Bowling Green Falcons at Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -26.5 (51.5) (-4000) Open: -27.5
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY
Falcons (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
LOU coming off BYE
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -30.5 (SP+ LOU -23)
Projected Score: BGSU: 10 - LOU: 41 (51)
LOU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
BGSU Travel: 247 miles
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -30.5 (SP+ LOU -23)
Projected Score: BGSU: 10 - LOU: 41 (51)
LOU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
BGSU Travel: 247 miles
Cardinals (2 - 0) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
| Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Bowling Green vs Lafayette | -21.0 | 53.0 | W 26 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Bowling Green at Cincinnati | +21.5 | 46.5 | L 20 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Bowling Green vs Liberty | +6.0 | 51.5 | W 23 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Bowling Green at Louisville | +26.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Bowling Green at Ohio | +8 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Bowling Green vs Toledo | +17 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Bowling Green vs Central Michigan | -13 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Bowling Green at Kent State | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Bowling Green vs Buffalo | +4 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan | -4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/18 | Bowling Green vs Akron | -10.5 | |||||
| Tue 11/25 | Bowling Green at Massachusetts | -10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisville's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Louisville vs James Madison | -15.0 | 57.0 | W 28 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Louisville vs Bowling Green | -26.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Louisville at Pittsburgh | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Louisville vs Virginia | -10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Louisville at Miami | +12 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Louisville vs Boston College | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Louisville at Virginia Tech | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Louisville vs California | -10.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/14 | Louisville vs Clemson | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Louisville at SMU | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Louisville vs Kentucky | -10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | #121 (.06) | 41% (89) | 23 | 37% (110) | 2.91 (77) | 138 | 46% (53) | 176 | 3.27 (105) | #81 (.16) | 34% (29) | 18 | 29% (11) | 38% (58) | 3.78 (77) | 56.7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| LOU | #59 (.22) | 42% (77) | 39.5 | 44% (77) | 2.36 (119) | 171 | 41% (83) | 232 | 4.64 (41) | #6 (-.12) | 32% (17) | 15.5 | 33% (25) | 30% (17) | 3 (50) | 77.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | #53 (.21) | 43% (68) | 41% (99) | 3.01 (74) | 134 | 44% (38) | 207 | 3.84 (77) | #43 (.13) | 38% (15) | 39% (29) | 37% (20) | 3.47 (32) | 41.1 | 0.8 | 1 | ||
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 23 | 20 | 41.2% | 3.27 | 0 | 18 | 314 | 138 | 176 | 3.7 | 53% | 47% | 37% | 46% | 13% | .06 |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 32% | 3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 16% | -.12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 18 | 34 | 33.6% | 3.78 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 29% | 38% | 16% | .16 |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 39.5 | 39.5 | 42.4% | 4.64 | 2 | 20 | 403 | 171 | 232 | 5.7 | 45% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 17% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 3 | 33:29 | 18.3 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 56.7 | 0 | 1.7 | 7 | 2.3 | 1 | 33.8 |
| Louisville | 2 | 26:36 | 20 | 48% | 50% | 8.5 | 77.5 | 2 | 1 | 6.5 | 5 | 1 | 30.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 53% (51) | 37% (110) | 37.7 | 137.7 | 3.7 | 3 (95) | -.08 (125) | 2.91 (77) | 58% (109) | 11% (100) | 0.83 (101) |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 56% (109) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .04 (60) | 2.79 (70) | 75% (80) | 12% (46) | 0.91 (66) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 50% (67) | 29% (11) | - | - | - | - | -.13 (15) | 2.35 (31) | 80% (107) | 14% (26) | 0.69 (12) |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 45% (99) | 44% (77) | 30 | 171 | 5.7 | 5 (62) | .36 (21) | 2.36 (119) | 50% (124) | 8% (66) | 1.6 (4) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 47% (82) | 46% (53) | 19 | 29 | 176.3 | 6.1 | 9.3 | 2 (102) | 0 (1) | .22 (85) | 1.2 (129) | 31% (68) | 30% (81) | .17 (105) | 2% (12) | 1.4 (128) |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 44% (33) | 30% (17) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | -.33 (2) | 1.1 (7) | 36% (37) | 26% (43) | -.02 (17) | 5% (94) | 1.4 (6) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 50% (71) | 38% (58) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .45 (116) | 2 (126) | 32% (83) | 34% (105) | .65 (127) | 3% (125) | 2.4 (122) |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 55% (34) | 41% (83) | 19 | 30 | 232 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 3 (90) | 3 (92) | .12 (110) | 1.6 (60) | 25% (24) | 26% (103) | .34 (69) | 8% (129) | 2.2 (35) |
Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -13.06 #112
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -13.06 #112
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.06 Louisville: 19.045
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -9.6 Louisville: 13.7
Bowling Green: -13.06 Louisville: 19.045
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -9.6 Louisville: 13.7
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 41
Bowling Green 10
Total Points: 51
Louisville 41
Bowling Green 10
Total Points: 51
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Bowling Green | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#112) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -13.06 #112
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Bowling Green has won 1 straight
Bowling Green has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Bowling Green Notes
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
(7/17) OL bad LY, 3/5 back. Interior OK, OT? 1 portal
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#30)
Bowling Green Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green offense is not Explosive (#128)
Bowling Green offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#105)
Bowling Green run game is really bad (#110)
Bowling Green gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#108)
Power Rating: -13.06 #112
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Bowling Green has won 1 straight
Bowling Green has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Bowling Green Notes
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
(7/17) OL bad LY, 3/5 back. Interior OK, OT? 1 portal
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#30)
Bowling Green Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green offense is not Explosive (#128)
Bowling Green offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#105)
Bowling Green run game is really bad (#110)
Bowling Green gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#108)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU | BGSU |
| OverallOver | #30 | #75 |
| OffenseOff | #41 | #86 |
| DefenseDef | #19 | #70 |
| Special TeamsST | #114 | #27 |
| PassingPass | #16 | #76 |
| RushingRush | #19 | #80 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #98 | #77 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #20 | #51 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #55 | #87 |
| TacklingTkl | #28 | #15 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #39 | #54 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #1 | #47 |
| Coverage DefCov | #74 | #85 |
(#31) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has won 2 straight
Louisville has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has won 2 straight
Louisville has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Pyne (Tr) | 57 | 85 | 67% | 529 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaderris Roberts | 27 | 152 | 0 | 5.6 | 14 |
| Cameron Pettaway | 26 | 124 | 0 | 4.8 | 30 |
| Chris McMillian | 26 | 102 | 1 | 3.9 | 14 |
| Mar'Kel Porter | 8 | 19 | 2 | 2.4 | 6 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jyrin Johnson (Tr) | 10 | 138 | 1 | 13.8 | 31 |
| Finn Hogan | 8 | 114 | 0 | 14.3 | 24 |
| RJ Garcia II | 10 | 105 | 0 | 10.5 | 25 |
| Kaderris Roberts | 10 | 55 | 0 | 5.5 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Pringle | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kal-El Pascal | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gideon Lampron (Tr) | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr) | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eriq George (Tr) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| David Afogho | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr) | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Bradley | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key'on Washington (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Collins Acheampong (Tr) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gideon Lampron (Tr) | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Moss (Tr) | 30 | 48 | 63% | 374 | 2 | 2 | 7.8 |
| Brady Allen | 6 | 9 | 67% | 69 | 1 | 1 | 7.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 18 | 230 | 3 | 12.8 | 78 |
| Shaun Boykins | 5 | 40 | 0 | 8.0 | 16 |
| Braxton Jennings | 6 | 27 | 0 | 4.5 | 10 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2.6 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell | 9 | 146 | 1 | 16.2 | 64 |
| Caullin Lacy | 6 | 74 | 0 | 12.3 | 32 |
| Kris Hughes | 3 | 50 | 1 | 16.7 | 31 |
| Jaleel Skinner | 3 | 35 | 0 | 11.7 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Bailey (Tr) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Adonijah Green | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Carter | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Konga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Rodney Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antonio Watts | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |