Kent State at Pittsburgh - 2024 Matchup Preview

Kent State Golden Flashes at Pittsburgh Panthers

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -23.5 (55.5) (-3300) Open: -24.0 | 54.0
Pittsburgh 55 - Kent State: 24

Golden Flashes (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (9 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Pittsburgh -38.5 (SP+ PITT -38)
Projected Score: KENT: 8 - PITT: 46 (54)
PITT Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
KENT Travel: 83 miles

Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KENT Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kent State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kent State at Pittsburgh	+23.5	55.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/7	Kent State vs St. Francis (PA)	-17.5	49.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kent State at Tennessee	+49.5	61.5	L 0 - 71	O	N
Sat 9/21	Kent State at Penn State	+49.0	58.0	L 0 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/28	Kent State vs Eastern Michigan	+14.0	46.0	L 33 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kent State vs Ball State	+3.0	58.0	L 35 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Kent State at Bowling Green	+24.0	54.5	L 6 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Kent State at Western Michigan	+19.0	61.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Kent State vs Ohio	+20.5	53.5	L 0 - 41	U	N
Wed 11/13	Kent State at Miami (OH)	+31.0	47.5	L 7 - 34	U	Y
Tue 11/19	Kent State vs Akron	+10.5	49.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Tue 11/26	Kent State at Buffalo	+23.5	50.5	L 7 - 43	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Pittsburgh vs Kent State	-23.5	55.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Pittsburgh at Cincinnati	-2.5	62.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/14	Pittsburgh vs West Virginia	+2.5	60.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State	-29.5	59.5	W 73 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	-2.5	63.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Pittsburgh vs California	-3.5	57.5	W 17 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-5.0	62.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Pittsburgh at SMU	+7.0	55.5	L 25 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/9	Pittsburgh vs Virginia	-7.5	56.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	+12.0	52.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+7.0	57.0	L 9 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/30	Pittsburgh at Boston College	+3.5	50.5	L 23 - 34	O	N
Thu 12/26	Pittsburgh vs Toledo	-6.5	48.5	L 46 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)	13.9	33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)	44.1	50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)	32.9	45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)	28.4	38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Offense	12	13.9	9.3	30.5%	2.89	1.7	13	233	78	155	2.4	47%	51%	33%	29%	28%	.01
PITT Defense	13	28.4	21.6	38.1%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	38%	38%	18%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Defense	12	44.1	48.3	50.1%	4.34	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	50%	51%	12%	.35
PITT Offense	13	32.9	37.6	41.6%	4.11	1.3	21	375	119	256	4.3	42%	58%	45%	39%	21%	.15

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kent State	12	26:52	12.9	19%	38%	4.8	35.7	1.7	0.9	4.7	1.5	0	27.2
Pittsburgh	13	24:01	20.7	38%	52%	6.4	58.2	1.3	1.2	7.6	3	6	27.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Offense	12	47% (91)	33% (132)	32.3	77.5	2.4	3 (134)	-.07 (132)	2.57 (128)	61% (123)	19% (134)	0.95 (72)
PITT Defense	13	45% (13)	38% (20)	-	-	-	-	- (13)	2.36 (2)	48% (1)	12% (25)	0.98 (67)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Defense	12	55% (113)	50% (123)	-	-	-	-	.3 (132)	3.58 (133)	81% (115)	8% (111)	1.13 (122)
PITT Offense	13	42% (116)	45% (56)	27.3	118.6	4.3	14 (98)	.18 (42)	3.1 (53)	77% (40)	12% (119)	1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Offense	12	51% (54)	29% (134)	11.6	24.5	155.4	6.3	13.4	18 (68)	13 (103)	.14 (109)	2.1 (2)	41% (134)	19% (134)	.11 (132)	8% (128)	2.7 (1)
PITT Defense	13	55% (122)	38% (38)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.23 (70)	1.8 (123)	37% (3)	31% (82)	.33 (82)	6% (50)	2.2 (113)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Defense	12	45% (25)	51% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.41 (126)	1.5 (23)	28% (124)	38% (127)	.42 (109)	4% (127)	1.8 (15)
PITT Offense	13	58% (18)	39% (97)	21.8	35.9	256.2	7.1	11.7	27 (20)	13 (103)	.13 (112)	1.6 (55)	32% (85)	35% (30)	.36 (60)	8% (126)	2.1 (40)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -32.59 #134
Kent State's Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Kent State's Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kent State's 2024 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Kent State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -32.59 Pittsburgh: 5.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -33.0 Pittsburgh: 4.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Kent State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 46
Kent State 8

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 25
Kent State 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 41
Kent State 18

Total Points: 59

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Pittsburgh	55	Kent State	24	Pittsburgh -23.5	Pittsburgh	55.5	Over
2003	09/06	Pittsburgh	43	Kent State	3
2000	09/01	Pittsburgh	30	Kent State	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	3	1	1 Overs
Kent State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#134) KENT at (#56) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KENT	PITT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#134	#56
SP+SP+	#134	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#88
OffenseOff	#136	#116
DefenseDef	#130	#41
Spec TeamsST	#108	#37
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#48

Kent State Notes(11/27) 0-12, killed by Buff. CFB worst, HC Burns 1-23
(11/27) Avg score 14 -44. Total outscored 529-167
(11/18) Took 1st lead vs M OH, all 34 straight, may not W
(11/7) CFB worst. New Fr QB new suck. Rgame sucks
(11/7) Have never had a lead in any game at 0-9
(10/22) Def stop rate last in CFB (36%) into week 9
(10/13) Pass game expl in shootout L (Ball St). Def bad
(10/4) Sched brutal but bottom 5 in Every Off/Def stat
(9/29) Outscored 234-57 by four P4 opps this year
(9/26) Top 2 QBs out for season, 3rd QB looks hurt
(9/26) Worst team in CFB, top QBs hurt. Burns sucks?
(9/26) Outrushed 207-78 in L vs St Francis?
Kent State Injury Report

Pittsburgh Notes(11/18) Fought vs Clem, Yarnell 350 yds, Rgame awful
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
(7/30) New OC Bell interesting, WC OC had top 10 off
Pittsburgh Injury Report

Kent State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	PITT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#41
SuccessSuc	#134	#25
ExplosiveExp	#1	#122
PPAPPA	#131	#35
PowerPwr	#130	#45
SP+SP+	#133	#64
Pts POPPO	#130	#57
HavocHav	#134	#31

Kent State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#135	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	#132	#20
Run ExplRExp	#72	#67
PPAExp	#132	#13
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	#128	#2
Stuff RateStuff	#126	#5
TackleTak	-	#33

Kent State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	#134	#38
Pass ExplPExl	#2	#123
PPAExp	#109	#70
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#46
F7 HavocF7	#134	#25
DB HavocDB	#128	#50

Pittsburgh on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	KENT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#130
SuccessSuc	#85	#131
ExplosiveExp	#19	#79
PPAPPA	#91	#133
PowerPwr	#78	#133
SP+SP+	#54	#134
Pts POPPO	#49	#115
HavocHav	#128	#127

Pittsburgh Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#83	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#56	#123
Run ExplRExp	#41	#122
PPAExp	#42	#132
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	#53	#133
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#133
TackleTak	-	#113

Pittsburgh Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	#97	#130
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#23
PPAExp	#112	#126
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#71
F7 HavocF7	#119	#111
DB HavocDB	#126	#127

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

KENT 5 Year Profile: Declining Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Pittsburgh -23.5 (55.5)
Pittsburgh won vs Kent State this year (55-24)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Kent State last year (55-24)

KENT's OC Mark Carney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tommy Ulatowski	81	175	46%	1342	15	8	7.7
Devin Kargman	45	82	55%	432	3	2	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ky Thomas	135	550	1	4.1	38
Curtis Douglas	48	145	0	3.0	19
Jahzae Kimbrough	27	114	0	4.2	18
Ayden Harris	29	110	1	3.8	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	40	705	9	17.6	68
Luke Floriea	44	688	7	15.6	80
Jay Jay Etheridge	14	137	1	9.8	37
Dashawn Martin	8	108	0	13.5	27

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC David Duggan (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka	90	3	0	5
Mason Woods (Tr)	68	4	0	1
Tevin Tucker	65	2	0	2
Rocco Nicholl	61	1	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Olds (Tr)	42	7	6	2	1
Stephen Daley	51	9	4	6	3
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
Kaden Beatty	19	3	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka	90	3	0	0	5
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Stephen Daley	51	9	4	6	3

PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eli Holstein (Tr)	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7
Nate Yarnell	98	167	59%	1056	10	5	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)	184	966	5	5.3	72
Eli Holstein (Tr)	81	328	3	4.0	49
Daniel Carter	22	208	4	9.5	43
Julian Dugger	21	88	1	4.2	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Konata Mumpfield	52	813	5	15.6	46
Desmond Reid (Tr)	52	579	4	11.1	72
Kenny Johnson	46	537	3	11.7	46
Raphael Williams	36	419	6	11.6	35

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Brandon George	80	6	2	7	0
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Jimmy Scott	30	13	6	6	2
Nate Matlack (Tr)	23	7	5	8	3
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9
Rashad Battle	35	1	0	1	8
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7