UAB at Tennessee Game Matchup
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Tennessee VolunteersTennessee logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Neyland Stadium - Knoxville, TN

 
Blazers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
TENN 3rd straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
UAB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -34   (SP+ TENN -32)

Projected Score: UAB: 11 - TENN: 45 (56)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
UAB Travel: 234 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 UAB vs Alabama State-9
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+12.5
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-7.5
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+34
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+8.5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+3.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+13
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+0.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+4
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+12.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tennessee vs Syracuse-12.555.5
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-41
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+7.5
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-34
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.5
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+15
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-9.5
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-38.5
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida+5
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-14.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)26.247% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)34.352% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)35.748% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)16.136% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1226.218.844.7%3.432.222393131262445%55%47%44%18%.16
TENN Defense1316.19.937.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1234.338.344.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 58%42%52%35%13%.23
TENN Offense1335.743.447.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1229:2621.638%46%8.273.82.21.141.5327.1
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1245% (108)47% (32)32.613149 (125).1 (85)3.19 (42)80% (21)12% (111)0.73 (132)
TENN Defense1348% (42)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (5)0.98 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1258% (131)52% (132) - - - - .26 (127)3.64 (134)88% (132)7% (132)0.87 (17)
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (23)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1255% (28)44% (48)23.737.1261.67.111.124 (38)16 (124).25 (71)1.5 (94)31% (59)31% (73).4 (40)6% (79)2.1 (37)
TENN Defense1351% (87)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (38)33% (46)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (44)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1242% (4)35% (12) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (43)1.8 (121)29% (113)32% (92).32 (74)6% (62)1.8 (10)
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (19)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (51)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (50)4% (13)1.9 (114)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -15.09 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 7.88 #105
UAB's Defense Rating: 22.97 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 464.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.09   Tennessee: 19.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -13.8   Tennessee: 18.4




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 19.79 #18
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #16
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 45
UAB 11


Projected Total Points: 56
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201911/02Tennessee30UAB7TennesseeTennessee -13.5Tennessee49.0Under
201009/25Tennessee32UAB29Tennessee
200809/13Tennessee35UAB3Tennessee
200509/03Tennessee17UAB10Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee410 Overs
UAB001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#107) UAB Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.09 #107
Offense Rating: 7.88 #105
Defense Rating: 22.97 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130
Talent Rating: 464.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UAB Notes
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long
UAB     Ratings Matchup     Tennessee
Power #107
#18
Off #105
#45
Def #109
#13
Talent #115
#18
SP+ #112
#13
SP+ Off #84
#34
SP+ Def #130
#7

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UAB | TENN
Depth Chart: UAB | TENN
Rosters: UAB | TENN
(#18) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.79 #18
Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7
Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #16
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tennessee Notes
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)
(4/12) QB1 Merklinger (So)? Only 2 on roster, big need
(4/4) CB Jermod McCoy the #2 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Joshua Josephs just outside top 10 via PFF
(3/22) TE Kitselman a top TE w/ great hands
(3/22) Def v good, returns a lot. DE Josephs v good
(3/20) WR rebuild. Brazzell/Matthews/talent ready?
(3/18) RB rebuild. Thomas (Duke) can help. Talented


  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna19631662%220917117.0
Harrison Barker33100%491016.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Isaiah Jacobs4116204.012
Solomon Beebe228113.716
Harrison Barker53306.613
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner24416317.345
Iverson Hooks14179112.839
Jevon Jackson (Tr)169926.222
Antonio Ferguson (Tr)790112.939

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka (Tr)903005
Sirad Bryant591000
AJ Brown312121
Perry Fisher (Tr)271002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Denver Warren (Tr)213311
James Smyre92200
Amorie Morrison (Tr)194250
AJ Brown312121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka (Tr)903005
Donald Lee201023
Perry Fisher (Tr)271002

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)21839056%300223147.7
Jake Merklinger6967%48005.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Joey Aguilar (Tr)5821723.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II29333211.553
Miles Kitselman22301413.731
Star Thomas (Tr)2015317.729
Ethan Davis1310027.718

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Jermod McCoy441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
Joshua Josephs399283
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey254250
Jaxson Moi165201
Tyre West165220
Joshua Josephs399283
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy441007
Arion Carter687036
Colton Hood (Tr)231006