Syracuse at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Tennessee -13.5 (53.5) (-550) Open: -13.5 | 53.5
Tennessee 45 - Syracuse: 26 (Aflac Kickoff)

Orange (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Fran Brown (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Tennessee -27 (SP+ TENN -28)
Projected Score: SYR: 16 - TENN: 43 (58)
TENN Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
SYR Travel: 781 miles

Volunteers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Syracuse vs Tennessee	+13.5	53.5	L 26 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/6	Syracuse vs UConn	-7.0	57.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/12	Syracuse vs Colgate	-37.5	64.5	W 66 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Syracuse at Clemson	+17.5	53.5	W 34 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Syracuse vs Duke	+4.0	59.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/4	Syracuse at SMU	+17.5	56.5	L 18 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/25	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+17.5	52.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Fri 10/31	Syracuse vs North Carolina	-1.5	45.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/8	Syracuse at Miami	+28.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Syracuse at Notre Dame	+36.5	51.5	L 7 - 70	O	N
Sat 11/29	Syracuse vs Boston College	+2.5	54.5	L 12 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tennessee vs Syracuse	-13.5	53.5	W 45 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Tennessee vs East Tennessee State	-39.5	58.5	W 72 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Tennessee vs Georgia	+3.5	50.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Tennessee vs UAB	-39.5	69.5	W 56 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/27	Tennessee at Mississippi State	-7.5	63.5	W 41 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Tennessee vs Arkansas	-10.0	68.5	W 34 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/18	Tennessee at Alabama	+8.5	60.5	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/25	Tennessee at Kentucky	-7.5	55.5	W 56 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Tennessee vs Oklahoma	-3.0	55.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Tennessee vs New Mexico State	-41.5	59.5	W 42 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/22	Tennessee at Florida	-3.5	57.5	W 31 - 11	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-2.0	66.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Tue 12/30	Tennessee vs Illinois	-3.0	62.5	L 28 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)	20.2	45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)	34.9	42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)	39.8	48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)	28.8	36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	13	20.2	17	48.1%	4.23	1.2	24	422	87	335	3.1	37%	62%	45%	50%	16%	.25
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	37.6%	3.03	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	36%	39%	21%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	13	34.9	40.2	43.5%	4.29	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	45%	17%	.23
TENN Offense	13	39.8	42.3	47.4%	4.02	1.2	23	448	227	221	5.1	57%	43%	48%	47%	12%	.23

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	13	31:06	23.8	50%	67%	6.5	55.3	1.2	1.1	5	2	1	29
Tennessee	13	29:35	23.3	47%	61%	8.1	66.8	1.2	1.6	7.2	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	13	37% (130)	45% (57)	28.3	87.1	3.1	20 (67)	.07 (98)	2.88 (98)	78% (30)	8% (30)	0.81 (128)
TENN Defense	13	48% (42)	36% (9)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.61 (17)	62% (15)	14% (5)	0.98 (65)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	13	46% (23)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.12 (71)	3.05 (77)	82% (119)	10% (54)	1.1 (115)
TENN Offense	13	57% (23)	48% (23)	44.7	226.8	5.1	34 (10)	.18 (39)	3.4 (13)	86% (2)	8% (33)	0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	13	62% (5)	50% (5)	28.4	43.4	335.2	7.7	11.8	29 (12)	12 (85)	.37 (18)	1.5 (89)	31% (58)	38% (4)	.34 (70)	8% (117)	2 (83)
TENN Defense	13	51% (87)	39% (48)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.16 (32)	1.5 (38)	33% (46)	31% (74)	.33 (80)	7% (39)	2 (44)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	13	53% (111)	45% (114)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.35 (113)	1.5 (26)	31% (87)	33% (101)	.43 (113)	7% (44)	2.1 (76)
TENN Offense	13	43% (111)	47% (19)	18.2	28.7	221.2	7.7	12.2	21 (51)	7 (26)	.29 (51)	1.5 (113)	29% (25)	34% (41)	.38 (50)	4% (13)	1.9 (114)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -12.67 #113
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 1.25 #132
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 13.92 #70
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Syracuse's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1 #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -12.67 Tennessee: 14.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -13.1 Tennessee: 15.0

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 14.33 #27
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 24.25 #15
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 10.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #63

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 43
Syracuse 16

Projected Total Points: 58

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Tennessee	45	Syracuse	26	Tennessee -13.5	Tennessee	53.5	Over
2001	09/01	Tennessee	33	Syracuse	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	2	1	1 Overs
Syracuse	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#113) SYR at (#27) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#113	#27
SP+SP+	#115	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#132	#19
OffenseOff	#129	#15
DefenseDef	#127	#55
Spec TeamsST	#114	#32
TalentTal	#43	#20
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#10

Syracuse Notes(10/31) QB1 will be Joseph Filardi, a freshman w/ 1 snap
(10/31) QB Filardi cannot play at all. Cuse have 0 QBs
(10/24) Backup QB Collins bad, Fr Carney can't run offense
(9/21) QB1 Angeli out for season (Achilles)
(9/20) Off torched Clemson, Def played well. Huge Win
(9/20) Can't say enough about HC Brown, great job
(8/30) Def torched by Vols, Angeli Ok, run game bad
(8/18) QB1 Steve Angeli (ND) wins starting job
(5/23) Cuse were 7-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/7) OL 2/5 back, Avg LY. 2 more have exp, Petry inj
(4/17) Fr OL Washington is 6'7, 380 lbs and can move.
(4/17) Top WR Pena in portal, big loss. Some depth
Syracuse Injury Report

Tennessee Notes(12/30) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (27-57)
(12/10) Hiring DC Jim Knowles (PSU/OSU). Good hire?
(12/8) Fired DC Tim Banks after 3 years, Def awful in '25
(11/30) Outrushed by Vandy 314-83. Vols Def fell off a cliff
(11/30) Zero wins vs teams w/ a winning record in '25
(11/16) CB Boo Carter no longer with team. Again.
(10/30) Vols have beaten 3 SEC teams all w/ 0 wins
(10/20) Mistakes killed vs Bama, 10 flags, pick six, safety
(10/20) OG'd Bama, Rush Off good, tackling was nightmare
(9/15) Great perf vs UGA, brutal loss. Off brilliant
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
Tennessee Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#129	#55
SuccessSuc	#14	#17
ExplosiveExp	#68	#58
PPAPPA	#28	#13
PowerPwr	#132	#48
SP+SP+	#115	#63
Pts POPPO	#38	#10
HavocHav	#61	#5

Syracuse Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#115	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	#9
Run ExplRExp	#128	#65
PPAExp	#98	#17
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#98	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#68	#15
TackleTak	-	#58

Syracuse Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#48
Pass ExplPExl	#89	#38
PPAExp	#18	#32
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#23
F7 HavocF7	#30	#5
DB HavocDB	#117	#39

Tennessee on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	SYR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#127
SuccessSuc	#18	#91
ExplosiveExp	#128	#90
PPAPPA	#46	#107
PowerPwr	#15	#70
SP+SP+	#7	#106
Pts POPPO	#55	#112
HavocHav	#15	#52

Tennessee Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#7	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#58
Run ExplRExp	#115	#115
PPAExp	#39	#71
Run BlockR Blk	#66	-
OL YdsOLY	#13	#77
Stuff RateStuff	#4	#74
TackleTak	-	#60

Tennessee Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#93
Pass SuccessPSuc	#19	#114
Pass ExplPExl	#113	#26
PPAExp	#51	#113
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#99
F7 HavocF7	#33	#54
DB HavocDB	#13	#44

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Tennessee -13.5 (53.5)
Tennessee won vs Syracuse this year (45-26)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Syracuse last year (45-26)

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rickie Collins (Tr)	97	181	54%	1042	6	10	5.8
Steven Angeli	97	155	63%	1317	10	2	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Yasin Willis	129	553	4	4.3	41
Will Nixon	107	432	3	4.0	28
Tylik Hill	24	129	0	5.4	15
Rickie Collins (Tr)	54	126	1	2.3	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Johntay Cook II (Tr)	47	559	2	11.9	59
Darrell Gill Jr.	32	506	5	15.8	43
Dan Villari	39	412	0	10.6	35
Justus Ross-Simmons	20	312	5	15.6	53

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Elijah Robinson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gary Bryant III (Tr)	53	5	1	1	0
Antoine Deslauriers	48	3	1	0	2
Braheem Long Jr.	42	2	2	0	2
Chris Peal (Tr)	39	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Jobity Jr.	20	6	5	0	1
Jamie Tremble	10	3	3	2	0
Braheem Long Jr.	42	2	2	0	2
Denis Jaquez Jr.	19	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Chris Peal (Tr)	39	2	7
Demetres Samuel Jr.	37	1	7
Darian Chestnut	35	0	3

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)	272	404	67%	3565	24	10	8.8
Jake Merklinger	13	24	54%	173	2	0	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DeSean Bishop	182	1076	16	5.9	50
Star Thomas (Tr)	104	596	7	5.7	52
Peyton Lewis	70	290	7	4.1	32
Daune Morris	35	133	1	3.8	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	62	1017	9	16.4	72
Braylon Staley	68	837	6	12.3	73
Mike Matthews	53	813	4	15.3	62
Ethan Davis	21	257	2	12.2	40

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Edwin Spillman	81	4	3	3	2
Jeremiah Telander	80	6	1	2	0
Edrees Farooq	76	0	0	0	3
Arion Carter	75	6	2	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominic Bailey	27	7	5	4	0
Caleb Herring	15	6	4	6	2
Tyre West	23	8	4	1	1
Daevin Hobbs	30	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Redmond	43	1	0	0	11
Colton Hood (Tr)	50	5	0	0	8
Jalen Mcmurray	56	6	2	2	5