Toledo vs Wyoming Game Matchup

Saturday, December 30th 2023 (4:30 PM EST)
Wyoming -4.5 (43.5) (-130) Open: -2.0 | 46.0
Wyoming 16 - Toledo: 15 (Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl)

Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Toledo -8 (SP+ TOL -8)
Projected Score: TOL: 26 - WYO: 18 (49)
WYO Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 1134 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (20 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
TOL Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Toledo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Toledo at Illinois	+7.0	45.5	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Toledo vs Texas Southern	-40.5	61.0	W 71 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Toledo vs San José State	-9.0	56.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Toledo vs Western Michigan	-21.5	52.5	W 49 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-13.0	48.0	W 35 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Toledo at Massachusetts	-19.0	55.5	W 41 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/14	Toledo at Ball State	-17.5	48.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/21	Toledo at Miami (OH)	-2.0	46.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Toledo vs Buffalo	-14.0	47.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Wed 11/8	Toledo vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	45.5	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Toledo at Bowling Green	-9.5	48.5	W 32 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Toledo at Central Michigan	-12.5	54.5	W 32 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Toledo vs Miami (OH)	-8.5	46.0	L 14 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/30	Toledo vs Wyoming	+4.5	43.5	L 15 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wyoming vs Texas Tech	+13.0	50.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Wyoming vs Portland State	-28.0	51.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wyoming at Texas	+31.0	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Wyoming vs App State	-3.0	45.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-14.5	40.5	W 35 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/7	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+5.5	43.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wyoming at Air Force	+12.5	42.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Wyoming at Boise State	+4.5	48.5	L 7 - 32	U	N
Fri 11/3	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-6.0	41.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Wyoming at UNLV	+2.5	48.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.5	45.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Wyoming at Nevada	-11.0	42.0	W 42 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	.19	43%	28.3	44%	3	178	43%	225	4.23	.07	34%	23.2	36%	34%	3.97	55.4	1.9	1.6
WYO	.12	41%	19.3	46%	3.26	181	35%	132	3.65	.17	41%	28.3	46%	37%	3.9	37.5	1.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Offense	14	28.3	22.2	42.8%	4.23	1.9	22	403	178	225	4.3	55%	44%	44%	43%	16%	.19
WYO Defense	13	28.3	23.5	41.1%	3.9	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	37%	14%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Defense	14	23.2	21.3	34.2%	3.97	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	36%	34%	18%	.07
WYO Offense	13	19.3	20	40.7%	3.65	1.2	16	314	181	132	4.9	59%	40%	46%	35%	15%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Toledo	14	29:31	22	41%	59%	6.7	55.4	1.9	1.6	5.5	2.2	2	29.6
Wyoming	13	29:06	16	35%	29%	4.3	37.5	1.2	1.4	5.1	2.8	2	28.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Offense	14	55%	44%	41.4	177.8	4.3	23	.14	3	76%	10%	0.92
WYO Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.38	81%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Defense	14	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.04	83%	10%	1.08
WYO Offense	13	59%	46%	36.8	181.4	4.9	16	.22	3.26	65%	8%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Offense	14	44%	43%	17.6	31.4	224.9	7.2	12.8	31	15	.35	1.7	32%	30%	.32	5%	2.2
WYO Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.19	1.6	35%	30%	.33	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Defense	14	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.08	1.6	37%	23%	.09	8%	2
WYO Offense	13	40%	35%	12	23.4	132.2	5.7	11	11	12	.05	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 7.27 Wyoming: -2.285

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0 Wyoming: -3.8

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.285 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 516.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 26
Wyoming 18

Projected Total Points: 49

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/30	Wyoming	16	Toledo	15	Wyoming	Wyoming -4.5	Toledo	43.5	Under
2012	09/08	Wyoming	31	Toledo	34	Toledo
2010	10/02	Toledo	15	Wyoming	20	Wyoming

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	2	0	0 Overs
Toledo	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Toledo Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Arizona Bowl	Toledo vs Wyoming	+4.5	43.5	L 15 - 16
2022	Raton Bowl	Toledo vs Liberty	-4.0	51.5	W 21 - 19
2021	Bahamas Bowl	Toledo vs Middle Tennessee	-10.0	50.0	L 24 - 31
2018	Bahamas Bowl	Toledo vs Florida International	-7.0	57.5	L 32 - 35
2017	General Bowl	Toledo vs App State	-6.0	61.5	L 0 - 34

Wyoming Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Arizona Bowl	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15
2022	Arizona Bowl	Wyoming vs Ohio	+3.0	43.0	L 27 - 30
2021	Potato Bowl	Wyoming vs Kent State	-3.0	61.0	W 52 - 38
2019	N/A	Wyoming vs Georgia State	-7.5	49.5	W 38 - 17
2017	Potato Bowl	Wyoming vs Central Michigan	-1.0	44.5	W 37 - 14

(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Team Profile

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,

Toledo has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 3)
Toledo has played in 16 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 9)

Toledo Ratings Matchup Wyoming

Power #29

#68

Off #30

#57

Def #24

#63

Talent #82

#85

SP+ #51

#78

SP+ Off #65

#81

SP+ Def #35

#65

Rematch from Week 1
Wyoming -4.5 (43.5)
Wyoming won vs Toledo this year (16-15)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Toledo in 2023 (16-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TOL | WYO
Depth Chart: TOL | WYO
Rosters: TOL | WYO

(#68) Wyoming Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.285 #68
Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65
Talent Rating: 516.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90

Team Profile

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Wyoming has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 1)
Wyoming has played in 9 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 3)

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dequan Finn	23	43	54%	307	3	2	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacquez Stuart	61	230	2	3.8	26
Peny Boone	34	208	2	6.1	59
Dequan Finn	21	66	2	3.1	39
Jerjuan Newton	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jerjuan Newton	64	949	11	14.8	64
Anthony Torres	27	362	8	13.4	78
Jacquez Stuart	15	170	0	11.3	34
Justin Stephens	1	17	0	17.0	17

View Toledo's Full Roster

Toledo's DC Vince Kehres

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maxen Hook	108	2	0	0	4
Daniel Bolden	91	8	3	2	0
Jackson Barrow	64	9	2	0	2
Cavon Butler	45	6	3	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Andre Ragin	42	8	5	5	1
Darius Alexander	35	8	4	2	5
Martez Poynter	25	7	4	0	0
Daniel Bolden	91	8	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Alexander	35	8	4	2	5
Maxen Hook	108	2	0	0	4
Jackson Barrow	64	9	2	0	2

Wyoming's OC Tim Polasek

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Jayden Williams	1	17	17.0	17
Dawaiian McNeely	2	12	6.0	8
Will Pelissier	1	3	3.0	3
Devin Boddie Jr. (Tr)	1	2	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pelissier	14	212	0	15.1	41
Devin Boddie Jr. (Tr)	5	62	1	12.4	20
Nick Miles	9	60	0	6.7	25
Alex Brown	2	21	0	10.5	15

View Wyoming's Full Roster

Wyoming's DC Jay Sawvel

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Isaac White	57	2	0	0	2
Wyett Ekeler	46	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeVonne Harris	21	5	2	0	0
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Gavin Meyer	32	2	1	3	3
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Gavin Meyer	32	2	1	3	3
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2