Georgia Tech at NC State Game Matchup

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC (ACC)

Yellow Jackets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (18 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)

GT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: NC State -1 (SP+ NCST -0)
Projected Score: GT: 28 - NCST: 29 (57)
NCST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
GT Travel: 351 miles

Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
GT Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Georgia Tech at Colorado	-3.5	57.5
Sat 9/6	Georgia Tech vs Gardner-Webb	-31
Sat 9/13	Georgia Tech vs Clemson	+15.5
Sat 9/20	Georgia Tech vs Temple	-28
Sat 9/27	Georgia Tech at Wake Forest	-11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech	-4
Sat 10/18	Georgia Tech at Duke	+1
Sat 10/25	Georgia Tech vs Syracuse	-4.5
Sat 11/1	Georgia Tech at NC State	+1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Georgia Tech at Boston College	-2.5
Sat 11/22	Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh	-5
Sat 11/29	Georgia Tech vs Georgia	+17.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

NC State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	NC State vs East Carolina	-12.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	NC State vs Virginia	-8.5
Thu 9/11	NC State at Wake Forest	-10.5
Sat 9/20	NC State at Duke	+2.5
Sat 9/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-3
Sat 10/4	NC State vs Campbell	-29.5
Sat 10/11	NC State at Notre Dame	+22.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	NC State at Pittsburgh	+1
Sat 11/1	NC State vs Georgia Tech	-1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	NC State at Miami	+16.5
Fri 11/21	NC State vs Florida State	-1
Sat 11/29	NC State vs North Carolina	-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#36 (.24)	46% (29)	28.9	45% (47)	2.85 (100)	172	46% (25)	222	4.25 (35)	#65 (.16)	42% (77)	25.6	41% (50)	44% (99)	3.97 (85)	35.6	0.6	0.8
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)	28.5	44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)	30.2	39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	13	28.9	27.2	45.9%	4.25	0.6	20	394	172	222	4.9	54%	46%	45%	46%	12%	.24
NCST Defense	13	30.2	24.7	40.9%	3.78	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	39%	43%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	13	25.6	32.2	42.3%	3.97	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	44%	15%	.16
NCST Offense	13	28.5	31	45.1%	3.97	1.7	19	345	130	215	4.4	47%	52%	44%	47%	19%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	13	28:44	19.8	41%	56%	4.6	35.6	0.6	0.8	5.2	1.3	1	27.1
NC State	13	29:10	18.6	37%	56%	4.8	45	1.7	1.4	6.2	1.8	2	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	13	54% (44)	45% (47)	35	172.4	4.9	29 (18)	.14 (62)	2.85 (100)	75% (56)	7% (21)	1.03 (46)
NCST Defense	13	47% (33)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.2 (111)	3.07 (83)	76% (86)	12% (24)	1.28 (134)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	13	47% (30)	41% (50)	-	-	-	-	.05 (31)	2.56 (12)	59% (9)	10% (73)	1 (74)
NCST Offense	13	47% (89)	44% (68)	29.6	130.3	4.4	21 (59)	.15 (56)	3.24 (36)	69% (92)	13% (127)	0.98 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	13	46% (90)	46% (25)	18.8	29	221.8	7.7	11.8	14 (108)	6 (10)	.36 (26)	1.5 (110)	29% (22)	38% (10)	.44 (24)	5% (34)	1.9 (105)
NCST Defense	13	53% (106)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.19 (47)	1.5 (22)	33% (49)	30% (65)	.33 (83)	8% (16)	2.3 (120)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	13	53% (107)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.27 (85)	1.5 (42)	32% (75)	27% (26)	.21 (33)	5% (88)	2 (50)
NCST Offense	13	52% (48)	47% (20)	18.2	28.1	214.8	7.7	11.8	18 (68)	12 (85)	.36 (24)	1.6 (45)	30% (35)	36% (24)	.57 (5)	6% (83)	2.2 (19)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 9.91 #36
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 21.89 #26
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.98 #54
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Georgia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Georgia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #27
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 9.91 NC State: 8.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 4.7 NC State: 4.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 8.405 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.52 #41
NC State's Defense Rating: 11.51 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 814.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #42
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #36
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Georgia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 29
Georgia Tech 28

Projected Total Points: 57

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/21	Georgia Tech	30	NC State	29	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech -7.5	NC State	51.5	Over
2020	12/05	NC State	23	Georgia Tech	13	NC State	NC State -7	NC State	61.5	Under
2019	11/21	Georgia Tech	28	NC State	26	Georgia Tech	NC State -2.5	Georgia Tech	46.5	Over
2014	11/08	NC State	23	Georgia Tech	56	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech -3	Georgia Tech	0
2011	10/01	NC State	35	Georgia Tech	45	Georgia Tech
2010	09/25	Georgia Tech	28	NC State	45	NC State
2006	11/04	NC State	23	Georgia Tech	31	Georgia Tech
2005	10/06	Georgia Tech	14	NC State	17	NC State
2004	11/06	NC State	14	Georgia Tech	24	Georgia Tech
2003	10/04	Georgia Tech	29	NC State	21	Georgia Tech
2002	11/02	NC State	17	Georgia Tech	24	Georgia Tech
2001	10/20	Georgia Tech	27	NC State	17	Georgia Tech
2000	09/20	NC State	30	Georgia Tech	23	NC State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	4	2	2 Overs
Georgia Tech	9	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 7	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 6	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1

(#36) Georgia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.91 #36
Offense Rating: 21.89 #26
Defense Rating: 11.98 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #64
Talent Rating: 776.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Georgia Tech Notes
(5/29) RB Haynes great, Alexander back w/ depth.
(5/29) WR lost #1 (Aub). 5 portal adds (FIU #1/2)
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. Schemed around LY, OTs huge ?
(5/29) Def struggled LY, a lot back + 13 portal adds
(5/29) Can Def elevate, find pressure w/ 3 DE adds?
(5/13) WR Eric Rivers top portal add FIU (1K, 12 TDs)
(3/24) Portal RB Hosley (Penn) great find & fit
(3/21) QB King a perfect fit, #2 Philo can play
(3/21) Key been a good coach. Lighter sched TY
(3/21) New DC Gideon 1st time DC (Texas DBs LY)

Georgia Tech Ratings Matchup NC State

Power #36

#46

Off #26

#41

Def #54

#48

Talent #53

#46

SP+ #43

#42

SP+ Off #27

#36

SP+ Def #64

#54

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat NC State last year (30-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GT | NCST
Depth Chart: GT | NCST
Rosters: GT | NCST

(#46) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.405 #46
Offense Rating: 18.52 #41
Defense Rating: 11.51 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #54
Talent Rating: 814.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

NC State Notes
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
(5/29) OL returns 2/5, 3 portals. OTs decent, IOL ?
(5/29) Def was bad LY, 13 portal adds, lots of ??
(3/19) RB Smoothers back, depth/playmakers?
(3/19) DC Eliot journeyman with ? success

Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King	196	269	73%	2114	14	2	7.9
Aaron Philo	38	74	51%	565	1	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Hosley (Tr)	191	1192	9	6.2	55
Jamal Haynes	168	944	9	5.6	68
Haynes King	126	577	11	4.6	30
Chad Alexander	58	280	1	4.8	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Rivers (Tr)	62	1172	12	18.9	62
Malik Rutherford	62	702	3	11.3	52
Dean Patterson (Tr)	50	685	7	13.7	52
Rahkeem Smith (Tr)	25	349	3	14.0	66

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

Georgia Tech's DC Blake Gideon

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Ahmari Harvey	62	3	0	0	2
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)	54	2	0	1	1
Clayton Powell-Lee	53	2	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ronald Triplette (Tr)	23	5	4	2	0
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Akelo Stone (Tr)	14	2	2	1	1
Jordan van den Berg	23	5	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Daiquan White (Tr)	31	1	0	7
Kelvin Hill (Tr)	42	0	0	5
Rodney Shelley	19	5	1	4

NC State's OC Kurt Roper

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Bailey	196	302	65%	2412	17	10	8.0
Lex Thomas	5	8	63%	65	1	1	8.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daylan Smothers	89	571	6	6.4	53
CJ Bailey	99	279	5	2.8	31
Lex Thomas	1	9	0	9.0	9
Coleson Fields	3	8	0	2.7	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Joly	43	661	4	15.4	40
Noah Rogers	35	478	1	13.7	75
Wesley Grimes	24	319	1	13.3	30
Daylan Smothers	19	263	2	13.8	72

View NC State's Full Roster

NC State's DC D. J. Eliot

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Jeremiah Johnson (Tr)	69	1	0	1	6
Brian Nelson II (Tr)	53	2	0	1	3
Caden Fordham	50	4	1	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cian Slone (Tr)	49	10	8	5	0
Travali Price	37	9	4	3	0
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Sabastian Harsh (Tr)	41	9	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Devon Marshall	33	1	0	7
Jeremiah Johnson (Tr)	69	1	1	6
Brian Nelson II (Tr)	53	2	1	3