(#15)Tennessee Volunteers at Kentucky Wildcats
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Commonwealth Stadium - Lexington, KY (SEC)
Volunteers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 53 - 29 (53 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#37)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 53 - 29 (53 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#37)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
TENN 2nd straight Road Game
UK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tennessee -11 (SP+ TENN -12.5)
Projected Score: TENN: 40 - UK: 29 (68)
TENN Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
TENN Travel: 146 miles
UK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tennessee -11 (SP+ TENN -12.5)
Projected Score: TENN: 40 - UK: 29 (68)
TENN Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
TENN Travel: 146 miles
Wildcats (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Tennessee's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Tennessee vs Syracuse | -13.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Tennessee vs East Tennessee State | -39.5 | 58.5 | W 72 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Tennessee vs Georgia | +3.5 | 50.5 | L 41 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Tennessee vs UAB | -39.5 | 69.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Tennessee at Mississippi State | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Tennessee vs Arkansas | -9 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Tennessee at Alabama | +9 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Tennessee at Kentucky | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Tennessee vs Oklahoma | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Tennessee vs New Mexico State | -39.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Tennessee at Florida | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Tennessee vs Vanderbilt | -7 | |||||
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Kentucky vs Toledo | -10.0 | 48.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Kentucky vs Ole Miss | +8.0 | 51.5 | L 23 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan | -26.5 | 49.5 | W 48 - 23 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Kentucky at South Carolina | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Kentucky at Georgia | +20 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Kentucky vs Texas | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Kentucky vs Tennessee | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Kentucky at Auburn | +18 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Kentucky vs Florida | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech | -32.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Kentucky at Vanderbilt | +12 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Kentucky at Louisville | +10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | #17 (.43) | 53% (22) | 52.7 | 51% (35) | 3.07 (61) | 216 | 54% (21) | 359 | 5.22 (26) | #73 (.14) | 43% (89) | 29 | 47% (102) | 39% (62) | 5.13 (124) | 64 | 1 | 1.3 |
| UK | #77 (.18) | 44% (65) | 31.7 | 54% (22) | 3.53 (24) | 215 | 29% (130) | 171 | 4.19 (60) | #82 (.16) | 40% (70) | 23 | 38% (65) | 41% (79) | 3.94 (88) | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | #46 (.23) | 47% (18) | 48% (23) | 3.4 (13) | 227 | 47% (19) | 221 | 4.02 (55) | #13 (.07) | 38% (17) | 36% (9) | 39% (48) | 3.03 (10) | 66.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | ||
| UK | #118 (.09) | 41% (89) | 47% (31) | 3.02 (71) | 146 | 35% (123) | 185 | 3.49 (104) | #62 (.16) | 46% (111) | 49% (122) | 42% (75) | 3.44 (31) | 52.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 3 | 52.7 | 52.7 | 52.6% | 5.22 | 1 | 29 | 574 | 216 | 359 | 5.4 | 49% | 51% | 51% | 54% | 8% | .43 |
| UK Defense | 3 | 23 | 23 | 39.6% | 3.94 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 38% | 41% | 12% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 3 | 29 | 29 | 42.6% | 5.13 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 47% | 39% | 17% | .14 |
| UK Offense | 3 | 31.7 | 31.7 | 43.9% | 4.19 | 0.7 | 20 | 385 | 215 | 171 | 5.1 | 59% | 40% | 54% | 29% | 14% | .18 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 3 | 27:20 | 28.7 | 58% | 0% | 7.7 | 64 | 1 | 1.3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 30 |
| Kentucky | 3 | 31:16 | 20 | 43% | 33% | 5.3 | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 35.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 3 | 49% (76) | 51% (35) | 40 | 215.7 | 5.4 | 8 (26) | .26 (38) | 3.07 (61) | 76% (51) | 4% (5) | 0.94 (73) |
| UK Defense | 3 | 51% (75) | 38% (65) | - | - | - | - | - (46) | 2.52 (45) | 69% (66) | 8% (102) | 0.94 (71) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 3 | 51% (84) | 47% (102) | - | - | - | - | .06 (67) | 2.69 (58) | 79% (106) | 10% (76) | 0.64 (7) |
| UK Offense | 3 | 59% (20) | 54% (22) | 42 | 214.7 | 5.1 | 9 (17) | .3 (32) | 3.53 (24) | 57% (114) | 7% (38) | 0.92 (78) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 3 | 51% (58) | 54% (21) | 26 | 38.7 | 358.7 | 9.3 | 13.8 | 11 (5) | 2 (60) | .6 (15) | 1.6 (47) | 26% (27) | 33% (62) | .58 (28) | 4% (45) | 2.5 (15) |
| UK Defense | 3 | 49% (65) | 41% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .32 (104) | 1.7 (103) | 33% (62) | 30% (76) | .43 (104) | 4% (102) | 2.1 (80) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 3 | 49% (61) | 39% (62) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .23 (74) | 1.6 (80) | 28% (114) | 16% (17) | .17 (44) | 8% (30) | 3 (136) |
| UK Offense | 3 | 40% (118) | 29% (130) | 12.7 | 25.7 | 170.7 | 6.7 | 13.5 | 2 (102) | 1 (23) | .07 (122) | 1.9 (12) | 29% (55) | 20% (124) | -.01 (124) | 7% (102) | 1.9 (76) |
Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 23.58 #20
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Tennessee's Power Rating: 23.58 #20
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 23.58 Kentucky: 11.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 21.8 Kentucky: 9.1
Tennessee: 23.58 Kentucky: 11.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 21.8 Kentucky: 9.1
Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 52.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 52.7
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 52.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 52.7
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 40
Kentucky 29
Total Points: 68
Tennessee 40
Kentucky 29
Total Points: 68
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Tennessee | 28 | Kentucky | 18 | Tennessee | Tennessee -17.5 | Kentucky | 45.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/28 | Kentucky | 27 | Tennessee | 33 | Tennessee | Tennessee -4 | Tennessee | 50.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Tennessee | 44 | Kentucky | 6 | Tennessee | Tennessee -10.5 | Tennessee | 62.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Kentucky | 42 | Tennessee | 45 | Tennessee | Tennessee -1 | Tennessee | 57.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/17 | Tennessee | 7 | Kentucky | 34 | Kentucky | Tennessee -6.0 | Kentucky | 45.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/09 | Kentucky | 13 | Tennessee | 17 | Tennessee | Kentucky -2 | Tennessee | 42.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/10 | Tennessee | 24 | Kentucky | 7 | Tennessee | Kentucky -5 | Tennessee | 43.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/28 | Kentucky | 29 | Tennessee | 26 | Kentucky | Kentucky -4 | Tennessee | 46.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/12 | Tennessee | 49 | Kentucky | 36 | Tennessee | Tennessee -10.5 | Tennessee | 58.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/31 | Kentucky | 21 | Tennessee | 52 | Tennessee | Tennessee -7.5 | Tennessee | 60.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/15 | Tennessee | 50 | Kentucky | 16 | Tennessee | Tennessee -6.5 | Tennessee | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | Kentucky | 14 | Tennessee | 27 | Tennessee | Tennessee -4 | Tennessee | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Tennessee | 37 | Kentucky | 17 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Kentucky | 10 | Tennessee | 7 | Kentucky | ||||
| 2010 | 11/27 | Tennessee | 24 | Kentucky | 14 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | Kentucky | 24 | Tennessee | 30 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2008 | 11/29 | Tennessee | 28 | Kentucky | 10 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2007 | 11/24 | Kentucky | 50 | Tennessee | 52 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Tennessee | 17 | Kentucky | 12 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2005 | 11/26 | Kentucky | 8 | Tennessee | 27 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2004 | 11/27 | Tennessee | 37 | Kentucky | 31 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2003 | 11/29 | Kentucky | 7 | Tennessee | 20 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | Kentucky | 35 | Tennessee | 38 | Tennessee | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Tennessee | 59 | Kentucky | 20 | Tennessee |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 3 | 2 | 6 Overs |
| Tennessee | 21 | 10 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 11 | 4 - 8 | 3 - 4 | 1 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 13 | 8 - 4 | 4 - 1 | 4 - 3 |
(#20) Tennessee Info
Power Rating: 23.58 #20
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10
Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.22 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 54%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.13 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Tennessee has lost 5 straight
Tennessee has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Tennessee Notes
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
(9/1) Starting CB R Gibson out until Oct (arm inj)
(8/30) 500+ yds vs Cuse, Aguilar good on deep shots
(8/17) QB1 Aguliar (App St) wins battle for starter
(7/25) TE Kitselman a top TE, but injured in spring
(7/25) CB duo McCoy/Gibson great, is McCoy healthy?
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)
Tennessee Highlights
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread
Tennessee has Really Good Running Game (#21)
Tennessee offense is efficent (#22)
Tennessee offense is good in red zone (#26)
Tennessee offense is good on 3rd downs
Tennessee Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Tennessee defense does not give up big plays (#18)
Tennessee Secondary is very good (#30)
Tennessee Deficiencies
Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Tennessee Does Not Stuff Runs (#111)
Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#124)
Power Rating: 23.58 #20
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10
Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.22 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 54%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.13 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Tennessee has lost 5 straight
Tennessee has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Tennessee Notes
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
(9/1) Starting CB R Gibson out until Oct (arm inj)
(8/30) 500+ yds vs Cuse, Aguilar good on deep shots
(8/17) QB1 Aguliar (App St) wins battle for starter
(7/25) TE Kitselman a top TE, but injured in spring
(7/25) CB duo McCoy/Gibson great, is McCoy healthy?
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)
Tennessee Highlights
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread
Tennessee has Really Good Running Game (#21)
Tennessee offense is efficent (#22)
Tennessee offense is good in red zone (#26)
Tennessee offense is good on 3rd downs
Tennessee Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Tennessee defense does not give up big plays (#18)
Tennessee Secondary is very good (#30)
Tennessee Deficiencies
Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Tennessee Does Not Stuff Runs (#111)
Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#124)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UK | TENN |
| OverallOver | #37 | #13 |
| OffenseOff | #73 | #13 |
| DefenseDef | #20 | #40 |
| Special TeamsST | #31 | #52 |
| PassingPass | #98 | #7 |
| RushingRush | #33 | #10 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #44 | #64 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #31 | #35 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #94 | #10 |
| TacklingTkl | #75 | #35 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #55 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #9 | #7 |
| Coverage DefCov | #80 | #67 |
(#57) Kentucky Info
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kentucky has lost 3 straight
Kentucky has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kentucky has lost 3 straight
Kentucky has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Aguilar (Tr) | 63 | 95 | 66% | 906 | 9 | 2 | 9.5 |
| Jake Merklinger | 9 | 14 | 64% | 118 | 2 | 0 | 8.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Thomas (Tr) | 33 | 221 | 3 | 6.7 | 27 |
| DeSean Bishop | 29 | 204 | 1 | 7.0 | 50 |
| Peyton Lewis | 21 | 76 | 2 | 3.6 | 8 |
| Daune Morris | 11 | 50 | 1 | 4.5 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brazzell II | 20 | 364 | 5 | 18.2 | 72 |
| Braylon Staley | 18 | 231 | 2 | 12.8 | 73 |
| Mike Matthews | 13 | 199 | 1 | 15.3 | 53 |
| Miles Kitselman | 8 | 79 | 1 | 9.9 | 18 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arion Carter | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Mcmurray | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Andre Turrentine | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Edrees Farooq | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Josephs | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Caleb Herring | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyre West | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Charles House III | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Hood (Tr) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Ty Redmond | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Edrees Farooq | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Calzada (Tr) | 25 | 53 | 47% | 234 | 0 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Cutter Boley | 13 | 24 | 54% | 278 | 2 | 0 | 11.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan (Tr) | 51 | 275 | 6 | 5.4 | 18 |
| Dante Dowdell (Tr) | 36 | 214 | 1 | 5.9 | 79 |
| Jason Patterson | 13 | 80 | 1 | 6.2 | 29 |
| Cutter Boley | 9 | 38 | 0 | 4.2 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kattus | 8 | 112 | 1 | 14.0 | 34 |
| Jay Maclin | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 44 |
| Hardley Gilmore IV (Tr) | 6 | 97 | 0 | 16.2 | 38 |
| Kendrick Law (Tr) | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Bryant | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Lovett | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daveren Rayner | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Mi'Quise Grace (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terhyon Nichols | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Quay'sheed Scott | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |