Louisville at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo (#16)Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -10.5 (52.5) (-395)  Open: -11.5
Louisville 28 - Virginia Tech: 16  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
VT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Louisville -13.5  (SP+ LOU -22)

Projected Score: LOU: 34 - VT: 20 (54)
LOU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
LOU Travel: 300 miles
Hokies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-37.557.5W 51 - 17ON
Fri 9/5 Louisville vs James Madison-15.057.0W 28 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green-26.550.5W 40 - 17ON
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh-3.053.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia-6.559.5L 27 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami+10.549.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College-25.554.5W 38 - 24ON
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech-10.552.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California-18.548.5L 26 - 29ON
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson-1.550.5L 19 - 20UN
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU+4.049.5L 6 - 38UN
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky-1.045.5W 41 - 0UY
Tue 12/23 Louisville vs Toledo-12.544.5W 27 - 22ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-35.551.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+10.057.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-4.551.5L 23 - 30ON
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+14.055.5L 20 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California-6.550.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+10.552.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+18.549.0L 17 - 34OY
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+9.553.5L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#84 (.15)45% (44)29.950% (8)2.75 (105)16441% (74)2213.62 (77)#15 (.05)37% (16)21.238% (15)37% (19)3.38 (43)63.21.31.5
VT#70 (.17)42% (84)21.448% (24)3.33 (12)18334% (131)1663.68 (70)#131 (.28)46% (123)30.245% (101)47% (123)4.34 (126)64.31.30.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1329.92344.7%3.621.3203851642215.144%53%50%41%17%.15
VT Defense1230.231.645.6%4.340.5 - - - - - 52%46%45%47%13%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1321.225.536.7%3.381.5 - - - - - 46%53%38%37%17%.05
VT Offense1221.42641.6%3.681.319350183166555%43%48%34%17%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1330:1219.635%64%6.963.21.31.55.92.4232.4
Virginia Tech1229:1318.939%48%7.264.31.30.54.91.6026.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1344% (111)50% (8)32.31645.125 (70).21 (21)2.75 (105)65% (108)10% (98)1.08 (28)
VT Defense1252% (95)45% (101) - - - - .18 (110)3.01 (95)80% (122)9% (103)0.98 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1346% (17)38% (15) - - - - .07 (51)2.74 (41)75% (97)11% (38)0.95 (63)
VT Offense1255% (26)48% (24)36.9183.2513 (107).2 (28)3.33 (12)70% (81)10% (95)0.97 (64)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1353% (35)41% (74)20.632.2220.66.910.718 (75)9 (60).13 (119)1.4 (131)28% (21)27% (104).14 (124)6% (90)1.9 (107)
VT Defense1246% (41)47% (123) - - - - - - 4 (100).42 (129)1.5 (57)28% (118)34% (121).51 (135)5% (118)2.1 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1353% (120)37% (19) - - - - - - 14 (6).06 (6)1.4 (7)34% (24)24% (8).11 (9)7% (38)1.9 (23)
VT Offense1243% (110)34% (131)1526.6166.36.311.117 (61)9 (60).15 (113)1.7 (21)33% (95)26% (110).33 (58)7% (95)2.1 (37)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 11.58  #36
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.35  #43
Louisville's Defense Rating: 5.77  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7  #30
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #43
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 11.58   Virginia Tech: -1.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 11.7   Virginia Tech: -10.2




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -1.665  #58
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 15.55  #53
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 13.68  #67
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5  #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #106
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #108
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #97

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 34
Virginia Tech 20


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 30
Virginia Tech 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 29
Virginia Tech 23

Total Points: 52
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Virginia Tech16Louisville28Louisville -10.5Louisville52.5Under
202311/04Louisville34Virginia Tech3Louisville -9.5Louisville48.5Under
202010/31Louisville35Virginia Tech42Virginia Tech -3.0Virginia Tech0
200501/02Virginia Tech35Louisville24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech210 Overs
Louisville222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 22 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#36) LOU at (#58) VT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUVT
Net PPPPPP #29 #116
Power RatePwr #36 #58
SP+SP+ #30 #106
Perf GradeGrade #16 #115
OffenseOff #49 #119
DefenseDef #11 #98
Spec TeamsST #70 #127
TalentTal #57 #33
Blue ChipsBC% #46 #54
Louisville Notes
(11/21) QB Moss is ? for SMU game.
(11/16) Bad L vs Clemson, QB Moss culture comments??
(11/15) 3 losses as home favs in last 6 games
(11/4) RB1 I Brown out weeks, maybe SMU/UK (leg)
(11/1) Sluggish vs VT, Run Off 235 big w/ Moss off night
(10/17) Special teams all around one of the best in CFB
(10/17) Brohm special vs Miami, Run Off enough, Def great
(9/27) 17-0 comeback win at Pitt. Moss good, RBs/OL bad
(9/17) Starting LB S Clark likely out for season (leg)
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
Louisville Injury Report
Virginia Tech Notes
(11/1) Playing hard, but Run def mauled by Louisville
(9/30) Ran all over NC St, 229 yds vs 59 allowed, huge W
(9/26) LB Michael Short opting out after Pry fired, redshirt
(9/14) HC Pry fired, OC Philip Montgomery interim
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
Virginia Tech Injury Report
Louisville on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffVT Def
PPPOffPPP #40 #109
Perf GradePerf #49 #98
SuccessSuc #44 #123
ExplosiveExp #90 #67
PPAPPA #84 #131
PowerPwr #43 #67
SP+SP+ #43 #97
Pts POPPO #77 #126
HavocHav #93 #116
Louisville Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffVT Def
Run GameRun #10 #56
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #101
Run ExplRExp #28 #78
PPAExp #21 #110
Run BlockR Blk #66 -
OL YdsOLY #105 #95
Stuff RateStuff #122 #107
TackleTak -  #95
Louisville Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #83 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #74 #123
Pass ExplPExl #131 #57
PPAExp #119 #129
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #69 #51
F7 HavocF7 #98 #103
DB HavocDB #90 #118
Virginia Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatVT OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPP #30 #111
Perf GradePerf #119 #11
SuccessSuc #84 #16
ExplosiveExp #67 #26
PPAPPA #70 #15
PowerPwr #53 #27
SP+SP+ #108 #28
Pts POPPO #70 #43
HavocHav #94 #33
Virginia Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #43 #41
Run SuccessRSuc #24 #15
Run ExplRExp #64 #63
PPAExp #28 #51
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #12 #41
Stuff RateStuff #17 #52
TackleTak -  #39
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatVT OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #100 #20
Pass SuccessPSuc #131 #19
Pass ExplPExl #21 #7
PPAExp #113 #6
Pass Block/RushP Blk #130 #3
F7 HavocF7 #95 #38
DB HavocDB #95 #38
Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59°
Rematch from Week 10
Louisville 10.5 (52.5)
Louisville won at Virginia Tech this year (28-16)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (34-3)

  
LOU's OC Brian Brohm (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss (Tr)24438064%26791677.1
Deuce Adams152171%112005.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown10188478.878
Keyjuan Brown9670467.367
Braxton Jennings3720015.422
Shaun Boykins3719015.126
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell72917612.764
Caullin Lacy60635210.648
Dacari Collins (Tr)13219116.836
Jaleel Skinner2120429.733

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn958314
D'Angelo Hutchinson843025
JoJo Evans (Tr)643134
Clev Lubin (Tr)5913873
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin (Tr)5913873
Wesley Bailey (Tr)397650
Adonijah Green316440
TJ Quinn958314
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rene Konga295225
D'Angelo Hutchinson843025
TJ Quinn958314

VT's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones17831557%19191796.1
William Watson III2450%770019.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)11874916.340
Kyron Drones17064493.833
Terion Stewart (Tr)8246905.785
Jeffrey Overton Jr.2514615.838
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayden Greene31516316.667
Donavon Greene (Tr)16267216.737
Takye Heath2220039.144
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)14194013.938

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Sam Siefkes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Spencer679101
Caleb Woodson573011
Jaden Keller503101
Tyson Flowers (Tr)480022
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kemari Copeland488510
Ben Bell (Tr)406360
Elhadj Fall (Tr)254320
Jason Abbey172200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Williams321006
Isaiah Brown-Murray (Tr)392005
Christian Ellis (Tr)71003