Clemson at Louisville - 2025 Matchup Preview
Clemson logo Clemson Tigers at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Friday, November 14th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY  (ACC)

 
Tigers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 19 - 19 (21 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
LOU 2nd straight Home Game
LOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -3   (SP+ LOU -2)

Projected Score: CLEM: 23 - LOU: 26 (48)
LOU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CLEM Travel: 293 miles
Cardinals (2 - 0) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Clemson's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Clemson vs LSU-3.557.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Clemson vs Troy-31.051.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 9/13 Clemson at Georgia Tech-2.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 9/20 Clemson vs Syracuse-17.555.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Clemson at North Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/11 Clemson at Boston College-6
Sat 10/18 Clemson vs SMU-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Clemson vs Duke-13
Sat 11/8 Clemson vs Florida State+1.5
Fri 11/14 Clemson at Louisville+3
Sat 11/22 Clemson vs Furman-39.5
Sat 11/29 Clemson at South Carolina-0.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-37.557.5W 51 - 17ON
Fri 9/5 Louisville vs James Madison-15.057.0W 28 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green-26.551.5
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh-3.5
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia-10.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami+12
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College-11.5
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech-19
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California-10.5
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson-3
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU-3
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky-10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#100 (.11)42% (84)19.346% (58)3.02 (65)10838% (99)2113.4 (101)#55 (.1)41% (78)1941% (80)41% (78)2.22 (20)37.31.71.7
LOU#59 (.22)42% (77)39.544% (77)2.36 (119)17141% (83)2324.64 (41)#6 (-.12)32% (17)15.533% (25)30% (17)3 (50)77.521
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense319.32142%3.41.7163191082113.848%52%46%38%14%.11
LOU Defense215.515.532%31 - - - - - 56%44%33%30%16%-.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense3192440.8%2.221.7 - - - - - 50%49%41%41%14%.1
LOU Offense239.539.542.4%4.642204031712325.745%55%44%41%17%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson325:5415.741%50%3.737.31.71.74.72029.9
Louisville226:362048%50%8.577.5216.55130.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense348% (86)46% (58)28.7108.33.84 (79).1 (85)3.02 (65)77% (45)6% (16)0.72 (124)
LOU Defense256% (109)33% (25) - - - - .04 (60)2.79 (70)75% (80)12% (46)0.91 (66)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense350% (71)41% (80) - - - - .01 (49)2.51 (44)76% (96)9% (85)0.89 (56)
LOU Offense245% (99)44% (77)301715.75 (62).36 (21)2.36 (119)50% (124)8% (66)1.6 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense352% (50)38% (99)17.329.32117.212.23 (90)3 (92).12 (112)1.6 (51)26% (33)26% (103).17 (106)8% (122)1.9 (80)
LOU Defense244% (33)30% (17) - - - - - - 1 (87)-.33 (2)1.1 (7)36% (37)26% (43)-.02 (17)5% (94)1.4 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense349% (67)41% (78) - - - - - - 3 (28).19 (60)1.5 (69)34% (58)34% (100).31 (80)6% (76)1.9 (60)
LOU Offense255% (34)41% (83)19302327.712.23 (90)3 (92).12 (110)1.6 (60)25% (24)26% (103).34 (69)8% (129)2.2 (35)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 20.33 #29
Clemson's Offense Rating: 17.75 #39
Clemson's Defense Rating: -2.58 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #38
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 20.33   Louisville: 19.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 11.4   Louisville: 13.7




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 26
Clemson 23


Total Points: 48

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Clemson21Louisville33LouisvilleClemson -11Louisville62.5Under
202211/12Clemson31Louisville16ClemsonClemson -7Clemson52.0Under
202111/06Louisville24Clemson30ClemsonClemson -3.5Clemson46.0Over
201910/19Louisville10Clemson45ClemsonClemson -24Clemson62.0Under
201811/03Clemson77Louisville16ClemsonClemson -38Clemson61.0Over
201709/16Louisville21Clemson47ClemsonClemson -3Clemson61.0Over
201610/01Clemson42Louisville36ClemsonClemson -3.5Clemson64.0Over
201509/17Louisville17Clemson20ClemsonClemson -5Louisville54.0Under
201410/11Clemson23Louisville17ClemsonClemson -6.5Louisville0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville134 Overs
Clemson864 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 54 - 53 - 21 - 3
Road Teams5 - 45 - 43 - 12 - 3

(#29) Clemson Info
Power Rating: 20.33 #29
Offense Rating: 17.75 #39
Defense Rating: -2.58 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #30
Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Clemson has lost 7 straight
Clemson has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Clemson Notes
(8/30) Run game awful, OL awful. Not an elite team
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, a top 10 unit in all CFB
(6/4) Can OC Riley & OL Matt Luke fix the run game?
(6/4) OL has #2 most exp in P4, OL coach Luke year 2
(5/23) CB duo of Terrelll & Hampton a top unit in CFB
(4/7) DL Parker, Woods PFF top 10, +Heldt (Pur) CFB best
(4/7) Clemson clear ACC #1, nat'l title contender
(4/5) RB biggest ? Sr WR Randall moved to RB TY
(4/5) HC Swinney one of the best. Portaling now
(4/4) OT Blake Miller a top OT via PFF

Clemson Highlights
Clemson defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Clemson Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#29)
Clemson commits very few Penalties (#16)
Clemson defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Clemson Deficiencies
Clemson has a really bad Offense
Clemson has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Clemson Can Not Run the Ball (#118)
Clemson offense is not Explosive (#101)
Clemson offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLOUCLEM
OverallOver#30#54
OffenseOff#41#72
DefenseDef#19#45
Special TeamsST#114#36
PassingPass#16#39
RushingRush#19#76
Run BlockRBLK#98#72
Pass BlockPBLK#20#75
Route RunningWR Rt#55#79
TacklingTkl#28#22
Run DefenseR Def#39#24
Pass Rush DefPRush#1#65
Coverage DefCov#74#70

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Clemson last year (33-21)
Clemson beat Louisville in 2022 (31-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | LOU
Depth Chart: CLEM | LOU
Rosters: CLEM | LOU
(#31) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Louisville has lost 7 straight
Louisville has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)

Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home

Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)

Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)


  
Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik528859%633337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Randall4120835.130
Cade Klubnik305912.013
Tyler Brown333011.013
Gideon Davidson31103.76
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryant Wesco Jr.18310317.273
Tyler Brown109509.523
T.J. Moore772010.326
Josh Sapp238019.031

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ronan Hanafin281002
Wade Woodaz252000
Sammy Brown193110
Avieon Terrell163101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Heldt (Tr)125200
Sammy Brown193110
Avieon Terrell163101
T.J. Parker101111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ronan Hanafin281002
Ashton Hampton70002
Jaheim Lawson41001

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss (Tr)304863%374227.8
Brady Allen6967%69117.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown18230312.878
Shaun Boykins54008.016
Braxton Jennings62704.510
Keyjuan Brown102612.69
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell9146116.264
Caullin Lacy674012.332
Kris Hughes350116.731
Jaleel Skinner335011.719

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn141100
Clev Lubin (Tr)144400
Wesley Bailey (Tr)101110
D'Angelo Hutchinson90000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin (Tr)144400
Adonijah Green71100
Trent Carter11100
TJ Quinn141100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rene Konga82102
Rodney Johnson00001
Antonio Watts71111