Georgia Tech at NC State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia Tech logo (#18)Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC  (ACC)

 
Yellow Jackets (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (18 - 15)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (27 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
GT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Tech -1.5   (SP+ GT -5)

Projected Score: GT: 27 - NCST: 25 (52)
GT Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
GT Travel: 351 miles
Wolfpack (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Georgia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia Tech at Colorado-4.055.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/6 Georgia Tech vs Gardner-Webb-37.560.5W 59 - 12OY
Sat 9/13 Georgia Tech vs Clemson+2.549.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 9/20 Georgia Tech vs Temple-23.553.5
Sat 9/27 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech-20
Sat 10/18 Georgia Tech at Duke-4.5
Sat 10/25 Georgia Tech vs Syracuse-8.5
Sat 11/1 Georgia Tech at NC State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Georgia Tech at Boston College-2.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh-4.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia Tech vs Georgia+12

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
NC State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 NC State vs East Carolina-12.558.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Virginia-3.053.0W 35 - 31OY
Thu 9/11 NC State at Wake Forest-7.552.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 NC State at Duke+3.559.5
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Virginia Tech-16
Sat 10/4 NC State vs Campbell-32
Sat 10/11 NC State at Notre Dame+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 NC State at Pittsburgh+4.5
Sat 11/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 NC State at Miami+19.5
Fri 11/21 NC State vs Florida State+8.5
Sat 11/29 NC State vs North Carolina-9.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT#48 (.28)52% (24)36.754% (26)3.5 (26)22851% (29)2722.35 (125)#67 (.13)40% (73)17.738% (61)42% (84)2.43 (33)58.31.71
NCST#56 (.23)44% (67)3140% (95)2.53 (108)17748% (39)2404.39 (48)#96 (.19)35% (35)2430% (13)39% (63)3.19 (58)57.30.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)45% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)41% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Offense336.72752.2%2.351.7225002282725.858%40%54%51%8%.28
NCST Defense3242435%3.191 - - - - - 39%60%30%39%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Defense317.72040.1%2.431 - - - - - 54%45%38%42%15%.13
NCST Offense33129.543.8%4.390.3224161772404.755%45%40%48%18%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Tech329:022247%40%7.758.31.716.72.3028.1
NC State332:3522.338%100%657.30.315.70.7128.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Offense358% (22)54% (26)39.3228.35.810 (10).2 (49)3.5 (26)82% (35)6% (21)0.92 (76)
NCST Defense339% (8)30% (13) - - - - .15 (103)2.2 (21)64% (51)8% (94)1.57 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Defense354% (100)38% (61) - - - - .1 (86)3.02 (92)64% (51)12% (45)0.86 (49)
NCST Offense355% (44)40% (95)37.7176.74.76 (49).08 (89)2.53 (108)60% (103)12% (117)1.08 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Offense340% (115)51% (29)1825.727210.615.12 (102)2 (60).43 (38)1.4 (95)26% (28)41% (25).58 (29)2% (8)2 (67)
NCST Defense360% (131)39% (63) - - - - - - 3 (28).25 (78)1.6 (79)37% (26)32% (92).43 (103)5% (80)2.1 (84)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Defense345% (38)42% (84) - - - - - - 1 (87).12 (41)1.4 (32)30% (104)33% (95).31 (81)3% (120)1.8 (53)
NCST Offense345% (91)48% (39)2129.7239.78.111.45 (54)1 (23).42 (39)1.5 (67)33% (93)32% (66).24 (92)5% (76)1.8 (92)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 15.12 #39
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 19.44 #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 4.32 #52
2025 Talent Rating: 766.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Georgia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Georgia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #24
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 15.12   NC State: 11.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 9.9   NC State: 5.1




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 11.2 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 17.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Georgia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 27
NC State 25


Total Points: 52

NC State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/21Georgia Tech30NC State29Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -7.5NC State51.5Over
202012/05NC State23Georgia Tech13NC StateNC State -7NC State61.5Under
201911/21Georgia Tech28NC State26Georgia TechNC State -2.5Georgia Tech46.5Over
201411/08NC State23Georgia Tech56Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -3Georgia Tech0
201110/01NC State35Georgia Tech45Georgia Tech
201009/25Georgia Tech28NC State45NC State
200611/04NC State23Georgia Tech31Georgia Tech
200510/06Georgia Tech14NC State17NC State
200411/06NC State14Georgia Tech24Georgia Tech
200310/04Georgia Tech29NC State21Georgia Tech
200211/02NC State17Georgia Tech24Georgia Tech
200110/20Georgia Tech27NC State17Georgia Tech
200009/20NC State30Georgia Tech23NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State422 Overs
Georgia Tech921 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 72 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams7 - 62 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#39) Georgia Tech Info
Power Rating: 15.12 #39
Offense Rating: 19.44 #35
Defense Rating: 4.32 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 766.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 52%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.35 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.43 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia Tech has lost 5 straight
Georgia Tech has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia Tech Notes
(5/29) 8 of 26 portals on OL (3) & DL (5). 6 DB adds
(5/29) RB Haynes great, Alexander back w/ depth.
(5/29) WR lost #1 (Aub). 5 portal adds (FIU #1/2)
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. Schemed around LY, OTs huge ?
(5/29) Def struggled LY, a lot back + 13 portal adds
(5/29) Can Def elevate, find pressure w/ 3 DE adds?
(5/13) WR Eric Rivers top portal add FIU (1K, 12 TDs)
(3/24) Portal RB Hosley (Penn) great find & fit
(3/21) QB King a perfect fit, #2 Philo can play
(3/21) Key been a good coach. Lighter sched TY

Georgia Tech Highlights
Georgia Tech is Undefeated vs Spread
Georgia Tech in Undefeated

Georgia Tech has Really Good Running Game (#17)
Georgia Tech offense is efficent (#24)
Georgia Tech has a top Offensive Line (#26)
Georgia Tech offense is good on 3rd downs
Georgia Tech does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#23)


Georgia Tech Deficiencies
Georgia Tech has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Georgia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Georgia Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Georgia Tech offense is not Explosive (#106)
Georgia Tech offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#125)
Georgia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNCSTGT
OverallOver#18#51
OffenseOff#28#50
DefenseDef#28#73
Special TeamsST#57#2
PassingPass#11#23
RushingRush#27#68
Run BlockRBLK#73#65
Pass BlockPBLK#64#55
Route RunningWR Rt#23#39
TacklingTkl#48#52
Run DefenseR Def#36#43
Pass Rush DefPRush#28#60
Coverage DefCov#25#98

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat NC State last year (30-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GT | NCST
Depth Chart: GT | NCST
Rosters: GT | NCST
(#46) NC State Info
Power Rating: 11.2 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

NC State has lost 5 straight
NC State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.

NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State is Undefeated at Home

NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)


  
Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King334869%354017.4
Aaron Philo212875%3731113.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Haynes King4425945.945
Jamal Haynes3718334.947
Malachi Hosley (Tr)1916028.455
Eric Rivers (Tr)441010.327
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers (Tr)8129016.142
Isiah Canion8110113.842
Dean Patterson (Tr)493123.384
Bailey Stockton691015.224

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster
Georgia Tech's DC Blake Gideon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
E.J. Lightsey170000
Clayton Powell-Lee160000
Kyle Efford140000
Omar Daniels131000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akelo Stone (Tr)83200
Amontrae Bradford42200
Jordan van den Berg62110
Christian Garrett51101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmari Harvey80002
Daiquan White (Tr)31001
Tae Harris30001

NC State's OC Kurt Roper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey638971%719518.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers6338036.057
CJ Bailey218434.030
Jayden Scott196603.513
Will Wilson4902.34
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wesley Grimes9173119.248
Noah Rogers8109113.627
Terrell Anderson9107011.930
Teddy Hoffmann699016.550

View NC State's Full Roster
NC State's DC D. J. Eliot
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown314021
Caden Fordham262101
Brody Barnhardt151000
Cian Slone (Tr)141030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Fordham262101
Travali Price52110
Sean Brown314021
Coleson Fields10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devon Marshall130002
Sean Brown314021
Sabastian Harsh (Tr)144031