UAB at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Tennessee Volunteers(#15)Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Tennessee -39.5 (69.5) (0)  Open: -41.5
Tennessee 56 - UAB: 24

 
Blazers (3 - 6) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Mortensen (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 37 (23 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
TENN 4th straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
UAB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -35  (SP+ TENN -30)

Projected Score: UAB: 18 - TENN: 53 (71)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
UAB Travel: 234 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (6 - 3) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 44 - 31 (46 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5L 24 - 56OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+6.555.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+4.566.5L 33 - 53ON
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+23.559.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+10.061.5L 19 - 38UN
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice-1.551.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+16.5
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+25.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tennessee vs Syracuse-13.553.5W 45 - 26OY
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-39.558.5W 72 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+3.550.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-39.569.5W 56 - 24ON
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-7.563.5W 41 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.068.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+8.560.5L 20 - 37UN
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-7.555.5W 56 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-3.055.5L 27 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-33
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida-1.5
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt+0

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#33 (.25)44% (57)27.147% (40)3.32 (16)11343% (62)2523.93 (64)#135 (.39)51% (134)37.153% (136)47% (122)4.62 (128)56.21.40.6
TENN#9 (.33)50% (10)43.650% (11)2.69 (88)17950% (13)3294.64 (19)#39 (.1)44% (99)31.146% (107)41% (74)4.43 (120)58.61.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense927.123.444%3.931.4193651132524.442%57%47%43%15%.25
TENN Defense931.129.843.7%4.431.8 - - - - - 52%48%46%41%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense937.141.850.6%4.620.6 - - - - - 61%39%53%47%12%.39
TENN Offense943.64650.1%4.641.3275081793294.848%51%50%50%12%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB926:5219.345%50%6.956.21.40.63.31.4127.8
Tennessee927:2326.648%80%758.61.31.87.13.1228.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense942% (120)47% (40)25.9112.64.414 (49).19 (32)3.32 (16)72% (67)10% (74)1.02 (46)
TENN Defense952% (87)46% (107) - - - - .01 (24)2.61 (55)83% (128)13% (15)0.74 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense961% (135)53% (136) - - - - .27 (133)3.42 (135)91% (134)7% (124)0.9 (45)
TENN Offense948% (89)50% (11)37178.74.823 (16).22 (20)2.69 (88)78% (29)7% (12)0.94 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense957% (18)43% (62)2333.2252.17.61115 (42)9 (88).33 (46)1.5 (66)30% (58)35% (33).44 (33)6% (63)2.1 (45)
TENN Defense948% (52)41% (74) - - - - - - 6 (75).21 (60)1.5 (58)32% (74)26% (27).24 (57)6% (73)2.2 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense939% (2)47% (122) - - - - - - 3 (100).56 (135)2 (135)27% (127)36% (127).61 (135)4% (120)2.2 (129)
TENN Offense951% (48)50% (13)23.736.2329.39.113.923 (14)8 (88).41 (21)1.6 (51)27% (18)34% (40).5 (19)6% (57)2.3 (7)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -14.55  #127
UAB's Offense Rating: 10.05  #59
UAB's Defense Rating: 24.60  #135
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8  #119
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #72
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6  #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -14.55   Tennessee: 20.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -13.8   Tennessee: 15.9




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 20.95  #17
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 26.73  #9
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.73  #58
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53  #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #20
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #5
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UAB Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.8

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 53
UAB 18


Total Points: 71

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 43
UAB 29

Total Points: 72

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 42
UAB 28

Total Points: 70
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 43.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 46
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.8

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Tennessee56UAB24Tennessee -39.5UAB69.5Over
201911/02Tennessee30UAB7Tennessee -13.5Tennessee49.0Under
201009/25Tennessee32UAB29
200809/13Tennessee35UAB3
200509/03Tennessee17UAB10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee511 Overs
UAB011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 51 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#127) UAB at (#17) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUABTENN
Power RatePwr #127 #17
SP+SP+ #119 #20
Perf GradeGrade #97 #21
OffenseOff #52 #16
DefenseDef #128 #41
Spec TeamsST #131 #53
TalentTal #111 #20
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #10
UAB Notes
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
(6/14) OL 2/5 back, looks bad. 4 portals w/ no exp
(6/14) Both OL & DL look weak & lack playmakers
UAB Injury Report
Tennessee Notes
(10/30) Vols have beaten 3 SEC teams all w/ 0 wins
(10/20) Mistakes killed vs Bama, 10 flags, pick six, safety
(10/20) OG'd Bama, Rush Off good, tackling was nightmare
(9/15) Great perf vs UGA, brutal loss. Off brilliant
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
(9/1) Starting CB R Gibson out until Oct (arm inj)
(8/30) 500+ yds vs Cuse, Aguilar good on deep shots
(8/17) QB1 Aguliar (App St) wins battle for starter
(7/25) TE Kitselman a top TE, but injured in spring
(7/25) CB duo McCoy/Gibson great, is McCoy healthy?
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
Tennessee Injury Report
UAB on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
UAB OffTENN Def
Perf GradePerf #52 #41
SuccessSuc #57 #99
ExplosiveExp #35 #6
PPAPPA #33 #39
PowerPwr #59 #58
SP+SP+ #72 #57
Pts POPPO #64 #120
HavocHav #67 #25
UAB Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
UAB OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #59 #42
Run SuccessRSuc #40 #107
Run ExplRExp #46 #3
PPAExp #32 #24
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #16 #55
Stuff RateStuff #32 #47
TackleTak -  #50
UAB Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
UAB OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #64 #64
Pass SuccessPSuc #62 #74
Pass ExplPExl #66 #58
PPAExp #46 #60
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #49 #23
F7 HavocF7 #74 #15
DB HavocDB #63 #73
Tennessee on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffUAB Def
Perf GradePerf #16 #128
SuccessSuc #10 #134
ExplosiveExp #42 #95
PPAPPA #9 #135
PowerPwr #9 #135
SP+SP+ #5 #133
Pts POPPO #19 #128
HavocHav #25 #131
Tennessee Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TENN OffUAB Def
Run GameRun #10 #86
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #136
Run ExplRExp #74 #45
PPAExp #20 #133
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLY #88 #135
Stuff RateStuff #27 #135
TackleTak -  #120
Tennessee Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffUAB Def
Pass GamePass #3 #130
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #122
Pass ExplPExl #51 #135
PPAExp #21 #135
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #113
F7 HavocF7 #12 #124
DB HavocDB #57 #120
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Tennessee -39.5 (69.5)
Tennessee won vs UAB this year (56-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna16323968%17851067.5
Ryder Burton (Tr)609265%680737.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)11259235.351
Solomon Beebe3626157.381
Isaiah Jacobs5019623.921
Nate Rogers128226.815
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Iverson Hooks51677613.351
BJ Hawkins Jr.32373311.768
Corri Milliner24341314.249
Solomon Beebe25254010.243

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Hightower (Tr)641020
Eamon Smalls444110
Tylan McNichols392002
Pierre Royster (Tr)370000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge253350
Jonathan Allen303210
Eli Ennis (Tr)112200
Ezra Odinjor273111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)152006
Perry Fisher (Tr)180003
Tylan McNichols392002

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)19529766%27372189.2
Jake Merklinger122255%175208.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeSean Bishop10369096.750
Star Thomas (Tr)8042855.427
Peyton Lewis6024864.132
Daune Morris188814.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II49808816.572
Braylon Staley52703513.573
Mike Matthews38638416.862
Miles Kitselman25250210.023

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter623101
Edwin Spillman583232
Edrees Farooq550002
Jeremiah Telander525120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyre West194410
Dominic Bailey185420
Caleb Herring125331
Jalen Mcmurray435213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Hood (Tr)384007
Ty Redmond311006
Jalen Mcmurray435213