East Carolina Pirates at NC State Wolfpack
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
NC State -12.5 (58.5) (-440) Open: -12.5 | 58.5
NC State 24 - East Carolina: 17
Pirates (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (28 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (28 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
Our Line: NC State -9.5 (SP+ NCST -5)
Projected Score: ECU: 22 - NCST: 31 (53)
NCST Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
ECU Travel: 77 miles
Projected Score: ECU: 22 - NCST: 31 (53)
NCST Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
ECU Travel: 77 miles
Wolfpack (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
| East Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | East Carolina at NC State | +12.5 | 58.5 | L 17 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | East Carolina vs Campbell | -30.0 | 56.0 | W 56 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | East Carolina at Coastal Carolina | -7.0 | 58.0 | W 38 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | East Carolina vs BYU | +7.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Thu 9/25 | East Carolina vs Army | -10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/9 | East Carolina at Tulane | +5.5 | |||||
| Thu 10/16 | East Carolina vs Tulsa | -15.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | East Carolina at Temple | -0.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | East Carolina vs Charlotte | -21 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | East Carolina vs Memphis | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | East Carolina at UTSA | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | East Carolina at Florida Atlantic | -7.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0 | 58.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -32 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +12.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +19.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | #53 (.24) | 43% (73) | 37 | 30% (132) | 2.2 (126) | 135 | 53% (23) | 346 | 4.04 (66) | #44 (.06) | 35% (34) | 9 | 36% (44) | 34% (39) | 2.22 (20) | 73.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 |
| NCST | #56 (.23) | 44% (67) | 31 | 40% (95) | 2.53 (108) | 177 | 48% (39) | 240 | 4.39 (48) | #96 (.19) | 35% (35) | 24 | 30% (13) | 39% (63) | 3.19 (58) | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 3 | 37 | 27.5 | 42.9% | 4.04 | 0.3 | 25 | 482 | 135 | 346 | 3.5 | 42% | 58% | 30% | 53% | 10% | .24 |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 24 | 24 | 35% | 3.19 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 60% | 30% | 39% | 14% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 3 | 9 | 12 | 34.9% | 2.22 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 41% | 59% | 36% | 34% | 25% | .06 |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 31 | 29.5 | 43.8% | 4.39 | 0.3 | 22 | 416 | 177 | 240 | 4.7 | 55% | 45% | 40% | 48% | 18% | .23 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | 3 | 29:50 | 24.7 | 57% | 25% | 8.7 | 73.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 0 | 36.4 |
| NC State | 3 | 32:35 | 22.3 | 38% | 100% | 6 | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 28.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 3 | 42% (116) | 30% (132) | 38.3 | 135.3 | 3.5 | 9 (17) | -.08 (127) | 2.2 (126) | 50% (124) | 5% (14) | 1.01 (55) |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 39% (8) | 30% (13) | - | - | - | - | .15 (103) | 2.2 (21) | 64% (51) | 8% (94) | 1.57 (133) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 3 | 41% (15) | 36% (44) | - | - | - | - | .03 (57) | 2.1 (15) | 60% (34) | 18% (3) | 1.14 (103) |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 55% (44) | 40% (95) | 37.7 | 176.7 | 4.7 | 6 (49) | .08 (89) | 2.53 (108) | 60% (103) | 12% (117) | 1.08 (45) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 3 | 58% (19) | 53% (23) | 30 | 42 | 346.3 | 8.3 | 11.5 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .48 (25) | 1.5 (77) | 29% (58) | 43% (20) | .81 (9) | 4% (45) | 2.3 (30) |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 60% (131) | 39% (63) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .25 (78) | 1.6 (79) | 37% (26) | 32% (92) | .43 (103) | 5% (80) | 2.1 (84) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 3 | 59% (125) | 34% (39) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .07 (31) | 1.5 (54) | 41% (4) | 28% (63) | .15 (43) | 7% (38) | 1.8 (45) |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 45% (91) | 48% (39) | 21 | 29.7 | 239.7 | 8.1 | 11.4 | 5 (54) | 1 (23) | .42 (39) | 1.5 (67) | 33% (93) | 32% (66) | .24 (92) | 5% (76) | 1.8 (92) |
East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 3.02 #73
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
East Carolina's Power Rating: 3.02 #73
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 3.02 NC State: 11.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.4 NC State: 5.1
East Carolina: 3.02 NC State: 11.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.4 NC State: 5.1
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 11.2 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
NC State's Power Rating: 11.2 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense on Road: 12
East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense on Road: 12
East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 31
East Carolina 22
Total Points: 53
NC State 31
East Carolina 22
Total Points: 53
NC State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/28 | NC State | 24 | East Carolina | 17 | NC State | NC State -12.5 | East Carolina | 58.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 12/28 | NC State | 21 | East Carolina | 26 | East Carolina | NC State -7.5 | East Carolina | 61.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 09/03 | East Carolina | 20 | NC State | 21 | NC State | NC State -12.5 | East Carolina | 52.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 08/31 | NC State | 34 | East Carolina | 6 | NC State | NC State -17.5 | NC State | 52.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 12/01 | NC State | 58 | East Carolina | 3 | NC State | NC State -24.5 | NC State | 59.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 09/10 | East Carolina | 33 | NC State | 30 | East Carolina | NC State -3.5 | East Carolina | 59.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 11/23 | NC State | 28 | East Carolina | 42 | East Carolina | East Carolina -6 | East Carolina | 0 | |
| 2010 | 10/16 | East Carolina | 33 | NC State | 27 | East Carolina | ||||
| 2008 | 09/20 | NC State | 30 | East Carolina | 24 | NC State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/20 | East Carolina | 20 | NC State | 34 | NC State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | NC State | 16 | East Carolina | 21 | East Carolina | ||||
| 2004 | 11/27 | NC State | 52 | East Carolina | 14 | NC State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 7 | 2 | 2 Overs |
| East Carolina | 5 | 5 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 2 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 7 | 3 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 2 - 2 |
(#73) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: 3.02 #73
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74
Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Good Pass Success 53%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
East Carolina Notes
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread
East Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)
East Carolina has a great TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)
Power Rating: 3.02 #73
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74
Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Good Pass Success 53%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
East Carolina Notes
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread
East Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)
East Carolina has a great TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | ECU |
| OverallOver | #18 | #46 |
| OffenseOff | #28 | #57 |
| DefenseDef | #28 | #40 |
| Special TeamsST | #57 | #46 |
| PassingPass | #11 | #18 |
| RushingRush | #27 | #73 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #73 | #101 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #64 | #85 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #23 | #34 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #111 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #36 | #28 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #28 | #56 |
| Coverage DefCov | #25 | #29 |
Rematch from Week 1
NC State -12.5 (58.5)
NC State won vs East Carolina this year (24-17)
Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat NC State last year (26-21)
NC State beat East Carolina in 2022 (21-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ECU | NCST
Depth Chart: ECU | NCST
Rosters: ECU | NCST
(#46) NC State Info
Power Rating: 11.2 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State is Undefeated at Home
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
Power Rating: 11.2 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State is Undefeated at Home
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Houser | 83 | 116 | 72% | 973 | 5 | 1 | 8.4 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 3 | 5 | 60% | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| London Montgomery | 30 | 108 | 2 | 3.6 | 10 |
| Parker Jenkins (Tr) | 23 | 78 | 2 | 3.4 | 17 |
| TJ Engleman | 11 | 67 | 1 | 6.1 | 18 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 8 | 50 | 1 | 6.3 | 18 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith | 23 | 241 | 0 | 10.5 | 31 |
| Brock Spalding | 13 | 221 | 1 | 17.0 | 55 |
| Jayvontay Conner | 7 | 162 | 1 | 23.1 | 79 |
| Yannick Smith | 14 | 136 | 2 | 9.7 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Samuel Dankah | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryheem Craig | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Teagan Wilk (Tr) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasiyah Robinson | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Kendrick DuJour (Tr) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| J.D. Lampley | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Preston Carr | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kevon Merrell | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Chance Graves (Tr) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 63 | 89 | 71% | 719 | 5 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 63 | 380 | 3 | 6.0 | 57 |
| CJ Bailey | 21 | 84 | 3 | 4.0 | 30 |
| Jayden Scott | 19 | 66 | 0 | 3.5 | 13 |
| Will Wilson | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Grimes | 9 | 173 | 1 | 19.2 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 8 | 109 | 1 | 13.6 | 27 |
| Terrell Anderson | 9 | 107 | 0 | 11.9 | 30 |
| Teddy Hoffmann | 6 | 99 | 0 | 16.5 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brody Barnhardt | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Travali Price | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Coleson Fields | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |