Tennessee vs Syracuse Game Matchup
Tennessee logo Tennessee Volunteers vs Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Tennessee -12.5 (55.5) (-470)  Open: -14.5 | 56.5
Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA

 
Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Tennessee -12   (SP+ TENN -17)
Projected Score: TENN: 34 - SYR: 22 (58)
TENN Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TENN Travel: 641 miles
Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tennessee vs Syracuse-12.555.5
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-41
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+7.5
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-34
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.5
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+15
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-9.5
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-38.5
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida+5
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-14.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Syracuse's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Syracuse vs Tennessee+12.555.5
Sat 9/6 Syracuse vs UConn-12
Fri 9/12 Syracuse vs Colgate-29
Sat 9/20 Syracuse at Clemson+22.5
Sat 9/27 Syracuse vs Duke-2
Sat 10/4 Syracuse at SMU+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh-3.5
Sat 10/25 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+4.5
Fri 10/31 Syracuse vs North Carolina-6
Sat 11/8 Syracuse at Miami+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Syracuse at Notre Dame+23
Sat 11/29 Syracuse vs Boston College-5.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)35.748% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)16.136% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)34.145% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)29.242% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.721.847.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23
SYR Defense1329.226.143.5%4.291.1 - - - - - 46%53%42%45%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1316.12637.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
SYR Offense1334.135.148.1%4.231.224422873353.137%62%45%50%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Syracuse1331:0623.850%67%6.555.31.21.152129
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (23)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)
SYR Defense1346% (23)42% (58) - - - - .12 (71)3.05 (77)82% (119)10% (54)1.1 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1348% (42)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (5)0.98 (65)
SYR Offense1337% (130)45% (57)28.387.13.120 (67).07 (98)2.88 (98)78% (30)8% (30)0.81 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (19)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (51)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (50)4% (13)1.9 (114)
SYR Defense1353% (111)45% (114) - - - - - - 9 (76).35 (113)1.5 (26)31% (87)33% (101).43 (113)7% (44)2.1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1351% (87)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (38)33% (46)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (44)
SYR Offense1362% (5)50% (5)28.443.4335.27.711.829 (12)12 (85).37 (18)1.5 (89)31% (58)38% (4).34 (70)8% (117)2 (83)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 16.18 #18
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42% #16
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 16.18   Syracuse: 5.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 18.4   Syracuse: 1.6




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 5.465 #40
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 21.14 #31
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.81 #51
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Syracuse's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Syracuse's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6 #56
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 34
Syracuse 22


Projected Total Points: 58
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200109/01Tennessee33Syracuse9Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse000 Overs
Tennessee100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#18) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.18 #18
Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7
Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42% #16
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tennessee Notes
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)
(4/12) QB1 Merklinger (So)? Only 2 on roster, big need
(4/4) CB Jermod McCoy the #2 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Joshua Josephs just outside top 10 via PFF
(3/22) TE Kitselman a top TE w/ great hands
(3/22) Def v good, returns a lot. DE Josephs v good
(3/20) WR rebuild. Brazzell/Matthews/talent ready?
(3/18) RB rebuild. Thomas (Duke) can help. Talented
Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Syracuse
Power #18
#40
Off #45
#31
Def #13
#51
Talent #18
#32
SP+ #13
#56
SP+ Off #34
#41
SP+ Def #7
#76

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TENN | SYR
Depth Chart: TENN | SYR
Rosters: TENN | SYR
(#40) Syracuse Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.465 #40
Offense Rating: 21.14 #31
Defense Rating: 11.81 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #76
Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Syracuse Notes
(5/25) QB1? Angeli (ND) signed after spring vs Collins
(5/23) Cuse were 7-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/7) OL 2/5 back, Avg LY. 2 more have exp, Petry inj
(4/17) Fr OL Washington is 6'7, 380 lbs and can move.
(4/17) Top WR Pena in portal, big loss. Some depth
(4/8) QB Rickie Collins (So, LSU) named starter
(3/21) RB rebuild. Any ballers? On paper, not obv
(3/21) Def bad LY, returns a lot. DE/CB big needs
(3/21) HC Brown/staff great job in year 1
(3/21) Yr 2 much harder sched, less proven options


  
Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)21839056%300223147.7
Jake Merklinger6967%48005.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Joey Aguilar (Tr)5821723.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II29333211.553
Miles Kitselman22301413.731
Star Thomas (Tr)2015317.729
Ethan Davis1310027.718

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Jermod McCoy441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
Joshua Josephs399283
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey254250
Jaxson Moi165201
Tyre West165220
Joshua Josephs399283
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy441007
Arion Carter687036
Colton Hood (Tr)231006

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Steven Angeli243667%268307.4
Rickie Collins (Tr)55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis3613013.626
Will Nixon197604.012
Dan Villari122912.47
Rickie Collins (Tr)41804.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrell Gill Jr.31562218.153
Umari Hatcher17273316.167
Justus Ross-Simmons9202222.455
Chris Long11163114.858

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darian Chestnut604115
Devin Grant518223
Derek Mcdonald501020
Chris Thomas Jr. (Tr)444242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Reese (Tr)228512
KingJoseph Edwards73310
Denis Jaquez Jr.223310
Devin Grant518223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darian Chestnut604115
Devin Grant518223
Chris Thomas Jr. (Tr)444242