Campbell at NC State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 4th 2025 (2:00 PM EDT)
NC State -42.5 (61.5) (0) Open: -42.5 | 61.0
NC State 56 - Campbell: 10

Camels (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 56 (7 - 56 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST 2nd straight Home Game
CAMP coming off BYE
NCST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: NC State -7.5 (SP+ NCST -3)
NCST Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
CAMP Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Campbell's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	Campbell at East Carolina	+30.0	56.0	L 3 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Campbell at NC State	+42.5	61.5	L 10 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Campbell's Schedule

NC State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	NC State vs East Carolina	-12.5	58.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/6	NC State vs Virginia	-3.0	53.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 9/11	NC State at Wake Forest	-7.5	52.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/20	NC State at Duke	+3.0	57.5	L 33 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	57.5	L 21 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/4	NC State vs Campbell	-42.5	61.5	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/11	NC State at Notre Dame	+23.5	59.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	NC State at Pittsburgh	+5.5	52.5	L 34 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/1	NC State vs Georgia Tech	+4.5	58.5	W 48 - 36	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	NC State at Miami	+16.5	54.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
Fri 11/21	NC State vs Florida State	+7.0	58.5	W 21 - 11	U	Y
Sat 11/29	NC State vs North Carolina	-7.0	48.5	W 42 - 19	O	Y
Fri 12/19	NC State vs Memphis	-6.0	56.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAMP		0%	6.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	56	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST	#20 (.28)	44% (52)	30.2	44% (64)	2.94 (68)	147	44% (43)	246	4.69 (10)	#102 (.21)	39% (41)	27.2	38% (22)	40% (55)	3.7 (73)	53.8	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAMP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAMP Offense	2	6.5	6.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NCST Defense	13	27.2	21	39.3%	3.7	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	38%	40%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAMP Defense	2	56	56	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NCST Offense	13	30.2	35.3	43.8%	4.69	1	20	393	147	246	4.5	47%	51%	44%	44%	16%	.28

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Campbell	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
NC State	13	29:47	20.4	41%	50%	5.5	53.8	1	1.2	5.1	1.5	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAMP Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
NCST Defense	13	43% (4)	38% (22)	-	-	-	-	.12 (78)	2.87 (64)	65% (26)	8% (108)	1.09 (122)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAMP Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
NCST Offense	13	47% (86)	44% (64)	32.5	147.1	4.5	27 (40)	.19 (32)	2.94 (68)	73% (63)	10% (98)	1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAMP Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NCST Defense	13	56% (132)	40% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (75)	.3 (91)	1.7 (118)	35% (21)	31% (90)	.38 (112)	7% (46)	2.1 (83)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAMP Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NCST Offense	13	51% (49)	44% (43)	21.5	31.8	245.7	7.7	11.4	26 (33)	10 (119)	.39 (25)	1.6 (31)	31% (67)	32% (48)	.4 (34)	6% (54)	2.1 (53)

Campbell's Power Ratings
Campbell's Power Rating: NR
Campbell's Offense Rating: NR
Campbell's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Campbell's 2025 Expected Record: -
Campbell's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Campbell's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Campbell's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big South Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Campbell: NC State: 7.39

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Campbell: NC State: 2.9

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.39 #51
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.98 #28
NC State's Defense Rating: 10.10 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #73

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Campbell Scoring
Offense: 6.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 6.5
Defense: 56 PPG
Defense on Road: 56

Campbell's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 34
Campbell 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 40
Campbell 20

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
NC State 44
Campbell 15

Total Points: 59

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	NC State	56	Campbell	10	NC State -42.5	NC State	61.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	1	1	1 Overs
Campbell	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) CAMP at (#51) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CAMP	NCST
Power RatePwr	NR	#51
SP+SP+	NR	#61
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#73
OffenseOff	NR	#51
DefenseDef	NR	#90
Spec TeamsST	NR	#78
TalentTal	NR	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#39

Campbell Injury Report

NC State Notes(11/21) Fr QB W Wilson got designed runs in FSU game
(11/5) RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
(10/12) Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
(10/9) DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
(9/30) Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
(9/30) Things could go south in a hurry for this program
(9/20) Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
(9/11) Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
NC State Injury Report

Campbell on Offense


CategoryCat	CAMP Off	NCST Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#90
SuccessSuc	NR	#41
ExplosiveExp	NR	#134
PPAPPA	NR	#102
PowerPwr	NR	#80
SP+SP+	NR	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	#73
HavocHav	NR	#84

Campbell Run Game


CategoryCat	CAMP Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	#61
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#22
Run ExplRExp	NR	#122
PPAExp	NR	#78
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#64
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#65
TackleTak	-	#56

Campbell Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAMP Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#55
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#118
PPAExp	NR	#91
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#68
F7 HavocF7	NR	#108
DB HavocDB	NR	#46

NC State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	CAMP Def
Perf GradePerf	#51	NR
SuccessSuc	#52	NR
ExplosiveExp	#12	NR
PPAPPA	#20	NR
PowerPwr	#28	NR
SP+SP+	#47	NR
Pts POPPO	#10	NR
HavocHav	#73	NR

NC State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	CAMP Def
Run GameRun	#57	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#64	NR
Run ExplRExp	#19	NR
PPAExp	#32	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	#68	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#112	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	CAMP Def
Pass GamePass	#79	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#43	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#31	NR
PPAExp	#25	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#56	NR
F7 HavocF7	#98	NR
DB HavocDB	#54	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

CAMP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 6
NC State -42.5 (61.5)
NC State won vs Campbell this year (56-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CAMP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kamden Sixkiller	224	357	63%	2154	12	5	6.0
Michael Chandler II	27	45	60%	407	1	1	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
JJ Cowan	101	544	8	5.4	64
Ethan Lawrence	87	356	3	4.1	41
Kamden Sixkiller	76	224	3	2.9	24
Naieem Kearney	71	219	3	3.1	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Randall King	59	689	5	11.7	77
Trayjen Llanas-Wilcox	22	367	1	16.7	50
Michael Chandler II	42	305	2	7.3	39
Daniel Lopes	20	255	1	12.8	48

View Campbell's Full Roster

CAMP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Jojo Pace	12	0	0
Donavan Philord	11	0	1
Tyrek Brown	8	1	0
Kierston Lee	8	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL
Jojo Pace	12	0
Jacobi Jones (Tr)	3	1
Donavan Frederick	1	0
Carlando Crump	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Brandon Guzman	7	2
Donavan Philord	11	1
Evan Spivey (Tr)	5	1

NCST's OC Kurt Roper (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Bailey	273	397	69%	3105	25	9	7.8
Lex Thomas	2	7	29%	18	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daylan Smothers	160	939	6	5.9	65
Jayden Scott	106	595	4	5.6	69
CJ Bailey	89	215	6	2.4	30
Will Wilson	43	146	10	3.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terrell Anderson	39	629	5	16.1	75
Justin Joly	49	489	7	10.0	59
Wesley Grimes	31	458	3	14.8	48
Noah Rogers	31	413	2	13.3	48

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC D. J. Eliot (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Fordham	143	10	4	4	3
Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr)	80	4	1	6	2
Asaad Brown Jr.	64	0	0	0	2
Cian Slone (Tr)	62	7	2	16	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tra Thomas (Tr)	24	6	4	5	0
Caden Fordham	143	10	4	4	3
Travali Price	22	5	4	4	1
Sabastian Harsh (Tr)	41	8	3	13	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Devon Marshall	50	0	1	15
Jackson Vick	45	2	0	6
Brian Nelson II (Tr)	29	1	0	6