UAB at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Tennessee -39.5 (69.5) (0) Open: -41.5
Tennessee 56 - UAB: 24

Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)

TENN 4th straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
UAB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -33 (SP+ TENN -31)
Projected Score: UAB: 18 - TENN: 51 (68)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
UAB Travel: 234 miles, 1 hrs behind

Volunteers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UAB vs Alabama State	-21.0	53.5	W 52 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	UAB at Navy	+20.5	59.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/13	UAB vs Akron	-12.5	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/20	UAB at Tennessee	+39.5	69.5	L 24 - 56	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UAB vs Army	+6.5	55.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	UAB at Florida Atlantic	+4.5	66.5	L 33 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/18	UAB vs Memphis	+23.5	59.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UAB at UConn	+10.0	61.5	L 19 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/8	UAB at Rice	-1.5	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/15	UAB vs North Texas	+17.5	69.5	L 24 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/22	UAB vs South Florida	+21.5	68.5	L 18 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/29	UAB at Tulsa	+9.0	56.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tennessee vs Syracuse	-13.5	53.5	W 45 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Tennessee vs East Tennessee State	-39.5	58.5	W 72 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Tennessee vs Georgia	+3.5	50.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Tennessee vs UAB	-39.5	69.5	W 56 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/27	Tennessee at Mississippi State	-7.5	63.5	W 41 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Tennessee vs Arkansas	-10.0	68.5	W 34 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/18	Tennessee at Alabama	+8.5	60.5	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/25	Tennessee at Kentucky	-7.5	55.5	W 56 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Tennessee vs Oklahoma	-3.0	55.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Tennessee vs New Mexico State	-41.5	59.5	W 42 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/22	Tennessee at Florida	-3.5	57.5	W 31 - 11	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-2.0	66.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Tue 12/30	Tennessee vs Illinois	-3.0	62.5	L 28 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)	26.4	47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)	38.3	52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)	39.8	48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)	28.8	36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	12	26.4	24.7	44.7%	3.43	2.2	22	393	131	262	4	45%	55%	47%	44%	18%	.16
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	37.6%	3.03	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	36%	39%	21%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	12	38.3	38.8	44.9%	4.24	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	52%	35%	13%	.23
TENN Offense	13	39.8	42.3	47.4%	4.02	1.2	23	448	227	221	5.1	57%	43%	48%	47%	12%	.23

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	12	29:26	21.6	38%	46%	8.2	73.8	2.2	1.1	4	1.5	3	27.1
Tennessee	13	29:35	23.3	47%	61%	8.1	66.8	1.2	1.6	7.2	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	12	45% (108)	47% (32)	32.6	131	4	9 (125)	.1 (85)	3.19 (42)	80% (21)	12% (111)	0.73 (132)
TENN Defense	13	48% (42)	36% (9)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.61 (17)	62% (15)	14% (5)	0.98 (65)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	12	58% (131)	52% (132)	-	-	-	-	.26 (127)	3.64 (134)	88% (132)	7% (132)	0.87 (17)
TENN Offense	13	57% (23)	48% (23)	44.7	226.8	5.1	34 (10)	.18 (39)	3.4 (13)	86% (2)	8% (33)	0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	12	55% (28)	44% (48)	23.7	37.1	261.6	7.1	11.1	24 (38)	16 (124)	.25 (71)	1.5 (94)	31% (59)	31% (73)	.4 (40)	6% (79)	2.1 (37)
TENN Defense	13	51% (87)	39% (48)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.16 (32)	1.5 (38)	33% (46)	31% (74)	.33 (80)	7% (39)	2 (44)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	12	42% (4)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.18 (43)	1.8 (121)	29% (113)	32% (92)	.32 (74)	6% (62)	1.8 (10)
TENN Offense	13	43% (111)	47% (19)	18.2	28.7	221.2	7.7	12.2	21 (51)	7 (26)	.29 (51)	1.5 (113)	29% (25)	34% (41)	.38 (50)	4% (13)	1.9 (114)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -16.94 #125
UAB's Offense Rating: 8.41 #97
UAB's Defense Rating: 25.35 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #125
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -16.94 Tennessee: 16.83

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.8 Tennessee: 15.0

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 16.83 #27
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 24.25 #15
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 10.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #63

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 51
UAB 18

Projected Total Points: 68

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Tennessee	56	UAB	24	Tennessee -39.5	UAB	69.5	Over
2019	11/02	Tennessee	30	UAB	7	Tennessee -13.5	Tennessee	49.0	Under
2010	09/25	Tennessee	32	UAB	29
2008	09/13	Tennessee	35	UAB	3
2005	09/03	Tennessee	17	UAB	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	5	1	1 Overs
UAB	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 5	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#125) UAB at (#27) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#125	#27
SP+SP+	#125	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#121	#19
OffenseOff	#56	#15
DefenseDef	#136	#55
Spec TeamsST	#134	#32
TalentTal	#111	#20
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#10

UAB Notes(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report

Tennessee Notes(12/30) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (27-57)
(12/10) Hiring DC Jim Knowles (PSU/OSU). Good hire?
(12/8) Fired DC Tim Banks after 3 years, Def awful in '25
(11/30) Outrushed by Vandy 314-83. Vols Def fell off a cliff
(11/30) Zero wins vs teams w/ a winning record in '25
(11/16) CB Boo Carter no longer with team. Again.
(10/30) Vols have beaten 3 SEC teams all w/ 0 wins
(10/20) Mistakes killed vs Bama, 10 flags, pick six, safety
(10/20) OG'd Bama, Rush Off good, tackling was nightmare
(9/15) Great perf vs UGA, brutal loss. Off brilliant
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
Tennessee Injury Report

UAB on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#55
SuccessSuc	#42	#17
ExplosiveExp	#126	#58
PPAPPA	#85	#13
PowerPwr	#97	#48
SP+SP+	#80	#63
Pts POPPO	#109	#10
HavocHav	#106	#5

UAB Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#83	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#9
Run ExplRExp	#132	#65
PPAExp	#85	#17
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	#42	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#26	#15
TackleTak	-	#58

UAB Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#48
Pass ExplPExl	#94	#38
PPAExp	#71	#32
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#50	#23
F7 HavocF7	#111	#5
DB HavocDB	#79	#39

Tennessee on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	UAB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#136
SuccessSuc	#18	#104
ExplosiveExp	#128	#21
PPAPPA	#46	#101
PowerPwr	#15	#133
SP+SP+	#7	#132
Pts POPPO	#55	#110
HavocHav	#15	#118

Tennessee Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#7	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#132
Run ExplRExp	#115	#17
PPAExp	#39	#127
Run BlockR Blk	#66	-
OL YdsOLY	#13	#134
Stuff RateStuff	#4	#130
TackleTak	-	#130

Tennessee Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	#19	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#113	#121
PPAExp	#51	#43
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#104
F7 HavocF7	#33	#132
DB HavocDB	#13	#62

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Tennessee -39.5 (69.5)
Tennessee won vs UAB this year (56-24)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat UAB last year (56-24)

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	223	337	66%	2462	13	11	7.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)	62	98	63%	708	7	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)	167	900	5	5.4	58
Isaiah Jacobs	79	342	4	4.3	23
Solomon Beebe	56	338	6	6.0	81
Nate Rogers	13	84	2	6.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Iverson Hooks	72	927	7	12.9	51
BJ Hawkins Jr.	41	540	5	13.2	68
Corri Milliner	24	341	3	14.2	49
Solomon Beebe	31	284	0	9.2	43

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devin Hightower (Tr)	81	3	1	2	0
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)	54	1	1	0	2
AJ Brown	53	0	0	0	0
Eamon Smalls	50	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Chris Burge	32	5	4	7
Jonathan Allen	34	3	2	1
Eddy Toussom	46	7	2	3
Eli Ennis (Tr)	11	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)	18	2	0	6
Delvon Gulley (Tr)	19	1	1	3
Perry Fisher (Tr)	21	0	0	3

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)	272	404	67%	3565	24	10	8.8
Jake Merklinger	13	24	54%	173	2	0	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DeSean Bishop	182	1076	16	5.9	50
Star Thomas (Tr)	104	596	7	5.7	52
Peyton Lewis	70	290	7	4.1	32
Daune Morris	35	133	1	3.8	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	62	1017	9	16.4	72
Braylon Staley	68	837	6	12.3	73
Mike Matthews	53	813	4	15.3	62
Ethan Davis	21	257	2	12.2	40

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Edwin Spillman	81	4	3	3	2
Jeremiah Telander	80	6	1	2	0
Edrees Farooq	76	0	0	0	3
Arion Carter	75	6	2	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominic Bailey	27	7	5	4	0
Caleb Herring	15	6	4	6	2
Tyre West	23	8	4	1	1
Daevin Hobbs	30	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Redmond	43	1	0	0	11
Colton Hood (Tr)	50	5	0	0	8
Jalen Mcmurray	56	6	2	2	5