Georgia Tech at NC State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia Tech logo   Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at NC State Wolfpack  NC State logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -4.5 (58.5) (-198)  Open: -4.5
NC State 48 - Georgia Tech: 36  (ACC)

 
Yellow Jackets (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (18 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
GT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Tech -4.5  (SP+ GT -4.5)

Projected Score: GT: 31 - NCST: 27 (58)
GT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
GT Travel: 351 miles
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Georgia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia Tech at Colorado-4.055.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/6 Georgia Tech vs Gardner-Webb-37.560.5W 59 - 12OY
Sat 9/13 Georgia Tech vs Clemson+2.549.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 9/20 Georgia Tech vs Temple-24.552.5W 45 - 24ON
Sat 9/27 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest-13.553.5W 30 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech-14.055.5W 35 - 20UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia Tech at Duke+3.560.5W 27 - 18UY
Sat 10/25 Georgia Tech vs Syracuse-17.552.5W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/1 Georgia Tech at NC State-4.558.5L 36 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Georgia Tech at Boston College-16.561.5W 36 - 34ON
Sat 11/22 Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh-2.561.5L 28 - 42ON
Fri 11/28 Georgia Tech vs Georgia+15.559.5L 9 - 16UY
Sat 12/27 Georgia Tech vs BYU+3.555.0L 21 - 25UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 4, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
NC State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 NC State vs East Carolina-12.558.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Virginia-3.053.0W 35 - 31OY
Thu 9/11 NC State at Wake Forest-7.552.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 NC State at Duke+3.057.5L 33 - 45ON
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Virginia Tech-10.057.5L 21 - 23UN
Sat 10/4 NC State vs Campbell-42.561.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/11 NC State at Notre Dame+23.559.5L 7 - 36UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 NC State at Pittsburgh+5.552.5L 34 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech+4.558.5W 48 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 NC State at Miami+16.554.5L 7 - 41UN
Fri 11/21 NC State vs Florida State+7.058.5W 21 - 11UY
Sat 11/29 NC State vs North Carolina-7.048.5W 42 - 19OY
Fri 12/19 NC State vs Memphis-6.056.5W 31 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)32.245% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)2541% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)30.244% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)27.239% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Offense1332.231.245.9%4.250.6203941722224.954%46%45%46%12%.24
NCST Defense1327.22140.9%3.781.4 - - - - - 47%53%39%43%20%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Defense132529.842.3%3.970.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%15%.16
NCST Offense1330.235.345.1%3.971.7193451302154.447%52%44%47%19%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Tech1328:4419.841%56%4.635.60.60.85.21.3127.1
NC State1329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.8228.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Offense1354% (44)45% (47)35172.44.929 (18).14 (62)2.85 (100)75% (56)7% (21)1.03 (46)
NCST Defense1347% (33)39% (31) - - - - .2 (111)3.07 (83)76% (86)12% (24)1.28 (134)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Defense1347% (30)41% (50) - - - - .05 (31)2.56 (12)59% (9)10% (73)1 (74)
NCST Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (127)0.98 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Offense1346% (90)46% (25)18.829221.87.711.814 (108)6 (10).36 (26)1.5 (110)29% (22)38% (10).44 (24)5% (34)1.9 (105)
NCST Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (49)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Defense1353% (107)44% (99) - - - - - - 5 (117).27 (85)1.5 (42)32% (75)27% (26).21 (33)5% (88)2 (50)
NCST Offense1352% (48)47% (20)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (83)2.2 (19)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 14.68  #23
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 24.65  #12
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.97  #47
2025 Talent Rating: 766.00  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 10%  #39
Georgia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Georgia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #35
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #34
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 14.68   NC State: 7.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 9.3   NC State: 4.8




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.25  #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.37  #36
NC State's Defense Rating: 13.67  #67
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #55
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #45
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Georgia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 31
NC State 27


Projected Total Points: 58
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01NC State48Georgia Tech36Georgia Tech -4.5NC State58.5Over
202411/21Georgia Tech30NC State29Georgia Tech -7.5NC State51.5Over
202012/05NC State23Georgia Tech13NC State -7NC State61.5Under
201911/21Georgia Tech28NC State26NC State -2.5Georgia Tech46.5Over
201411/08NC State23Georgia Tech56Georgia Tech -3Georgia Tech0
201110/01NC State35Georgia Tech45
201009/25Georgia Tech28NC State45
200611/04NC State23Georgia Tech31
200510/06Georgia Tech14NC State17
200411/06NC State14Georgia Tech24
200310/04Georgia Tech29NC State21
200211/02NC State17Georgia Tech24
200110/20Georgia Tech27NC State17
200009/20NC State30Georgia Tech23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State533 Overs
Georgia Tech921 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 73 - 21 - 12 - 1
Road Teams7 - 72 - 31 - 21 - 1

(#23) GT at (#52) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGTNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #23 #52
SP+SP+ #35 #55
Perf GradeGrade #51 #75
OffenseOff #33 #52
DefenseDef #107 #89
Spec TeamsST #19 #91
TalentTal #63 #43
Blue ChipsBC% #39 #39
Georgia Tech Notes
(12/3) HC Brent Key extended w/ new 5 year deal
(11/23) Def torched by Pitt, King 2 Int ultimately cost em
(11/16) Def torched by BC. Off/King bailed in 2H.
(11/1) Def torched @ NC St for nearly 600 yds, 48 pts
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/18) Outplayed by Duke, but Good Rush Off & found a way
(10/18) H King had 235 of 376 total yards. Pass Def torched
(8/29) H King is a dawg of a runner, pass inconsistent
(5/29) 8 of 26 portals on OL (3) & DL (5). 6 DB adds
(5/29) RB Haynes great, Alexander back w/ depth.
(5/29) WR lost #1 (Aub). 5 portal adds (FIU #1/2)
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. Schemed around LY, OTs huge ?
Georgia Tech Injury Report
NC State Notes
(11/21) Fr QB W Wilson got designed runs in FSU game
(11/5) RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
(10/12) Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
(10/9) DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
(9/30) Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
(9/30) Things could go south in a hurry for this program
(9/20) Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
(9/11) Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
NC State Injury Report
Georgia Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
GT OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #89
SuccessSuc #29 #59
ExplosiveExp #88 #113
PPAPPA #36 #86
PowerPwr #12 #67
SP+SP+ #34 #64
Pts POPPO #35 #67
HavocHav #22 #16
Georgia Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
GT OffNCST Def
Run GameRun #59 #70
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #31
Run ExplRExp #46 #134
PPAExp #62 #111
Run BlockR Blk #40 -
OL YdsOLY #100 #83
Stuff RateStuff #95 #105
TackleTak -  #74
Georgia Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
GT OffNCST Def
Pass GamePass #23 #97
Pass SuccessPSuc #25 #87
Pass ExplPExl #110 #22
PPAExp #26 #47
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #65
F7 HavocF7 #21 #24
DB HavocDB #34 #16
NC State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatNCST OffGT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #52 #107
SuccessSuc #36 #77
ExplosiveExp #32 #72
PPAPPA #26 #65
PowerPwr #36 #47
SP+SP+ #45 #57
Pts POPPO #61 #85
HavocHav #122 #78
NC State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
NCST OffGT Def
Run GameRun #61 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #68 #50
Run ExplRExp #59 #74
PPAExp #56 #31
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #36 #12
Stuff RateStuff #37 #4
TackleTak -  #114
NC State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatNCST OffGT Def
Pass GamePass #95 #96
Pass SuccessPSuc #20 #99
Pass ExplPExl #45 #42
PPAExp #24 #85
Pass Block/RushP Blk #46 #114
F7 HavocF7 #127 #73
DB HavocDB #83 #88
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Georgia Tech 4.5 (58.5)
NC State won vs Georgia Tech this year (48-36)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Georgia Tech last year (48-36)
Georgia Tech beat NC State in 2024 (30-29)

  
GT's OC Buster Faulkner (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King25236170%29511468.2
Aaron Philo212875%3731113.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Haynes King185953155.245
Malachi Hosley (Tr)9869777.155
Jamal Haynes12453154.347
Jordan Allen685114.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers (Tr)47671214.368
Malik Rutherford46523311.471
Isiah Canion32467414.642
Jordan Allen22304013.878

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Blake Gideon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford772212
E.J. Lightsey761011
Clayton Powell-Lee650012
Omar Daniels604101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akelo Stone (Tr)195401
Jordan van den Berg4211440
Brayden Manley (Tr)173351
Cayman Spaulding (Tr)413301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmari Harvey263107
Rodney Shelley382003
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)353113

NCST's OC Kurt Roper (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey27339769%31052597.8
Lex Thomas2729%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers16093965.965
Jayden Scott10659545.669
CJ Bailey8921562.430
Will Wilson43146103.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terrell Anderson39629516.175
Justin Joly49489710.059
Wesley Grimes31458314.848
Noah Rogers31413213.348

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC D. J. Eliot (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Fordham14310443
Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr)804162
Asaad Brown Jr.640002
Cian Slone (Tr)6272161
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tra Thomas (Tr)246450
Caden Fordham14310443
Travali Price225441
Sabastian Harsh (Tr)4183133
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devon Marshall5000115
Jackson Vick452006
Brian Nelson II (Tr)291006