UAB at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Tennessee Volunteers(#15)Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Tennessee -39.5 (69.5) (0)  Open: -41.5
Tennessee 56 - UAB: 24

 
Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Alex Mortensen (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
TENN 4th straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
UAB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -36.5  (SP+ TENN -30)

Projected Score: UAB: 16 - TENN: 53 (69)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
UAB Travel: 234 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5L 24 - 56OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+6.555.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+4.566.5L 33 - 53ON
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+23.559.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+10.061.5L 19 - 38UN
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice-1.551.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+17.569.5L 24 - 53ON
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+21.568.5L 18 - 48UN
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+9.056.5W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tennessee vs Syracuse-13.553.5W 45 - 26OY
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-39.558.5W 72 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+3.550.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-39.569.5W 56 - 24ON
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-7.563.5W 41 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.068.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+8.560.5L 20 - 37UN
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-7.555.5W 56 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-3.055.5L 27 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-41.559.5W 42 - 9UN
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida-3.557.5W 31 - 11UY
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-2.066.5L 24 - 45ON
Tue 12/30 Tennessee vs Illinois-3.062.5L 28 - 30UN

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#55 (.19)42% (64)26.444% (63)3.12 (36)13942% (62)2663.63 (77)#135 (.34)49% (132)38.350% (131)48% (126)4.71 (135)61.21.80.8
TENN#7 (.34)51% (6)39.852% (4)3.04 (52)16450% (9)2844.66 (11)#68 (.16)44% (97)28.846% (111)41% (67)4.16 (115)51.31.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1226.424.742.4%3.631.8224041392664.245%53%44%42%15%.19
TENN Defense1328.82943.7%4.161.5 - - - - - 50%49%46%41%19%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1238.338.848.9%4.710.8 - - - - - 61%38%50%48%12%.34
TENN Offense1339.842.351%4.661.1244481642844.749%49%52%50%12%.34

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1231:182246%47%7.461.21.80.84.11.4128.9
Tennessee1325:3023.850%73%5.851.31.11.56.22.6328.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1245% (110)44% (63)32.9138.84.220 (49).17 (42)3.12 (36)71% (79)9% (69)1.09 (23)
TENN Defense1350% (71)46% (111) - - - - .09 (65)2.81 (56)81% (123)12% (12)0.85 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1261% (136)50% (131) - - - - .22 (127)3.35 (131)83% (129)8% (115)0.91 (42)
TENN Offense1349% (71)52% (4)34.9164.14.732 (16).26 (10)3.04 (52)84% (3)7% (18)0.95 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1253% (32)42% (62)23.936.5265.67.311.120 (42)16 (88).27 (59)1.5 (73)31% (68)33% (32).36 (49)6% (68)2.1 (39)
TENN Defense1349% (80)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (75).23 (59)1.6 (67)31% (70)27% (29).26 (58)7% (46)2.2 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1238% (1)48% (126) - - - - - - 4 (100).52 (136)1.9 (134)27% (131)32% (92).41 (116)4% (130)2.1 (105)
TENN Offense1349% (67)50% (9)21.432.2283.58.813.326 (14)10 (88).43 (18)1.6 (57)26% (15)35% (22).48 (15)5% (33)2.2 (11)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -16.23  #130
UAB's Offense Rating: 5.78  #88
UAB's Defense Rating: 22.01  #133
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #122
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #79
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -16.23   Tennessee: 20.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.1   Tennessee: 15.2




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 20.64  #15
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.97  #5
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 6.89  #59
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53  #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2  #21
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #5
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #61

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 53
UAB 16


Total Points: 69

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 43
UAB 30

Total Points: 72

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 40
UAB 27

Total Points: 67
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Tennessee56UAB24Tennessee -39.5UAB69.5Over
201911/02Tennessee30UAB7Tennessee -13.5Tennessee49.0Under
201009/25Tennessee32UAB29
200809/13Tennessee35UAB3
200509/03Tennessee17UAB10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee511 Overs
UAB011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 51 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#130) UAB at (#15) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUABTENN
Power RatePwr #130 #15
SP+SP+ #122 #21
Perf GradeGrade #111 #17
OffenseOff #53 #17
DefenseDef #132 #35
Spec TeamsST #135 #53
TalentTal #111 #20
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #10
UAB Notes
(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report
Tennessee Notes
(12/30) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (27-57)
(12/10) Hiring DC Jim Knowles (PSU/OSU). Good hire?
(12/8) Fired DC Tim Banks after 3 years, Def awful in '25
(11/30) Outrushed by Vandy 314-83. Vols Def fell off a cliff
(11/30) Zero wins vs teams w/ a winning record in '25
(11/16) CB Boo Carter no longer with team. Again.
(10/30) Vols have beaten 3 SEC teams all w/ 0 wins
(10/20) Mistakes killed vs Bama, 10 flags, pick six, safety
(10/20) OG'd Bama, Rush Off good, tackling was nightmare
(9/15) Great perf vs UGA, brutal loss. Off brilliant
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
Tennessee Injury Report
UAB on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffTENN Def
Perf GradePerf #53 #35
SuccessSuc #64 #97
ExplosiveExp #31 #25
PPAPPA #55 #68
PowerPwr #88 #59
SP+SP+ #79 #61
Pts POPPO #77 #115
HavocHav #65 #18
UAB Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #85 #47
Run SuccessRSuc #63 #111
Run ExplRExp #23 #16
PPAExp #42 #65
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLY #36 #56
Stuff RateStuff #55 #39
TackleTak -  #63
UAB Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #86 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #62 #67
Pass ExplPExl #73 #67
PPAExp #59 #59
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #44 #24
F7 HavocF7 #69 #12
DB HavocDB #68 #46
Tennessee on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffUAB Def
Perf GradePerf #17 #132
SuccessSuc #6 #132
ExplosiveExp #52 #94
PPAPPA #7 #135
PowerPwr #5 #133
SP+SP+ #5 #132
Pts POPPO #11 #135
HavocHav #17 #130
Tennessee Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TENN OffUAB Def
Run GameRun #12 #110
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #131
Run ExplRExp #74 #42
PPAExp #10 #127
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLY #52 #131
Stuff RateStuff #15 #130
TackleTak -  #131
Tennessee Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffUAB Def
Pass GamePass #3 #136
Pass SuccessPSuc #9 #126
Pass ExplPExl #57 #134
PPAExp #18 #136
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #118
F7 HavocF7 #18 #115
DB HavocDB #33 #130
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Tennessee -39.5 (69.5)
Tennessee won vs UAB this year (56-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna22333766%246213117.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)629863%708757.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)16790055.458
Isaiah Jacobs7934244.323
Solomon Beebe5633866.081
Nate Rogers138426.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Iverson Hooks72927712.951
BJ Hawkins Jr.41540513.268
Corri Milliner24341314.249
Solomon Beebe3128409.243

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Hightower (Tr)813120
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)541102
AJ Brown530000
Eamon Smalls504110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge325470
Jonathan Allen343210
Eddy Toussom467230
Eli Ennis (Tr)112200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)182006
Delvon Gulley (Tr)191013
Perry Fisher (Tr)210003

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)25838667%344424108.9
Jake Merklinger132454%173207.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeSean Bishop163983146.050
Star Thomas (Tr)9552975.652
Peyton Lewis7029074.132
Daune Morris3513313.819
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II621017916.472
Braylon Staley64806612.673
Mike Matthews50770415.462
Ethan Davis21257212.240

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter756221
Edwin Spillman744332
Jeremiah Telander716120
Edrees Farooq710002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey257530
Tyre West227411
Caleb Herring156452
Daevin Hobbs283322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Redmond391009
Colton Hood (Tr)505008
Jalen Mcmurray546223