UAB at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Tennessee Volunteers(#15)Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Tennessee -39.5 (69.5) (0)  Open: -41.5
Neyland Stadium - Knoxville, TN

 
Blazers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 36 - 36 (24 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
TENN 4th straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
UAB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -39.5   (SP+ TENN -34)

Projected Score: UAB: 17 - TENN: 56 (73)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
UAB Travel: 234 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 53 - 29 (57 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#37)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+8.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+20.5
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+6.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+16.5
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+15.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tennessee vs Syracuse-13.553.5W 45 - 26OY
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-39.558.5W 72 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+3.550.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-39.569.5
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-9
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+9
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-11
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-39.5
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida-2.5
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-7

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#13 (.45)55% (16)35.755% (20)3.53 (25)14956% (15)3034.58 (43)#136 (.56)58% (135)3659% (134)56% (132)4.92 (120)33.71.30.3
TENN#17 (.43)53% (22)52.751% (35)3.07 (61)21654% (21)3595.22 (26)#73 (.14)43% (89)2947% (102)39% (62)5.13 (124)6411.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense335.72454.7%4.581.3244521493034.853%46%55%56%10%.45
TENN Defense32930.542.6%5.131.3 - - - - - 51%49%47%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense3363858.2%4.920.3 - - - - - 72%28%59%56%12%.56
TENN Offense352.756.552.6%5.221295742163595.449%51%51%54%8%.43

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB327:4824.341%43%4.333.71.30.362.3130.6
Tennessee327:2028.758%0%7.76411.364030
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense353% (54)55% (20)31148.74.87 (38).32 (29)3.53 (25)67% (86)5% (13)1.06 (48)
TENN Defense351% (84)47% (102) - - - - .06 (67)2.69 (58)79% (106)10% (76)0.64 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense372% (136)59% (134) - - - - .35 (129)3.49 (128)89% (119)11% (56)0.95 (73)
TENN Offense349% (76)51% (35)40215.75.48 (26).26 (38)3.07 (61)76% (51)4% (5)0.94 (73)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense346% (86)56% (15)23.733.7303912.86 (34)3 (92).68 (9)1.5 (64)21% (8)50% (4).83 (7)5% (68)2.3 (31)
TENN Defense349% (61)39% (62) - - - - - - 2 (56).23 (74)1.6 (80)28% (114)16% (17).17 (44)8% (30)3 (136)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense328% (1)56% (132) - - - - - - 01.11 (136)2.5 (136)25% (127)52% (135).93 (135)2% (134)2.1 (93)
TENN Offense351% (58)54% (21)2638.7358.79.313.811 (5)2 (60).6 (15)1.6 (47)26% (27)33% (62).58 (28)4% (45)2.5 (15)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -15.85 #118
UAB's Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.85   Tennessee: 25.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -12.6   Tennessee: 21.8




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 25.19 #20
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UAB Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 56
UAB 17


Total Points: 73

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 52.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 56.5
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.5

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201911/02Tennessee30UAB7TennesseeTennessee -13.5Tennessee49.0Under
201009/25Tennessee32UAB29Tennessee
200809/13Tennessee35UAB3Tennessee
200509/03Tennessee17UAB10Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee410 Overs
UAB001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#118) UAB Info
Power Rating: -15.85 #118
Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131
Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 58%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.92 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 59%
Awful Pass Def Success 56%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UAB has won 1 straight
UAB has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UAB Notes
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
(6/14) OL 2/5 back, looks bad. 4 portals w/ no exp
(6/14) Both OL & DL look weak & lack playmakers
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long

UAB Highlights
UAB offense is efficent (#16)
UAB has a top Offensive Line (#25)
UAB commits very few Penalties (#30)
UAB defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTENNUAB
OverallOver#13#47
OffenseOff#13#22
DefenseDef#40#83
Special TeamsST#52#51
PassingPass#7#31
RushingRush#10#32
Run BlockRBLK#64#37
Pass BlockPBLK#35#32
Route RunningWR Rt#10#30
TacklingTkl#35#35
Run DefenseR Def#55#46
Pass Rush DefPRush#7#85
Coverage DefCov#67#108

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UAB | TENN
Depth Chart: UAB | TENN
Rosters: UAB | TENN
(#20) Tennessee Info
Power Rating: 25.19 #20
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10
Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.22 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 54%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.13 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Tennessee has lost 1 straight
Tennessee has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Tennessee Notes
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
(9/1) Starting CB R Gibson out until Oct (arm inj)
(8/30) 500+ yds vs Cuse, Aguilar good on deep shots
(8/17) QB1 Aguliar (App St) wins battle for starter
(7/25) TE Kitselman a top TE, but injured in spring
(7/25) CB duo McCoy/Gibson great, is McCoy healthy?
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)

Tennessee Highlights
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Tennessee has Really Good Running Game (#21)
Tennessee offense is efficent (#22)
Tennessee offense is good in red zone (#26)
Tennessee offense is good on 3rd downs
Tennessee Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tennessee defense does not give up big plays (#18)
Tennessee Secondary is very good (#30)

Tennessee Deficiencies
Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Tennessee Does Not Stuff Runs (#111)
Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#124)


  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna7010070%892638.9
Iverson Hooks11100%170017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)4627736.048
Isaiah Jacobs199515.021
Solomon Beebe187224.012
Nate Rogers1818.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner17268315.849
Iverson Hooks16229214.351
Solomon Beebe10121012.136
BJ Hawkins Jr.10120012.041

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pierre Royster (Tr)230000
Devin Hightower (Tr)211000
Chris Burge163310
Eamon Smalls151010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge163310
Kyle Mosley31100
J'Quan Mason11100
Eli Ennis (Tr)72100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)81004
Perry Fisher (Tr)30002
Sirad Bryant131002

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)639566%906929.5
Jake Merklinger91464%118208.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)3322136.727
DeSean Bishop2920417.050
Peyton Lewis217623.68
Daune Morris115014.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II20364518.272
Braylon Staley18231212.873
Mike Matthews13199115.353
Miles Kitselman87919.918

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter262100
Jalen Mcmurray171101
Andre Turrentine150000
Edrees Farooq140002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Josephs123201
Caleb Herring54210
Tyre West101110
Charles House III22100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Hood (Tr)110005
Ty Redmond90003
Edrees Farooq140002