Louisville | 32 | Kentucky | 14 | Louisville | ||||
| 2011 | 09/17 | Kentucky | 17 | Louisville | 24 | Louisville | ||||
| 2010 | 09/04 | Louisville | 16 | Kentucky | 23 | Kentucky | ||||
| 2009 | 09/19 | Kentucky | 31 | Louisville | 27 | Kentucky | ||||
| 2008 | 08/31 | Louisville | 2 | Kentucky | 27 | Kentucky | ||||
| 2007 | 09/15 | Kentucky | 40 | Louisville | 34 | Kentucky | ||||
| 2006 | 09/03 | Louisville | 59 | Kentucky | 28 | Louisville | ||||
| 2005 | 09/04 | Kentucky | 24 | Louisville | 31 | Louisville | ||||
| 2004 | 09/05 | Louisville | 28 | Kentucky | 0 | Louisville | ||||
| 2003 | 08/31 | Kentucky | 24 | Louisville | 40 | Louisville | ||||
| 2002 | 09/01 | Louisville | 17 | Kentucky | 22 | Kentucky | ||||
| 2001 | 09/01 | Kentucky | 10 | Louisville | 36 | Louisville | ||||
| 2000 | 09/01 | Louisville | 40 | Kentucky | 34 | Louisville |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 13 | 4 | 7 Overs |
| Kentucky | 11 | 7 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 15 | 2 - 9 | 2 - 4 | 0 - 5 |
| Road Teams | 15 - 9 | 9 - 2 | 5 - 0 | 4 - 2 |
(#57) Kentucky Info
Power Rating: 9.13 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kentucky has lost 8 straight
Kentucky has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
Power Rating: 9.13 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kentucky has lost 8 straight
Kentucky has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU | UK |
| OverallOver | #30 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #41 | #73 |
| DefenseDef | #19 | #20 |
| Special TeamsST | #114 | #31 |
| PassingPass | #16 | #98 |
| RushingRush | #19 | #33 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #98 | #44 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #20 | #31 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #55 | #94 |
| TacklingTkl | #28 | #75 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #39 | #14 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #1 | #9 |
| Coverage DefCov | #74 | #80 |
(#31) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has lost 9 straight
Louisville has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has lost 9 straight
Louisville has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Calzada (Tr) | 25 | 53 | 47% | 234 | 0 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Cutter Boley | 13 | 24 | 54% | 278 | 2 | 0 | 11.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan (Tr) | 51 | 275 | 6 | 5.4 | 18 |
| Dante Dowdell (Tr) | 36 | 214 | 1 | 5.9 | 79 |
| Jason Patterson | 13 | 80 | 1 | 6.2 | 29 |
| Cutter Boley | 9 | 38 | 0 | 4.2 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kattus | 8 | 112 | 1 | 14.0 | 34 |
| Jay Maclin | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 44 |
| Hardley Gilmore IV (Tr) | 6 | 97 | 0 | 16.2 | 38 |
| Kendrick Law (Tr) | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Bryant | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Lovett | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daveren Rayner | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Mi'Quise Grace (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terhyon Nichols | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Quay'sheed Scott | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Moss (Tr) | 30 | 48 | 63% | 374 | 2 | 2 | 7.8 |
| Brady Allen | 6 | 9 | 67% | 69 | 1 | 1 | 7.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 18 | 230 | 3 | 12.8 | 78 |
| Shaun Boykins | 5 | 40 | 0 | 8.0 | 16 |
| Braxton Jennings | 6 | 27 | 0 | 4.5 | 10 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2.6 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell | 9 | 146 | 1 | 16.2 | 64 |
| Caullin Lacy | 6 | 74 | 0 | 12.3 | 32 |
| Kris Hughes | 3 | 50 | 1 | 16.7 | 31 |
| Jaleel Skinner | 3 | 35 | 0 | 11.7 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Bailey (Tr) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Adonijah Green | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Carter | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Konga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Rodney Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antonio Watts | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |