Bowling Green at Louisville Game Matchup
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY

 
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
LOU coming off BYE
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -28   (SP+ LOU -26)
Projected Score: BGSU: 14 - LOU: 42 (55)
LOU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
BGSU Travel: 247 miles
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Bowling Green vs Lafayette-10
Sat 9/6 Bowling Green at Cincinnati+20.5
Sat 9/13 Bowling Green vs Liberty+11
Sat 9/20 Bowling Green at Louisville+28
Sat 9/27 Bowling Green at Ohio+12
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.5
Sat 10/18 Bowling Green vs Central Michigan-2.5
Sat 10/25 Bowling Green at Kent State-10
Sat 11/1 Bowling Green vs Buffalo+3.5
Sat 11/8 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan+1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18 Bowling Green vs Akron-8.5
Tue 11/25 Bowling Green at Massachusetts-6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-35.5
Sat 9/6 Louisville vs James Madison-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green-28
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh-5
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia-15
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami+10.5
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College-12
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech-4
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California-17
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson+11
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU+4
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky-9.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)27.141% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)21.639% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)36.548% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)24.140% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1327.129.342.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21
LOU Defense1324.121.340.2%3.981.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%40%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1321.62237.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
LOU Offense1336.541.846.4%4.270.8204241732515.845%54%48%45%13%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Louisville1327:3920.140%40%5.946.10.81.25.82.2130.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)
LOU Defense1349% (50)40% (44) - - - - .08 (43)2.9 (51)65% (25)11% (43)0.99 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
LOU Offense1345% (103)48% (20)29.9172.75.827 (30).2 (35)3.09 (56)65% (116)8% (27)1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)
LOU Defense1351% (88)40% (65) - - - - - - 9 (76).27 (87)1.7 (111)31% (78)33% (99).26 (48)5% (94)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
LOU Offense1354% (32)45% (30)19.630.9251.58.112.823 (41)6 (10).41 (9)1.7 (34)30% (40)38% (8).5 (9)5% (40)2.1 (42)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -13.53 #102
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 7.36 #109
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 20.89 #103
2025 Talent Rating: 490.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #111
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.53   Louisville: 14.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.7   Louisville: 12.1




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 14.54 #28
Louisville's Offense Rating: 23.53 #15
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.55 #49
2025 Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #45

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 42
Bowling Green 14

Projected Total Points: 55
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville000 Overs
Bowling Green000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#102) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.53 #102
Offense Rating: 7.36 #109
Defense Rating: 20.89 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #121
Talent Rating: 490.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Bowling Green Notes
(4/7) QB Drew Pyne added (Mizzu), likely QB1
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) OL was bad LY, 3/5 back. 2 portals
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green     Ratings Matchup     Louisville
Power #102
#28
Off #109
#15
Def #103
#49
Talent #108
#56
SP+ #111
#24
SP+ Off #98
#12
SP+ Def #121
#45

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | LOU
Depth Chart: BGSU | LOU
Rosters: BGSU | LOU
(#28) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.54 #28
Offense Rating: 23.53 #15
Defense Rating: 11.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #45
Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Louisville Notes
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/12) DB's all new. 2 portals will start. We'll see.
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Def meh LY, added 13 via portal. More the same?
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/19) WR Bell back, if Lacy is healthy great duo
(3/19) Talent #'s very low. Brohm a great coach


  
Bowling Green's OC Travis Partridge
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)498260%391334.8
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucian Anderson III196723.519
John Henderson450012.529
Drew Pyne (Tr)152101.410
Mar'Kel Porter41102.88
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Finn Hogan17175010.333
Arlis Boardingham (Tr)1812827.120
Jared Merk115015.015
Donovan Stephens112012.012

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Brandon Fisher
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley223220
Darius Lorfils221001
Evan Branch-Haynes192010
Kal-El Pascal171030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley223220
Malik Moses10000
Josira Andrews10000
Isaac Hill10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Lorfils221001
Myles Bradley223220
Josira Andrews10000

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss (Tr)23336264%25551897.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Keyjuan Brown4724335.224
Chris Bell243021.547
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell43737417.168
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Bobby Golden (Tr)31446114.456
Dacari Collins (Tr)24314213.143

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans (Tr)933017
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
D'Angelo Hutchinson522003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin (Tr)43111073
Jordan Guerad224321
Rene Konga203320
Denzel Lowry (Tr)513220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Mack (Tr)3220011
JoJo Evans (Tr)933017
Justin Agu (Tr)362004