East Tennessee State at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview
East Tennessee State logo   East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Tennessee Volunteers  Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -39.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: -41.0 | 56.5
Tennessee 72 - East Tennessee State: 17

 
Buccaneers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 72 (17 - 72 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tennessee -17  (SP+ TENN -15)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
Volunteers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
East Tennessee State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 East Tennessee State at Tennessee+39.558.5L 17 - 72ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Tennessee State's Schedule
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tennessee vs Syracuse-13.553.5W 45 - 26OY
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-39.558.5W 72 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+3.550.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-39.569.5W 56 - 24ON
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-7.563.5W 41 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.068.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+8.560.5L 20 - 37UN
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-7.555.5W 56 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-3.055.5L 27 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-41.559.5W 42 - 9UN
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida-3.557.5W 31 - 11UY
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-2.066.5L 24 - 45ON
Tue 12/30 Tennessee vs Illinois-3.062.5L 28 - 30UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ETSU0%170%000%000%720%0%0000
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)39.848% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)28.836% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ETSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ETSU Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TENN Defense1328.82937.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ETSU Defense172720%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TENN Offense1339.842.347.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Tennessee State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ETSU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TENN Defense1348% (42)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (5)0.98 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ETSU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (23)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ETSU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TENN Defense1351% (87)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (38)33% (46)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (44)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ETSU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (19)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (51)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (50)4% (13)1.9 (114)

East Tennessee State's Power Ratings
East Tennessee State's Power Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Offense Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Tennessee State's 2025 Expected Record: -
East Tennessee State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State:    Tennessee: 16.83

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State:    Tennessee: 15.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 16.83  #27
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 24.25  #15
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 10.59  #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53  #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0  #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #63

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Tennessee State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 72 PPG
Defense on Road: 72

East Tennessee State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 43
East Tennessee State 26

Projected Total Points: 69
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Tennessee72East Tennessee State17Tennessee -39.5Tennessee58.5Over
201809/08Tennessee59East Tennessee State3Tennessee -37Tennessee51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee222 Overs
East Tennessee State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) ETSU at (#27) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatETSUTENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #27
SP+SP+NR #19
Perf GradeGradeNR #19
OffenseOffNR #15
DefenseDefNR #55
Spec TeamsSTNR #32
TalentTalNR #20
Blue ChipsBC%NR #10
Tennessee Notes
(12/30) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (27-57)
(12/10) Hiring DC Jim Knowles (PSU/OSU). Good hire?
(12/8) Fired DC Tim Banks after 3 years, Def awful in '25
(11/30) Outrushed by Vandy 314-83. Vols Def fell off a cliff
(11/30) Zero wins vs teams w/ a winning record in '25
(11/16) CB Boo Carter no longer with team. Again.
(10/30) Vols have beaten 3 SEC teams all w/ 0 wins
(10/20) Mistakes killed vs Bama, 10 flags, pick six, safety
(10/20) OG'd Bama, Rush Off good, tackling was nightmare
(9/15) Great perf vs UGA, brutal loss. Off brilliant
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
Tennessee Injury Report
East Tennessee State on Offense
CategoryCat
ETSU OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #55
SuccessSucNR #17
ExplosiveExpNR #58
PPAPPANR #13
PowerPwrNR #48
SP+SP+NR #63
Pts POPPONR #10
HavocHavNR #5
East Tennessee State Run Game
CategoryCat
ETSU OffTENN Def
Run GameRunNR #94
Run SuccessRSucNR #9
Run ExplRExpNR #65
PPAExpNR #17
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #17
Stuff RateStuffNR #15
TackleTak -  #58
East Tennessee State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ETSU OffTENN Def
Pass GamePassNR #41
Pass SuccessPSucNR #48
Pass ExplPExlNR #38
PPAExpNR #32
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #23
F7 HavocF7NR #5
DB HavocDBNR #39
Tennessee on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffETSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #15NR
SuccessSuc #18NR
ExplosiveExp #128NR
PPAPPA #46NR
PowerPwr #15NR
SP+SP+ #7NR
Pts POPPO #55NR
HavocHav #15NR
Tennessee Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TENN OffETSU Def
Run GameRun #7NR
Run SuccessRSuc #23NR
Run ExplRExp #115NR
PPAExp #39NR
Run BlockR Blk #66 -
OL YdsOLY #13NR
Stuff RateStuff #4NR
TackleTak - NR
Tennessee Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffETSU Def
Pass GamePass #3NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #19NR
Pass ExplPExl #113NR
PPAExp #51NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #59NR
F7 HavocF7 #33NR
DB HavocDB #13NR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ETSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Tennessee -39.5 (58.5)
Tennessee won vs East Tennessee State this year (72-17)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat East Tennessee State last year (72-17)

  
ETSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McNamara (Tr)12318467%1292767.0
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)8513862%1130928.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devontae Houston1761008125.775
Jason Albritton (Tr)10451885.060
Khalil Eichelberger7029634.225
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)5627704.942
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Harrison38652517.255
Ephraim Floyd6361329.745
Hakeem Meggett16377523.642
Karim Page30304310.132

View East Tennessee State's Full Roster

ETSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddy Wilson80000
Dre Delinois80000
Ja'Qualin Birdsong70010
Ryan Barrett70000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddy Wilson80000
Mike Jenkins30000
Dailen Howard10000
Jeremiah Curry10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Duclona (Tr)51001
Kensly Johnson40001
Teddy Wilson80000

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)27240467%356524108.8
Jake Merklinger132454%173207.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeSean Bishop1821076165.950
Star Thomas (Tr)10459675.752
Peyton Lewis7029074.132
Daune Morris3513313.819
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II621017916.472
Braylon Staley68837612.373
Mike Matthews53813415.362
Ethan Davis21257212.240

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edwin Spillman814332
Jeremiah Telander806120
Edrees Farooq760003
Arion Carter756221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey277540
Caleb Herring156462
Tyre West238411
Daevin Hobbs304322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Redmond4310011
Colton Hood (Tr)505008
Jalen Mcmurray566225