Bowling Green Falcons at Toledo Rockets
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -1.5 (47.5) (-130) Open: -3.0 | 47.5
Bowling Green 41 - Toledo: 26 (Mid-American)
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -1 (SP+ BGSU -0.5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 25 - TOL: 24 (50)
TOL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
BGSU Travel: 19 miles
BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -1 (SP+ BGSU -0.5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 25 - TOL: 24 (50)
TOL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
BGSU Travel: 19 miles
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
| Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Bowling Green vs Fordham | -15.5 | 60.5 | W 41 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Bowling Green at Penn State | +35.5 | 51.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Bowling Green at Texas A&M | +21.0 | 50.5 | L 20 - 26 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Bowling Green vs Old Dominion | -11.0 | 51.5 | L 27 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Bowling Green at Akron | -17.0 | 48.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois | -3.0 | 46.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Bowling Green vs Kent State | -24.0 | 54.5 | W 27 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Bowling Green at Toledo | +1.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 26 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Bowling Green at Central Michigan | -14.5 | 47.5 | W 23 - 13 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/12 | Bowling Green vs Western Michigan | -9.5 | 57.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Bowling Green at Ball State | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) | -3.0 | 37.5 | L 12 - 28 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Bowling Green vs Arkansas State | -10.5 | 54.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
| Toledo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Toledo vs Duquesne | -27.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Toledo vs Massachusetts | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 38 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Toledo at Mississippi State | +10.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Toledo at Western Kentucky | -2.0 | 60.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -4.5 | 44.0 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Toledo at Buffalo | -10.5 | 44.5 | L 15 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Toledo at Northern Illinois | +3.0 | 42.5 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Toledo vs Bowling Green | -1.5 | 47.5 | L 26 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Toledo at Eastern Michigan | -10.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Toledo vs Central Michigan | -15.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Toledo vs Ohio | -1.5 | 47.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/26 | Toledo at Akron | -9.5 | 50.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Toledo vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 46 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | #74 (.18) | 41% (81) | 27.1 | 45% (46) | 3.06 (81) | 137 | 39% (98) | 189 | 3.65 (87) | #44 (.15) | 42% (63) | 21.6 | 48% (119) | 36% (11) | 3.71 (62) | 60.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| TOL | #27 (.28) | 45% (34) | 28.3 | 46% (38) | 3.36 (20) | 199 | 45% (37) | 220 | 4.44 (26) | #22 (.1) | 38% (29) | 23.2 | 41% (54) | 36% (14) | 3.33 (22) | 61.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| TOL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 27.1 | 29.3 | 41.2% | 3.65 | 1.5 | 17 | 326 | 137 | 189 | 4.2 | 48% | 50% | 45% | 39% | 18% | .18 |
| TOL Defense | 14 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 38.4% | 3.33 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 41% | 36% | 17% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 21.6 | 22 | 41.6% | 3.71 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 44% | 48% | 36% | 17% | .15 |
| TOL Offense | 14 | 28.3 | 31.2 | 45.2% | 4.44 | 1.5 | 20 | 419 | 199 | 220 | 5.3 | 57% | 42% | 46% | 45% | 13% | .28 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 13 | 30:30 | 16.8 | 33% | 60% | 6.9 | 60.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 3 | 33.8 |
| Toledo | 14 | 27:55 | 20.3 | 44% | 59% | 6.6 | 61.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 48% (82) | 45% (46) | 33 | 137.4 | 4.2 | 22 (51) | .16 (65) | 3.06 (81) | 80% (18) | 13% (121) | 1.09 (24) |
| TOL Defense | 14 | 51% (82) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | .14 (66) | 3.12 (72) | 73% (71) | 10% (73) | 0.99 (64) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 54% (112) | 48% (119) | - | - | - | - | .22 (108) | 3.28 (105) | 80% (110) | 10% (67) | 0.95 (41) |
| TOL Offense | 14 | 57% (17) | 46% (38) | 37.4 | 198.9 | 5.3 | 31 (17) | .2 (41) | 3.36 (20) | 81% (14) | 8% (24) | 1.05 (38) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 50% (60) | 39% (98) | 16.5 | 27.5 | 188.8 | 6.9 | 11.5 | 17 (85) | 14 (107) | .27 (72) | 1.7 (35) | 36% (127) | 31% (67) | .29 (82) | 6% (54) | 2 (82) |
| TOL Defense | 14 | 48% (46) | 36% (14) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .12 (10) | 1.5 (43) | 34% (45) | 25% (17) | .2 (17) | 8% (16) | 2 (61) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 44% (17) | 36% (11) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (3) | .21 (35) | 1.7 (111) | 33% (46) | 28% (38) | .32 (71) | 7% (21) | 2.1 (72) |
| TOL Offense | 14 | 42% (116) | 45% (37) | 16.6 | 26.9 | 220.2 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 26 (31) | 10 (56) | .42 (24) | 1.7 (24) | 32% (80) | 32% (59) | .38 (52) | 5% (35) | 2 (78) |
Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -2.77 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8 Toledo: -2.5
Bowling Green: -2.77 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8 Toledo: -2.5
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22
Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22
Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 25
Toledo 24
Projected Total Points: 50
Bowling Green 25
Toledo 24
Projected Total Points: 50
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Toledo | 26 | Bowling Green | 41 | Bowling Green | Toledo -1.5 | Bowling Green | 47.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/14 | Bowling Green | 31 | Toledo | 32 | Toledo | Toledo -9.5 | Bowling Green | 48.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/15 | Toledo | 35 | Bowling Green | 42 | Bowling Green | Toledo -14.5 | Bowling Green | 47.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/10 | Bowling Green | 17 | Toledo | 49 | Toledo | Toledo -10.5 | Toledo | 50.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/04 | Toledo | 38 | Bowling Green | 3 | Toledo | Toledo -24 | Toledo | 63.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Bowling Green | 20 | Toledo | 7 | Bowling Green | Toledo -26.5 | Bowling Green | 65.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Toledo | 52 | Bowling Green | 36 | Toledo | Toledo -23 | Bowling Green | 71.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/15 | Bowling Green | 37 | Toledo | 66 | Toledo | Toledo -17.5 | Toledo | 66.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/15 | Toledo | 42 | Bowling Green | 35 | Toledo | Toledo -24 | Bowling Green | 71.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/17 | Bowling Green | 28 | Toledo | 44 | Toledo | Bowling Green -9 | Toledo | 72.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/19 | Toledo | 27 | Bowling Green | 20 | Toledo | Toledo -6.5 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/26 | Bowling Green | 25 | Toledo | 28 | Toledo | Bowling Green -3 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/15 | Toledo | 27 | Bowling Green | 15 | Toledo | ||||
| 2011 | 10/15 | Bowling Green | 21 | Toledo | 28 | Toledo | ||||
| 2010 | 11/17 | Toledo | 33 | Bowling Green | 14 | Toledo | ||||
| 2009 | 11/27 | Bowling Green | 38 | Toledo | 24 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Toledo | 10 | Bowling Green | 38 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2007 | 11/23 | Bowling Green | 37 | Toledo | 10 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2006 | 11/21 | Toledo | 31 | Bowling Green | 21 | Toledo | ||||
| 2005 | 11/22 | Bowling Green | 41 | Toledo | 44 | Toledo | ||||
| 2004 | 11/23 | Toledo | 49 | Bowling Green | 41 | Toledo | ||||
| 2003 | 11/29 | Bowling Green | 31 | Toledo | 23 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2001 | 11/23 | Bowling Green | 56 | Toledo | 21 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2000 | 11/21 | Toledo | 51 | Bowling Green | 17 | Toledo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 16 | 6 | 7 Overs |
| Bowling Green | 8 | 6 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 14 - 10 | 4 - 8 | 2 - 6 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 14 | 8 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 6 - 2 |
(#73) Bowling Green Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper
Power #73
#99Off #56
#121Def #46
#50Talent #106
#73SP+ #77
#80SP+ Off #79
#88SP+ Def #75
#64Rematch from Week 9
Toledo -1.5 (47.5)
Bowling Green won at Toledo this year (41-26)
Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2022 (42-35)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 58° - Wind: 7 mph
Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | TOL
Depth Chart: BGSU | TOL
Rosters: BGSU | TOL
(#99) Toledo Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucian Anderson III | 5 | 12 | 42% | 32 | 1 | 1 | 2.7 |
| Baron May | 1 | 1 | 100% | 43 | 1 | 0 | 43.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terion Stewart | 166 | 898 | 6 | 5.4 | 73 |
| Rahkeem Smith | 20 | 128 | 3 | 6.4 | 40 |
| Lucian Anderson III | 19 | 67 | 2 | 3.5 | 19 |
| Justin Pegues (Tr) | 13 | 51 | 0 | 3.9 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr) | 49 | 573 | 3 | 11.7 | 50 |
| Rahkeem Smith | 25 | 349 | 3 | 14.0 | 66 |
| Finn Hogan | 17 | 175 | 0 | 10.3 | 33 |
| Justin Pegues (Tr) | 11 | 44 | 0 | 4.0 | 7 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Sipp Jr. | 79 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| CJ Brown (Tr) | 73 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Tracy Revels | 40 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Darius McClendon (Tr) | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Sipp Jr. | 79 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Darius McClendon (Tr) | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Bradley | 22 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Todd Bumphis (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Corey Benjamin | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Todd Bumphis (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Joseph Sipp Jr. | 79 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 207 | 335 | 62% | 2457 | 22 | 7 | 7.3 |
| John Alan Richter | 43 | 67 | 64% | 497 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Walendzak | 122 | 457 | 1 | 3.7 | 32 |
| Tucker Gleason | 88 | 330 | 6 | 3.8 | 35 |
| Sevaughn Clark | 62 | 209 | 0 | 3.4 | 26 |
| Willie Shaw III | 46 | 190 | 3 | 4.1 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Vandeross | 73 | 763 | 4 | 10.5 | 73 |
| Thomas Zsiros | 12 | 148 | 1 | 12.3 | 25 |
| Eric Holley | 14 | 126 | 0 | 9.0 | 40 |
| Jaden Dottin | 9 | 123 | 0 | 13.7 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren | 61 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Dunn | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Malachi Davis | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Esean Carter | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |