Virginia Tech at NC State Game Matchup

Virginia Tech Hokies at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC (ACC)

Hokies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)

NCST is playing their 5th straight game
VT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: NC State -3 (SP+ NCST -1)
Projected Score: VT: 27 - NCST: 30 (55)
NCST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
VT Travel: 136 miles

Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Virginia Tech vs South Carolina	+9.5	46.5
Sat 9/6	Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-2.5
Sat 9/13	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-18.5
Sat 9/20	Virginia Tech vs Wofford	-29
Sat 9/27	Virginia Tech at NC State	+3
Sat 10/4	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-15
Sat 10/11	Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech	+4
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24	Virginia Tech vs California	-10.5
Sat 11/1	Virginia Tech vs Louisville	+4
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+4.5
Sat 11/22	Virginia Tech vs Miami	+12
Sat 11/29	Virginia Tech at Virginia	-3.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

NC State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	NC State vs East Carolina	-12.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	NC State vs Virginia	-8.5
Thu 9/11	NC State at Wake Forest	-10.5
Sat 9/20	NC State at Duke	+2.5
Sat 9/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-3
Sat 10/4	NC State vs Campbell	-29.5
Sat 10/11	NC State at Notre Dame	+22.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	NC State at Pittsburgh	+1
Sat 11/1	NC State vs Georgia Tech	-1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	NC State at Miami	+16.5
Fri 11/21	NC State vs Florida State	-1
Sat 11/29	NC State vs North Carolina	-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	#75 (.18)	42% (87)	28.2	44% (66)	3.01 (76)	173	39% (102)	178	4.22 (40)	#18 (.09)	39% (34)	22.8	42% (56)	36% (15)	2.97 (7)	46.3	1.2	1.8
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)	28.5	44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)	30.2	39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	13	28.2	31.3	41.6%	4.22	1.2	18	351	173	178	4.9	55%	44%	44%	39%	18%	.18
NCST Defense	13	30.2	24.7	40.9%	3.78	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	39%	43%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	13	22.8	27.5	38.9%	2.97	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	36%	20%	.09
NCST Offense	13	28.5	31	45.1%	3.97	1.7	19	345	130	215	4.4	47%	52%	44%	47%	19%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	13	27:18	17.9	37%	42%	5.5	46.3	1.2	1.8	5.9	2.7	1	30.2
NC State	13	29:10	18.6	37%	56%	4.8	45	1.7	1.4	6.2	1.8	2	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	13	55% (32)	44% (66)	35.2	173.2	4.9	27 (30)	.21 (31)	3.01 (76)	77% (38)	13% (124)	1.1 (23)
NCST Defense	13	47% (33)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.2 (111)	3.07 (83)	76% (86)	12% (24)	1.28 (134)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	13	52% (88)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.05 (32)	2.86 (45)	71% (55)	12% (17)	0.85 (14)
NCST Offense	13	47% (89)	44% (68)	29.6	130.3	4.4	21 (59)	.15 (56)	3.24 (36)	69% (92)	13% (127)	0.98 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	13	44% (105)	39% (102)	14.6	24.7	177.9	7.2	12.2	15 (98)	8 (40)	.17 (100)	1.5 (87)	34% (109)	27% (112)	.27 (94)	5% (49)	2.2 (26)
NCST Defense	13	53% (106)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.19 (47)	1.5 (22)	33% (49)	30% (65)	.33 (83)	8% (16)	2.3 (120)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	13	47% (44)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.18 (41)	1.8 (116)	34% (41)	25% (6)	.26 (47)	8% (14)	2.3 (127)
NCST Offense	13	52% (48)	47% (20)	18.2	28.1	214.8	7.7	11.8	18 (68)	12 (85)	.36 (24)	1.6 (45)	30% (35)	36% (24)	.57 (5)	6% (83)	2.2 (19)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 6.88 #48
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 14.12 #70
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 7.24 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 824.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #51
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #53
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 6.88 NC State: 8.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 4.3 NC State: 4.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 8.405 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.52 #41
NC State's Defense Rating: 11.51 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 814.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #42
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #36
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 30
Virginia Tech 27

Projected Total Points: 55

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Virginia Tech	28	NC State	35	NC State	Virginia Tech -2.5	NC State	40.5	Over
2022	10/27	NC State	22	Virginia Tech	21	NC State	NC State -13	Virginia Tech	39.0	Over
2020	09/26	Virginia Tech	45	NC State	24	Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech -6.5	Virginia Tech	57.5	Over
2015	10/09	Virginia Tech	28	NC State	13	Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech -2	Virginia Tech	44.0	Under
2010	10/02	NC State	30	Virginia Tech	41	Virginia Tech
2009	11/21	Virginia Tech	38	NC State	10	Virginia Tech
2005	09/04	NC State	16	Virginia Tech	20	Virginia Tech
2004	09/25	Virginia Tech	16	NC State	17	NC State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	3	1	3 Overs
Virginia Tech	5	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#48) Virginia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.88 #48
Offense Rating: 14.12 #70
Defense Rating: 7.24 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #46
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #40
Talent Rating: 824.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #51
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Virginia Tech Notes
(5/11) OL one of CFBs least exp'd & 50% come via portals
(4/22) HC Pry says OL most improved, best he's had
(4/22) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 WVU portals, 1 w/ exp
(4/7) QB Drones back. Had surgery, no spring. Yikes
(4/4) OG Tomas Rimac a top G via PFF
(3/21) RB rebuild, added 3 portals, incl Stewart (BG)
(3/21) WR rebuild. Some talent, 1 portal, Green (WF)
(3/21) Def OK LY, return F7 but 5 DB portals needed
(3/21) Hard to find excitement, at least early.
(3/21) Pry on thin ice, new OC Montgomery? Meh

Virginia Tech Ratings Matchup NC State

Power #48

#46

Off #70

#41

Def #26

#48

Talent #41

#46

SP+ #46

#42

SP+ Off #53

#36

SP+ Def #40

#54

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (35-28)
NC State beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (22-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VT | NCST
Depth Chart: VT | NCST
Rosters: VT | NCST

(#46) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.405 #46
Offense Rating: 18.52 #41
Defense Rating: 11.51 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #54
Talent Rating: 814.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

NC State Notes
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
(5/29) OL returns 2/5, 3 portals. OTs decent, IOL ?
(5/29) Def was bad LY, 13 portal adds, lots of ??
(3/19) RB Smoothers back, depth/playmakers?
(3/19) DC Eliot journeyman with ? success

Virginia Tech's OC Philip Montgomery

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones	136	224	61%	1562	10	6	7.0
William Watson III	34	58	59%	481	1	2	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart (Tr)	166	898	6	5.4	73
Braydon Bennett (Tr)	134	781	11	5.8	67
Kyron Drones	98	337	6	3.4	53
Jeremiah Coney	32	179	0	5.6	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donavon Greene (Tr)	23	380	3	16.5	45
Benji Gosnell	32	341	2	10.7	31
Ayden Greene	19	268	2	14.1	67
Braydon Bennett (Tr)	25	188	2	7.5	37

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

Virginia Tech's DC Sam Siefkes

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Christian Ellis (Tr)	93	4	8	2	4
Jaden Keller	83	2	0	2	1
Caleb Woodson	72	8	2	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Christian Ellis (Tr)	93	4	8	2	4
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Elhadj Fall (Tr)	20	5	3	1	1
Ben Bell (Tr)	13	6	3	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Isaiah Cash (Tr)	58	2	1	9
Caleb Brown (Tr)	24	2	0	7
Isaiah Brown-Murray (Tr)	40	1	0	6

NC State's OC Kurt Roper

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Bailey	196	302	65%	2412	17	10	8.0
Lex Thomas	5	8	63%	65	1	1	8.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daylan Smothers	89	571	6	6.4	53
CJ Bailey	99	279	5	2.8	31
Lex Thomas	1	9	0	9.0	9
Coleson Fields	3	8	0	2.7	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Joly	43	661	4	15.4	40
Noah Rogers	35	478	1	13.7	75
Wesley Grimes	24	319	1	13.3	30
Daylan Smothers	19	263	2	13.8	72

View NC State's Full Roster

NC State's DC D. J. Eliot

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Jeremiah Johnson (Tr)	69	1	0	1	6
Brian Nelson II (Tr)	53	2	0	1	3
Caden Fordham	50	4	1	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cian Slone (Tr)	49	10	8	5	0
Travali Price	37	9	4	3	0
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Sabastian Harsh (Tr)	41	9	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Devon Marshall	33	1	0	7
Jeremiah Johnson (Tr)	69	1	1	6
Brian Nelson II (Tr)	53	2	1	3