East Tennessee State at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview

East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Tennessee Volunteers(#22)

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -39.5 (58.5) (0) Open: -41.0 | 56.5
Tennessee 72 - East Tennessee State: 17

Buccaneers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 72 (17 - 72 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tennessee -25 (SP+ TENN -22)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%

Volunteers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 53 - 29 (57 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#37)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
ETSU Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Tennessee State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	East Tennessee State at Tennessee	+39.5	58.5	L 17 - 72	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Tennessee State's Schedule

Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tennessee vs Syracuse	-13.5	53.5	W 45 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Tennessee vs East Tennessee State	-39.5	58.5	W 72 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Tennessee vs Georgia	+3.5	50.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Tennessee vs UAB	-39.5	69.5
Sat 9/27	Tennessee at Mississippi State	-5.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Tennessee vs Arkansas	-9
Sat 10/18	Tennessee at Alabama	+9
Sat 10/25	Tennessee at Kentucky	-11
Sat 11/1	Tennessee vs Oklahoma	+1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Tennessee vs New Mexico State	-39.5
Sat 11/22	Tennessee at Florida	-2.5
Sat 11/29	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-7

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ETSU		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	72	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN	#17 (.43)	53% (22)	52.7	51% (35)	3.07 (61)	216	54% (21)	359	5.22 (26)	#73 (.14)	43% (89)	29	47% (102)	39% (62)	5.13 (124)	64	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ETSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)		48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)		36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ETSU Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TENN Defense	3	29	30.5	42.6%	5.13	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	47%	39%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ETSU Defense	1	72	72	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TENN Offense	3	52.7	56.5	52.6%	5.22	1	29	574	216	359	5.4	49%	51%	51%	54%	8%	.43

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Tennessee State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Tennessee	3	27:20	28.7	58%	0%	7.7	64	1	1.3	6	4	0	30

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ETSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
TENN Defense	3	51% (84)	47% (102)	-	-	-	-	.06 (67)	2.69 (58)	79% (106)	10% (76)	0.64 (7)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ETSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
TENN Offense	3	49% (76)	51% (35)	40	215.7	5.4	8 (26)	.26 (38)	3.07 (61)	76% (51)	4% (5)	0.94 (73)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ETSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TENN Defense	3	49% (61)	39% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (56)	.23 (74)	1.6 (80)	28% (114)	16% (17)	.17 (44)	8% (30)	3 (136)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ETSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TENN Offense	3	51% (58)	54% (21)	26	38.7	358.7	9.3	13.8	11 (5)	2 (60)	.6 (15)	1.6 (47)	26% (27)	33% (62)	.58 (28)	4% (45)	2.5 (15)

East Tennessee State's Power Ratings
East Tennessee State's Power Rating: #NR
East Tennessee State's Offense Rating: #NR
East Tennessee State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
East Tennessee State's 2025 Expected Record: -
East Tennessee State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
East Tennessee State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
East Tennessee State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State: Tennessee: 25.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State: Tennessee: 21.8

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 25.19 #20
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

East Tennessee State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 72 PPG
Defense on Road: 72

East Tennessee State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 49
East Tennessee State 24

Total Points: 72

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 52.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 56.5
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.5

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Tennessee	72	East Tennessee State	17	Tennessee	Tennessee -39.5	Tennessee	58.5	Over
2018	09/08	Tennessee	59	East Tennessee State	3	Tennessee	Tennessee -37	Tennessee	51.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	2	2	2 Overs
East Tennessee State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#NR) East Tennessee State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

East Tennessee State Highlights

East Tennessee State Deficiencies
East Tennessee State has a really bad Offense
East Tennessee State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	TENN	ETSU
OverallOver	#13	—
OffenseOff	#13	—
DefenseDef	#40	—
Special TeamsST	#52	—
PassingPass	#7	—
RushingRush	#10	—
Run BlockRBLK	#64	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#35	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#10	—
TacklingTkl	#35	—
Run DefenseR Def	#55	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#7	—
Coverage DefCov	#67	—

Rematch from Week 2
Tennessee -39.5 (58.5)
Tennessee won vs East Tennessee State this year (72-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ETSU | TENN
Depth Chart: ETSU | TENN
Rosters: ETSU | TENN

(#20) Tennessee Info
Power Rating: 25.19 #20
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10
Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.22 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 54%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.13 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Tennessee has won 1 straight
Tennessee has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Tennessee Notes
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
(9/1) Starting CB R Gibson out until Oct (arm inj)
(8/30) 500+ yds vs Cuse, Aguilar good on deep shots
(8/17) QB1 Aguliar (App St) wins battle for starter
(7/25) TE Kitselman a top TE, but injured in spring
(7/25) CB duo McCoy/Gibson great, is McCoy healthy?
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)

Tennessee Highlights
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Tennessee has Really Good Running Game (#21)
Tennessee offense is efficent (#22)
Tennessee offense is good in red zone (#26)
Tennessee offense is good on 3rd downs
Tennessee Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tennessee defense does not give up big plays (#18)
Tennessee Secondary is very good (#30)

Tennessee Deficiencies
Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Tennessee Does Not Stuff Runs (#111)
Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#124)

East Tennessee State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McNamara (Tr)	32	48	67%	307	2	3	6.4
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)	17	28	61%	218	3	0	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devontae Houston	32	178	2	5.6	51
Khalil Eichelberger	22	108	2	4.9	25
Jason Albritton (Tr)	19	96	2	5.1	20
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)	17	69	0	4.1	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ephraim Floyd	14	154	0	11.0	33
Karim Page	8	89	1	11.1	31
Cole Keller (Tr)	6	81	1	13.5	24
Jeremiah Harrison	5	68	1	13.6	26

View East Tennessee State's Full Roster

East Tennessee State's DC

Top Def	Tack	PRESS
Dre Delinois	8	0
Teddy Wilson	8	0
Ryan Barrett	7	0
Ja'Qualin Birdsong	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL
Dre Delinois	8	0
Mike Jenkins	3	0
Moin Gammage	1	0
Brian Alston (Tr)	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Kensly Johnson	4	0	1
Jason Duclona (Tr)	5	1	1
Dre Delinois	8	0	0

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)	63	95	66%	906	9	2	9.5
Jake Merklinger	9	14	64%	118	2	0	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Star Thomas (Tr)	33	221	3	6.7	27
DeSean Bishop	29	204	1	7.0	50
Peyton Lewis	21	76	2	3.6	8
Daune Morris	11	50	1	4.5	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	20	364	5	18.2	72
Braylon Staley	18	231	2	12.8	73
Mike Matthews	13	199	1	15.3	53
Miles Kitselman	8	79	1	9.9	18

View Tennessee's Full Roster

Tennessee's DC Tim Banks

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Arion Carter	26	2	1	0
Jalen Mcmurray	17	1	1	1
Andre Turrentine	15	0	0	0
Edrees Farooq	14	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Josephs	12	3	2	0	1
Caleb Herring	5	4	2	1	0
Tyre West	10	1	1	1	0
Charles House III	2	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Colton Hood (Tr)	11	5
Ty Redmond	9	3
Edrees Farooq	14	2