Tennessee at Florida Game Matchup
Tennessee logo Tennessee Volunteers at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium - Gainesville, FL  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida -5   (SP+ TENN -1)

Projected Score: TENN: 23 - FLA: 28 (51)
FLA Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TENN Travel: 445 miles
Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tennessee vs Syracuse-12.555.5
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-41
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+7.5
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-34
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.5
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+15
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-9.5
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-38.5
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida+5
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-14.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida vs Long Island University-43
Sat 9/6 Florida vs South Florida-21.5
Sat 9/13 Florida at LSU+8.5
Sat 9/20 Florida at Miami+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida vs Texas+6.5
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M+5
Sat 10/18 Florida vs Mississippi State-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida vs Georgia+5.5
Sat 11/8 Florida at Kentucky-12
Sat 11/15 Florida at Ole Miss+1
Sat 11/22 Florida vs Tennessee-5
Sat 11/29 Florida vs Florida State-14.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)35.748% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)16.136% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)28.345% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)23.149% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.721.847.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23
FLA Defense1323.12143.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1316.12637.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
FLA Offense1328.329.343%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (23)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)
FLA Defense1351% (71)49% (118) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (29)11% (37)0.84 (10)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1348% (42)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (5)0.98 (65)
FLA Offense1354% (42)45% (54)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (63)3.04 (66)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (19)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (51)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (50)4% (13)1.9 (114)
FLA Defense1349% (67)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (43)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1351% (87)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (38)33% (46)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (44)
FLA Offense1346% (91)41% (82)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (90)1.8 (118)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 16.18 #18
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42% #16
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 16.18   Florida: 22.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 18.4   Florida: 17.3




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 22.115 #12
Florida's Offense Rating: 26.96 #9
Florida's Defense Rating: 5.03 #17
2025 Talent Rating: 970.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46 #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.3 #14
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 28
Tennessee 23


Projected Total Points: 51
Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Tennessee23Florida17TennesseeTennessee -13.5Florida54.5Under
202309/16Florida29Tennessee16FloridaTennessee -5Florida57.0Under
202209/24Tennessee38Florida33TennesseeTennessee -11Florida62.0Over
202109/25Florida38Tennessee14FloridaFlorida -19Florida65.0Under
202012/05Tennessee19Florida31FloridaFlorida -18.5Tennessee63.0Under
201909/21Florida34Tennessee3FloridaFlorida -12.5Florida49.5Under
201809/22Tennessee21Florida47FloridaFlorida -3.5Florida46.0Over
201709/16Florida26Tennessee20FloridaFlorida -6.5Tennessee50.5Under
201609/24Tennessee38Florida28TennesseeTennessee -8Tennessee42.5Over
201509/26Florida28Tennessee27FloridaFlorida -3Tennessee50.5Over
201410/04Tennessee9Florida10FloridaFlorida -1.5Tennessee0
201309/21Florida31Tennessee17FloridaFlorida -15.5Tennessee0
201209/15Tennessee20Florida37Florida
201109/17Florida33Tennessee23Florida
201009/18Tennessee17Florida31Florida
200909/19Florida23Tennessee13Florida
200809/20Tennessee6Florida30Florida
200709/15Florida59Tennessee20Florida
200609/16Tennessee20Florida21Florida
200509/17Florida16Tennessee7Florida
200409/18Tennessee30Florida28Tennessee
200309/20Florida10Tennessee24Tennessee
200209/21Tennessee13Florida30Florida
200112/01Florida32Tennessee34Tennessee
200009/15Tennessee23Florida27Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida1964 Overs
Tennessee666 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 146 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#18) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.18 #18
Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7
Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42% #16
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tennessee Notes
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)
(4/12) QB1 Merklinger (So)? Only 2 on roster, big need
(4/4) CB Jermod McCoy the #2 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Joshua Josephs just outside top 10 via PFF
(3/22) TE Kitselman a top TE w/ great hands
(3/22) Def v good, returns a lot. DE Josephs v good
(3/20) WR rebuild. Brazzell/Matthews/talent ready?
(3/18) RB rebuild. Thomas (Duke) can help. Talented
Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Florida
Power #18
#12
Off #45
#9
Def #13
#17
Talent #18
#15
SP+ #13
#14
SP+ Off #34
#16
SP+ Def #7
#21

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Florida last year (23-17)
Florida beat Tennessee in 2023 (29-16)
Tennessee beat Florida in 2022 (38-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TENN | FLA
Depth Chart: TENN | FLA
Rosters: TENN | FLA
(#12) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.115 #12
Offense Rating: 26.96 #9
Defense Rating: 5.03 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.3 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #21
Talent Rating: 970.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46 #12
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 3.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Florida Notes
(5/23) OL 2 starters, 2 w/ exp. Could be top 10 in CFB
(5/6) Proj starting CB D Johnson arrested (serious)
(5/1) Fr WR D Wilson dominated spring ball, will play
(4/4) DE T Sapp/DT C Banks both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Jake Slaughter the top T via PFF
(3/29) QB Lagway is special, has inj history though
(3/29) WR lost top 2, Wilson fast, Jackson hurt LY
(3/22) DE Sapp a top CFB Edge, great run, good rush
(3/18) RB Jaden Baugh (Fr) a breakout in '24
(3/18) Def improved LY, good returning prod in '25


  
Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)21839056%300223147.7
Jake Merklinger6967%48005.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Joey Aguilar (Tr)5821723.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II29333211.553
Miles Kitselman22301413.731
Star Thomas (Tr)2015317.729
Ethan Davis1310027.718

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Jermod McCoy441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
Joshua Josephs399283
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey254250
Jaxson Moi165201
Tyre West165220
Joshua Josephs399283
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy441007
Arion Carter687036
Colton Hood (Tr)231006

Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Aidan Warner215042%228034.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Treyaun Webb219314.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)22315214.345
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840
Aidan Mizell17202211.943

View Florida's Full Roster
Florida's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Jaden Robinson524410
Tyreak Sapp4613750
Bryce Thornton412013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Bryce Thornton412013
Aaron Gates274013