Virginia Tech Hokies at NC State Wolfpack
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC (ACC)
Hokies (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (19 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (19 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
NCST is playing their 5th straight game
VT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: NC State -16 (SP+ NCST -10)
Projected Score: VT: 20 - NCST: 36 (56)
NCST Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
VT Travel: 136 miles
VT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: NC State -16 (SP+ NCST -10)
Projected Score: VT: 20 - NCST: 36 (56)
NCST Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
VT Travel: 136 miles
Wolfpack (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
| Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sun 8/31 | Virginia Tech vs South Carolina | +8.5 | 48.5 | L 11 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt | -2.5 | 46.5 | L 20 - 44 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion | -5.5 | 50.5 | L 26 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia Tech vs Wofford | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Virginia Tech at NC State | +16 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech | +20 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/24 | Virginia Tech vs California | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia Tech vs Louisville | +19 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia Tech at Florida State | +27 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Virginia Tech vs Miami | +28.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia Tech at Virginia | +16 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0 | 58.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -32 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +12.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +19.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT | #113 (.07) | 43% (72) | 19 | 55% (21) | 2.97 (70) | 132 | 32% (123) | 207 | 3.86 (77) | #134 (.45) | 52% (131) | 37.7 | 49% (115) | 58% (133) | 5.81 (134) | 61 | 2 | 0.7 |
| NCST | #56 (.23) | 44% (67) | 31 | 40% (95) | 2.53 (108) | 177 | 48% (39) | 240 | 4.39 (48) | #96 (.19) | 35% (35) | 24 | 30% (13) | 39% (63) | 3.19 (58) | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT | #75 (.18) | 42% (87) | 44% (66) | 3.01 (76) | 173 | 39% (102) | 178 | 4.22 (40) | #18 (.09) | 39% (34) | 42% (56) | 36% (15) | 2.97 (7) | 46.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT Offense | 3 | 19 | 19 | 43.2% | 3.86 | 2 | 20 | 339 | 132 | 207 | 3.9 | 50% | 50% | 55% | 32% | 19% | .07 |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 24 | 24 | 35% | 3.19 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 60% | 30% | 39% | 14% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT Defense | 3 | 37.7 | 37.7 | 51.6% | 5.81 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 62% | 37% | 49% | 58% | 14% | .45 |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 31 | 29.5 | 43.8% | 4.39 | 0.3 | 22 | 416 | 177 | 240 | 4.7 | 55% | 45% | 40% | 48% | 18% | .23 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech | 3 | 30:42 | 19.7 | 44% | 25% | 6.3 | 61 | 2 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 25.6 |
| NC State | 3 | 32:35 | 22.3 | 38% | 100% | 6 | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 28.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT Offense | 3 | 50% (73) | 55% (21) | 34 | 132 | 3.9 | 2 (109) | .15 (64) | 2.97 (70) | 65% (95) | 11% (107) | 0.79 (109) |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 39% (8) | 30% (13) | - | - | - | - | .15 (103) | 2.2 (21) | 64% (51) | 8% (94) | 1.57 (133) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT Defense | 3 | 62% (128) | 49% (115) | - | - | - | - | .26 (120) | 3.03 (95) | 89% (119) | 10% (61) | 1.11 (101) |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 55% (44) | 40% (95) | 37.7 | 176.7 | 4.7 | 6 (49) | .08 (89) | 2.53 (108) | 60% (103) | 12% (117) | 1.08 (45) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT Offense | 3 | 50% (60) | 32% (123) | 19.3 | 34.3 | 207 | 6 | 10.7 | 4 (72) | 3 (92) | (128) | 1.5 (85) | 29% (53) | 27% (102) | .11 (115) | 7% (115) | 1.5 (123) |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 60% (131) | 39% (63) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .25 (78) | 1.6 (79) | 37% (26) | 32% (92) | .43 (103) | 5% (80) | 2.1 (84) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT Defense | 3 | 37% (8) | 58% (133) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .86 (135) | 2 (125) | 32% (77) | 46% (132) | .82 (133) | 4% (115) | 2.3 (116) |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 45% (91) | 48% (39) | 21 | 29.7 | 239.7 | 8.1 | 11.4 | 5 (54) | 1 (23) | .42 (39) | 1.5 (67) | 33% (93) | 32% (66) | .24 (92) | 5% (76) | 1.8 (92) |
Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -5.27 #93
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -5.27 #93
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -5.27 NC State: 11.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -4.4 NC State: 5.1
Virginia Tech: -5.27 NC State: 11.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -4.4 NC State: 5.1
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 11.2 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
NC State's Power Rating: 11.2 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.7
Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.7
Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 36
Virginia Tech 20
Total Points: 56
NC State 36
Virginia Tech 20
Total Points: 56
NC State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/18 | Virginia Tech | 28 | NC State | 35 | NC State | Virginia Tech -2.5 | NC State | 40.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/27 | NC State | 22 | Virginia Tech | 21 | NC State | NC State -13 | Virginia Tech | 39.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 09/26 | Virginia Tech | 45 | NC State | 24 | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech -6.5 | Virginia Tech | 57.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/09 | Virginia Tech | 28 | NC State | 13 | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech -2 | Virginia Tech | 44.0 | Under |
| 2010 | 10/02 | NC State | 30 | Virginia Tech | 41 | Virginia Tech | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | Virginia Tech | 38 | NC State | 10 | Virginia Tech | ||||
| 2005 | 09/04 | NC State | 16 | Virginia Tech | 20 | Virginia Tech | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | Virginia Tech | 16 | NC State | 17 | NC State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 3 | 1 | 3 Overs |
| Virginia Tech | 5 | 3 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 2 - 2 |
(#93) Virginia Tech Info
Power Rating: -5.27 #93
Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 58%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Virginia Tech has lost 4 straight
Virginia Tech has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Tech Notes
(9/14) Team has quit. Drones is bad but has zero help
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
(7/5) WR lost top 3, 2 meh portal adds, some talent
Virginia Tech Highlights
Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech has a really bad Offense
Virginia Tech has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Virginia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Virginia Tech offense is not Explosive (#123)
Virginia Tech pass game is really bad (#123)
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Tech has a bad defense (#131)
Virginia Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#116)
Virginia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#103)
Virginia Tech has a bad red zone defense (#134)
Power Rating: -5.27 #93
Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 58%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Virginia Tech has lost 4 straight
Virginia Tech has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Tech Notes
(9/14) Team has quit. Drones is bad but has zero help
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
(7/5) WR lost top 3, 2 meh portal adds, some talent
Virginia Tech Highlights
Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech has a really bad Offense
Virginia Tech has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Virginia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Virginia Tech offense is not Explosive (#123)
Virginia Tech pass game is really bad (#123)
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Tech has a bad defense (#131)
Virginia Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#116)
Virginia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#103)
Virginia Tech has a bad red zone defense (#134)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | VT |
| OverallOver | #18 | #90 |
| OffenseOff | #28 | #87 |
| DefenseDef | #28 | #96 |
| Special TeamsST | #57 | #106 |
| PassingPass | #11 | #78 |
| RushingRush | #27 | #35 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #73 | #104 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #64 | #106 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #23 | #75 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #76 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #36 | #71 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #28 | #32 |
| Coverage DefCov | #25 | #116 |
(#46) NC State Info
Power Rating: 11.2 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
NC State has lost 1 straight
NC State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State is Undefeated at Home
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
Power Rating: 11.2 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
NC State has lost 1 straight
NC State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State is Undefeated at Home
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyron Drones | 58 | 103 | 56% | 621 | 4 | 3 | 6.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyron Drones | 43 | 127 | 2 | 3.0 | 32 |
| Marcellous Hawkins (Tr) | 27 | 108 | 0 | 4.0 | 11 |
| Terion Stewart (Tr) | 11 | 65 | 0 | 5.9 | 31 |
| Jeremiah Coney | 6 | 41 | 0 | 6.8 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donavon Greene (Tr) | 9 | 193 | 2 | 21.4 | 37 |
| Ayden Greene | 8 | 148 | 0 | 18.5 | 67 |
| Isaiah Spencer (Tr) | 5 | 65 | 0 | 13.0 | 28 |
| Tucker Holloway | 3 | 48 | 0 | 16.0 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Woodson | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Short (Tr) | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Quentin Reddish | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Cash (Tr) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elhadj Fall (Tr) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmett Laws | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelvin Gilliam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kemari Copeland | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Short (Tr) | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Caleb Brown (Tr) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Krystian Williams | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 63 | 89 | 71% | 719 | 5 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 63 | 380 | 3 | 6.0 | 57 |
| CJ Bailey | 21 | 84 | 3 | 4.0 | 30 |
| Jayden Scott | 19 | 66 | 0 | 3.5 | 13 |
| Will Wilson | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Grimes | 9 | 173 | 1 | 19.2 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 8 | 109 | 1 | 13.6 | 27 |
| Terrell Anderson | 9 | 107 | 0 | 11.9 | 30 |
| Teddy Hoffmann | 6 | 99 | 0 | 16.5 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brody Barnhardt | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Travali Price | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Coleson Fields | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |