Kentucky Wildcats at Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Louisville -1.0 (45.5) (-150) Open: -4.0 | 47.5
Louisville 41 - Kentucky: 0
Wildcats (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
UK 2nd straight Road Game
LOU is playing their 7th straight game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -12 (SP+ LOU -10)
Projected Score: UK: 17 - LOU: 29 (45)
LOU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UK Travel: 69 miles
LOU is playing their 7th straight game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -12 (SP+ LOU -10)
Projected Score: UK: 17 - LOU: 29 (45)
LOU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UK Travel: 69 miles
Cardinals (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
| Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Kentucky vs Toledo | -10.0 | 48.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Kentucky vs Ole Miss | +8.0 | 51.5 | L 23 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan | -26.5 | 49.5 | W 48 - 23 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Kentucky at South Carolina | +5.5 | 46.5 | L 13 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Kentucky at Georgia | +19.5 | 48.5 | L 14 - 35 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Kentucky vs Texas | +12.5 | 45.5 | L 13 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Kentucky vs Tennessee | +7.5 | 55.5 | L 34 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Kentucky at Auburn | +11.5 | 44.5 | W 10 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Kentucky vs Florida | +4.5 | 44.5 | W 38 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/15 | Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech | -22.5 | 52.5 | W 42 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | Kentucky at Vanderbilt | +7.0 | 53.5 | L 17 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Kentucky at Louisville | +1.0 | 45.5 | L 0 - 41 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisville's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Louisville vs James Madison | -15.0 | 57.0 | W 28 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Louisville vs Bowling Green | -26.5 | 50.5 | W 40 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Louisville at Pittsburgh | -3.0 | 53.5 | W 34 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Louisville vs Virginia | -6.5 | 59.5 | L 27 - 30 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Louisville at Miami | +10.5 | 49.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Louisville vs Boston College | -25.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Louisville at Virginia Tech | -10.5 | 52.5 | W 28 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Louisville vs California | -18.5 | 48.5 | L 26 - 29 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/14 | Louisville vs Clemson | -1.5 | 50.5 | L 19 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Louisville at SMU | +4.0 | 49.5 | L 6 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Louisville vs Kentucky | -1.0 | 45.5 | W 41 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/23 | Louisville vs Toledo | -12.5 | 44.5 | W 27 - 22 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK | #116 (.08) | 42% (79) | 23 | 45% (53) | 3.05 (50) | 139 | 40% (96) | 202 | 3.84 (57) | #84 (.18) | 44% (96) | 26.4 | 44% (83) | 45% (110) | 3.98 (99) | 41 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| LOU | #82 (.16) | 45% (45) | 29.9 | 50% (13) | 2.84 (85) | 150 | 41% (75) | 209 | 3.54 (84) | #15 (.05) | 37% (16) | 21.2 | 38% (18) | 37% (20) | 3.38 (45) | 59.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK | #118 (.09) | 41% (89) | 47% (31) | 3.02 (71) | 146 | 35% (123) | 185 | 3.49 (104) | #62 (.16) | 46% (111) | 49% (122) | 42% (75) | 3.44 (31) | 52.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | ||
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Offense | 12 | 23 | 10.8 | 41.6% | 3.84 | 1.8 | 20 | 341 | 139 | 202 | 3.9 | 51% | 47% | 45% | 40% | 18% | .08 |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 21.2 | 18.9 | 36.7% | 3.38 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 38% | 37% | 17% | .05 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Defense | 12 | 26.4 | 31.8 | 43.7% | 3.98 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 46% | 44% | 45% | 15% | .18 |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 29.9 | 33.8 | 44.6% | 3.54 | 1.2 | 18 | 359 | 150 | 209 | 5.1 | 44% | 53% | 50% | 41% | 17% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 12 | 30:38 | 19.7 | 40% | 52% | 4.9 | 41 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 29.6 |
| Louisville | 13 | 28:01 | 17.8 | 37% | 55% | 6.5 | 59.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 32.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Offense | 12 | 51% (52) | 45% (53) | 35.9 | 139.3 | 3.9 | 19 (70) | .06 (98) | 3.05 (50) | 70% (85) | 11% (112) | 0.82 (123) |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 46% (17) | 38% (18) | - | - | - | - | .07 (52) | 2.74 (42) | 75% (99) | 11% (39) | 0.95 (66) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Defense | 12 | 52% (97) | 44% (83) | - | - | - | - | .09 (63) | 2.89 (71) | 68% (45) | 10% (57) | 0.9 (41) |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 44% (112) | 50% (13) | 29.5 | 150.2 | 5.1 | 23 (70) | .23 (17) | 2.84 (85) | 65% (111) | 10% (98) | 1.08 (27) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Offense | 12 | 47% (85) | 40% (96) | 19.1 | 30.6 | 201.9 | 6.6 | 10.6 | 15 (128) | 14 (60) | .19 (101) | 1.6 (59) | 31% (63) | 26% (111) | .02 (134) | 7% (94) | 1.7 (131) |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 53% (120) | 37% (20) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (6) | .06 (6) | 1.4 (8) | 34% (25) | 24% (10) | .11 (9) | 7% (37) | 1.9 (23) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Defense | 12 | 46% (36) | 45% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (38) | .31 (99) | 1.5 (65) | 30% (91) | 31% (83) | .31 (76) | 5% (110) | 2 (55) |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 53% (34) | 41% (75) | 19.4 | 30.3 | 208.8 | 6.9 | 10.8 | 16 (75) | 9 (60) | .13 (119) | 1.4 (130) | 28% (21) | 27% (104) | .14 (123) | 6% (89) | 1.9 (106) |
Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 4.04 #56
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 9.52 #65
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.48 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #63
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #78
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Kentucky's Power Rating: 4.04 #56
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 9.52 #65
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.48 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #63
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #78
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 4.04 Louisville: 15.075
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 1.8 Louisville: 11.7
Kentucky: 4.04 Louisville: 15.075
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 1.8 Louisville: 11.7
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.075 #35
Louisville's Offense Rating: 11.32 #57
Louisville's Defense Rating: -2.13 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #30
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #43
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #28
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.075 #35
Louisville's Offense Rating: 11.32 #57
Louisville's Defense Rating: -2.13 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #30
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #43
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #28
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 29
Kentucky 17
Total Points: 45
Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 23
Louisville 21
Total Points: 43
Based on Entire Season
Louisville 30
Kentucky 18
Total Points: 48
Louisville 29
Kentucky 17
Total Points: 45
Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 23
Louisville 21
Total Points: 43
Based on Entire Season
Louisville 30
Kentucky 18
Total Points: 48
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/29 | Louisville | 41 | Kentucky | 0 | Louisville -1.0 | Louisville | 45.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 11/30 | Kentucky | 14 | Louisville | 41 | Louisville -3.5 | Louisville | 48.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | Louisville | 31 | Kentucky | 38 | Louisville -7.5 | Kentucky | 47.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Kentucky | 26 | Louisville | 13 | Kentucky -3.5 | Kentucky | 42.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Louisville | 21 | Kentucky | 52 | Louisville -3 | Kentucky | 58.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Kentucky | 45 | Louisville | 13 | Kentucky -3.5 | Kentucky | 51.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Louisville | 10 | Kentucky | 56 | Kentucky -17 | Kentucky | 53.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Kentucky | 17 | Louisville | 44 | Louisville -10 | Louisville | 68.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Louisville | 38 | Kentucky | 41 | Louisville -26 | Kentucky | 70.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Kentucky | 24 | Louisville | 38 | Louisville -4 | Louisville | 51.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Louisville | 44 | Kentucky | 40 | Louisville -14 | Kentucky | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/14 | Kentucky | 13 | Louisville | 27 | Louisville -10.5 | Louisville | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/02 | Louisville | 32 | Kentucky | 14 | ||||
| 2011 | 09/17 | Kentucky | 17 | Louisville | 24 | ||||
| 2010 | 09/04 | Louisville | 16 | Kentucky | 23 | ||||
| 2009 | 09/19 | Kentucky | 31 | Louisville | 27 | ||||
| 2008 | 08/31 | Louisville | 2 | Kentucky | 27 | ||||
| 2007 | 09/15 | Kentucky | 40 | Louisville | 34 | ||||
| 2006 | 09/03 | Louisville | 59 | Kentucky | 28 | ||||
| 2005 | 09/04 | Kentucky | 24 | Louisville | 31 | ||||
| 2004 | 09/05 | Louisville | 28 | Kentucky | 0 | ||||
| 2003 | 08/31 | Kentucky | 24 | Louisville | 40 | ||||
| 2002 | 09/01 | Louisville | 17 | Kentucky | 22 | ||||
| 2001 | 09/01 | Kentucky | 10 | Louisville | 36 | ||||
| 2000 | 09/01 | Louisville | 40 | Kentucky | 34 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 14 | 5 | 7 Overs |
| Kentucky | 11 | 7 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 15 | 3 - 9 | 3 - 4 | 0 - 5 |
| Road Teams | 15 - 10 | 9 - 3 | 5 - 0 | 4 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UK | LOU |
| Power RatePwr | #56 | #35 |
| SP+SP+ | #63 | #30 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #70 | #26 |
| OffenseOff | #91 | #55 |
| DefenseDef | #38 | #12 |
| Spec TeamsST | #87 | #102 |
| TalentTal | #26 | #57 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #23 | #46 |
(12/15) Finish 2 game L streak, Def fell apart. Stoops fired
(12/12) Hired DC Jay Bateman, was DC a Tex A&M
(12/4) Hired Joe Sloan at OC, was at LSU under BK
(12/1) Hired Oregon OC Will Stein, who played at L'ville
(11/30) Stoops fired after 5-7 season and L'ville blowout
(11/9) 2 game win streak, killed Gators. Could bowl?
(11/5) No P4 home wins since Sept '23, 4-19 overall
(11/1) Great W @ Aub. Ugly game, Def played great
(10/23) Now 1-12 vs P4 teams since start of '24
(10/18) OG'd UT 395 - 179 and lost?! QB Boley looked decent
(10/5) Now 1-11 in last 12 SEC games post UGA game
(11/16) Bad L vs Clemson, QB Moss culture comments??
(11/15) 3 losses as home favs in last 6 games
(11/4) RB1 I Brown out weeks, maybe SMU/UK (leg)
(11/1) Sluggish vs VT, Run Off 235 big w/ Moss off night
(10/17) Special teams all around one of the best in CFB
(10/17) Brohm special vs Miami, Run Off enough, Def great
(9/27) 17-0 comeback win at Pitt. Moss good, RBs/OL bad
(9/17) Starting LB S Clark likely out for season (leg)
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UK Off | LOU Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #91 | #12 |
| SuccessSuc | #79 | #16 |
| ExplosiveExp | #126 | #24 |
| PPAPPA | #116 | #15 |
| PowerPwr | #65 | #25 |
| SP+SP+ | #78 | #28 |
| Pts POPPO | #57 | #45 |
| HavocHav | #110 | #35 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UK Off | LOU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #88 | #59 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #53 | #18 |
| Run ExplRExp | #123 | #66 |
| PPAExp | #98 | #52 | Run BlockR Blk | #50 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #50 | #42 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #52 | #52 |
| TackleTak | - | #60 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UK Off | LOU Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #120 | #22 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #96 | #20 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #59 | #8 |
| PPAExp | #101 | #6 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #48 | #3 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #112 | #39 |
| DB HavocDB | #94 | #37 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU Off | UK Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #55 | #38 |
| SuccessSuc | #45 | #96 |
| ExplosiveExp | #87 | #57 |
| PPAPPA | #82 | #84 |
| PowerPwr | #57 | #49 |
| SP+SP+ | #43 | #48 |
| Pts POPPO | #84 | #99 |
| HavocHav | #94 | #91 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| LOU Off | UK Def | |
| Run GameRun | #8 | #28 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #13 | #83 |
| Run ExplRExp | #27 | #41 |
| PPAExp | #17 | #63 | Run BlockR Blk | #61 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #85 | #71 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #123 | #53 |
| TackleTak | - | #38 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU Off | UK Def |
| Pass GamePass | #98 | #108 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #75 | #110 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #130 | #65 |
| PPAExp | #119 | #99 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #99 | #10 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #98 | #57 |
| DB HavocDB | #89 | #110 |
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4
UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4
UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 38° - Wind: 7 mph
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 38° - Wind: 7 mph
Louisville -1.0 (45.5)
Louisville won vs Kentucky this year (41-0)
Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2022 (26-13)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter Boley | 198 | 301 | 66% | 2160 | 15 | 12 | 7.2 |
| Zach Calzada (Tr) | 28 | 58 | 48% | 238 | 0 | 2 | 4.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan (Tr) | 165 | 725 | 12 | 4.4 | 20 |
| Dante Dowdell (Tr) | 112 | 560 | 3 | 5.0 | 79 |
| Jason Patterson | 57 | 225 | 1 | 3.9 | 29 |
| Cutter Boley | 66 | 85 | 2 | 1.3 | 30 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Law (Tr) | 53 | 540 | 3 | 10.2 | 71 |
| Hardley Gilmore IV (Tr) | 28 | 313 | 1 | 11.2 | 45 |
| Willie Rodriguez | 23 | 310 | 1 | 13.5 | 53 |
| Josh Kattus | 17 | 195 | 2 | 11.5 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Bryant | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Daveren Rayner | 69 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Alex Afari Jr. | 61 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| J.Q. Hardaway | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Soles Jr. | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Mi'Quise Grace (Tr) | 31 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Lorenzo Cowan (Tr) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Tavion Gadson | 28 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Q. Hardaway | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Daveren Rayner | 69 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Terhyon Nichols | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Moss (Tr) | 244 | 380 | 64% | 2679 | 16 | 7 | 7.1 |
| Deuce Adams | 15 | 21 | 71% | 112 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 101 | 884 | 7 | 8.8 | 78 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 96 | 704 | 6 | 7.3 | 67 |
| Braxton Jennings | 37 | 200 | 1 | 5.4 | 22 |
| Shaun Boykins | 37 | 190 | 1 | 5.1 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell | 72 | 917 | 6 | 12.7 | 64 |
| Caullin Lacy | 60 | 635 | 2 | 10.6 | 48 |
| Dacari Collins (Tr) | 13 | 219 | 1 | 16.8 | 36 |
| Jaleel Skinner | 21 | 204 | 2 | 9.7 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 95 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 84 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| JoJo Evans (Tr) | 64 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 59 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 59 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Wesley Bailey (Tr) | 39 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Adonijah Green | 31 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| TJ Quinn | 95 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Konga | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 84 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| TJ Quinn | 95 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
