Pittsburgh Panthers vs Toledo Rockets
Thursday, December 26th 2024 (2:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -6.5 (48.5) (-230) Open: -9.5 | 51.5
Toledo 48 - Pittsburgh: 46 (GameAbove Sports Bowl)
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Pittsburgh -9.5 (SP+ PITT -7.5)
Projected Score: PITT: 31 - TOL: 21 (52)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
PITT Travel: 205 miles
Our Line: Pittsburgh -9.5 (SP+ PITT -7.5)
Projected Score: PITT: 31 - TOL: 21 (52)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
PITT Travel: 205 miles
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Pittsburgh vs Kent State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 55 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Pittsburgh at Cincinnati | -2.5 | 62.5 | W 28 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Pittsburgh vs West Virginia | +2.5 | 60.5 | W 38 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State | -29.5 | 59.5 | W 73 - 17 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Pittsburgh at North Carolina | -2.5 | 63.0 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Pittsburgh vs California | -3.5 | 57.5 | W 17 - 15 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/24 | Pittsburgh vs Syracuse | -5.0 | 62.5 | W 41 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Pittsburgh at SMU | +7.0 | 55.5 | L 25 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Pittsburgh vs Virginia | -7.5 | 56.5 | L 19 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Pittsburgh vs Clemson | +12.0 | 52.0 | L 20 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Pittsburgh at Louisville | +7.0 | 57.0 | L 9 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Pittsburgh at Boston College | +3.5 | 50.5 | L 23 - 34 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Pittsburgh vs Toledo | -6.5 | 48.5 | L 46 - 48 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Toledo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Toledo vs Duquesne | -27.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Toledo vs Massachusetts | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 38 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Toledo at Mississippi State | +10.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Toledo at Western Kentucky | -2.0 | 60.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -4.5 | 44.0 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Toledo at Buffalo | -10.5 | 44.5 | L 15 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Toledo at Northern Illinois | +3.0 | 42.5 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Toledo vs Bowling Green | -1.5 | 47.5 | L 26 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Toledo at Eastern Michigan | -10.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Toledo vs Central Michigan | -15.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Toledo vs Ohio | -1.5 | 47.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/26 | Toledo at Akron | -9.5 | 50.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Toledo vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 46 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | #91 (.15) | 42% (85) | 32.9 | 45% (56) | 3.1 (53) | 119 | 39% (97) | 256 | 4.11 (49) | #35 (.12) | 38% (25) | 28.4 | 38% (20) | 38% (38) | 3.68 (57) | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 28.3 | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 23.2 | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | #91 (.15) | 42% (85) | 45% (56) | 3.1 (53) | 119 | 39% (97) | 256 | 4.11 (49) | #35 (.12) | 38% (25) | 38% (20) | 38% (38) | 3.68 (57) | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | ||
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 13 | 32.9 | 23.8 | 41.6% | 4.11 | 1.3 | 21 | 375 | 119 | 256 | 4.3 | 42% | 58% | 45% | 39% | 21% | .15 |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 39.8% | 3.87 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 42% | 38% | 19% | .09 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 13 | 28.4 | 34 | 38.1% | 3.68 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 18% | .12 |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 28.3 | 31.2 | 40.8% | 3.55 | 1.3 | 18 | 339 | 111 | 227 | 3.5 | 46% | 53% | 38% | 44% | 16% | .11 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 13 | 24:01 | 20.7 | 38% | 52% | 6.4 | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 3 | 6 | 27.3 |
| Toledo | 13 | 25:06 | 18.4 | 36% | 50% | 5.4 | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 31.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 13 | 42% (116) | 45% (56) | 27.3 | 118.6 | 4.3 | 14 (98) | .18 (42) | 3.1 (53) | 77% (40) | 12% (119) | 1.05 (41) |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 52% (83) | 42% (60) | - | - | - | - | .11 (66) | 3.01 (69) | 77% (89) | 12% (31) | 0.95 (48) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 13 | 45% (13) | 38% (20) | - | - | - | - | - (13) | 2.36 (2) | 48% (1) | 12% (25) | 0.98 (67) |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 46% (96) | 38% (120) | 31.5 | 111.3 | 3.5 | 12 (114) | -.04 (127) | 2.66 (121) | 57% (130) | 10% (74) | 0.83 (125) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 13 | 58% (18) | 39% (97) | 21.8 | 35.9 | 256.2 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 27 (20) | 13 (103) | .13 (112) | 1.6 (55) | 32% (85) | 35% (30) | .36 (60) | 8% (126) | 2.1 (40) |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 48% (51) | 38% (35) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .08 (11) | 1.5 (29) | 34% (38) | 29% (39) | .22 (34) | 7% (35) | 2 (43) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 13 | 55% (122) | 38% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .23 (70) | 1.8 (123) | 37% (3) | 31% (82) | .33 (82) | 6% (50) | 2.2 (113) |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 53% (41) | 44% (46) | 19.2 | 31 | 227.2 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 26 (26) | 7 (26) | .26 (67) | 1.6 (61) | 31% (65) | 27% (108) | .18 (115) | 6% (76) | 2 (68) |
Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 1.93 Toledo: -6
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9 Toledo: -2.5
Pittsburgh: 1.93 Toledo: -6
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9 Toledo: -2.5
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -6 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Toledo's Power Rating: -6 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 31
Toledo 21
Total Points: 52
Pittsburgh 31
Toledo 21
Total Points: 52
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12/26 | Toledo | 48 | Pittsburgh | 46 | Toledo | Pittsburgh -6.5 | Toledo | 48.5 | Over |
| 2006 | 09/30 | Pittsburgh | 45 | Toledo | 3 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2003 | 09/20 | Toledo | 35 | Pittsburgh | 31 | Toledo | ||||
| 2002 | 09/28 | Pittsburgh | 37 | Toledo | 19 | Pittsburgh |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 2 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Pittsburgh | 2 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 4 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Pittsburgh Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Sports Bowl | Pittsburgh vs Toledo | -6.5 | 48.5 | L 46 - 48 |
| 2022 | Sun Bowl | Pittsburgh vs UCLA | +9.0 | 55.0 | W 37 - 35 |
| 2021 | Peach Bowl | Pittsburgh vs Michigan State | +3.5 | 55.0 | L 21 - 31 |
| 2019 | Lane Bowl | Pittsburgh vs Eastern Michigan | -12.5 | 51.0 | W 34 - 30 |
| 2018 | N/A | Pittsburgh vs Stanford | +3.5 | 52.5 | L 13 - 14 |
| Toledo Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Sports Bowl | Toledo vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 46 |
| 2023 | Arizona Bowl | Toledo vs Wyoming | +4.5 | 43.5 | L 15 - 16 |
| 2022 | Raton Bowl | Toledo vs Liberty | -4.0 | 51.5 | W 21 - 19 |
| 2021 | Bahamas Bowl | Toledo vs Middle Tennessee | -10.0 | 50.0 | L 24 - 31 |
| 2018 | Bahamas Bowl | Toledo vs Florida International | -7.0 | 57.5 | L 32 - 35 |
(#56) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Pittsburgh has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 2)
Pittsburgh has played in 19 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 12)
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Pittsburgh gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#99)
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Pittsburgh has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 2)
Pittsburgh has played in 19 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 12)
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Pittsburgh gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#99)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TOL | PITT |
| OverallOver | #36 | #62 |
| OffenseOff | #84 | #93 |
| DefenseDef | #11 | #30 |
| Special TeamsST | #15 | #33 |
| PassingPass | #58 | #80 |
| RushingRush | #96 | #61 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #90 | #79 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #101 | #108 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #28 | #84 |
| TacklingTkl | #3 | #30 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #33 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #19 | #41 |
| Coverage DefCov | #16 | #38 |
(#99) Toledo Info
Power Rating: -6 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 2)
Toledo has played in 16 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 9)
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread as Underdogs Away from Home
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Can Not Run the Ball (#28)
Toledo Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#41)
Toledo run game is really bad (#63)
Power Rating: -6 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 2)
Toledo has played in 16 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 9)
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread as Underdogs Away from Home
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Can Not Run the Ball (#28)
Toledo Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#41)
Toledo run game is really bad (#63)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Holstein (Tr) | 179 | 290 | 62% | 2225 | 17 | 7 | 7.7 |
| Nate Yarnell | 98 | 167 | 59% | 1056 | 10 | 5 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Reid (Tr) | 184 | 966 | 5 | 5.3 | 72 |
| Eli Holstein (Tr) | 81 | 328 | 3 | 4.0 | 49 |
| Daniel Carter | 22 | 208 | 4 | 9.5 | 43 |
| Julian Dugger | 21 | 88 | 1 | 4.2 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konata Mumpfield | 52 | 813 | 5 | 15.6 | 46 |
| Desmond Reid (Tr) | 52 | 579 | 4 | 11.1 | 72 |
| Kenny Johnson | 46 | 537 | 3 | 11.7 | 46 |
| Raphael Williams | 36 | 419 | 6 | 11.6 | 35 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan McMillon | 115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Brandon George | 80 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Jimmy Scott | 30 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Nate Matlack (Tr) | 23 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Rashad Battle | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Donovan McMillon | 115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 207 | 335 | 62% | 2457 | 22 | 7 | 7.3 |
| John Alan Richter | 43 | 67 | 64% | 497 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Walendzak | 122 | 457 | 1 | 3.7 | 32 |
| Tucker Gleason | 88 | 330 | 6 | 3.8 | 35 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 61 | 230 | 2 | 3.8 | 26 |
| Sevaughn Clark | 62 | 209 | 0 | 3.4 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerjuan Newton | 64 | 949 | 11 | 14.8 | 64 |
| Junior Vandeross | 73 | 763 | 4 | 10.5 | 73 |
| Anthony Torres | 27 | 362 | 8 | 13.4 | 78 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 15 | 170 | 0 | 11.3 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxen Hook | 108 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Daniel Bolden | 91 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Jackson Barrow | 64 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Ragin | 42 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Darius Alexander | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Martez Poynter | 25 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Darius Alexander | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 |