Miami (OH) RedHawks at Toledo Rockets
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -4.5 (44.0) (-192) Open: -8.0
Toledo 30 - Miami (OH): 20 (Mid-American)
RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
TOL coming off BYE
M-OH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -2.5 (SP+ M-OH -4)
Projected Score: M-OH: 24 - TOL: 22 (48)
TOL Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 159 miles
M-OH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -2.5 (SP+ M-OH -4)
Projected Score: M-OH: 24 - TOL: 22 (48)
TOL Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 159 miles
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
| Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Miami (OH) vs Northwestern | +4.0 | 43.0 | L 6 - 13 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati | +3.5 | 47.5 | L 16 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Miami (OH) at Notre Dame | +27.5 | 44.0 | L 3 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts | -15.5 | 44.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Miami (OH) at Toledo | +4.5 | 44.0 | L 20 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan | -3.0 | 45.5 | W 38 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Miami (OH) vs Ohio | -3.5 | 43.5 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan | -10.5 | 48.5 | W 46 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Miami (OH) at Ball State | -12.5 | 48.5 | W 27 - 21 | U | N | |
| Wed 11/13 | Miami (OH) vs Kent State | -31.0 | 47.5 | W 34 - 7 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois | -1.5 | 43.0 | W 20 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Miami (OH) at Bowling Green | +3.0 | 37.5 | W 28 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Miami (OH) vs Ohio | -2.5 | 43.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Miami (OH) vs Colorado State | -1.0 | 42.5 | W 43 - 17 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Toledo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Toledo vs Duquesne | -27.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Toledo vs Massachusetts | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 38 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Toledo at Mississippi State | +10.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Toledo at Western Kentucky | -2.0 | 60.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -4.5 | 44.0 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Toledo at Buffalo | -10.5 | 44.5 | L 15 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Toledo at Northern Illinois | +3.0 | 42.5 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Toledo vs Bowling Green | -1.5 | 47.5 | L 26 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Toledo at Eastern Michigan | -10.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Toledo vs Central Michigan | -15.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Toledo vs Ohio | -1.5 | 47.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/26 | Toledo at Akron | -9.5 | 50.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Toledo vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 46 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | #78 (.18) | 37% (122) | 24.1 | 35% (129) | 2.95 (99) | 158 | 39% (93) | 165 | 3.99 (57) | #20 (.1) | 40% (48) | 18.8 | 41% (47) | 41% (61) | 3.06 (14) | 39.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| TOL | #27 (.28) | 45% (34) | 28.3 | 46% (38) | 3.36 (20) | 199 | 45% (37) | 220 | 4.44 (26) | #22 (.1) | 38% (29) | 23.2 | 41% (54) | 36% (14) | 3.33 (22) | 61.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| TOL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 24.1 | 23.2 | 36.5% | 3.99 | 1.1 | 15 | 324 | 158 | 165 | 4.4 | 58% | 41% | 35% | 39% | 18% | .18 |
| TOL Defense | 14 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 38.4% | 3.33 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 41% | 36% | 17% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 18.8 | 21 | 40.5% | 3.06 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 41% | 41% | 17% | .1 |
| TOL Offense | 14 | 28.3 | 31.2 | 45.2% | 4.44 | 1.5 | 20 | 419 | 199 | 220 | 5.3 | 57% | 42% | 46% | 45% | 13% | .28 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | 14 | 29:37 | 15.3 | 36% | 31% | 4.7 | 39.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 35.4 |
| Toledo | 14 | 27:55 | 20.3 | 44% | 59% | 6.6 | 61.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 58% (15) | 35% (129) | 35.9 | 158.1 | 4.4 | 23 (46) | .1 (94) | 2.95 (99) | 80% (20) | 11% (82) | 1.08 (25) |
| TOL Defense | 14 | 51% (82) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | .14 (66) | 3.12 (72) | 73% (71) | 10% (73) | 0.99 (64) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 52% (92) | 41% (47) | - | - | - | - | .06 (23) | 3.11 (70) | 72% (60) | 10% (69) | 0.87 (19) |
| TOL Offense | 14 | 57% (17) | 46% (38) | 37.4 | 198.9 | 5.3 | 31 (17) | .2 (41) | 3.36 (20) | 81% (14) | 8% (24) | 1.05 (38) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 41% (120) | 39% (93) | 11.8 | 21 | 165.4 | 7.9 | 14 | 16 (92) | 7 (21) | .31 (59) | 1.8 (18) | 35% (117) | 25% (119) | .21 (104) | 7% (107) | 1.9 (116) |
| TOL Defense | 14 | 48% (46) | 36% (14) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .12 (10) | 1.5 (43) | 34% (45) | 25% (17) | .2 (17) | 8% (16) | 2 (61) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 47% (39) | 41% (61) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .2 (27) | 1.3 (1) | 29% (119) | 24% (10) | .15 (7) | 8% (20) | 1.8 (11) |
| TOL Offense | 14 | 42% (116) | 45% (37) | 16.6 | 26.9 | 220.2 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 26 (31) | 10 (56) | .42 (24) | 1.7 (24) | 32% (80) | 32% (59) | .38 (52) | 5% (35) | 2 (78) |
Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.43 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.3 Toledo: -2.5
Miami (OH): -3.43 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.3 Toledo: -2.5
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 24
Toledo 22
Projected Total Points: 48
Miami (OH) 24
Toledo 22
Projected Total Points: 48
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Toledo | 30 | Miami (OH) | 20 | Toledo | Toledo -4.5 | Toledo | 44.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/21 | Miami (OH) | 17 | Toledo | 21 | Toledo | Toledo -2 | Toledo | 46.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 12/02 | Toledo | 14 | Miami (OH) | 23 | Miami (OH) | Toledo -8.5 | Miami (OH) | 46.0 | Under |
| 2011 | 10/22 | Toledo | 49 | Miami (OH) | 28 | Toledo | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Miami (OH) | 31 | Toledo | 24 | Miami (OH) | ||||
| 2008 | 11/21 | Toledo | 42 | Miami (OH) | 14 | Toledo | ||||
| 2004 | 12/02 | Miami (OH) | 27 | Toledo | 35 | Toledo | ||||
| 2004 | 11/02 | Miami (OH) | 23 | Toledo | 16 | Miami (OH) | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Toledo | 13 | Miami (OH) | 27 | Miami (OH) |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 5 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Miami (OH) | 4 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 5 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#75) Miami (OH) Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate
Power #75
#99Off #115
#121Def #21
#50Talent #77
#73SP+ #68
#80SP+ Off #98
#88SP+ Def #43
#64Rematch from Week 6
Toledo -4.5 (44.0)
Toledo won vs Miami (OH) this year (30-20)
Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Miami (OH) last year (30-20)
Miami (OH) beat Toledo in 2023 (23-14)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 69° - Wind: 6 mph
Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | TOL
Depth Chart: M-OH | TOL
Rosters: M-OH | TOL
(#99) Toledo Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Hesson | 7 | 17 | 41% | 93 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 |
| Javon Tracy | 1 | 1 | 100% | 30 | 1 | 0 | 30.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Brunson | 53 | 299 | 4 | 5.6 | 75 |
| Dylan Downing (Tr) | 44 | 152 | 1 | 3.5 | 15 |
| Henry Hesson | 7 | 17 | 0 | 2.4 | 9 |
| Nate Milanowski | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2.0 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Tracy | 57 | 818 | 7 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Reginald Virgil | 41 | 816 | 9 | 19.9 | 75 |
| Kamryn Perry (Tr) | 10 | 166 | 0 | 16.6 | 40 |
| Andre Johnson (Tr) | 7 | 120 | 0 | 17.1 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Walters | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Eli Blakey | 89 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Corban Hondru | 70 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Raion Strader | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Trick | 37 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Savio Frazier (Tr) | 24 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Corban Hondru | 70 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Christian Mckinney | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raion Strader | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Silas Walters | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| William Hardrick | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 207 | 335 | 62% | 2457 | 22 | 7 | 7.3 |
| John Alan Richter | 43 | 67 | 64% | 497 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Walendzak | 122 | 457 | 1 | 3.7 | 32 |
| Tucker Gleason | 88 | 330 | 6 | 3.8 | 35 |
| Sevaughn Clark | 62 | 209 | 0 | 3.4 | 26 |
| Willie Shaw III | 46 | 190 | 3 | 4.1 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Vandeross | 73 | 763 | 4 | 10.5 | 73 |
| Thomas Zsiros | 12 | 148 | 1 | 12.3 | 25 |
| Eric Holley | 14 | 126 | 0 | 9.0 | 40 |
| Jaden Dottin | 9 | 123 | 0 | 13.7 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren | 61 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Dunn | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Malachi Davis | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Esean Carter | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Lance Dixon (Tr) | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |