Kentucky at Louisville Game Matchup
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY

 
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#107)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
UK 2nd straight Road Game
LOU is playing their 7th straight game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -9.5   (SP+ LOU -7)
Projected Score: UK: 22 - LOU: 32 (51)
LOU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
UK Travel: 69 miles
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kentucky vs Toledo-11.50.0
Sat 9/6 Kentucky vs Ole Miss+10.5
Sat 9/13 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kentucky at South Carolina+13.5
Sat 10/4 Kentucky at Georgia+25
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Kentucky vs Texas+21
Sat 10/25 Kentucky vs Tennessee+9.5
Sat 11/1 Kentucky at Auburn+14.5
Sat 11/8 Kentucky vs Florida+12
Sat 11/15 Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech-28.5
Sat 11/22 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 11/29 Kentucky at Louisville+9.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-35.5
Sat 9/6 Louisville vs James Madison-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green-28
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh-5
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia-15
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami+10.5
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College-12
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech-4
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California-17
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson+11
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU+4
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky-9.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)20.647% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)22.149% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)36.548% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)24.140% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1220.61841.5%3.491.919331146185454%46%47%35%19%.09
LOU Defense1324.121.340.2%3.981.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%40%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1222.13146%3.441.3 - - - - - 58%42%49%42%17%.16
LOU Offense1336.541.846.4%4.270.8204241732515.845%54%48%45%13%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1229:3219.434%44%6.352.11.91.35.61.8227
Louisville1327:3920.140%40%5.946.10.81.25.82.2130.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1254% (37)47% (31)36.7146.4411 (116).05 (107)3.02 (71)73% (71)13% (120)0.73 (133)
LOU Defense1349% (50)40% (44) - - - - .08 (43)2.9 (51)65% (25)11% (43)0.99 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1258% (129)49% (122) - - - - .14 (75)3 (67)78% (101)12% (32)0.88 (24)
LOU Offense1345% (103)48% (20)29.9172.75.827 (30).2 (35)3.09 (56)65% (116)8% (27)1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1246% (97)35% (123)13.926184.87.113.315 (98)17 (127).13 (117)1.9 (10)33% (92)28% (104).18 (114)7% (103)2.1 (46)
LOU Defense1351% (88)40% (65) - - - - - - 9 (76).27 (87)1.7 (111)31% (78)33% (99).26 (48)5% (94)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1242% (7)42% (75) - - - - - - 10 (66).19 (46)1.5 (27)29% (109)31% (83).3 (68)5% (95)2 (61)
LOU Offense1354% (32)45% (30)19.630.9251.58.112.823 (41)6 (10).41 (9)1.7 (34)30% (40)38% (8).5 (9)5% (40)2.1 (42)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.54 #52
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 16.20 #54
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.66 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 5.54   Louisville: 14.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 4.7   Louisville: 12.1




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 14.54 #28
Louisville's Offense Rating: 23.53 #15
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.55 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #45

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 32
Kentucky 22

Projected Total Points: 51
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Kentucky14Louisville41LouisvilleLouisville -3.5Louisville48.5Over
202311/25Louisville31Kentucky38KentuckyLouisville -7.5Kentucky47.5Over
202211/26Kentucky26Louisville13KentuckyKentucky -3.5Kentucky42.5Under
202111/27Louisville21Kentucky52KentuckyLouisville -3Kentucky58.0Over
201911/30Kentucky45Louisville13KentuckyKentucky -3.5Kentucky51.0Over
201811/24Louisville10Kentucky56KentuckyKentucky -17Kentucky53.0Over
201711/25Kentucky17Louisville44LouisvilleLouisville -10Louisville68.0Under
201611/26Louisville38Kentucky41KentuckyLouisville -26Kentucky70.5Over
201511/28Kentucky24Louisville38LouisvilleLouisville -4Louisville51.5Over
201411/29Louisville44Kentucky40LouisvilleLouisville -14Kentucky0
201309/14Kentucky13Louisville27LouisvilleLouisville -10.5Louisville0
201209/02Louisville32Kentucky14Louisville
201109/17Kentucky17Louisville24Louisville
201009/04Louisville16Kentucky23Kentucky
200909/19Kentucky31Louisville27Kentucky
200808/31Louisville2Kentucky27Kentucky
200709/15Kentucky40Louisville34Kentucky
200609/03Louisville59Kentucky28Louisville
200509/04Kentucky24Louisville31Louisville
200409/05Louisville28Kentucky0Louisville
200308/31Kentucky24Louisville40Louisville
200209/01Louisville17Kentucky22Kentucky
200109/01Kentucky10Louisville36Louisville
200009/01Louisville40Kentucky34Louisville
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville1347 Overs
Kentucky1172 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 152 - 92 - 40 - 5
Road Teams15 - 99 - 25 - 04 - 2

(#52) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.54 #52
Offense Rating: 16.20 #54
Defense Rating: 10.66 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 876.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Kentucky Notes
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
(4/4) OG Joshua Braun a top G via PFF
(3/24) Portal DL Gusta (WSU)/Grace (S Dak) big
(3/22) Added 13 players that started LY via portal
(3/18) Portal QB Calzada (Inc Word/A&M) can sling
(3/18) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell (Neb) added
(3/18) WR rebuild, bad LY. 4 Portals. Big jump TY?
(3/18) OL rebuild 1/5 back, 5 portal adds. No clue
(3/18) Def good LY, new DE's. DB's OK LY, better TY?
(3/18) Tons of new faces, portals. Awful QB play LY
Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     Louisville
Power #52
#28
Off #54
#15
Def #43
#49
Talent #25
#56
SP+ #43
#24
SP+ Off #79
#12
SP+ Def #31
#45

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2022 (26-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UK | LOU
Depth Chart: UK | LOU
Rosters: UK | LOU
(#28) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.54 #28
Offense Rating: 23.53 #15
Defense Rating: 11.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #45
Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Louisville Notes
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/12) DB's all new. 2 portals will start. We'll see.
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Def meh LY, added 13 via portal. More the same?
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/19) WR Bell back, if Lacy is healthy great duo
(3/19) Talent #'s very low. Brohm a great coach


  
Kentucky's OC Bush Hamdan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zach Calzada (Tr)31247166%34323297.3
Cutter Boley265349%338246.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan (Tr)15381335.338
Dante Dowdell (Tr)143614124.338
Jamarion Wilcox9259026.450
Zach Calzada (Tr)8323052.833
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javian Hester14315122.590
Jay Maclin13313424.183
Seth McGowan (Tr)23277312.043
Troy Stellato (Tr)26266110.234

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landyn Watson (Tr)664030
Jordan Lovett631001
Alex Afari Jr.6211211
J.Q. Hardaway470003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Olds (Tr)427621
Alex Afari Jr.6211211
Sam Greene (Tr)153120
David Gusta (Tr)203163
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terhyon Nichols100005
David Gusta (Tr)203163
J.Q. Hardaway470003

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss (Tr)23336264%25551897.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Keyjuan Brown4724335.224
Chris Bell243021.547
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell43737417.168
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Bobby Golden (Tr)31446114.456
Dacari Collins (Tr)24314213.143

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans (Tr)933017
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
D'Angelo Hutchinson522003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin (Tr)43111073
Jordan Guerad224321
Rene Konga203320
Denzel Lowry (Tr)513220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Mack (Tr)3220011
JoJo Evans (Tr)933017
Justin Agu (Tr)362004