NC State Wolfpack at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Thursday, September 11th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
NC State -7.5 (52.5) (-298) Open: 0.0
NC State 34 - Wake Forest: 24 (ACC)
Wolfpack (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
WAKE 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: NC State -4 (SP+ NCST -7)
Projected Score: NCST: 28 - WAKE: 24 (51)
NCST Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 89 miles
Our Line: NC State -4 (SP+ NCST -7)
Projected Score: NCST: 28 - WAKE: 24 (51)
NCST Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 89 miles
Demon Deacons (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 18 (25 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Jake Dickert (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 18 (25 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.5 | 59.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -32 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +12.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +19.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Wake Forest's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Wake Forest vs Kennesaw State | -17.5 | 51.5 | W 10 - 9 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Wake Forest vs Western Carolina | -17.5 | 60.5 | W 42 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | Wake Forest vs NC State | +7.5 | 52.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech | +7.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Wake Forest at Virginia Tech | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Wake Forest at Oregon State | -2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Wake Forest vs SMU | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Wake Forest at Florida State | +20 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Wake Forest at Virginia | +9 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Wake Forest vs North Carolina | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Wake Forest vs Delaware | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Wake Forest at Duke | +5.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | #56 (.23) | 44% (67) | 31 | 40% (95) | 2.53 (108) | 177 | 48% (39) | 240 | 4.39 (48) | #96 (.19) | 35% (35) | 24 | 30% (13) | 39% (63) | 3.19 (58) | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| WAKE | #81 (.16) | 37% (112) | 25.3 | 38% (107) | 2.36 (118) | 154 | 37% (107) | 246 | 3 (116) | #30 (.01) | 33% (20) | 17.7 | 33% (22) | 33% (34) | 2.94 (49) | 59.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 | ||
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 3 | 31 | 34 | 43.8% | 4.39 | 0.3 | 22 | 416 | 177 | 240 | 4.7 | 55% | 45% | 40% | 48% | 18% | .23 |
| WAKE Defense | 3 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 32.7% | 2.94 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 33% | 33% | 21% | .01 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 3 | 24 | 24 | 35% | 3.19 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 60% | 30% | 39% | 14% | .19 |
| WAKE Offense | 3 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 37.1% | 3 | 1.7 | 18 | 400 | 154 | 246 | 4.6 | 48% | 51% | 38% | 37% | 16% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 3 | 32:35 | 22.3 | 38% | 100% | 6 | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 28.9 |
| Wake Forest | 3 | 26:59 | 17.7 | 38% | 40% | 6.3 | 59.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 29.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 3 | 55% (44) | 40% (95) | 37.7 | 176.7 | 4.7 | 6 (49) | .08 (89) | 2.53 (108) | 60% (103) | 12% (117) | 1.08 (45) |
| WAKE Defense | 3 | 48% (55) | 33% (22) | - | - | - | - | -.06 (33) | 2.44 (39) | 62% (39) | 14% (21) | 1 (81) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 3 | 39% (8) | 30% (13) | - | - | - | - | .15 (103) | 2.2 (21) | 64% (51) | 8% (94) | 1.57 (133) |
| WAKE Offense | 3 | 48% (85) | 38% (107) | 33.3 | 154 | 4.6 | 7 (38) | .21 (44) | 2.36 (118) | 67% (86) | 11% (100) | 1.51 (7) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 3 | 45% (91) | 48% (39) | 21 | 29.7 | 239.7 | 8.1 | 11.4 | 5 (54) | 1 (23) | .42 (39) | 1.5 (67) | 33% (93) | 32% (66) | .24 (92) | 5% (76) | 1.8 (92) |
| WAKE Defense | 3 | 52% (83) | 33% (34) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .09 (36) | 1.6 (87) | 40% (6) | 28% (61) | .11 (34) | 7% (51) | 1.8 (47) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 3 | 60% (131) | 39% (63) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .25 (78) | 1.6 (79) | 37% (26) | 32% (92) | .43 (103) | 5% (80) | 2.1 (84) |
| WAKE Offense | 3 | 51% (53) | 37% (107) | 19 | 29.7 | 246.3 | 8.3 | 13 | 2 (102) | 3 (92) | .15 (100) | 1.6 (53) | 32% (82) | 15% (133) | -.04 (127) | 5% (72) | 3.1 (2) |
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 12.30 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
NC State's Power Rating: 12.30 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 12.30 Wake Forest: 4.905
SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.1 Wake Forest: -1.8
NC State: 12.30 Wake Forest: 4.905
SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.1 Wake Forest: -1.8
Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 4.905 #65
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 2.25 #36
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Wake Forest's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Wake Forest's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #86
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #68
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 4.905 #65
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 2.25 #36
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Wake Forest's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Wake Forest's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #86
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #68
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
NC State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 28
Wake Forest 24
Total Points: 51
NC State 28
Wake Forest 24
Total Points: 51
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 17.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Wake Forest's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 17.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Wake Forest's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/11 | Wake Forest | 24 | NC State | 34 | NC State | NC State -7.5 | NC State | 52.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 10/05 | NC State | 30 | Wake Forest | 34 | Wake Forest | NC State -4 | Wake Forest | 52.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Wake Forest | 6 | NC State | 26 | NC State | Wake Forest -0.5 | NC State | 42.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | NC State | 30 | Wake Forest | 21 | NC State | Wake Forest -3 | NC State | 54.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/13 | Wake Forest | 45 | NC State | 42 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -1 | Wake Forest | 65.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 09/19 | NC State | 45 | Wake Forest | 42 | NC State | Wake Forest -2 | NC State | 54.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Wake Forest | 44 | NC State | 10 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -7.5 | Wake Forest | 60.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/08 | NC State | 23 | Wake Forest | 27 | Wake Forest | NC State -17 | Wake Forest | 69.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Wake Forest | 30 | NC State | 24 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -3 | Wake Forest | 62.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/01 | NC State | 33 | Wake Forest | 16 | NC State | NC State -9 | NC State | 48.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Wake Forest | 17 | NC State | 35 | NC State | NC State -8.5 | NC State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/15 | NC State | 42 | Wake Forest | 13 | NC State | NC State -12 | NC State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/05 | Wake Forest | 28 | NC State | 13 | Wake Forest | NC State -8 | Wake Forest | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | NC State | 37 | Wake Forest | 6 | NC State | ||||
| 2011 | 09/10 | Wake Forest | 34 | NC State | 27 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2010 | 11/13 | NC State | 38 | Wake Forest | 3 | NC State | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | Wake Forest | 30 | NC State | 24 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | NC State | 21 | Wake Forest | 17 | NC State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Wake Forest | 38 | NC State | 18 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2006 | 10/14 | NC State | 23 | Wake Forest | 25 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | Wake Forest | 27 | NC State | 19 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2004 | 10/02 | NC State | 27 | Wake Forest | 21 | NC State | ||||
| 2003 | 09/06 | Wake Forest | 38 | NC State | 24 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2002 | 09/14 | NC State | 32 | Wake Forest | 13 | NC State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/06 | Wake Forest | 14 | NC State | 17 | NC State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/24 | NC State | 32 | Wake Forest | 14 | NC State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 12 | 6 | 6 Overs |
| NC State | 14 | 7 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 19 - 7 | 8 - 5 | 5 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 19 | 5 - 8 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 5 |
(#46) NC State Info
Power Rating: 12.30 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
NC State has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
Power Rating: 12.30 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
NC State has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WAKE | NCST |
| OverallOver | #61 | #18 |
| OffenseOff | #91 | #28 |
| DefenseDef | #46 | #28 |
| Special TeamsST | #42 | #57 |
| PassingPass | #68 | #11 |
| RushingRush | #99 | #27 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #103 | #73 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #40 | #64 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #69 | #23 |
| TacklingTkl | #68 | #48 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #72 | #36 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #13 | #28 |
| Coverage DefCov | #43 | #25 |
Rematch from Week 3
NC State 7.5 (52.5)
NC State won at Wake Forest this year (34-24)
Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat NC State last year (34-30)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2023 (26-6)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2022 (30-21)
Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: NCST | WAKE
Depth Chart: NCST | WAKE
Rosters: NCST | WAKE
(#65) Wake Forest Info
Power Rating: 4.905 #65
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 2.25 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #68
Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.94 PPO
Great Run Def Success 33%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wake Forest has won 2 straight
Wake Forest has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Wake Forest Notes
(9/11) LBs are small, DL has to run fit well or busted
(9/11) Ashford 4 passes for 164, 32 others for 88 yds
(9/5) Def a bottom P5, Kenn St moved the ball
(8/30) Ashford decent #'s vs Kenn., but not an FBS QB
(8/24) QB1 Robby Ashford won starting job in camp
(7/31) HC Dickert good hire, but year 0, real bad
(7/30) OL 0/5 back. 5 portal starters added, all G5
(5/15) 89% of OL exp is from G5 portals
(5/15) 50% of DL exp is from G5 portals.
(5/15) Can L Webb (UTSA) be a lockdown CB?
Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest offense is explosive (#9)
Wake Forest has a really good defense (#20)
Wake Forest has a good run defense (#22)
Wake Forest Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#7)
Wake Forest Front 7 is disruptive (#21)
Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest offense is really bad (#112)
Wake Forest Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#103)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest run game is really bad (#107)
Wake Forest pass game is really bad (#107)
Power Rating: 4.905 #65
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 2.25 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #68
Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.94 PPO
Great Run Def Success 33%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wake Forest has won 2 straight
Wake Forest has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Wake Forest Notes
(9/11) LBs are small, DL has to run fit well or busted
(9/11) Ashford 4 passes for 164, 32 others for 88 yds
(9/5) Def a bottom P5, Kenn St moved the ball
(8/30) Ashford decent #'s vs Kenn., but not an FBS QB
(8/24) QB1 Robby Ashford won starting job in camp
(7/31) HC Dickert good hire, but year 0, real bad
(7/30) OL 0/5 back. 5 portal starters added, all G5
(5/15) 89% of OL exp is from G5 portals
(5/15) 50% of DL exp is from G5 portals.
(5/15) Can L Webb (UTSA) be a lockdown CB?
Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest offense is explosive (#9)
Wake Forest has a really good defense (#20)
Wake Forest has a good run defense (#22)
Wake Forest Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#7)
Wake Forest Front 7 is disruptive (#21)
Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest offense is really bad (#112)
Wake Forest Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#103)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest run game is really bad (#107)
Wake Forest pass game is really bad (#107)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 63 | 89 | 71% | 719 | 5 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 63 | 380 | 3 | 6.0 | 57 |
| CJ Bailey | 21 | 84 | 3 | 4.0 | 30 |
| Jayden Scott | 19 | 66 | 0 | 3.5 | 13 |
| Will Wilson | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Grimes | 9 | 173 | 1 | 19.2 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 8 | 109 | 1 | 13.6 | 27 |
| Terrell Anderson | 9 | 107 | 0 | 11.9 | 30 |
| Teddy Hoffmann | 6 | 99 | 0 | 16.5 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brody Barnhardt | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Travali Price | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Coleson Fields | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Ashford (Tr) | 54 | 85 | 64% | 697 | 1 | 3 | 8.2 |
| Deshawn Purdie (Tr) | 3 | 4 | 75% | 42 | 1 | 0 | 10.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demond Claiborne | 25 | 247 | 4 | 9.9 | 85 |
| Robby Ashford (Tr) | 34 | 129 | 3 | 3.8 | 41 |
| Ty Clark III | 18 | 56 | 0 | 3.1 | 7 |
| JaMario Clements (Tr) | 12 | 30 | 0 | 2.5 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnes (Tr) | 12 | 248 | 0 | 20.7 | 70 |
| Sterling Berkhalter (Tr) | 8 | 149 | 1 | 18.6 | 51 |
| Eni Falayi (Tr) | 5 | 94 | 0 | 18.8 | 42 |
| Micah Mays Jr. | 4 | 59 | 0 | 14.8 | 26 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Andersen | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Dylan Hazen | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aiden Hall | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Davaughn Patterson | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Hardy (Tr) | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Jayden Loving (Tr) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Gabe Kirschke (Tr) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mateen Ibirogba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davaughn Patterson | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Nick Andersen | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Zach Lohavichan | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |