Toledo Rockets at Northern Illinois Huskies
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -3 (42.5) (-155) Open: -1.0
Toledo 13 - Northern Illinois: 6 (Mid-American)
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
NIU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -5.5 (SP+ TOL -1)
Projected Score: TOL: 19 - NIU: 25 (47)
NIU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TOL Travel: 267 miles, 1 hrs ahead
NIU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -5.5 (SP+ TOL -1)
Projected Score: TOL: 19 - NIU: 25 (47)
NIU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TOL Travel: 267 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
| Toledo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Toledo vs Duquesne | -27.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Toledo vs Massachusetts | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 38 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Toledo at Mississippi State | +10.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Toledo at Western Kentucky | -2.0 | 60.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -4.5 | 44.0 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Toledo at Buffalo | -10.5 | 44.5 | L 15 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Toledo at Northern Illinois | +3.0 | 42.5 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Toledo vs Bowling Green | -1.5 | 47.5 | L 26 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Toledo at Eastern Michigan | -10.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Toledo vs Central Michigan | -15.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Toledo vs Ohio | -1.5 | 47.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/26 | Toledo at Akron | -9.5 | 50.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Toledo vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 46 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois | -36.5 | 55.5 | W 54 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Northern Illinois at Notre Dame | +28.5 | 46.5 | W 16 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Northern Illinois vs Buffalo | -13.0 | 42.5 | L 20 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Northern Illinois at NC State | +7.0 | 46.0 | L 17 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts | -14.0 | 41.0 | W 34 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Northern Illinois at Bowling Green | +3.0 | 46.5 | W 17 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Northern Illinois vs Toledo | -3.0 | 42.5 | L 6 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Northern Illinois at Ball State | -13.5 | 47.5 | L 23 - 25 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Northern Illinois at Western Michigan | -2.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Wed 11/13 | Northern Illinois vs Akron | -14.0 | 43.5 | W 29 - 16 | O | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Northern Illinois at Miami (OH) | +1.5 | 43.0 | L 9 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan | -16.5 | 41.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Mon 12/23 | Northern Illinois vs Fresno State | -2.0 | 41.0 | W 28 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | #27 (.28) | 45% (34) | 28.3 | 46% (38) | 3.36 (20) | 199 | 45% (37) | 220 | 4.44 (26) | #22 (.1) | 38% (29) | 23.2 | 41% (54) | 36% (14) | 3.33 (22) | 61.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| NIU | #54 (.21) | 42% (62) | 24.5 | 45% (45) | 3.21 (50) | 180 | 40% (85) | 190 | 3.4 (102) | #36 (.14) | 41% (52) | 18.5 | 44% (84) | 37% (21) | 3.4 (32) | 39.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| NIU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 28.3 | 22.2 | 45.2% | 4.44 | 1.5 | 20 | 419 | 199 | 220 | 5.3 | 57% | 42% | 46% | 45% | 13% | .28 |
| NIU Defense | 13 | 18.5 | 17.2 | 40.7% | 3.4 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 43% | 44% | 37% | 13% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 38.4% | 3.33 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 41% | 36% | 17% | .1 |
| NIU Offense | 13 | 24.5 | 27.8 | 42.4% | 3.4 | 1.4 | 19 | 370 | 180 | 190 | 5 | 54% | 46% | 45% | 40% | 15% | .21 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 14 | 27:55 | 20.3 | 44% | 59% | 6.6 | 61.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 31 |
| Northern Illinois | 13 | 31:30 | 18.7 | 42% | 50% | 4.5 | 39.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 27.5 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 57% (17) | 46% (38) | 37.4 | 198.9 | 5.3 | 31 (17) | .2 (41) | 3.36 (20) | 81% (14) | 8% (24) | 1.05 (38) |
| NIU Defense | 13 | 56% (122) | 44% (84) | - | - | - | - | .14 (69) | 3.29 (108) | 83% (118) | 8% (114) | 0.94 (37) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 51% (82) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | .14 (66) | 3.12 (72) | 73% (71) | 10% (73) | 0.99 (64) |
| NIU Offense | 13 | 54% (39) | 45% (45) | 35.8 | 179.8 | 5 | 23 (46) | .21 (36) | 3.21 (50) | 77% (36) | 9% (47) | 1.08 (29) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 42% (116) | 45% (37) | 16.6 | 26.9 | 220.2 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 26 (31) | 10 (56) | .42 (24) | 1.7 (24) | 32% (80) | 32% (59) | .38 (52) | 5% (35) | 2 (78) |
| NIU Defense | 13 | 43% (12) | 37% (21) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .17 (18) | 1.4 (14) | 32% (66) | 24% (9) | .29 (55) | 5% (115) | 2.2 (109) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 48% (46) | 36% (14) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .12 (10) | 1.5 (43) | 34% (45) | 25% (17) | .2 (17) | 8% (16) | 2 (61) |
| NIU Offense | 13 | 46% (95) | 40% (85) | 16.2 | 28.2 | 189.8 | 6.7 | 11.7 | 15 (96) | 9 (40) | .26 (75) | 1.5 (96) | 32% (64) | 26% (106) | .29 (83) | 6% (63) | 2.3 (16) |
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Toledo's Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -9.50 Northern Illinois: -0.635
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -2.5 Northern Illinois: -3.5
Toledo: -9.50 Northern Illinois: -0.635
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -2.5 Northern Illinois: -3.5
Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 25
Toledo 19
Projected Total Points: 47
Northern Illinois 25
Toledo 19
Projected Total Points: 47
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2
Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2
Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Northern Illinois | 6 | Toledo | 13 | Toledo | Northern Illinois -3 | Toledo | 42.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Toledo | 35 | Northern Illinois | 33 | Toledo | Toledo -13 | Northern Illinois | 48.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Northern Illinois | 32 | Toledo | 52 | Toledo | Toledo -6.5 | Toledo | 59.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Toledo | 20 | Northern Illinois | 22 | Northern Illinois | Toledo -13 | Northern Illinois | 51.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/05 | Northern Illinois | 24 | Toledo | 41 | Toledo | Toledo -9 | Toledo | 53.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/13 | Toledo | 28 | Northern Illinois | 31 | Northern Illinois | Toledo -2.5 | Northern Illinois | 54.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/07 | Northern Illinois | 38 | Toledo | 15 | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois -3.5 | Northern Illinois | 54.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/02 | Toledo | 27 | Northern Illinois | 17 | Toledo | Toledo -7.5 | Toledo | 56.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/09 | Northern Illinois | 24 | Toledo | 31 | Toledo | Toledo -7.5 | Northern Illinois | 69.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/03 | Toledo | 27 | Northern Illinois | 32 | Northern Illinois | Toledo -7 | Northern Illinois | 62.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/11 | Northern Illinois | 27 | Toledo | 24 | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois -3.5 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/20 | Toledo | 17 | Northern Illinois | 35 | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois -3 | Northern Illinois | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/14 | Northern Illinois | 31 | Toledo | 24 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2011 | 11/01 | Toledo | 60 | Northern Illinois | 63 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2010 | 11/09 | Northern Illinois | 65 | Toledo | 30 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2009 | 10/17 | Toledo | 20 | Northern Illinois | 19 | Toledo | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | Northern Illinois | 38 | Toledo | 7 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Toledo | 70 | Northern Illinois | 21 | Toledo | ||||
| 2006 | 11/07 | Northern Illinois | 13 | Toledo | 17 | Toledo | ||||
| 2005 | 11/16 | Toledo | 17 | Northern Illinois | 35 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2004 | 11/09 | Northern Illinois | 17 | Toledo | 31 | Toledo | ||||
| 2003 | 11/15 | Toledo | 49 | Northern Illinois | 30 | Toledo | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Toledo | 41 | Northern Illinois | 20 | Toledo | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Northern Illinois | 24 | Toledo | 38 | Toledo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois | 11 | 7 | 4 Overs |
| Toledo | 13 | 5 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 13 | 3 - 9 | 2 - 6 | 1 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 11 | 9 - 3 | 3 - 1 | 6 - 2 |
(#99) Toledo Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Power #99
#73Off #121
#97Def #50
#11Talent #73
#89SP+ #80
#84SP+ Off #88
#115SP+ Def #64
#32Rematch from Week 8
Northern Illinois -3.0 (42.5)
Toledo won at Northern Illinois this year (13-6)
Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Northern Illinois last year (13-6)
Toledo beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (35-33)
Toledo beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (52-32)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 11 mph
Team Information
Injuries: TOL | NIU
Depth Chart: TOL | NIU
Rosters: TOL | NIU
(#73) Northern Illinois Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 207 | 335 | 62% | 2457 | 22 | 7 | 7.3 |
| John Alan Richter | 43 | 67 | 64% | 497 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Walendzak | 122 | 457 | 1 | 3.7 | 32 |
| Tucker Gleason | 88 | 330 | 6 | 3.8 | 35 |
| Sevaughn Clark | 62 | 209 | 0 | 3.4 | 26 |
| Willie Shaw III | 46 | 190 | 3 | 4.1 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Vandeross | 73 | 763 | 4 | 10.5 | 73 |
| Thomas Zsiros | 12 | 148 | 1 | 12.3 | 25 |
| Eric Holley | 14 | 126 | 0 | 9.0 | 40 |
| Jaden Dottin | 9 | 123 | 0 | 13.7 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren | 61 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Dunn | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Malachi Davis | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Esean Carter | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hampton | 143 | 245 | 58% | 1608 | 12 | 6 | 6.6 |
| Josh Holst | 65 | 111 | 59% | 593 | 2 | 2 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telly Johnson Jr. | 103 | 480 | 4 | 4.7 | 38 |
| Josh Holst | 49 | 230 | 1 | 4.7 | 22 |
| Jaylen Poe | 36 | 190 | 3 | 5.3 | 22 |
| Trayvon Rudolph | 14 | 179 | 2 | 12.8 | 60 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayvon Rudolph | 37 | 403 | 1 | 10.9 | 48 |
| Cam Thompson | 27 | 388 | 3 | 14.4 | 54 |
| Grayson Barnes | 31 | 338 | 4 | 10.9 | 60 |
| Andrew McElroy (Tr) | 26 | 264 | 0 | 10.2 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Fuhrman (Tr) | 61 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Santana Banner | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Skyler Gill-Howard | 48 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Roy Williams | 38 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Williams | 38 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Nevaeh Sanders | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Skyler Gill-Howard | 48 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Raishein Thomas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Finley | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Santana Banner | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Amariyun Knighten | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |