Massachusetts Minutemen at Toledo Rockets
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -17.5 (50.5) (-1000) Open: -20.0 | 51.5
Toledo 38 - Massachusetts: 23
Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Toledo -15.5 (SP+ TOL -19)
Projected Score: UMASS: 19 - TOL: 34 (53)
TOL Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
UMASS Travel: 570 miles
Our Line: Toledo -15.5 (SP+ TOL -19)
Projected Score: UMASS: 19 - TOL: 34 (53)
TOL Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
UMASS Travel: 570 miles
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan | -2.5 | 49.0 | L 14 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Massachusetts at Toledo | +17.5 | 50.5 | L 23 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Massachusetts at Buffalo | +3.5 | 45.5 | L 3 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut | -19.5 | 52.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Massachusetts at Miami (OH) | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 20 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Massachusetts at Northern Illinois | +14.0 | 41.0 | L 20 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Massachusetts vs Missouri | +27.0 | 54.0 | L 3 - 45 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | Massachusetts vs Wagner | -23.0 | 48.0 | W 35 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Massachusetts at Mississippi State | +19.5 | 59.5 | L 20 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Massachusetts vs Liberty | +17.0 | 53.0 | L 34 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Massachusetts at Georgia | +42.5 | 55.5 | L 21 - 59 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Massachusetts vs UConn | +9.5 | 49.5 | L 42 - 47 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Toledo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Toledo vs Duquesne | -27.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Toledo vs Massachusetts | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 38 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Toledo at Mississippi State | +10.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Toledo at Western Kentucky | -2.0 | 60.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -4.5 | 44.0 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Toledo at Buffalo | -10.5 | 44.5 | L 15 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Toledo at Northern Illinois | +3.0 | 42.5 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Toledo vs Bowling Green | -1.5 | 47.5 | L 26 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Toledo at Eastern Michigan | -10.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Toledo vs Central Michigan | -15.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Toledo vs Ohio | -1.5 | 47.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/26 | Toledo at Akron | -9.5 | 50.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Toledo vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 46 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS | #69 (.19) | 41% (94) | 22.5 | 43% (78) | 3.1 (50) | 164 | 38% (110) | 182 | 3.73 (89) | #114 (.26) | 46% (116) | 35.5 | 51% (128) | 40% (71) | 4.66 (129) | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 28.3 | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 23.2 | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS | #69 (.19) | 41% (94) | 43% (78) | 3.1 (50) | 164 | 38% (110) | 182 | 3.73 (89) | #114 (.26) | 46% (116) | 51% (128) | 40% (71) | 4.66 (129) | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | ||
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 22.5 | 17.8 | 40.8% | 3.73 | 0.8 | 20 | 346 | 164 | 182 | 4.1 | 56% | 44% | 43% | 38% | 17% | .19 |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 39.8% | 3.87 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 42% | 38% | 19% | .09 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 35.5 | 38.8 | 46.3% | 4.66 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 39% | 51% | 40% | 14% | .26 |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 28.3 | 31.2 | 40.8% | 3.55 | 1.3 | 18 | 339 | 111 | 227 | 3.5 | 46% | 53% | 38% | 44% | 16% | .11 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | 12 | 32:19 | 19.7 | 38% | 58% | 7.3 | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 25.4 |
| Toledo | 13 | 25:06 | 18.4 | 36% | 50% | 5.4 | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 31.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 56% (27) | 43% (78) | 40.2 | 164 | 4.1 | 18 (78) | .16 (53) | 3.1 (50) | 74% (62) | 11% (95) | 0.96 (68) |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 52% (83) | 42% (60) | - | - | - | - | .11 (66) | 3.01 (69) | 77% (89) | 12% (31) | 0.95 (48) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 60% (133) | 51% (128) | - | - | - | - | .25 (125) | 3.51 (131) | 87% (131) | 8% (113) | 0.95 (52) |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 46% (96) | 38% (120) | 31.5 | 111.3 | 3.5 | 12 (114) | -.04 (127) | 2.66 (121) | 57% (130) | 10% (74) | 0.83 (125) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 44% (109) | 38% (110) | 15.6 | 27.3 | 181.8 | 6.7 | 11.7 | 14 (108) | 6 (10) | .23 (81) | 1.7 (22) | 33% (87) | 32% (57) | .34 (69) | 6% (80) | 2 (98) |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 48% (51) | 38% (35) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .08 (11) | 1.5 (29) | 34% (38) | 29% (39) | .22 (34) | 7% (35) | 2 (43) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 39% (2) | 40% (71) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .29 (100) | 1.7 (112) | 28% (118) | 28% (29) | .27 (51) | 6% (72) | 2.1 (89) |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 53% (41) | 44% (46) | 19.2 | 31 | 227.2 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 26 (26) | 7 (26) | .26 (67) | 1.6 (61) | 31% (65) | 27% (108) | .18 (115) | 6% (76) | 2 (68) |
Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -16.22 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -21.9 Toledo: -2.5
Massachusetts: -16.22 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -21.9 Toledo: -2.5
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8
Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8
Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 34
Massachusetts 19
Total Points: 53
Toledo 34
Massachusetts 19
Total Points: 53
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/07 | Toledo | 38 | Massachusetts | 23 | Toledo | Toledo -17.5 | Massachusetts | 50.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/07 | Massachusetts | 24 | Toledo | 41 | Toledo | Toledo -19 | Massachusetts | 55.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 09/10 | Toledo | 55 | Massachusetts | 10 | Toledo | Toledo -28 | Toledo | 49.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/02 | Massachusetts | 7 | Toledo | 45 | Toledo | Toledo -26.5 | Toledo | 56.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Massachusetts | 35 | Toledo | 51 | Toledo | Toledo -9.5 | Toledo | 61.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/25 | Toledo | 42 | Massachusetts | 35 | Toledo | Toledo -17.5 | Massachusetts | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 6 | 3 | 4 Overs |
| Massachusetts | 0 | 3 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 3 | 2 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 3 | 4 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 |
(#115) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Massachusetts has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Highlights
Massachusetts has a great TO Margin (#54)
Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Massachusetts pass game is really bad (#50)
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts does not Sack the QB (#97)
Massachusetts has a bad defense (#87)
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)
Massachusetts has a bad red zone defense (#98)
Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Massachusetts has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Highlights
Massachusetts has a great TO Margin (#54)
Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Massachusetts pass game is really bad (#50)
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts does not Sack the QB (#97)
Massachusetts has a bad defense (#87)
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)
Massachusetts has a bad red zone defense (#98)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TOL | UMASS |
| OverallOver | #36 | #93 |
| OffenseOff | #84 | #91 |
| DefenseDef | #11 | #96 |
| Special TeamsST | #15 | #103 |
| PassingPass | #58 | #92 |
| RushingRush | #96 | #87 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #90 | #72 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #101 | #52 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #28 | #95 |
| TacklingTkl | #3 | #13 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #94 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #19 | #73 |
| Coverage DefCov | #16 | #84 |
Rematch from Week 2
Toledo -17.5 (50.5)
Toledo won vs Massachusetts this year (38-23)
Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Massachusetts last year (38-23)
Toledo beat Massachusetts in 2023 (41-24)
Toledo beat Massachusetts in 2022 (55-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | TOL
Depth Chart: UMASS | TOL
Rosters: UMASS | TOL
(#99) Toledo Info
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has won 1 straight
Toledo has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Toledo Highlights
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Can Not Run the Ball (#28)
Toledo Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#41)
Toledo run game is really bad (#63)
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has won 1 straight
Toledo has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Toledo Highlights
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Can Not Run the Ball (#28)
Toledo Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#41)
Toledo run game is really bad (#63)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taisun Phommachanh | 132 | 234 | 56% | 1590 | 8 | 6 | 6.8 |
| AJ Hairston | 40 | 73 | 55% | 480 | 5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen John | 111 | 583 | 5 | 5.3 | 68 |
| C.J. Hester (Tr) | 119 | 529 | 4 | 4.4 | 24 |
| Taisun Phommachanh | 107 | 317 | 3 | 3.0 | 33 |
| Brandon Campbell (Tr) | 61 | 233 | 3 | 3.8 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobie Keeney-James (Tr) | 51 | 870 | 6 | 17.1 | 75 |
| Ty Harding | 18 | 303 | 5 | 16.8 | 58 |
| Jacquon Gibson | 23 | 270 | 1 | 11.7 | 39 |
| Sterling Galban (Tr) | 25 | 210 | 0 | 8.4 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Stewart | 77 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Gerrell Johnson | 74 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Tyler Rudolph | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Te'Rai Powell | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louce Julien | 43 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Kofi Asare | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Stewart | 77 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Christian Lebrun | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Ellis (Tr) | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Isaiah Rutherford | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Tim Grant-Randall (Tr) | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 207 | 335 | 62% | 2457 | 22 | 7 | 7.3 |
| John Alan Richter | 43 | 67 | 64% | 497 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Walendzak | 122 | 457 | 1 | 3.7 | 32 |
| Tucker Gleason | 88 | 330 | 6 | 3.8 | 35 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 61 | 230 | 2 | 3.8 | 26 |
| Sevaughn Clark | 62 | 209 | 0 | 3.4 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerjuan Newton | 64 | 949 | 11 | 14.8 | 64 |
| Junior Vandeross | 73 | 763 | 4 | 10.5 | 73 |
| Anthony Torres | 27 | 362 | 8 | 13.4 | 78 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 15 | 170 | 0 | 11.3 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxen Hook | 108 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Daniel Bolden | 91 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Jackson Barrow | 64 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Ragin | 42 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Darius Alexander | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Martez Poynter | 25 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Darius Alexander | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 |